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Oakland Athletics vs. New York Mets MLB Betting Odds & Pick from Will Rogers: July 22nd 2017

| July 22, 2017

Oakland Athletics vs. New York Mets
MLB Betting Pick: Mets -101 odds (July 22nd 2017)

The set-up: The New York Mets made it three straight wins with their 7-5 victory in Friday night’s opener of a three-game home series against the A’s. Michael Conforto had two HRs in the win and is 8-for-19 with three HRs and two during a five-game hitting streak and is batting .303 with 12 HRs at Cti Field this year. The Mets are just 44-50 on the season (10 games behind in the race for the second National League wild card) and are expected to be sellers with the July 31 trade deadline looming. The 43-53 A’s have lost three in a row to fall 7 1/2 games behind in the second wild-card race in the AL.

The pitching matchup: Sean Manaea (8-5 & 3.68 ERA) gets the start for Oakland and Zack Wheeler (3-7 & 4.98 ERA) for New York. Manaea has lasted at least seven innings in each of this three starts in July and picked up the win after allowing two runs in seven innings against Cleveland on Sunday. He owns a 2.67 ERA over his last four starts (team is just 2-2) while allowing just one HR in 27 innings. He has never faced the Mets. Wheeler gave up four runs over 5 1/3 innings of a 6-3 loss to St. Louis on Monday and has dropped five straight decisions. He has allowed seven HRs over his last five outings and owns an ERA of 10.13 ERA in that stretch (Mets are 1-4). Wheeler is 1-1 with a 9.39 ERA in two career starts against Oakland.

The pick: Hard to make a strong case for the Mets based just on Wheeler but the A’s are a woeful 15-30 on the road, getting outscored 5.33-to-3.89 RPG. I say the Mets win their fourth in a row.

Texas Rangers vs. Tampa Bay Rays MLB Over-Under Odds & Pick from Brandon Lee: July 21st 2017

| July 21, 2017

Texas Rangers vs. Tampa Bay Rays
MLB Over-Under Pick: Under 8.5 runs +100 odds (July 21st 2017)

I’m backing the UNDER in Friday’s series opener between the Rangers and Rays. Two really good starters taking the mound in this one. Texas sends out Yu Darvish, who despite a 6-8 record has pitched well in 2017. Darvish owns a 3.38 ERA and 1.141 WHIP in 20 starts and has actually been even better on the road with a 2.37 ERA and 1.088 WHIP (UNDER 8-1 in Darvish’s 9 road starts). On the flip side we have Alex Cobb going for Tampa Bay and Cobb has been rolling here of late. Cobb is 3-1 in his last 5 starts and has given up just 1 run over his last 2 starts (15+ innings). Cobb also owns a 2.64 ERA in 7 starts at home on the season. Give me the UNDER 8.5!

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San Diego Padres vs. San Francisco Giants MLB Odds & Prediction from Larry Ness: July 21st 2017

| July 21, 2017

San Diego Padres vs. San Francisco Giants
MLB Prediction: SF -158 odds (July 21st 2017)

The San Diego Padres are 41-54 on the season and the San Francisco Giants check in at 37-60. That leaves the Giants five games worse than the Padres with almost the entire difference being attributed to the fact that after Thursday’s 5-2 San Diego win in San Francisco, the Padres have won seven of 10 over the Giants in 2017. San Diego’s pitching staff rebounded nicely in allowing just two runs, after SD pitchers allowed 36 runs while losing three straight at Colorado to open the week. The Giants’ loss last night made them the second team in the majors to reach 60 losses this season (Philadelphia, with 61, was the first).

Trevor Cahill (4-3, 3.14 ERA) defeated the Giants 7-1 last Sunday when he struck out eight in 6.2 innings while giving up one run on eight hits. He is now 3-1 with a 2.16 ERA over his last six starts (Padres are 4-2), striking out 41 in 33.1 innings during that stretch. Cahill is 7-5 with a 3.63 ERA in 17 career appearances (14 starts / teams are 7-7) vs the Giants. Samardzija has dropped consecutive starts and was rocked for seven runs and nine hits over six innings while matched up opposite Cahill last Sunday. Samardzija has a superb KW ratio (135-14) but he’s enduring yet another in a growing line of bad seasons. He has just four wins in 19 starts with the Giants going 7-12 in his starts (minus-$670 vs the moneyline).

There is no way to describe just how poorly San Francisco has played in 2017 but let’s not ignore that San Diego is MLB’s lowest scoring team (3.68 RPG) and owns its lowest team BA (.232). The Padres are 17-31 on the road, allowing 5.48 RPG. I’ll give Samardzija (3.68 ERA in 14 career appearances vs the Padres) a try.