Basketball Picks: February 14th 2012
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NCAAB Pick: Wisconsin-Milwaukee -1
We would have liked to have seen Cleveland St. win on Saturday against Butler but this was going to be a play against either way. The Vikings have dropped two straight games, both of those coming at home, to fall to 10-4 in the conference. They are a half-game behind Valparaiso so this is certainly a must win game with only three games left in the Horizon after this but a must win game does not always mean a sure win. The Vikings are a solid 11-2 on the road but this is a tough road spot. Wisconsin-Milwaukee is also riding a two-game losing streak but those two losses came on the road and now the Panthers are back home for what is their final conference home game of the season. While they are 8-7 in the conference and sitting in sixth place, they are just one game out of third place so these remaining games mean something for them as well. The Panthers are 10-3 at home this season including a 6-2 conference record and this marks their first home game is February. 3* (750) Wisconsin-Milwaukee Panthers -Matt Fargo
NBA Pick: Detroit Pistons +8
I believe the home underdog is offering us fairly solid value here. Yes, the Spurs have really been rolling. They’re laying a big number here though and they’re facing a Detroit team which has quietly won four of its last five games and which is 5-1 ATS its last six. Even with their recent hot streak and Saturday’s blowout of New Jersey , the Spurs are still only 5-8 ATS against teams with a losing record. It should also be noted that the Spurs, who play at Toronto tomorrow, haven’t typically blown teams out this season, when playing the front end of back to back games. Too often, bettors focus on how teams fare in the back end of back-to-back games and fail to pay attention to how they perform in the front end. Its important to know how teams tend to do in both situations though, this year arguably more than ever. Check this out. This will be the eighth time in 2012 that the Spurs will be playing the front end of back-to-back games. They didn’t win any of the previous seven of those games by more than eight points. In fact, they lost four of those seven outright. Two victories came by three and four points, neither of those resulted in a cover. The lone “big” win came by only eight points – and it was at home. The Pistons beat Portland here and they lost by only three vs. the Heat here. Don’t be surprised if they give their streaking guests all they can handle.
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