Basketball Picks: February 7th 2012
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NBA Pick: Suns vs. Bucks Under 195
Oddsmakers have set the bar too high tonight in this game between the Phoenix Suns and Milwaukee Bucks. Season averages alone show you that there is some serious value with the UNDER in this one. Phoenix used to be an OVER machine, but that is the case no longer even though that remains the perception of this team. The Suns are scoring 92.8 points/game and giving up 96.2 points/game for an average combined score of 189.0 points/game. The Suns are 17-7 to the UNDER in all games, and 10-3 to the UNDER in road games this year. Milwaukee remains a very good defensive team with a struggling offense, which has been the case every since Scott Skiles took over as head coach. The Bucks are scoring 93.9 points/game and allowing 95.2 points/game for an average combined score of 189.1 points/game. As you can see, we are getting nearly 6 full points of value based on both team’s season averages. The UNDER is 21-8 in Suns last 29 games as an underdog, including 10-1 in their last 11 games as a road underdog of 5.0-10.5. The UNDER is 5-0 in Bucks last 5 games following a double-digit loss at home. The UNDER is 22-8-1 in Bucks last 31 games as a home favorite. The UNDER is 35-16 in Bucks last 51 games playing on 2 days rest. Bet the UNDER in this game Tuesday. -Jack Jones
NCAAB Pick: Florida +9
#7 ranked Florida vs #1 ranked Kentucky here tonight! Florida is 7-0 SU and 6-1 ATS last 3 years when playing against a good defensive team allowing 64 points per game or less after 15 or more games. Kentucky is 2-8 ATS this year after scoring 80 points or more. Florida is scoring 80.1 points per game overall this year and 77.2 points per game on the road this season. Gators are 4-0 ATS in their last 4 Tuesday games. Gators are 8-1 ATS in their last 9 road games following three or more consecutive home games. Gators are 7-3-1 ATS in their last 11 road games vs. a team with a home winning % of greater than .600. Gators are 15-7-2 ATS in their last 24 games vs. a team with a winning SU record. Wildcats are 16-33-3 ATS in their last 52 games following a SU win of more than 20 points. Wildcats are 2-5 ATS in their last 7 home games vs. a team with a road winning % of less than .400. Wildcats are 3-9-1 ATS in their last 13 games vs. a team with a winning SU record. Wildcats are 2-6 ATS in their last 8 home games vs. a team with a losing road record. Wildcats are 2-11-1 ATS in their last 14 home games. Wildcats are 1-7-1 ATS in their last 9 games vs. a team with a winning % above .600. Gators are 5-2-1 ATS in the last 8 meetings in Kentucky. Gators are 9-4-1 ATS in the last 14 meetings. Road team is 3-1-1 ATS in the last 5 meetings. Underdog is 3-0-1 ATS in the last 4 meetings. We’ll recommend a small play on Florida tonight! Thanks and good luck, Rocky Atkinson
NCAAB Pick: Alabama -5.5
Alabama has been no pushover on the road. It has won 6 of 11 away from home on the season and has been very competitive in its losses. It only lost by 6 points at Kentucky in a game that was even closer than the final score indicates. Auburn, meanwhile, lost by 15 at home to Kentucky. Alabama is the more talented team here. It has won the last 3 in this series and posted a 10-point win in last season’s trip to Auburn. We’ll lay the points. -Jeff Alexander
NBA Pick: Sacramento Kings +6.5
With the T-Wolves minus their best player (Kevin Love), who is out with a suspension, I like Sacramento’s chances of keeping this one close. The Kings enter this matchup with plenty of confidence following 3 straight wins. Plus, they have covered the spread in each of their last 5. The Timberwolves are 3-7 ATS in their last 10 home games and 1-5 ATS in their last 6 games as a favorite. Take the Kings. -Dave Price. (Handicapperspicks.com)
Related posts:
- Basketball Picks for February 14th 2012: Bet on Detroit and Wisconsin-Milwaukee
- Basketball Picks: Bet on Northern Iowa, Atlanta and Dallas: February 8th 2012
- Basketball Picks for January 28th 2012: Bet Wichita State, Phoenix and Tennessee
- Basketball Picks: Bet on Atlanta, Yale and Columbia on February 10th 2012
- Bet on Golden State and Virginia Tech: Basketball Picks for February 12th 2012
