RSSCategory: College Football Picks

Army Black Knights vs. Tulane Green Wave College Football Point Spread Prediction from Alex Smart: September 23rd 2017

| September 20, 2017

Army Black Knights vs. Tulane Green Wave
College Football Prediction: Army +2.5 (September 23rd 2017)
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Army works on ball control via a ground heavy attack. The Cadets average 364.7 ypd  via the rush this season. Meanwhile, the Green Wave despite of knowing what to expect are just  6-49 SU in their L/55 games when they allow 200 or more yards rushing including a recent loss to Navy 23-21.

With that said, I’m betting on Army piling up at least 200 yards plus, and for Tulane to fail here in a letdown spot after playing Oklahoma last week while allowing the Sooners to score 42 straight points in a lopsided 56-14 home loss.

TULANE is 6-17 ATS L/23  in home games after a loss by 28 or more points.

CFB Home favorites like Tulane – quick starting offensive team – scoring 16+ PPG in the first half, after a loss by 17 or more points are just 25-58 ATS for a go against conversion rate of 70% for bettors.
Play on Army to cover

NCAA Football: Larry Ness betting the Gamecocks -6.5 points over the Wildcats on September 16th 2017

| September 15, 2017

Kentucky Wildcats vs. South Carolina Gamecocks
College Football Pick: SC -6.5 -106 odds (September 16th 2017)
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The Kentucky Wildcats and the South Carolina Gamecocks play their respective SEC openers on Saturday in Columbia at Williams-Brice Stadium. Both teams have opened 2-0, with Kentucky winning at Southern Miss 24-17 and then back at home 27-16 over Eastern Kentucky. Meanwhile, the Gamecocks, coming off a 6-7 season in Will Muschamp’s first year at South Carolina (lost an exciting 46-39 bowl game in OT vs USF!), have opened with back-to-back outright wins on the road as underdogs. South Carolina opened with a 35-28 win at NC State (+ 7 1/2 )and then followed with a 31-13 win at Missouri (+ 3).

Kentucky QB Stephen Johnson looked much better in the Wildcats’ second game (he had a shaky opening against Southern Miss), throwing for 224 yards on 15 of 22 passing with a touchdown, while also rushing six times for 48 yards and a TD on the ground. RB Benny Snell added 103 rushing yards on 19 carries (one TD) and fellow RB Sihiem King chipped in 61 yards on his nine carries. Kentucky’s defense held Eastern Ky to 318 yards of total offense in the win. and enters this game allowing 16.5 PPG on the season (35th) on 341.0 YPG (56th)

However, that Kentucky D will be severely tested Saturday by resurgent South Carolina. The Gamecocks may have lost their bowl game at the end of last year’s season but they scored 39 points and gained 481 yards in that defeat. QB Bentley threw for 390 yards and three TDs against USF. He’s back this season and while he’s thrown for a more modest total of 402 yards after two games, he has four TDs and just one INT in leading his team to back-to-back road wins, while South Carolina has topped 30 points in each contest. South Carolina’s star so far has been WR Deebo Samuel. The junior has touched the ball a total of 14 times in two games, resulting in a pair of 97-yard KO returns for TDs, two rushes for 30 yards and a TD plus has 10 receptions for 128 yards and two scores. “He’s really good with the ball in his hands and he’s also really good when it’s not in his hands,” head coach Will Muschamp told the media. “He works extremely hard and that’s why he has tremendous respect with his teammates.” You think?

Defensively, the Gamecocks have given up a lot yardage, as its 927 yards allowed in two games would attest. That’s an average of 463.5 YPG, which ranks 108th in the nation. However, South Carolina has only allowed 20.5 PPG, by forcing five turnovers and holding opponents to five scores in eight red zone opportunities. One wonders if South Carolina can continue to give up that many yards without it coming back to ‘bite them.’

Kentucky has a well-balanced offense which has yet to explode and it could do just that here, as the Wildcats come in on a three-game winning streak in this series. However, that also gives this rejuvenated South Carolina team a strong revenge motive. Kentucky’s defense has so far looked good but let’s not forget it allowed 31.3 PPG last season, on about 434 YPG.  Also, a closer look reveals that in five road games and its neutral-site bowl contest, the Kentucky D allowed an average of 37.8 PPG. South Carolina comes in averaging 33.0 PPG in 2017 and both games have been on the road. The Gamecocks should easily top 30 points in this one at home and I’m laying the points.

Clemson Tigers vs. Louisville Cardinals Football Odds & Prediction from AAA Sports: September 16th 2017

| September 13, 2017

Clemson Tigers vs. Louisville Cardinals
College Football Prediction: Louisville +3 -105 odds (September 16th 2017)
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While we obviously wouldn’t be shocked by an outright upset, we will in the end recommend grabbing as many points as you can in a contest which we foresee being decided by whichever team has the ball in its hands last.

Clemson: The Tigers are 2-0 after holding on for a 14-6 home win over No. 13 Auburn on Saturday. Clemson had 11 sacks in the victory, making up for the lack of offense overall. Note that Clemson had a 32:25 to 27:35 disadvantage in time of possession. After one week Clemson ranks 53rd in the country in passing offense with 248.5 YPG. The defense has been amazing, but cleary the unit faces its stiffest test to date.

Louisville: The Cardinals picked up a conference win against UNC in a 47-35 road victory last weekend. Louisville won the yardage battle 705-401. Louisville also controlled the time of possession by a 35:56 to 24:04 margin. After one week the Cards rank tenth in the country in passing with 385.5 YPG. QB Lamar Jackson is 55 of 85 for 771 yards and five TD passes (also leads the team on the ground with 239 yards and three more major scores.)

The bottom line: Clemson has won three straight in the series, including a tight 42-36 decision at home on October 1st last year in the most recent meeting. There’s no question that the “revenge” angle comes into play here. Also note that the the Tigers are in fact just 4-6 ATS in their last ten on the road and only 8-9 ATS in their last 17 against the conference, while Louisville is 4-2 ATS in its last six as an underdog. Posting 11 sacks against Jarrett Stidham is one thing, but clearly Jackson will be the most versatile QB that Clemson sees all year. Consider the revenge-minded CARDINALS in this one.