RSSCategory: College Football Picks

NCAAF Pick: Larry Ness betting USC -16 over UCLA on November 18th 2017

| November 17, 2017

UCLA Bruins vs. USC Trojans
College Football Point Spread Pick: USC -16 (November 18th 2017)

The 5-5 UCLA Bruins are at USC to take on the 9-2 Trojans and for a number of different reasons, I think this one favors the home side.

UCLA comes in off a 44-34 victory over Aizona State, while USC most recently posted a 38-24 road win over Colorado last weekend.

Note that when these team’s met last year, it was USC that scored the relatively simple 36-14 victory.

The Bruins looked terrible on the defensive side in their win over Arizona State last Saturday, giving up 584 total yards, including 290 through the air. With a much more “winnable” game at home against 5-5 Cal in their season finale, QB Josh Rosen and company could be caught looking ahead.

The Trojans didn’t look overly impressive defensively last week either, giving up 486 total yards. But the unit came up big when it had to, bending but not breaking with two key INT’s (note that the defense has three picks over the last two games.) USC QB Sam Darnold was 21 of 34 for 329 yards, two TD’s and no INT’s.

Another Perspective?: Check out Brandon Lee’s USC vs. UCLA pick here

I’ll point out that UCLA is just 1-8 ATS in its last nine off a win against a conference rival (including 0-2 ATS this year), while USC is 3-1 ATS in its last four after scoring 37 points or more in its previous outing.

This is an important game for both teams, but there’s no way that USC takes the foot off the gas at this point. I’m expecting a rout from start to finish. Consider the Trojans in this matchup.

Kentucky Wildcats vs. Georgia Bulldogs College Football Pick from Al McMordie: November 18th 2017

| November 17, 2017

Kentucky Wildcats vs. Georgia Bulldogs
College Football Pick: Georgia -21 (November 18th 2017)

At 3:30 pm, our complimentary selection is on the Georgia Bulldogs minus the points over Kentucky.  Last week, I was on the Auburn Tigers +3 over Georgia, here, on these pages, and was rewarded with a 23-point blowout win by the Tigers.  That was Georgia’s first loss this season after starting the year 9-0.  Now, people who have followed me over the years know that I like to go against College Football teams off their first defeat of the season when they started the year going 5-0 or better.  But I’m actually not going to go against the Bulldogs in this game, because I don’t believe they will have a letdown.  And it’s for several reasons.  First, this will be Georgia’s final home game of the season, so I feel the Bulldogs will be excited to get back on the field to play this game.

And College Football teams have gone 78% ATS if they lost their previous game by 20 or more points, and are now favored by more than 15 points in their final home game of the season.  Also, SEC teams off an upset loss are 70.9% ATS vs. .500 (or better) Conference foes off an upset win.  Finally, the Bulldogs are 68% ATS since 1991 at home off an upset defeat.  Lay the points with the Bulldogs.  Good luck, as always…Al McMordie.

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Iowa Hawkeyes vs. Wisconsin Badgers NCAAF Point Spread Pick from John Martin: November 11th 2017

| November 10, 2017

Iowa Hawkeyes vs. Wisconsin Badgers
NCAAF Point Spread Pick: Iowa +12 (November 11th 2017)

The Iowa Hawkeyes just have a way of playing to the level of their competition.  They don’t show up against mediocre or losing teams, but they’ve proven in recent years that they can play with the big boys.  That couldn’t have been more evident than last week’s 55-24 beat down of Ohio State as 18-point underdogs.  The Hawkeyes are now 8-2 ATS in their last 10 games against ranked opponents, covering the spread by a combined 145 points.  Now they are catching 12 points here against an overrated Wisconsin team.  The Badgers have played one of the softest schedules in the country.  I’m not worried about an Iowa letdown off that Ohio State win because Wisconsin is another Top 10 ranked opponent.  The Hawkeyes will be putting their best foot forward, and I strongly believe this game will be decided by one score either way.  The Badgers have cluster injuries right now, especially some key ones at linebacker and receiver.  Give me Iowa.

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