Illinois vs. Wisconsin
Free Pick: Illinois +8.5 (March 11th 2010 – Doc’s Sports)
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Free Play from Doc’s Sports. #843 Take Illinois over Wisconsin (Friday 2:30 pm ESPN) The Illini are squarely on the bubble and cannot afford to look bad for a second straight game against the Badgers. Wisconsin won by 15 points in Champaign on Sunday and that loss put Illinois on the last four in column with regards to the bracket. That being said, Illinois has better talent then does Wisconsin and if they make shots from the arc they are a tough team to beat. Let’s not forget that this Illini team went into Madison and handed the Badgers their only loss this season at the Kohl Center. Illinois is 20-9 ATS in their last 29 games on Friday. Wisconsin is just 2-5 ATS in their last 7 neutral site games. Desperation leads to excellence for the Illini and it would not surprise me if they win this game straight-up. Getting this many points is just an added bonus. Don’t miss Doc’s Sports Conference Tournament Game of the Year (6-unit pick). This play will go on Saturday and we will be looking for our sixth straight weekend top play winner.
North Carolina vs. Georgia Tech
Free Pick: North Carolina +4 (March 11th 2010 – John Ryan)
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3* graded play on North Carolina as they take on Georgia Tech set to start at 7:00 EST and is an ACC opening round matchup. This is the Our proprietary sports handicapping model and simulator shows a high probability that UNC will lose this game by fewer than 3 points and we wold not be surprised at all to see an upset. Pride is always a very big part of any defending Champion and we believe it will be seen in full force in this game. GT defense has been horrible the past two games yielding 55% shooting to Clemson and 51% shooting to V-tech. UNC has favorable offensive matchups to exploit and we feel strongly that UNC will have a very big game. Based on the model projections rebounding will be nearly equal, but GT is just 1-5 ATS this season and 8-18 ATS the past 3 seasons when final game rebounding stats are +-3. Supporting this graded play is a system that has produced a record of 30-9 ATS for 77% winners since 1997. Play on neutral court teams as a dog off an embarrassing road loss scoring less than 60 points and is a marginal team winning team between 51% to 60% and playing a winning team. Heart of the Champion comes through today. Take UNC.
Wright State vs. Butler
Free Pick: Butler -7 (March 9th 2010 – Black Widow)
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This is a home game for Butler in the Horizon League Championship, played in Indianapolis, Indiana. Butler lost in the title game last season to Cleveland State, and went on to lose in the first round of the NCAA Tournament to LSU. With all 5 starters back from that team, this Bulldogs’ squad will be extra motivated to make sure they continue their momentum by winning the championship this time around. Butler is riding the nation’s longest winning streak at 19 games. “It’s a little bit of unfinished business – you feel like that when you get all that way and then you don’t finish the deal,” Bulldogs forward Matt Howard said. “It’s the same thing this year. We’re focused, we want to win. We don’t feel comfortable with where we are.” Wright State is 3-11 ATS in all road games this season, and 0-6 ATS (-6.6 Units) in road games off a win against a conference rival this season. In a home game for the Bulldogs, and with this team looking to make amends for last year’s loss in the title game, we’ll take Butler and lay the points.
Wisconsin vs. Illinois
Free Pick: Wisconsin -3.5 (March 7th 2010 – John Ryan)
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3* graded play on Wisconsin as they travel to face Illinois set to start at 2:00 EST and this game will be seen on ESPN. Our proprietary sports handicapping model and simulator shows a high probability that Wisconsin will win this game by more than 3 points. Wisconsin is playing very well and are coming of BB blowout wins defeating Indiana by 32 points and Iowa by 27 points. Wisconsin is 11-0 ATS (+11.0 Units) after 2 straight blowout wins by 20 points or more since 1997. Illinois has shot under 40% in 3 of their past 5 games and the stats clearly show that they are a very tired team. Wisconsin is projected to shoot between 40 and 46% and Illinois is just 3-6 ATS this season and 9-27 ATS the past 3 seasons allowing opponents to shoot within this range. Supporting this graded play is a system that has produced a record of 36-11 ATS for 77% winners since 1997. Play against home teams in March where the line is +3 to -3 that are good passing teams averaging >=16 assists/game on the season. Take Wisconsin.
Texas vs. Baylor
Free Pick: Texas +3 (March 6th 2010 – Jimmy Boyd)
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It’s been a fall from grace for the Horns, going from the No. 1 ranked team in the country to unranked. But now all the pressure is gone, and I expect the immensely talented Longhorns to pay Baylor back for an earlier season loss here. Texas has won 11 straight over the Bears on the road and it will not be lacking any motivation today. Plus, plays against home teams where the line is +3 to -3, very good team outscoring their opponents by 8 or more points per game, in March games, are 24-6 ATS since 1997. On top of that, Baylor is only 1-11 ATS in home games versus excellent teams who shoot 45% or better from the field and allow 42% or worse shooting over the last 3 seasons. You also have to like the fact that Baylor is 0-7 ATS as a home favorite of 3 points or less or pick over the last 3 seasons, losing in these games by an average score of 71 to 77. Take Texas.
Iowa State vs. Kansas State
Free Pick: Kansas State -16 (March 6th 2010 – Tom Stryker)
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With a 2-11 SU and 5-8 ATS record in its last 13 games, Iowa State is obviously playing some of its worst basketball of the season. Things won’t get any easier for the Cyclones when they visit Bramlage Coliseum on Saturday night. Kansas State returns to Manhattan off its 82-65 beating at rival Kansas and the Wildcats will be looking to administer a little of their own pain here.
If you need a couple of technical reasons to lay the lumber with KSU on Saturday, please consider the following: K State is a spotless 8-0 SU and 5-2-1 ATS in its last eight meetings against ISU. Equally impressive, the Cats are a stellar 36-21-1 ATS at home since 2005 including 26-11 ATS in this role favored by -6 points or more.
With a victory tonight, KSU will grab sole possession of the No. 2 spot in the Big 12 standings. Wildcat seniors Luis Colon and Chris Merriewether have won more games than any class in school history. These two seasoned veterans will close out their stellar careers with one more “W”! Take Kansas State. Thank you and best of luck, Tom Stryker.
Free NCAA Pick: Samford +3 (Jack Jones)
It is extremely difficult to beat a team 3 times in the same season, and that’s what The Citadel is facing tonight as they take on Samford in the Southern Conference Tournament Friday. The Citadel won by 1 and 4 points, respectively, in their two meetings with Samford this season. Samford is chomping at the bit to get some payback tonight in the third meeting. This play falls into a system that is 58-21 (73%) over the last 5 seasons. It tells us to bet on any team (SAMFORD) – revenging 2 straight losses where team scored < 60 points against opponent off a cover where the team lost straight up as an underdog. Samford brings more energy and passion to the floor tonight. Take Samford.
Free NCAA Pick: Georgia State +6 (Rocky Atkinson)
Georgia State is 9-2 ATS since 1997 in March. Georgia State is 18-5 ATS last 3 years revenging a road loss vs an opponent. Georgia State is 6-0 ATS since 1997 in 1st round tournament games. Georgia State is 7-0 ATS since 1997 in conference tournament games. Hofstra is 1-7 ATS last 3 years when playing with 5 or 6 days rest. Georgia State is allowing only 63.6 points per game overall and 62.6 points per game on the road this year. Panthers are 5-1 ATS in their last 6 games following a ATS loss. Panthers are 5-1 ATS in their last 6 neutral site games as an underdog. Panthers are 8-3 ATS in their last 11 neutral site games. Panthers are 5-2-1 ATS in their last 8 games following a SU loss. Pride are 1-4 ATS in their last 5 Friday games. Pride are 1-5 ATS in their last 6 neutral site games as a favorite. We’ll recommend a small play on Georgia State tonight! Thanks and good luck, Rocky
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St. Johns vs. Depaul
Free Pick: St. John’s (March 5th 2010 – Doc’s Sports)
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Free Play from Doc’s Sports. #835 Take St. Johns over DePaul (8:30 pm ESPN 360) Two bad teams are set to do battle on Friday night at Allstate Arena in Chicago, IL. The Blue Demons have an interim coach and currently sit at the bottom of the Big East with a 1-16 conference record. St. Johns is just 5-12 in the Big East, but they have shown some signs of life playing pretty well in their last four games against good competition. They beat South Florida, took Marquette to OT, and lost by just seven points to Pittsburgh. The Red Storm have dominated this series recently going 4-1 ATS in the last five match-ups. St. Johns has also went 7-0 ATS in their last seven road games against a team with a losing home record. That will be the case tonight, as DePaul is just 6-8 in Chicago this season. Play the visitor and get your bankroll going for the weekend. Don’t forget to sign-up for Doc’s SEC Game of the Year. This selection will go this Saturday and is a must have for any big game hunter.