College Basketball Picks: January 26th 2012
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Pick: Colorado +1.5
Colorado is showing some great value as an extremely small underdog at USC on Thursday. The Buffaloes have been impressive in their first season in the PAC 12, supporting a 5-2 conference record. Both losses have came on the road, but both were to very good teams in California and Stanford. I look for the Buffaloes to be extremely motivated to get their first conference road win, especially against a poor USC team that is just 5-15 overall and 0-7 in conference play. USC hasn’t won a game since beating TCU back in the middle of December. The Trojans have one of the worst offenses in the country, averaging just 54.2 ppg. They have lost each of their three conference home games by at least 9-points, and you have to wonder if this team hasn’t already thrown in the towel. Colorado head coach Tad Boyle knows how to motivate his team when they come into a game listed as an underdog. His teams are 41-24 ATS (as an underdog in all games he has coached. The Buffaloes are 6-1 ATS in their last 7 games as a road underdog, 4-1 ATS in their last 5 games as an underdog of 0.5-6.5. and a perfect 6-0 ATS in their last 6 games vs. a team with a losing S.U. record. BET COLORADO! -Steve Janus

Pick: Wisconsin-Milwaukee -3.5
Butler has been overvalued all season and is just 4-12 ATS in lined games as a result. The Panthers lost the first meeting by 4 points on the road, but I like their chances at home, where they are 9-1 this season. Plus, the Panthers are 10-2 ATS in home games when out to avenge a road loss to an opponent over the last 3 seasons. They’re winning these games by an average of 6.0 points. The Bulldogs are 1-6-1 ATS in the last 8 in this series. Take the Panthers. -Jeff Alexander

Pick: Cal State Fullerton -6
Fullerton has a better road record than stumbling Northride has at home. The Cal State Fullerton Titans are 4-0 ATS in their last 4 games following an ATS win and 6-1-1 ATS in their last 8 road games. This bad Northridge team has home court, but what has that mattered? The Matadors are 1-4 ATS in their last 5 home games and the road team is 8-3 ATS in the last 11 meetings between these conference rivals. Play Fullerton! -Jim Feist

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Basketball Picks: January 25th 2012
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Pick: Timberwolves vs. Mavericks Over 184
The Dallas Mavericks are more of an up-tempo team now without Dirk Nowitzki on the floor. I look for this game to be fast-paced tonight between the Mavs and Minnesota Timberwolves in Dallas. The Timberwolves hvae been a solid offensive team this year, scoring 95.0 points/game. They are allowing 94.6 points/game, combining with their opponents for 189.6 points/game on average. As you can see, that number is over five points more than the posted total tonight, providing us with some nice line value here. Dallas will look to run more now that they don’t have to run their offense through Dirk, which forces them to play at a slower tempo when he’s on the floor. Dallas and Minnesota have combined to score 186 or more points in six of their last seven meetings. I fully expect this one to finish with 186-plus tonight as well. Take the OVER 184 points here. -Black Widow

Pick: Seton Hall -7
Notre Dame upset Syracuse at home Saturday, but it hasn’t been the same team on the road. In fact, it is 1-7 SU and ATS when playing away from home this season, losing those games by an average of 11.5 points. After back-to-back road games, Seton Hall will be happy to be home, where it is 10-0 SU and 6-1 ATS this season with an average winning margin of 14.5 points. The Pirates are 5-0 ATS in their last 5 games as a home favorite of 7.0-12.5 points. We’ll take Seton Hall. -Jeff Alexander

Pick: Oklahoma State +9.5
Oklahoma State will be fired up for 2nd ranked Missouri, who finds itself in a letdown spot following Saturday’s big upset win at Baylor. I won’t hesitate to side with the home team here as the Tigers are 18-39 ATS in their last 57 road games, and the Cowboys are 34-16-2 ATS in their last 52 home games. Plus, the underdog is 8-2 ATS in the last 10 meetings in this series. Take the points. -Dave Price

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Basketball Picks: January 24th 2012
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Pick: Indiana Pacers -3
The Pacers really surprised us with a strong road trip and wins against the Warriors and Lakers, although they did get some help for the refs in their Bay Area win. This team is playing excellent defense and they are doing enough on offense to win games. Orlando just looked horrible last night and this team set franchise lows for scoring (56 points) and field goals (16) against the Celtics (we had our big play on the under in that game, by the way). Even though the Boston defense was unbelievable last night there is something wrong with this offense right now in Orlando and they haven’t looked good in their last four games, save the Lakers game but they only managed 92 in a pretty dominating performance. We just don’t think things get any easier tonight against an Indiana team that allows only 83 PPG at home. They are 4-1 ATS at home this season and 5-0 straight up and we think they are a bit underrated with this line as they are relatively healthy and Orlando is coming in on a back-to-back after that listless performance in Boston last night. -Doc’s Sports

Pick: Phoenix Suns -5
Your free play for Tuesday comes in the NBA as the Toronto Raptors head all the way out to the Southwest to battle the Suns. The Raptors are 1-5 ATS in their last six against the NBA Pacific division and 0-6 ATS in their last 6 games vs. a team with a losing straight up record. Phoenix is home after a 6-game trip that saw two big upset wins, at Boston and at New York. The team that Phoenix just upset, Boston, played Toronto that same week and blasted the Raptors, 96-73. The favorite is 6-1-1 ATS in the last 8 meetings, the Raptors are 1-4 ATS in the last 5 meetings in Phoenix and 1-6-1 ATS in the last 8 meetings. Your free play for Tuesday, Play the Phoenix Suns. -Jim Feist

Pick: Texas Longhorns -7
Motivated by 3 straight losses and a defeat at Iowa State on Jan. 4, expect Texas to bounce back strong at home, where it is 11-1 on the season. Iowa State hasn’t had much luck at Texas, where it has dropped 6 of its last 7 with the 6 losses coming by 26, 16, 20, 9, 8 and 23 points. It is also worth noting that the Cyclones are 6-19-1 ATS in their last 26 games as an underdog of 7.0-12.5 points and 3-14 ATS in their last 17 games as a road underdog of 7.0-12.5 points. Texas is an impressive 25-12 ATS in its last 37 as a home favorite of 6.5 to 9 points, winning these games by an average score of 75.4 to 63.4. We’ll side with Texas in this highly motivated spot. The No. 1 Ranked Basketball Handicapper All-time at this Network continues his WHITE HOT 11-1 (92%) RUN (profiting $1,000/game bettors $9,950) with his 5* NCAAB *BEST BET* (Perfect 7-0 NCAAB Run) and 4* NBA SMASH (599-496 NBA Run since 2007 has $1,000/game bettors up $53,740)! This package is guaranteed to profit or Wednesday’s entire card is ON THE HOUSE! -Jimmy Boyd

Pick: Akron Zips +1.5
On Tuesday the NCAAB Free play is on Akron. Game 547 at 7:00 eastern. The Zips are 7-0 in the 2nd half the last 2+ seasons vs teams who allow 65 points or less and 13-6 after allowing 80 or more points. They have had a solid month thus far winning 5 of 6 in January. Even better is their record vs teams who are ranked 151 or higher in the RPI as they are 6-0 vs these teams.Ball St is is ranked 216th in the RPI and has played a soft schedule 343 rd toughest in the nation. Akron has played the 60th toughest schedule. Ball St has dropped 3 of 4 to the spread as a home favorite of 3 or less and are 0-3 ats in conference play off a win. When they take on winning teams they are no great shakes at 9-18 straight up. The records may look similar but Akron is the better team. On Tuesday I ave a trio of Solid plays lead by the 22-1 Mountain West Conference Game of the Month, a 39-3 ACC power Angle play and a 5* 100% Double system NBA Play. Monday night sweeps with hoops in NBA and NCAAB. Jump on and cash out tonight. For the free play take Akron. -Rob Vinciletti

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College Basketball Picks: January 19th 2012
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Pick: Vanderbilt Commodores +6.5
The Commodores of Vanderbilt invade the Capstone on Thursday night for an SEC battle against the host Alabama Crimson Tide. The Tide enter tonight’s contest off a loss at Mississippi State 56 to 52 as a 1.5-point conference road favorite. That loss ended the Tide’s 5-0 winning streak. Alabama is 7-1 SU at home this season but only 1-3 against the spread. They are averaging 68.7 points per game on their home floor while allowing 53.6 points per game. When the Tide has faced conference foes, we see their scoring drop 3.7 points per game compared to their home numbers and they allow more points per game during conference play as we see 2.4 points per game average increase for their opponents. Vanderbilt comes into tonight’s game riding a seven-game winning streak with a 3-2 against the spread mark over that span. The Commodores defeated Georgia their last time out 77 to 66 but failing to cover the thirteen-point spread. Vandy has posted a record of 3-0 SU in conference play this season covering the spread in two of those three games. During their seven-game winning streak, they have won by an average margin of almost twenty-points per game with 19.1 points per game advantage.

Vanderbilt’s big man Festus Ezeli appears to be back in decent health while Jeffery Taylor and John Jenkins have been strong during conference play so far this season. Taylor has averaged fifty-seven percent from the field and just over fourteen-points per game during SEC play. Jenkins has been lighting up SEC foes from behind the arc shooting forty-four percent and just over sixteen points per game. This type of offensive firepower should cause problems for a group of pachyderms that cannot seem to find the basket this season struggling with 66 points per game, which is good enough for 209 in the nation. Do not look for the trey to be an answer either as the Tide has struggled from behind the arc for almost a decade shooting just over twenty-seven percent. Vanderbilt is 11-2 ATS in road games over the last 2 seasons and 12-3 ATS as a road underdog or pick. Our TPR Index projects a point advantage of just 1.34-points in tonight’s game. The Math Model has a point differential of 2.06-points, which favors the Commodores. Add it all up and you have a play on the underdog in the Vanderbilt-Alabama contest on Thursday evening. PROJECTED FORECAST: 2* Vanderbilt Commodores 71 Alabama Crimson Tide 69 -Robbie Gainous

Pick: Duke Blue Devils -22.5
On Thursday the free NCAAB Play is on the Duke Blue Devils. Game 542 at 7:00 eastern. Duke has been a machine against Wake Forest going 22-5 straight up and 20-7 ats against them since 1997. Over the last 12 years here at home they are 12-0 straight up and against the spread. They are also 11-0 straight up and ats in all games at home when the total is 145 to 149.5. Even as a home favorite in this high range they are profitable going 49-0 and 31-16 to the spread. Wake Forest is a dismal 0-25 straight up and 7-17 ats as a road dog of 12.5 or more and 1-7 ats on the road when the total is 145 to 149.5. Look for Duke to coast to an easy win and cover here tonight. On Thursday I have a Triple pack. The NHL Total of the Month, WAC Conference game of the Month + an NBA System Side. Jump on and cash out on Thursday. For the free play take the Duke Blue Devils. -Rob Vinciletti

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Basketball Picks: January 18th 2012
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Pick: Southern Illinois -2.5
Motivated by a blowout loss at Creighton last game, and further fueled by a 5-game losing streak to Drake, expect Southern Illinois to take care of business at home this evening. Drake hasn’t been the same team away from home where it is just 2-6 SU and ATS this season. In fact, the Bulldogs, who are coming off a 17-point win over Illinois State, are 0-7 ATS in road games following a win by 10 points or more over the last 2 seasons. Amazingly, Drake has lost by an average score of 85.4 to 56.6 in this situation. Southern Illinois has quietly won 3 of its last 4 at home with the lone loss during this stretch coming to a Wichita State, which is currently tied with Creighton atop the conference. It is worth noting that SIU covered the spread in each of those 4 home games. They’ve covered the number in 8 of their last 12 overall, and I like them to get come through again this evening. No. 2 Ranked Basketball Handicapper All-time at this Network! Jimmy’s DOMINANT 16-6 (73%) RUN on basketball 5* Top Plays carrying the “Game of the Year” tag ($1,000/unit bettors up over $42,000 w/ this run) continues tonight with his 5* ‘Never Lost’ MWC Game of the Year! He also continues his Incredible 596-493 (55%) NBA run (profiting $1,000/unit bettors over $200,000) with his Humpday NBA *BEST BET* and NBA Upset of the Night! -Jimmy Boyd

Pick: Minnesota Timberwolves -8.5
Minnesota isn’t exactly a team I would normally lay 8.5-points on, but with the Pistons coming to town I can’t pass up, especially with Detroit playing the second of back-to-back road games. Detroit has won just one road game all season, and that came against a bad Charlotte team. In their six losses they Pistons have lost every game by at least 9 points. While Minnesota is just 3-5 at home, two of those wins came against the Mavericks and Spurs. Not only are the Pistons playing the second game of a back-to-back set on the road, but this is their fourth road and fifth game overall in the last week. Detroit comes in off two straight losses, and are a miserable 3-12 ATS in road games after 2 or more consecutive losses over the last 2 seasons. Not to mention the Pistons are just 1-10 ATS in their last 11 games as a road underdog of 5.0-10.5. Minnesota comes in of a 13-point win and cover against the Kings at home. The Timberwolves are 9-4 ATS in their last 13 games overall, 7-2 ATS in their last 9 games following a ATS win, and 5-2 ATS in their last 7 games vs. a team with a winning % below .400. BET MINNESOTA!

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Free Basketball Picks: January 16th 2012
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Pick: Boston Celtics +2.5
The Thunder are certainly playing well. I expect them to have their hands full this evening though. The Celtics should really want this one. They’ve dropped four straight now. Note that they’re still 5-1 SU (4-2 ATS) the last six times that they were off three or more consecutive losses. They’re also still a healthy 15-9 SU/ATS the last 24 times that they were off three or more consecutive losses. The Celtics are a team capable of stepping up their game at any time. I expect that time to be tonight as they rise to the occasion and score the minor upset. Consider Boston. -Ben Burns

Pick: Baylor +7
love this matchup as KU is not nearly as good as they have been in the past and Baylor is looking to finally get over the hump in the Big12. BAY has won at KST which is just as tough as KU in our Power Rankings. KU lack of depth will hurt them tonight as Baylor can really wear on you. BAYLOR might even win this one straight up, but at worst they lose 4-5. 4 star play -Craig Trapp

Pick: Portland State -9
Free Play from Doc’s Sports. #758 Take Portland State over Idaho State (10 pm) It is not often you find a spread this big with two similar teams sporting identical records in Big Sky play, but that is the case tonight when the Bengals head west to play the Vikings. Portland State has played a much more difficult schedule thus far and they are coming off an impressive victory at Northern Colorado in their last outing on Thursday. Idaho State has won just two games since December 4th and only one loss during this stretch has come by less than 8 points. That tells me when they lose; it usually comes in blowout fashion. Portland State clings to a 25-15 advantage in the all-time series with Idaho State. Lay the wood tonight and take the home team. Doc’s Sports is coming off a monster weekend in college basketball highlighted by a perfect performance on Sunday with our Big Ten Game of the Year winner (Minnesota over Penn State). We are up +138 units on the season and now is the time to jump on board with a veteran handicapping with 40 years of experience. -Doc’s Sports

Pick: Texas A&M +15
The Mizzou Tigers are getting a little too much respect here against a Texas A&M squad that has won 8 straight in the series. In fact, the Aggies are 10-1 ATS in the last 11 meetings and 5-0 ATS in the last 5 meetings at Missouri. Also, the Aggies are 7-0 ATS in their last 7 games as an underdog of 13.0 points or more. 4 of Missouri’s last 5 wins have come by 11 points or less. We’ll take Texas A&M. -Jeff Alexander

Pick: Minnesota Timberwolves -7
The Minnesota Timberwolves look to rebound from their last loss at Atlanta that found them leading by 18-points, only to be outscored during one stretch 24-2. Additionally, the Wolves will look for their first win in their last four home games. While the Wolves and Kings both have the same amount of wins on the season (4), a lot more was expected from Minnesota this year than Sacramento. The Kings have not been competitive on the road this year, going 1-6 both SU and ATS away from home. If you toss out their lone road win at Toronto, the Kings have lost by 39 at Dallas, 14 at Houston, 27 at Philly, 27 at Denver, 17 at Memphis and 22 at Portland. Minnesota F Michael Beasley (Foot) is questionable tonight, but I don’t see them really needing him. Lay the 7 1/2 or more points with the Wolves against a very bad road Kings club. -Jim Feist

Pick: Notre Dame +3.5
While Notre Dame is just 1-6 on the road this season, their last game on the road they went into Louisville and beat the Cardinals 67-65 as 12-point underdogs. My money is on the Fighting Irish to pull off another road upset against Rugters. The Scarlet Knights are a respectable 9-3 at home this season, but are just 2-4 ATS in line games. Notre Dame has been a hard to figure out, as they look great one game and then completely fall apart the next. The Irish seem to respond well to a loss, as they have followed up their last three defeats with a win. They lost at home to Connecticut 53-67 on Saturday, despite leading in that game at half. Notre Dame is 7-3 ATS in their last 10 vs. Big East, while Rutgers is just 1-9-2 ATS in their last 12 games as a favorite and 0-6 ATS in their last 6 games as a home favorite. BET THE FIGHTING IRISH +3.5! -Steve Janus

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