Milwaukee Brewers vs. Houston Astros Pick & Odds: May 16th 2012

May 16, 2012 By

Milwaukee Brewers vs. Houston Astros
Pick: Houston Astros -114 odds (May 16th 2012)

Free Play from Doc’s Sports: Wednesday May 16th 2012 Take #962 Houston over Milwaukee (8:05pm est): The Houston Astros are a young team who are struggling of late but if you can get them in the right spot like we have them here tonight, then you will find some value backing them. Houston has won five of it’s last six contests that they have been favored in. The have also won seven of their last ten overall at home and are 6-2 their last eight home games against a left-hand starter. Bud Norris gets the call for the Astros here as he comes in with back to back excellent performances, allowing no earned runs to the Pirates and Cardinals and averaging a strikeout per inning along the way.

The Brewers go with their worst starter in Randy Wolf here. Wolf comes in with an ERA of 5.63 and a WHIP of 1.65 on the season. Not only do the Brewers have issues on the hill tonight, in fact a lot of this match-up isn’t really to their liking. They are much worse hitting against right-handers this season and have only won three of the last 12 times they have faced a right-hand starter, The Brewers are also just 4-11 on the road and 3-9 when facing a team with a winning home record like Houston sports coming into this contest tonight.

Houston has the big edge here at home and with this pitching match-up. Getting the Astros here at this price is very cheap. Take Houston here.

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Baltimore Orioles vs. Kansas City Royals Pick & Odds: May 16th 2012

May 16, 2012 By

Baltimore Orioles vs. Kansas City Royals
Pick: Kansas City Royals -125 odds (May 16th 2012)

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The Orioles won last night over the Yankees and were able to maintain their tie for first place in the American League East with Tampa Bay. Baltimore won just 30 road games all of last season and they are already over a third of the way there this year as they come into this series with an 11-5 record on the highway. The biggest reason has been the bullpen as the offense has been average while the starters have been below average and we will see the latter taking place again tonight.

The Royals have won four straight games and after an extremely bad start to the season, they have turned things around. After opening the year 3-14, Kansas City is 12-6 over its last 18 games and because the quality of the division as a whole is lacking, it is just 4.5 games behind Cleveland in the American League Central. The Royals play at home has been dreadful as they started 0-10 but are coming off a winning homestand in their last one. The big issue has been the starting pitching but that changes tonight.

Felipe Paulino gets the call for the Royals and even though he has made just two starts, he has been fairly solid. He shut out the Yankees for six innings in his season opener and while he allowed four runs in his last outing against the White Sox, two of those came on just one pitch, a bases clearing triple in the sixth inning. After a slow start after he came over to Kansas City last season, he caught fire late and he has allowed three runs or fewer in five of his last six starts.

The Orioles counter with Tommy Hunter who has been extremely inconsistent this season. He has three quality starts to his credit but he has four very bad outings on top of that to push his ERA to 5.14 on the season. All three of his road starts have been non-quality efforts where he has a 9.56 ERA and 1.88 WHIP over 16 innings. The big issue has been the long ball as Hunter has allowed seven home runs in those 16 innings. The Royals are 4-1 in their last five games against right-handed starters. 3* (978) Kansas City Royals

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Tampa Bay Rays vs. Toronto Blue Jays Pick & Odds: May 15th 2012

May 15, 2012 By

Tampa Bay Rays vs. Toronto Blue Jays
MLB Pick: Tampa Bay Rays -118 odds (May 15th 2012)

The Rays are showing value with ace David Price on the hill. The southpaw is 10-2 (11-2 on the money line) with an ERA of 2.13 in 13 career starts versus the Blue Jays. The Rays are 5-0 in his 5 lifetime road starts vs. the Blue Jays. Toronto’s Henderson Alvarez, meanwhile, is 0-2 with an ERA of 7.30 in a pair of starts versus the Rays. The Rays are also 4-0 in Price’s last 4 starts as a favorite and 14-3 in his last 17 starts as a road favorite of -110 to -150. The Blue Jays are 0-6 in their last 6 vs. the American League East and 0-5 in Alvarez’s last 5 starts vs. the AL East. Take Tampa.

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MLB Picks: Kansas City Royals vs. Texas Rangers Pick & Odds: May 14th 2012

May 14, 2012 By

Kansas City Royals vs. Texas Rangers
Pick: Texas Rangers -1.5 +111 odds (May 14th 2012)

The Texas Rangers should have no problem winning this Game 1 against the Kansas City Royals by multiple runs tonight. They have the edge on the mound and at the plate, so look for this one to end in a blowout victory in favor of the Rangers.

Scott Feldman has been a valuable player in Texas, mostly serving as a fill-in starter, but doing a great job when he gets the opportunity. Feldman is 2-1 with a 3.51 ERA and 1.208 WHIP in four career starts against Kansas City.

Bruce Chen has been rocked here lately for the Royals. The left-hander is 1-2 with an 8.43 ERA and 1.562 WHIP over his last three starts. Chen is 1-2 with a 9.82 ERA and 2.237 WHIP in four career starts against Texas.

The Rangers are batting .305 while scoring 6.7 runs/game against left-handed starters in 2012. The Royals are 1-12 in their last 13 road games following 2 or more consecutive wins. Kansas City is 1-7 in Chen’s last 8 starts overall. Bet the Rangers on the Run Line Monday.

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Baseball Picks: Tampa Bay Rays vs. Baltimore Orioles: May 13th 2012

May 13, 2012 By

Baseball Picks: May 13th 2012
Tampa Bay Rays vs. Baltimore Orioles
Pick: Tampa Bay Rays -122
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The Tampa Bay Rays are showing solid value as a small road favorite over the Baltimore Orioles. The Rays have a huge edge on the mound behind James Shield this afternoon, and he’ll get the job done in this one.

Shields is coming off a great season, and he has picked up right where he left off in 2011. The right-hander is 5-1 with a 3.23 ERA and 1.225 WHIP through seven starts in 2012. Jake Arrieta is off to a decent start for Baltimore, going 2-3 with a 4.23 ERA. However, he’s no Shields.

Tampa Bay is 9-1 against the money line after having lost 6 or 7 of their last 8 games over the last 2 seasons. The Rays are 8-1 in Shields’ last 9 starts as a favorite. Tampa is 36-15 in their last 51 games as a favorite. The Orioles are 1-5 in Arrieta’s last 6 home starts. Bet the Rays Sunday.

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