Toronto Raptors vs. Sacramento Kings
Free Pick: Sacramento Kings +1.5 (March 10th 2010 – Jimmy Boyd)
The Raptors have struggled on the road all season, winning just 10 of 30 games, and I expect those struggles to continue tonight. It will be extremely difficult for Toronto to get up for this one after getting its heart ripped out by Kobe Bryant and the Lakers last night. When the Raptors have been tired, they have been pure fade material. In fact, Toronto is 3-11 ATS when playing on back-to-back days this season, losing in these spots by an average score of 100.4 to 109.6. Toronto is also just 4-14 ATS when playing its 3rd game in 4 days this season, losing in these spots by an average score of 104.3 to 110.9. The home team is 7-1 ATS in the last 8 meetings and the Kings enter having covered the spread in 6 of their last 7. We’ll side with Sacramento.
Rice vs. Tulsa
Free Pick: Tulsa -14 (March 10th 2010 – Tom Freese)
Rice is 8-22 overall and 1-15 in League Play. Guard Tamir Jackson scores 10.7 points a game. Forward Arsalan Kazemi scores 10.4 points and 9 rebounds a game. Guard Connor Frizzelle scores 9.2 points a game. Center Trey Stanton scores 9 points a game. The Owls score 64 points a game. Rice is 2-5 ATS their last 7 Wednesday games and they are 1-5 ATS their last 6 mettings with the Hurricanes. Tulsa is 21-10 overall and 10-6 in League Play. Guard Ben Uzuh scores 15.4 points a game. Center Jerome Jordan scores 15.1 points and 8.7 rebounds a game. Guard Justin Hurtt scores 13.9 points a game while shooting 38.5% from behind the arc. The Golden Hurricanes score 71.4 points a game. Tulsa is 13-5 ATS their last 18 games vs. a team with win percentage of under 40%! PLAY ON TULSA -
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Toronto Raptors vs. Los Angeles Lakers
Free NBA Pick: Los Angeles Lakers -10.5 (March 9th 2010 – Jimmy Boyd)
Off 3 straight defeats, look for the Lakers to send a message to the struggling Raptors tonight. Toronto has dropped 5 of its last 6, with 4 of those losses coming by at least 13 points. Plus, the Lakers should be further motivated by a l-point loss at Toronto in January. The last time the Raptors visited the Lakers they fell by 13 points, and this one should end up at least as bad. The Raptors are 0-7 ATS in their last 7 games overall and 0-4 ATS in their last 4 games as a road underdog of 11.0 or greater (line moved to -11 at some books). Lastly, the Lakers are 14-4 ATS in home games after failing to cover 8 or more of their last 10 against the spread under coach Jackson, winning in these spots by an average of 15.3 points. We’ll take the Lakers.
Miami Heat vs. Charlotte Bobcats
Free NBA Pick: Charlotte Bobcats -3.5 (March 9th 2010 – Doc’s Sports
The Bobcats, normally one of the best teams ATS the last couple years, have seen a drop in their production at the betting window due to recent struggles and we just think the bookies have made too big of a move here in adjusting this line. Even though the Bobcats are 4-9 ATS in their last 13 they seem to be getting it together and two of those wins came in their last two and both on this court. We just don’t have any faith in Miami on the road. They have played pretty well on the road lately but their wins have come against weak opponents for the most part, with only one win coming against a playoff-caliber squad. Charlotte is a completely different team at home than on the road and if they played even nearly as well on the road as they do at home they would be one of the top seeds from the East instead of fighting for a playoff spot in general. The Bobcats have won two straight in this series, one home and one away, and have covered in five of the last six.
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Boston Celtics vs. Milwaukee Bucks
Free NBA Pick: Milwaukee -1 (March 9th 2010 – Joseph D’Amico)
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The Buck’s are the hottest team in the NBA, winning 9 of their L10 SU and covering 10 straight. They dismantled the Cav’s 92-85 on Saturday. All 5 starters are averaging DD”s each game, including Forward John Salmons who is posting 19.2 PPG. When hosting, Milwaukee is 19-10 ATS TY and are outscoring visiting foes by an average of 4.1 PPG. Boston is playing well, but are just 7-16-1 ATS their L24 games overall. They are just not covering the number. The Celtic’s can’t seem to get over on the Buck’s, as they are 0-4 ATS their L4 against them and 1-4 ATS their L5 in Miwasukee. The Celtic’s are also 5-15-1 ATS their L21 games played on 1 days rest, 1-4 ATS their L5 vs. the NBA Central, and 3-8-1 ATS their L12 vs. teams with a winning record. The Buck’s 4-0 ATS their L4 at home, 13-3 ATS their L16 vs. the NBA Atlantic, and 23-8 ATS their L31 as a favorite. Milwaukee wins and covers at home. Thank you.
Golden State Warriors vs. New Orleans Hornets
Free Pick: Golden State +6.5 (March 8th 2010 – Tony George)
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While I do not like backing NBA teams on a 5th game road trip, I cannot ignore the fact for the Hornets they have dropped 6 out 7 games SU, and on offense are struggling to find the right mix with Chris Paul still out. This is a big number to lay for a mediocre team. The Warriors have played well and competed with a short roster, but they are used to playing with little bench support. This is more of a play against a struggling Hornets team, than a play for Golden State. There is double revenge here for the Warriors at play. This is a big number in the NBA in what should be a high scoring game as the Warriors hate playing any defense, but I think they can score here and have a better backcourt in this Match-up. I will grab the points against a struggling team.
Atlanta Hawks vs. New York Knicks
Free NBA Pick: Over 208 (March 8th 2010 – Jack Jones)
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New York is 8-1 OVER in home games versus up-tempo teams averaging 83 or more shots/game this season, with an average combined score of 217.4 points/game. Atlanta is 8-1 OVER vs. poor rebounding teams – outrebounded by opponents by 3+ per game this season, with an average combined score of 217.5 points/game. New York is 17-6 OVER after allowing 110 points or more this season, with an average combined score of 216.3 points/game. Atlanta has scored 103 or more points in 5 of their last 6, while allowing 100 or more in 4 of their last 6. New York has allowed 102 or more points in 13 of their last 14 games overall.
This play also falls into a system that is 53-25 (68%) to the OVER during the last 5 seasons. It tells us to bet the OVER on home teams where the total is greater than or equal to 205 (NEW YORK) – terrible defensive team – allowing 103+ points/game on the season against opponent after a loss by 6 points or less. Go with the OVER.
San Antonio Spurs vs. Cleveland Cavaliers
Free NBA Pick: Under (March 8th 2010 – Big Al McMordie)
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At 7:05 pm, our complimentary selection is on the ‘under’ in the Spurs/Cavaliers game. On Friday night, this looked like a heckuva match-up on paper. The Spurs have just started to play their best basketball of the season, while the Cavaliers have been the league’s best team. But then, on Saturday, San Antonio’s 2nd leading scorer, point guard Tony Parker, broke a bone in his hand, and will miss the rest of the regular season. And coach Mike Brown decided to rest LeBron James against Milwaukee (in part because of a gimpy ankle), and the Cleveland Plain Dealer reports that James may sit out tonight’s game vs. the Spurs as well. With all this star power (and fire power) on the sidelines tonight, the rotations will be a bit messed up, and I look for the offensive efficiency of each team to suffer a bit. After all, both teams run their offenses thru Parker and James. Let’s play on the Cavs and Spurs to sail ‘under’ the total tonight.
Houston Rockets vs. Minnesota Timberwolves
Free NBA Pick: Minnesota +4 (March 6th 2010 – Rob Vinciletti)
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On Saturday the free 90% NBA System play is on the Minnesota Timberwolves. Game 508 at 8:05 eastern. The Wolves fit a solid home dog system in this game. What we want to do is play on certain home dogs with 1 or more day of rest that scored 100 or more on the road in their last game as a dog of 5 or more. If the opponent tonight scored 90 or less as a home favorite in their last game. The home team covers exactly 90% of the time in this system since 1995. Houston is coming off a tough 84-81 loss at home to the Kings. Tonight they travel to Minnesota to take on the Wolves who played Dallas tooth and nail the other night before falling 112-109. Minnesota is 8-2 ats this year as a home dog of 4.5 or less. Look for a solid effort here from the Wolves. On Saturday night I have a 6 unit NCAAB Blowout last home game system play, a 5 unit NCAAB TV Power angle play plus a Big 20-5 NBA outright dog winner system and a Conference tournament knockout triple angle play. We cashed the Big one last night with St. Johns and have CASHED BIG the last two Saturdays. Most games are evening or late afternoon. This is a deep card with solid guaranteed plays. Jump on and cash big with these cutting edge system plays. For the free play take Minnesota plus the points. RV
San Antonio Spurs vs. Memphis Grizzlies
Free NBA Pick: Memphis +1.5 (March 6th 2010 – Big Al McMordie)
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At 8:05 pm, our complimentary selection is on the Memphis Grizzlies plus the points over San Antone. Last night, the Spurs defeated the New Orleans Hornets at home in the Alamo City, and Gregg Popovich’s crew has definitely had the Hornets’ number this season, winning all three games. But this match-up tonight in Memphis spells T-R-O-U-B-L-E for the Spurs, as San Antonio is a terrible 34% ATS as an UNRESTED favorite (or PK) off back-to-back wins. The Spurs come into this contest on a three-game win streak, so they fall squarely within their negative 34% ATS team situation. Memphis is 6-2 ATS its last eight, including impressive upset road wins over the Hornets and Bulls its last two games. With Memphis a solid 21-10 ATS off a win this season, we’ll take the home dog Grizzlies on Saturday. Good luck, as always…Big Al McMordie.
