Duke vs. Georgetown
Free Pick: Georgetown +1.5 (January 30th 2010 – Matt Fargo)
Georgetown will have had five days to lick its wounds following a beatdown it took in Syracuse on Monday night. The Hoyas lost by 17 points but even that does not tell the full story as they jumped out to a 14-0 lead and it looked as though an upset was in the making. However, Georgetown could do nothing right after that as it was outscored by 31 points the rest of the way as the Orange 2-3 zone made things really frustrating for the Hoyas. It does not get any easier here as they welcome Duke who is coming off a home win against Florida St. on Wednesday. Duke defeated Georgetown last season by nine points at home so this sets up a revenge situation for the Hoyas on top of trying to regroup from the ugly loss on Monday. Duke was able to right the ship on Saturday as it did not have much of a problem with Clemson on the road. The Blue Devils were able to sweep the Tigers by winning the two games by 21 and 13 points and that victory helped make up for the lackluster effort at NC State prior to that. It also may have given the Blue Devils some confidence on the road as they went into Clemson with a 1-3 record in true road games but still under .500 away from, this is a team that in my opinion still cannot be trusted when not playing in Cameron Indoor Stadium. Georgetown was clearly outmatched by Syracuse in height as the Orange were able to collapse the zone and prevent anything taking place down low. Duke presents the same disadvantages but the Blue Devils are not as athletic and playing at home is a big bonus. The Hoyas are 9-1 at home, losing only to Old Dominion which was just one of those games that they could not get anything going consistently. All three Big East losses have been on the road, and the biggest margin of defeat had been five points against Villanova before the 17-point rout by the Orange. The games played this week also give Georgetown an edge. Both teams were involved in physical matchups against their opponents and the edge has to go to the Hoyas. Duke played Wednesday with the game not ending until after 11 ET so the quick turnaround could be a big disadvantage while the Hoyas have had two extra days. Based on that Hoyas loss, we get some excellent value on them and they will be more focused to try and get back on track. 3* Georgetown Hoyas
Butler vs. Wisconsin Green Bay
Free Pick: Wisconsin Green Bay +9 (January 29th 2010 – Rocky Atkinson)
Wisconsin Green Bay is 16-3 ATS last 3 years revenging a road loss against an opponent. Wisconsin Green Bay is 6-0 ATS at home the past 3 years when the total is 130 to 134 1/2. All of Butler’s 4 losses have come on the road this year as they are 8-4 away from home this season. Wisconsin Green Bay is 31-7 SU at home the past 3 years and 7-2 SU at home this year. Bulldogs are 5-11 ATS in their last 16 games vs. a team with a winning % above .600. Bulldogs are 0-5 ATS in their last 5 games following a SU win of more than 20 points. Bulldogs are 0-6 ATS in their last 6 games as a favorite of 7.0-12.5. Phoenix are 5-1 ATS in their last 6 games as a home underdog. Phoenix are 10-4 ATS in their last 14 games following a ATS win. Phoenix are 15-7-2 ATS in their last 24 home games. Home team is 4-0 ATS in the last 4 meetings. We’ll recommend a small play on Wisconsin Green Bay tonight! Thanks and good luck, Rocky
Wisconsin vs. Purdue
Free Pick: Purdue -9.5 (January 28th 2010 – Jimmy Boyd)
Purdue will be out for revenge tonight after losing at Wisconsin earlier this month. One big difference tonight is that Wiscy will be without Jon Leuer, who is a double double threat every night. He was a monster on the boards in the season’s first meeting, coming down with 10 rebounds, and the Badgers will greatly miss his inside presence in this one. Purdue is 9-1 at home on the season where it is winning by 18.9 points per game, and it is one of the few schools in the Big Ten that has had Wisconsin’s number. In fact, Purdue is 8-1 SU & ATS versus Wisconsin at home since 1997 and the Badgers are just 1-7 ATS in the last 8 meetings overall. Wiscy is only 1-9 ATS in road games versus excellent teams shooting 45% or better from the field and holding its opponent to 42% or worse from the field the last 2 seasons. Plus, Purdue is 8-1 ATS in home games when playing against a good team (Win Pct. 60% to 80%) over the last 2 seasons, defeating these teams by an average score of 73.1 to 56.0. Bet the Boilermakers.
Minnesota Timberwolves vs. Cleveland Cavaliers
Free Pick: Cleveland Cavaliers -12.5 (January 27th 2010 – Jack Jones)
I’m laying the big number with the Cavs on Wednesday night against one of the worst road teams in the entire NBA, the Minnesota Timberwolves. Minnesota is just 3-20 on the season as the visiting team and you’d be hard pressed to find a team with worse road numbers. The T-Wolves are scoring 98.6 points per game on the road, but their defense is allowing 112.3 ppg. That’s a 13-point losing margin and they’ve most played their games against teams not called the Cleveland Cavaliers. The Cavs are now 17-3 in Cleveland this season. They score just over 100 ppg on their home court while holding opposing teams to just 92.6 points per game. Also, keep in mind that the average offense that the Cavs have faced so far this season averaged more points per game than Minnesota does and you can really see why laying this many points is not that big of a deal with this match up. The last meeting between these two was back in October in Minnesota where the Cavs won by 17. Before that, in March of last season the Cavs beat the Wolves by 22 in Cleveland. I’ll take them to cover another big spread Wednesday night.
Kentucky vs. South Carolina
Free Pick: South Carolina +7 (January 26th 2010 – John Ryan)
3* graded play on South Carolina as they host number one ranked Kentucky in a big SEC showdown. Based on our research and proprietary sports handicapping simulator this game will be far closer than the 7 point line would otherwise indicate. The bullseye is now on Kentucky and SC is the type of team that has the potential to pull off the upset. The home fans will be a huge factor supporting that upset bid. SC is off BB losses to conference rivals, BUT they are 8-1 ATS next game. Supporting this graded play is a system that has produced a record of 29-9 ATS for 76% winners since 1997. Play on a home team and is a solid offensive team scoring 74-78 PPG facing a good defensive team allowing 63-67 PPG and after a combined score of 125 points or less 2 straight games. SC is averaging 74.8 PPG overall for the season and are an even better 81.4 PPG in home games. Kentucky is allowing 65.6 PPG and confirms the system mentioned above. We also like taking a 1.5 * additional play on the money line. Take SC.
Georgetown vs. Syracuse
Free Pick: Georgetown +6 (January 25th 2010 – Tom Freese)
Syracuse is 19-1 overall and 6-1 in Conference Play. Forward Wesley Johnson scores 17.3 points a night while shooting 44% from beyond the arc and he grabs 9.1 rebounds a night. Guard Andy Rautins scores 10.1 points a game while shooting 41% from three point land. Center Arinze Onuaku scores 10.2 points a night. Guard Brandon Triche scores 10.2 points a game while shooting 41% from beyond the arc. Forward Kris Joseph scores 10 points a night. Forward Rich Jackson score 9.6 points a game. The Orange average 84.1 points a game. George.town is 15-3 overall and 6-2 in league play. The Hoyas are led in scoring by guard Austin Freeman and his 15.6 points a game. Freeman shoots 46% from beyond the arc. Center Greg Monroe scores 15.2 points and 10.4 rebounds a game. Guard Chris Wright scores 13.1 points a game while shooting just under 42% from behind the line. Guard Jason Clark scores 10.6 points a night while shooting just under 43% from three point land. PLAY ON GEORGETOWN