Free College Basketball Pick: Tennessee vs. Alabama: January 19th 2010

handicappers picks - tennessee vs. alabamaTennessee vs. Alabama
Free Pick: Alabama +3 (January 19th 2010 – John Ryan)

3* graded play on Alabama as they take on Tennessee in SEC action set to start at 7:00 EST. Our handicapping model/simulator shows a high probability that Alabama can win this game. Tennessee has won 4 of their past 5 ATS lined games and have ripped off 6 straight wins. One of those was our SHOCKER winner as they defeated Kansas with a depleted squad due to guns and drug related charges. The emotional and physical output over this span has made Tennessee a tired and vulnerable team. In their last game,which was home against Mississippi they barely won and shot just 35%. Tennessee is a very good team and they shoot the ball well and play solid team defense. However, Alabama has done very well against similar teams sporting a 35-18 ATS (+15.2 Units) in home games versus good shooting teams making >=45% of their shots after 15+ games since 1997. Supporting this graded play is a Super Tuesday system that has produced a record of 43-17 against the money line for 71% winners and has made 26.4 units since 2004. Play on home teams with a money line of +135 to -155 that are off a road loss by 10 points or more with the game taking place on Tuesday nights. We believe Tennessee will look very tired throughout the second half and this is where Alabama can gain control and win the game. Take the Tide.

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