Free Pick: College of Charleston vs. Hawaii: December 22nd 2009

hawaii vs. charleston pickCollege of Charleston vs. Hawaii
Free Pick: Hawaii -5 (December 22nd 2009 – Freddy Wills)

This one comes late and is the last of 4 games in the Diamond Head classic. The only team with home field advantage of the East vs. West tournament will be Hawaii. A place they necessarily have not played well ATS at home. HOwever, I like them to cover tonight because they will play a Charleston team that is -14ppg, -15 rpg, and -10.8 FTA on the road this year. Granted the competition in terms of playing teams from higher divisions is there, but overall they have played an opponent with a .425 winning % compared to Hawaii at .674. Hawaii ranked 101 points higher in the RPI and for good reason. What Charleston doesn’t do well Hawaii does well which is rebound. Charleston is giving their opponents 6 more FG attempts this season and it’s because their opponents are grabbing 14.3 offensive rebounds a game. This is just flat out awful. The reason it’s happening particularly on road is nearly half of their FG attempts are three pointers. Therefore we must look at whether or not Hawaii can defend the three and against three top 100 3PT% teams in New Mexico, Northern Colorado, and BYU. Granted Hawaii may have lost those games, but they are facing an inferrior opponent that lacks the ability to rebound. If Hawaii can out rebound which I think they can as they are +5.2 at home and get to the FT line which they will as they are +9.6 at home they will win this game easily. The key will be to stop the perimeter shooting of Charleston and with Charleston having to travel and play in unusual late game at almost 1 AM their local time things could be off just enough for Hawaii to cruise.

Related posts:

  1. Free College Basketball Pick: Hawaii vs. Louisiana Tech: February 13th 2010
  2. 2010 Hawaii Bowl Pick: Tulsa vs. Hawaii: December 24th 2010
  3. Free NBA Basketball Betting Picks: December 22nd 2009
  4. College Basketball Picks for February 3rd 2011: Bet Washington State And Charleston
  5. College Football Bowl Game Weekend Previews: December 24th-27th 2009