Free Pick: Eastern Illinois vs. Murray State: January 11th 2010
Eastern Illinois vs. Murray State
Free Pick: Eastern Illinois +18.5 (January 11th 2010 – John Ryan)
3* graded play on Eastern Illinois and as they face Murray State set to start at 8:00 EST . Our handicapping model shows that this is just too many points for Murray State to cover. Murray State is the clear favorite to win the OVC. They are coming off a solid win defeating Austin Peay 69-53 and were installed as 4 point favorites. EL has won 3 straight and 6 of the past 7. In their last game they destroyed SE Missouri State 88-68 as 10 point favorites. Murray State has used solid defense to generate offensive opportunities. We think that EI has the personnel to match up well against Murray State. Further, we have seen teams that have had 4 consecutive games playing strong defense keeping opponents to under 40% shooting fall flat in the next game. Murray State falls into this assessment noting that they are just 5-15 ATS (-11.5 Units) versus excellent teams shooting >=45% with a defense of <=42% since 1997. EI is on a solid winning streak and has a lot going for it entering this game and the following system under scores this fact. This system has posted a 29-7 80.6% winning record since 1997. Play on road dogs of 10 to 19.5 points off a blowout win by 20 points or more over a conference rival facing an opponent off 2 straight wins against conference rivals. Take Eastern Illinois.
Related posts:
- Free Pick: Portland State vs. Weber State: January 22nd 2010
- Free Pick: Arkansas vs. Mississippi State: January 14th 2010
- Free College Basketball Pick: Montana vs. Eastern Washington: February 14th 2010
- Free College Basketball Pick: Washington State vs. Stanford: February 11th 2010
- NCAA Basketball Pick: Wisconsin Badgers vs. Illinois Fighting Illini: March 7th 2010
