Milwaukee Brewers vs. San Diego Padres Betting Odds & Prediction from Larry Ness: May 16th 2017

| May 16, 2017

Milwaukee Brewers vs. San Diego Padres
MLB Betting Prediction: San Diego -115 odds (May 16th 2017)

Hunter Renfroe had a game-winning two-run HR in the bottom of the 10th inning in San Diego’s 6-5 victory over Milwaukee on Monday night. Renfroe had a career-best four RBI in Monday’s victory but it marked just San Diego’s third win in the past 12 games. The Padres will continue their four-game home series with the Brewers tonight with MLB’s worst record (15-25, .375). As for Milwaukee, the Brewers appeared on their way to their seventh victory in eight games when recently recalled infielder Eric Sogard homered in the top of the10th but Renfroe’s blast ended those hopes. Milwaukee is 21-18, 1 1/2 games behind the first-place Cards in the NL Central.

Tuesday’s pitching matchup features Jimmy Nelson (1-2, 3.99 ERA) for the Brewers and Clayton Richard (2-4, 4.34 ERA) for the Padres. Nelson hasn’t won since April 13 but he did put together a strong outing in his last start, matching his season high of eight strikeouts and allowing just one unearned run on four hits over 6 2/3 innings against the Red Sox last Thursday (he settled a for a no-decision in Bostons’ 4-1 win). Nelson is 1-3 with a 3.80 ERA in four career starts against the Padres.

Richard is winless in each of his last four starts but is also coming off a solid performance. He gave up one run on five hits in seven innings against Texas on Thursday before the bullpen lost the lead and the game in the ninth inning. Richard is 3-3 with a 5.04 ERA in 14 career appearances (eight starts / teams are 4-4) against the Brewers.

The Brewers have played much better than the Padres so far in 2017 but let’s remember that Milwaukee was just 32-49 on the road in 2016. The Padres have been at least competitive here at home (8-9, compared to 7-16 on the road) and last night’s walk-off win should be a momentum booster. Also, be aware that Nelson has struggled quite a bit at Petco Park, losing both of his previous starts there, while posting an 8.00 ERA. Back the Padres to make it two in a row!

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