Portland Trailblazers vs. Sacramento Kings
Free Pick: Under 194.5 (April 3rd 2010 – Jimmy Boyd)
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Right away you have to like the fact that plays Under on home teams where the total is between 190 and 199.5 points, a cold team having lost 6 or 7 of its last 8 games, against a hot team having won 8 or more of its last 10 games, are 48-23 the last 5 seasons. We are seeing just 190.2 points on average in this situation. Portland has made a habit of putting the clamps on defensively against bad teams. As a result, the Blazers are 20-8 UNDER when playing against a bad team (Win Pct. 25% to 40%) in the 2nd half of the season over the last 3 seasons, and we are only seeing a total of 188.4 points in these spots. The Kings are 6-0-1 Under in their last 7, and the Under is 4-1 in the last 5 meetings in this series. The Blazers are coming off a bad loss to the Nuggets, and that plays right into our hands here as well. In fact, the Under is 5-0 in their last 5 games following a SU loss of more than 10 points. Bet the Under tonight.

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