New York Jets vs. Cleveland Browns Week 5 NFL Over-Under Pick from Will Rogers: October 8th 2017

| October 8, 2017

New York Jets vs. Cleveland Browns
Week 5 NFL Over-Under Pick: Under 40 points (October 8th 2017)

The set-up: The Browns were just 1-15 last year and the Jets went 5-11. However, the Jets seemed to be holding a ‘fire sale’ in the off-season and heading into 2017, both were expected to be among the front-runners for nest year’s No. 1 draft pick. The Jets and Browns meet Sunday in NFL Week 5 action at Cleveland’s FirstEnergy Stadium. Not surprisingly, Cleveland checks in as one of four remaining win-less teams (along with the 49ers, Chargers and Giants) but the Jets have shocked most observers by beating the Dolphins and Jaguars after opening 0-2. These two non-division opponents meet for a third straight season with the Jets winning 31-10 at home in 2015 and 31-28 at Cleveland in 2016 (Jets have won four straight in the series).

NY Jets: Josh McCown gets to face the team he played for last season and would love to lead the Jets to a third straight (sounds strange, doesn’t). McCown only has three TDs (also just three INTs) in the team’s first four games, which is no surprise, as he has one TD pass or less in six of his last seven games. What is a surprise is that’s he’s completing 70.1 percent of his passes. The Jets rank just 26th in passing yards (192.2 YPG) but despite no big-name RBs, are averaging 130.8 YPG on the ground (7th-best). With Matt Forte sidelined with turf toe, Bilal Powell rushed for a career-high 163 yards last Sunday, plus ULL rookie Elijah McGuire added 93 yards on the ground. Defensively, New York is allowing 23.0 PPG on 338.5 YPG

Cleveland: The Browns need a victory here to avoid an 0-5 start for the second straight season. Head coach Hue Jackson is 1-19, with the Browns winning just one of their last 23 games and are 2-29 over their last 31, the worst stretch in NFL history. DeShone Kizer looks over-matched at the QB position, completing just 51.4 percent of his passes for 764 yards with three TDs, eight INTs and 11 sacks (50.9 QB rating). The ground game is a joke, averaging 76.5 YPG (27th). Overall, the offense is averaging 296.0 YPG (26th) and 15.8 PPG (28th). The defense is middle-of-the-pack in yards allowed (328.0 per to rank 16th) but is 29th in scoring D, allowing 26.8 PPG.

The pick: It’s easy to say under and I will.

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