Wisconsin vs. Illinois
Free Pick: Wisconsin -3.5 (March 7th 2010 – John Ryan)
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3* graded play on Wisconsin as they travel to face Illinois set to start at 2:00 EST and this game will be seen on ESPN. Our proprietary sports handicapping model and simulator shows a high probability that Wisconsin will win this game by more than 3 points. Wisconsin is playing very well and are coming of BB blowout wins defeating Indiana by 32 points and Iowa by 27 points. Wisconsin is 11-0 ATS (+11.0 Units) after 2 straight blowout wins by 20 points or more since 1997. Illinois has shot under 40% in 3 of their past 5 games and the stats clearly show that they are a very tired team. Wisconsin is projected to shoot between 40 and 46% and Illinois is just 3-6 ATS this season and 9-27 ATS the past 3 seasons allowing opponents to shoot within this range. Supporting this graded play is a system that has produced a record of 36-11 ATS for 77% winners since 1997. Play against home teams in March where the line is +3 to -3 that are good passing teams averaging >=16 assists/game on the season. Take Wisconsin.
Houston Rockets vs. Minnesota Timberwolves
Free NBA Pick: Minnesota +4 (March 6th 2010 – Rob Vinciletti)
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On Saturday the free 90% NBA System play is on the Minnesota Timberwolves. Game 508 at 8:05 eastern. The Wolves fit a solid home dog system in this game. What we want to do is play on certain home dogs with 1 or more day of rest that scored 100 or more on the road in their last game as a dog of 5 or more. If the opponent tonight scored 90 or less as a home favorite in their last game. The home team covers exactly 90% of the time in this system since 1995. Houston is coming off a tough 84-81 loss at home to the Kings. Tonight they travel to Minnesota to take on the Wolves who played Dallas tooth and nail the other night before falling 112-109. Minnesota is 8-2 ats this year as a home dog of 4.5 or less. Look for a solid effort here from the Wolves. On Saturday night I have a 6 unit NCAAB Blowout last home game system play, a 5 unit NCAAB TV Power angle play plus a Big 20-5 NBA outright dog winner system and a Conference tournament knockout triple angle play. We cashed the Big one last night with St. Johns and have CASHED BIG the last two Saturdays. Most games are evening or late afternoon. This is a deep card with solid guaranteed plays. Jump on and cash big with these cutting edge system plays. For the free play take Minnesota plus the points. RV
Texas vs. Baylor
Free Pick: Texas +3 (March 6th 2010 – Jimmy Boyd)
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It’s been a fall from grace for the Horns, going from the No. 1 ranked team in the country to unranked. But now all the pressure is gone, and I expect the immensely talented Longhorns to pay Baylor back for an earlier season loss here. Texas has won 11 straight over the Bears on the road and it will not be lacking any motivation today. Plus, plays against home teams where the line is +3 to -3, very good team outscoring their opponents by 8 or more points per game, in March games, are 24-6 ATS since 1997. On top of that, Baylor is only 1-11 ATS in home games versus excellent teams who shoot 45% or better from the field and allow 42% or worse shooting over the last 3 seasons. You also have to like the fact that Baylor is 0-7 ATS as a home favorite of 3 points or less or pick over the last 3 seasons, losing in these games by an average score of 71 to 77. Take Texas.
San Antonio Spurs vs. Memphis Grizzlies
Free NBA Pick: Memphis +1.5 (March 6th 2010 – Big Al McMordie)
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At 8:05 pm, our complimentary selection is on the Memphis Grizzlies plus the points over San Antone. Last night, the Spurs defeated the New Orleans Hornets at home in the Alamo City, and Gregg Popovich’s crew has definitely had the Hornets’ number this season, winning all three games. But this match-up tonight in Memphis spells T-R-O-U-B-L-E for the Spurs, as San Antonio is a terrible 34% ATS as an UNRESTED favorite (or PK) off back-to-back wins. The Spurs come into this contest on a three-game win streak, so they fall squarely within their negative 34% ATS team situation. Memphis is 6-2 ATS its last eight, including impressive upset road wins over the Hornets and Bulls its last two games. With Memphis a solid 21-10 ATS off a win this season, we’ll take the home dog Grizzlies on Saturday. Good luck, as always…Big Al McMordie.
Iowa State vs. Kansas State
Free Pick: Kansas State -16 (March 6th 2010 – Tom Stryker)
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With a 2-11 SU and 5-8 ATS record in its last 13 games, Iowa State is obviously playing some of its worst basketball of the season. Things won’t get any easier for the Cyclones when they visit Bramlage Coliseum on Saturday night. Kansas State returns to Manhattan off its 82-65 beating at rival Kansas and the Wildcats will be looking to administer a little of their own pain here.
If you need a couple of technical reasons to lay the lumber with KSU on Saturday, please consider the following: K State is a spotless 8-0 SU and 5-2-1 ATS in its last eight meetings against ISU. Equally impressive, the Cats are a stellar 36-21-1 ATS at home since 2005 including 26-11 ATS in this role favored by -6 points or more.
With a victory tonight, KSU will grab sole possession of the No. 2 spot in the Big 12 standings. Wildcat seniors Luis Colon and Chris Merriewether have won more games than any class in school history. These two seasoned veterans will close out their stellar careers with one more “W”! Take Kansas State. Thank you and best of luck, Tom Stryker.
Free NCAA Pick: Samford +3 (Jack Jones)
It is extremely difficult to beat a team 3 times in the same season, and that’s what The Citadel is facing tonight as they take on Samford in the Southern Conference Tournament Friday. The Citadel won by 1 and 4 points, respectively, in their two meetings with Samford this season. Samford is chomping at the bit to get some payback tonight in the third meeting. This play falls into a system that is 58-21 (73%) over the last 5 seasons. It tells us to bet on any team (SAMFORD) – revenging 2 straight losses where team scored < 60 points against opponent off a cover where the team lost straight up as an underdog. Samford brings more energy and passion to the floor tonight. Take Samford.
Free NCAA Pick: Georgia State +6 (Rocky Atkinson)
Georgia State is 9-2 ATS since 1997 in March. Georgia State is 18-5 ATS last 3 years revenging a road loss vs an opponent. Georgia State is 6-0 ATS since 1997 in 1st round tournament games. Georgia State is 7-0 ATS since 1997 in conference tournament games. Hofstra is 1-7 ATS last 3 years when playing with 5 or 6 days rest. Georgia State is allowing only 63.6 points per game overall and 62.6 points per game on the road this year. Panthers are 5-1 ATS in their last 6 games following a ATS loss. Panthers are 5-1 ATS in their last 6 neutral site games as an underdog. Panthers are 8-3 ATS in their last 11 neutral site games. Panthers are 5-2-1 ATS in their last 8 games following a SU loss. Pride are 1-4 ATS in their last 5 Friday games. Pride are 1-5 ATS in their last 6 neutral site games as a favorite. We’ll recommend a small play on Georgia State tonight! Thanks and good luck, Rocky
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Free NBA Pick: Sacramento Kings +8.5 (Jeff Alexander)
Not having Jason Terry and his 17 ppg will hurt the Mavs tonight against a Kings team that is playing well, having won 3 of its last 4 games SU and 4 in a row ATS. Dallas has been an extremely poor choice in the home chalk as it is only 4-21-1 ATS in its last 26 games as a home favorite. The Mavericks are also just 1-8 ATS in their last 9 games vs. a team with a winning % below .400. Meanwhile, the Kings are 11-4-2 ATS in their last 17 road games vs. a team with a home winning % of greater than .600 and 5-1 ATS in their last 6 games as an underdog of 5.0-10.5 points. Look for the Kings to keep this one within the number.
Free NBA Pick: Los Angeles Lakers -3 (Tony George)
Trends seem to reverse with NBA teams and while I like going against a team off an OT loss, I expect the Lakers to rebound tonight. They are 1-6-1 ATS their last 8 games. The mis-match at the forward position here is in favor of the Lakers and I think Bynum gets the better of Ratliff at the post, and Kobe will do his thing. He had 39 last night in a loss at Miami. LA scoring 104 ppg their last 5 games and Charlotte scoring 88 in the same timeframe. Too much offense and no doubt a pissed off bunch from LA that needs a win here on the road.
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Philadelphia Flyers vs. Buffalo Sabres
Free NHL Pick: Over 5.5 (March 5th 2010 – Jimmy the Moose)
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The Philadelphia Flyers have played over the total in their last 3 games. The total combined score in all of their last 3 games was at least 8. The over is 17-8 in the Flyers last 25 games vs. a team from the Northeast Division. Philadelphia failed to get a goalie at the trade deadling so look for Leighton to carry the load between the pipes and he’s yet to prove he’s a legitimate number one goalie. Tonight’s game will be Buffalo’s 3rd game in 4 nights and in the last 5 times they have been in this situation the over is 4-1. The over is 5-2-2 in the Sabres last 9 home games vs. a team with a losing road record. The over is 5-2 in the Flyers last 7 trips to Buffalo. In the last 21 meetings between the clubs the over is 15-5-1. Play the over.
