MLB Picks: Kansas City Royals vs. Texas Rangers Pick & Odds: May 14th 2012

Kansas City Royals vs. Texas Rangers
Pick: Texas Rangers -1.5 +111 odds (May 14th 2012)

The Texas Rangers should have no problem winning this Game 1 against the Kansas City Royals by multiple runs tonight. They have the edge on the mound and at the plate, so look for this one to end in a blowout victory in favor of the Rangers.

Scott Feldman has been a valuable player in Texas, mostly serving as a fill-in starter, but doing a great job when he gets the opportunity. Feldman is 2-1 with a 3.51 ERA and 1.208 WHIP in four career starts against Kansas City.

Bruce Chen has been rocked here lately for the Royals. The left-hander is 1-2 with an 8.43 ERA and 1.562 WHIP over his last three starts. Chen is 1-2 with a 9.82 ERA and 2.237 WHIP in four career starts against Texas.

The Rangers are batting .305 while scoring 6.7 runs/game against left-handed starters in 2012. The Royals are 1-12 in their last 13 road games following 2 or more consecutive wins. Kansas City is 1-7 in Chen’s last 8 starts overall. Bet the Rangers on the Run Line Monday.

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Baseball Picks: Tampa Bay Rays vs. Baltimore Orioles: May 13th 2012

Baseball Picks: May 13th 2012
Tampa Bay Rays vs. Baltimore Orioles
Pick: Tampa Bay Rays -122
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The Tampa Bay Rays are showing solid value as a small road favorite over the Baltimore Orioles. The Rays have a huge edge on the mound behind James Shield this afternoon, and he’ll get the job done in this one.

Shields is coming off a great season, and he has picked up right where he left off in 2011. The right-hander is 5-1 with a 3.23 ERA and 1.225 WHIP through seven starts in 2012. Jake Arrieta is off to a decent start for Baltimore, going 2-3 with a 4.23 ERA. However, he’s no Shields.

Tampa Bay is 9-1 against the money line after having lost 6 or 7 of their last 8 games over the last 2 seasons. The Rays are 8-1 in Shields’ last 9 starts as a favorite. Tampa is 36-15 in their last 51 games as a favorite. The Orioles are 1-5 in Arrieta’s last 6 home starts. Bet the Rays Sunday.

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Baseball Picks: Detroit Tigers vs. Oakland Athletics: May 13th 2012

Baseball Picks: May 13th 2012
Detroit Tigers vs. Oakland Athletics
Pick: Detroit Tigers -1.5 +104 odds
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The Tigers get the call on the run line as our free play for Sunday with ace Justin Verlander getting the ball.

Since the beginning of last season, the Tigers are 20-3 when Verlander get the start as a favorite of -125 to -175, including a perfect 13-0 in road games in this situation. The Tigers have won these 13 games by an average score of 5.0 to 2.2.

Off back-to-back losses, the Tigers will be hungry to earn a split in the finale of this 4-game series. They’ll also be very confident with the reigning AL MVP on the hill. Take the Tigers on the run line.

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Cleveland Indians vs. Boston Red Sox Pick & Odds: May 12th 2012

Cleveland Indians vs. Boston Red Sox
Pick: Boston Red Sox -127 odds (May 12th 2012)

I know Boston has been struggling of late, but as a result they are showing great value at home tonight as a small favorite over the Cleveland Indians. While the Red Sox have lost eight of their last 10, they are coming off a 7-5 victory over the Indians in Game 1 of this series.

The fact of the matter is that you will rarely get the Red Sox as this small of a home favorite against any team in the league. This is a line that would be posted if they were playing teams like the Yankees and Rangers, but not the lowly Indians.

The Red Sox are 7-2 in their last 9 after scoring 5 runs or more in their previous game. The Indians are 4-10 in Josh Tomlin’s last 14 starts as an underdog. Boston is 13-6 in their last 19 home meetings with Cleveland. Bet the Red Sox Saturday.

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Colorado Rockies vs. Los Angeles Dodgers Prediction: May 12th 2012

Colorado Rockies vs. Los Angeles Dodgers
Prediction: Los Angeles Dodgers -124 (May 12th 2012)

The Dodgers get the call as our free play tonight. They are an impressive 13-3 at home this season, 10-1 in their last 11 games as a home favorite of -110 to -150 and 41-13 in their last 54 games as a favorite. The Rockies have lost 6 of their last 7 overall and 52 of their last 74 when valued as an underdog. Also, the Rockies are 1-5 in Nicasio’s last 6 road starts and 0-5 in his last 5 starts as an underdog. Take the Dodgers.

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