Cleveland Browns vs. Cincinnati Bengals
NFL Over-Under Pick: Over 44.5 points -110 odds (October 23rd 2016)
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Sunday NFL free play. My selection is on the ‘over’ between Cleveland and Cincinnati at 1 pm et on Sunday.
I’ll back the ‘over’ in Cincinnati on Sunday afternoon. This matchup was no contest last year as the Bengals took both meetings by scores of 31-10 and 37-3. Both games stayed ‘under’ the total as the Browns simply didn’t do their part. I believe a different story will unfold in their first matchup this year.
Cleveland finally seems to have its quarterback of the future (and the present) in Cody Kessler. Last week, the Browns fell just short in a 28-26 loss at Tennessee but that was a performance they can build on here.
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Of course, the Bengals are mired in a down season, off to a disappointing 2-4 start. Their offense has sputtered lately, but that has been a product of a tough schedule as their last two games have come on the road against Dallas and New England – two of the league’s best teams.
Defensively, neither team impresses me all that much. The Bengals certainly have the better unit, but they could be a little worn down following games against the Cowboys and Pats – games in which they were on the field an awful lot.
This has all the makings of a high-scoring affair between two familiar foes. The ‘under’ has cashed in the last four meetings in this series but that only serves to keep the number in a reasonable range here. Take the over (8*).
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Minnesota Vikings vs. Philadelphia Eagles Week 7 NFL Betting Pick from Rob Vinciletti: October 23rd 2016
Minnesota Vikings vs. Philadelphia Eagles
Week 7 NFL Betting Pick: Vikings -3 (October 23rd 2016)
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The NFL Comp play is on the Minnesota Vikings at 1:00 eastern. Minnesota the leagues lone undefeated team travels to Philly to take on the Eagles today. Teams that are undefeated in game 5 off a bye week have covered over 90% long term if the total is less than 50 and the opponent which is Philly did not lose by more than 10 points. Minnesota has covered 10 straight as a favorite and The Vikings are 23-0 ATS after any game in which Rhett Ellison did not have a reception over 10 yards the last few years. They have covered 11 of 14 vs winning teams. The Eagles after starting 3-0 have dropped 2 straight and are a dismal 1-10 to the spread as a home dog the last few years. Look for Minnesota to win and cover. On Sunday a Powerful card is up an led by a rare NFL 6* from 1 100% system dating to 1980. There is also the NFL Total of the Month, an Early Blowout and Sunday night Football. We are currently ranked #1 in all sports combined on several leader boards. Jump on now and put this high end data on your side. For the NFL Free Pick. Play on the Vikings. RV
John Ryan betting the Utah State Aggies -17 points over the Fresno State Bulldogs on October 22nd 2016
Fresno State Bulldogs vs. Utah State Aggies
Betting Prediction: Utah State -17 points (October 22nd 2016)
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10* graded play on Utah State as they take on Fresno State in NCAAF the action set to start at 10:30 PM ET. SIM algorithm shows a high probability that USU will win this game by at least 21 points. Get more college football picks from our handicappers today at Touthouse.com!
Technical Discussion Points The following game situations match the SIM projections and my compiled research for the outcome of this game. FSU is an imperfect 0-7 ATS (-7.7 Units) in road games when they allow 28 or more points over the last 2 seasons; 1-9 ATS (-8.9 Units) when they allow 500 or more total yards over the last 3 seasons; 0-9 ATS (-9.9 Units) when they are outgained by their opponents by 2 or more yards/play over the last 2 seasons; USU is a near-perfect 15-2 ATS (+12.8 Units) when they are outgain their opponents by 200 or more yards.
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Fundamental Discussion Points This next matchup we head to Utah for a Mountain West matchup between Utah State Aggies and the Fresno State Bulldogs. Utah State sits at 2-4 and Fresno State at 1-6, both teams at the bottom of the Mountain West Conference. Although both of these teams are the bottom of the barrel in the Mountain West Utah St. is the better team. The Fresno State defense has given up 235 total points this year compared to Utah state who has just given up 150. Utah St. should have no problem at all moving the ball against this horrid Fresno State defense. Utah state averages a solid 5 yards per carry and their QB Kent Myers has a 60% completion percentage. Look for Utah state to move the ball well all game and cover the 16.5 point spread at home. Take Utah state at -16.5.
NC State Wolfpack vs. Louisville Cardinals
Point Spread Pick: Louisville -19.5 (October 22nd 2016)
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Saturday CFB free play. My selection is on Louisville minus the points over N.C. State at 12 noon et on Saturday. Louisville is coming off a less than impressive 24-14 victory over Duke last week but I’m not expecting it to stall against the Wolfpack here.
N.C. State fell just short in overtime against Clemson last week – a valiant effort on the road against the undefeated Tigers. We were behind the Tigers in that game and while they never sniffed an ATS cover, I still feel that we deserved a better fate. Clemson marched up and down the field all afternoon but simply couldn’t finish enough drives with touchdowns to ever pull away.
Credit the Wolfpack for hanging tough in that one, but they’ll face a tougher test here as the Cardinals stay home and aim to keep piling up victories.
Note that Louisville will be playing only its second game in the last three weeks so it should be fresh. Meanwhile, N.C. State is coming off back-to-back slugfests over the last two weeks (prior to the Clemson game the Wolfpack defeated Notre Dame by a 10-3 score).
While the Cardinals are known for their offense, I look for their defense to set the tone on Saturday as they ultimately deliver a convincing win over a quality opponent.
Take Louisville (10*).
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