MLB Baseball Playoff Predictions: October 4th 2011
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Prediction: Arizona Diamondbacks +102
On Tuesday the MLB Free Play is on the Arizona Diamondbacks. Game 978 at 9:35 eastern. Arizona quickly finds themselves down 0-2 after dropping a pair In Milwaukee over the weekend. Tonight , however they return home in hopes of staving off elimination as they take on the Brewers with young Josh Collmenter making his first career playoff start. Collmenter has been solid in his 2 starts vs Milwaukee. In those starts he has a total of 14 inning without allowing a single run on just 6 hits and one walk. Tonight he opposes S. Marcum. In his last 3 starts Marcum has a mediocre 6.62 era. Arizona has won 12 of 18 as a home dog from +100 to +125. Look for Arizona to get the win and live another day. Take Arizona. On Tuesday the lead play is the 2011 Highest rated total of the year. The game is backed with a 100% Angle and several pitching angles. MLB playoffs off to a hot start cashing all 3 selections. Jump on and cash this big total. For the free play take Arizona. -Rob Vinciletti
Prediction: Phillies vs. Cardinals Under 7.5
Expect a pitcher’s duel to result in a low-scoring game. Hamels is 7-3 on the road with a 2.85 ERA and Garcia is 9-4 at home with a 2.55 ERA. Hamels is carrying a 3.27 ERA in 9 career starts against the Cards and Garcia has an ERA of 0.96 in 4 career starts against the Phillies. The Under is 4-0 in Garcia’s last 4 starts vs. the Phillies and 4-1 in Hamels’ last 5 starts vs. the Cardinals. We’ll take the Under. (Handicapperspicks.com)
Free MLB Baseball Picks: September 13th 2011
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Pick: New York Mets -145
The Mets have the edge on the mound with Gee, who’s 6-3 with an ERA of 3.31 at home this season. The Mets are 5-1 in Gee’s last 6 home starts vs. a team with a losing record and 11-4 in his last 15 starts overall vs. a team with a losing record. Also, he’s 3-0 lifetime with an ERA of 3.08 in 4 starts against the Nats. Washington’s Wang has been struggling. The Nats are 0-3 in his last 3 starts, during which he posted an ERA of 4.58. Plus, he’s 0-3 with a 5.75 ERA in 4 starts against the NL East. We’ll bet the Mets. -Dave Price
Pick: Arizona Diamondbacks -129
The D-backs are on fire. They’ve won 17 of their last 20, and I expect them to keep rolling with Cy Young candidate Ian Kennedy on the hill. Kennedy is 19-4 (22-8 on the ML) with an ERA of 2.90 this season. He’s 9-0 (12-1 on the ML) with an ERA of 1.87 against division opponents, winning all 3 of his starts against the Dodgers this year. The D-backs have won each of his last 4 and 11 of his last 12 starts. Chad Billingsley is a quality starter, but he’s struggled against division foes to the tune of 4-7 (5-8 on the ML) with an ERA or 4.94. Also, the Dodgers are 0-6 in their last 6 home games vs. a team with a winning record and 1-5 in their last 6 home games in this series. Take Arizona. -Jimmy Boyd
Pick: San Diego Padres +146
San Francisco has folded in September, unlike a year ago, with a weak offense, 30th in runs scored and 29th in on base percentage. They are favored here with Matt Cain, though the team is 3-7 his last 10 starts. He is 0-2 against the Padres this season (5-11 all time) and has been a bit wild his last 2 starts, walking 7 in 15 innings. That offense faces Cory Luebke (3.28 ERA), who has a terrific 131-37 strikeout to walk ratio in only 120 innings. The Padres are 4-1 in Luebke’s last 5 starts with 4 days of rest. And the Giants are 3-7 in their last 10 games vs. a left-handed starter. Play the Padres. -Jim Feist (Handicapperspicks.com)
MLB Picks: August 18th 2011
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Pick: Arizona Diamondbacks +133
The Arizona Diamondbacks are showing some great value at +133 against the Phillies on Thursday. Arizona had won seven straight before falling last night, including a 3-2 win over Roy Halladay on Tuesday. Both teams will send out outstanding starting pitching, as Ian Kennedy takes the rubber for Arizona against Vance Worley. While both starters have been great, Kennedy comes in pitching much better of late. He is 3-0 with a 2.45 ERA and 1.045 WHIP in his last three starts, while Worley is just 1-0 with a 6.35 ERA and 1.471 WHIP in his last three. Kennedy has a 1.06 ERA and 0.471 WHIP in two career starts against the Phillies, while Worley will make his career debut against Arizona. The Diamondbacks are 7-1 in their last 8 vs. National League East, 9-1 in Kennedys last 10 starts as an underdog of +110 to +150, and 6-0 in their last 6 games vs. a right-handed starter. BET THE DIAMONDBACKS! -Steve Janus
Pick: Florida Marlins +125
Florida is weak at home, but has a winning road record. The Marlins are 6-1 in their last 7 road games vs. a team with a losing record. Javier Vazquez goes here and has been on a roll, with a 2.25 ERA his last three starts walking 4 with 18 Ks in 20 innings. The Padres are 18-40 in their last 58 home games vs. a right-handed starter and starter Tim Stauffer has a 7.16 ERA his last three starts. The Padres are also 11-27 in their last 38 during game 1 of a series. Play the Marlins. -Jim Feist (Handicapperspicks.com)
MLB Picks: August 13th 2011
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Pick: Los Angeles Angels -125
LA Angels are 38-18 last 3 years on the road when the money line is -100 to -125. LA Angels are 88-51 last 3 years in day games. LA Angels are 5-1 this year when playing on artificial turf. Toronto has lost 3 of their last 4 games. LA Angels bullpen has a 3.36 ERA overall this year. Jered Weaver is 14-5 with a 1.78 ERA overall this year, 8-4 with a 1.99 ERA on the road this season and 1-1 with a 1.59 ERA his last 3 starts. Weaver is 7-1 with a 2.68 ERA overall vs Toronto since 1997. We’ll recommend a small play on LA Angels today! Thanks and good luck, Rocky Atkinson
Pick: Boston Red Sox -138
I will take Boston anytime they are listed at -138 with Josh Beckett starting. Beckett is 9-4 with a 2.17 ERA on the season and has really pitched well on the road with a 2.38 ERA and 0.846 WHIP. The Red Sox are 24-8 in their last 32 vs. a team with a losing record,35-16 in their last 51 road games, and 5-1 in Becketts last 6 starts vs. American League West. -Steve Janus
Pick: Arizona Diamondbacks -168
The New York Mets are sending pitcher Mike Pelfrey to the hill on Saturday when they try to even the series up against the D’backs in Arizona. Pelfrey has five career starts against the Diamondbacks, and he has really struggled against Arizona in his career with a losing record of 1-5 and a high ERA of 5.82 and WHIP score over 1.60. The Arizona Diamondbacks are playing well at home this season as the D’backs have a winning record of 33-27 at their home park. TAKE ARIZONA MINUS -Bob Wingerter (Handicapperspicks.com)
MLB Picks: August 12th 2011
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Pick: Boston Red Sox -154
Play on Boston at 10:10 ET. This is the best team in the American League against one of its worst and the price is not that bad. Seattle has lost 19 of 23 against teams with a winning record. They face John Lackey, who seems to have turned things around of late with a 5-0 record his last six starts. Lackey has traditionally pitched very well here at Safeco Field (used to pitch here all the time when a member of the Angels) w/ a 1.45 ERA and no losses in his last six visits. The Mariners are 0-12 vs. AL teams with an OBP of .345 or better this season. 10* on Boston (w/ Lackey). -Tom Freese
Pick: Arizona Diamondbacks -150
Even since Ian Kennedy became a quality starter, the Snakes have been more consistent overall when hitting the bump. Since former Philadelphia infielder Rick Schu became the hitting coach (replacing Kevin Seitzer) the lineup has improved from the batting average standpoint. Currently, Arizona has won back-to-back games and now set up at home against the traveling Mets who have problems historically out west. Arizona has won 5 of the 6 in the series at home. With the Mets losing their last two games in the San Diego series and now traveling overnight to Arizona, I’ll take a ticket with Ian Kennedy (14-3, 3.20) and company. -Brad Diamond (Handicapperspicks.com)
MLB Picks: July 21st 2011
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Pick: Tampa Bay Rays +130
The Tampa Bay Rays are showing excellent value Thursday as a home underdog to the New York Yankees. Ace James Shields takes the ball for Tampa, looking to build on what has been a tremendous season to this point for the right-hander. Shields is 8-8 with a 2.60 ERA and 1.002 WHIP with 145 strikeouts in 148 2/3 innings. He faced off against C.C. Sabathia on July 10th less than two weeks ago, not allowing a single earned run in 8 innings while giving up only 5 base runners to the Yankees. While Sabathia has been solid as well, Tampa is 30-13 (+18.4 Units) against the money line vs. an AL starting pitcher whose ERA is 3.20 or better over the last 2 seasons. The Rays are 5-1 in their last 6 games vs. a starter with a WHIP less than 1.15. Tampa is 4-1 in Shields’ last 5 starts as a home underdog, while the Yankees are 1-4 in Sabathia’s last 5 road starts vs. Rays. Take the Rays on the Money Line. -Black Widow
Pick: Arizona Diamondbacks -110
Play on Arizona at 9:40 ET. Milwaukee has won 2 straight at Arizona (and 8 of 9), but they remain a bad road team at 20-32 (compared to 33-14 at home). Starter Zack Greinke has really struggled on the road this season (6.19 ERA) and the last two seasons (6-17 TSR). For his career, Grienke has a terrible 15-45 TSR as a road underdog. The team is 2-13 on the road this season after allowing 2 runs or less their previous game. Arizona’s Ian Kennedy is in fine form this year with a 113-37 KW ratio. 10* on Arizona. -Tom Freese
Pick: Yankees vs. Rays Under 7
These clubs have played to the Under in 5 of their last 7 meetings, and I expect this trend to continue with Sabathia and Shields taking the mound. These two were dominant when they faced off on July 10. Both threw 4 hitters in a 1-0 Yankees’ win. Sabathia enters in ridiculously good form, allowing 1 or fewer runs in each of his last 5 starts. Shields has allowed 2 earned runs of less in 5 of his last 7 starts. Tampa Bay’s recent drought at the plate also weighs in our favor here. The Rays have scored just seven runs over their last 42 innings. The Under is 5-1 in the Yankees’ last 6 overall and 15-3 in Shields’ last 18 home starts. Take the Under. -Jimmy Boyd (Handicapperspicks.com)