MLB Picks for August 13th 2011: Bet The Angels, Red Sox And Diamondbacks

August 13, 2011 By

MLB Picks: August 13th 2011
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Pick: Los Angeles Angels -125
LA Angels are 38-18 last 3 years on the road when the money line is -100 to -125. LA Angels are 88-51 last 3 years in day games. LA Angels are 5-1 this year when playing on artificial turf. Toronto has lost 3 of their last 4 games. LA Angels bullpen has a 3.36 ERA overall this year. Jered Weaver is 14-5 with a 1.78 ERA overall this year, 8-4 with a 1.99 ERA on the road this season and 1-1 with a 1.59 ERA his last 3 starts. Weaver is 7-1 with a 2.68 ERA overall vs Toronto since 1997. We’ll recommend a small play on LA Angels today! Thanks and good luck, Rocky Atkinson

Pick: Boston Red Sox -138
I will take Boston anytime they are listed at -138 with Josh Beckett starting. Beckett is 9-4 with a 2.17 ERA on the season and has really pitched well on the road with a 2.38 ERA and 0.846 WHIP. The Red Sox are 24-8 in their last 32 vs. a team with a losing record,35-16 in their last 51 road games, and 5-1 in Becketts last 6 starts vs. American League West. -Steve Janus

Pick: Arizona Diamondbacks -168
The New York Mets are sending pitcher Mike Pelfrey to the hill on Saturday when they try to even the series up against the D’backs in Arizona. Pelfrey has five career starts against the Diamondbacks, and he has really struggled against Arizona in his career with a losing record of 1-5 and a high ERA of 5.82 and WHIP score over 1.60. The Arizona Diamondbacks are playing well at home this season as the D’backs have a winning record of 33-27 at their home park. TAKE ARIZONA MINUS -Bob Wingerter (Handicapperspicks.com)

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MLB Picks for August 12th 2011: Bet On The Red Sox And Diamondbacks

August 12, 2011 By

MLB Picks: August 12th 2011
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Pick: Boston Red Sox -154
Play on Boston at 10:10 ET. This is the best team in the American League against one of its worst and the price is not that bad. Seattle has lost 19 of 23 against teams with a winning record. They face John Lackey, who seems to have turned things around of late with a 5-0 record his last six starts. Lackey has traditionally pitched very well here at Safeco Field (used to pitch here all the time when a member of the Angels) w/ a 1.45 ERA and no losses in his last six visits. The Mariners are 0-12 vs. AL teams with an OBP of .345 or better this season. 10* on Boston (w/ Lackey). -Tom Freese

Pick: Arizona Diamondbacks -150
Even since Ian Kennedy became a quality starter, the Snakes have been more consistent overall when hitting the bump. Since former Philadelphia infielder Rick Schu became the hitting coach (replacing Kevin Seitzer) the lineup has improved from the batting average standpoint. Currently, Arizona has won back-to-back games and now set up at home against the traveling Mets who have problems historically out west. Arizona has won 5 of the 6 in the series at home. With the Mets losing their last two games in the San Diego series and now traveling overnight to Arizona, I’ll take a ticket with Ian Kennedy (14-3, 3.20) and company. -Brad Diamond (Handicapperspicks.com)

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MLB Picks for July 21st 2011: Bet The Rays As An Underdog Against The Yanks

July 21, 2011 By

MLB Picks: July 21st 2011
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Pick: Tampa Bay Rays +130
The Tampa Bay Rays are showing excellent value Thursday as a home underdog to the New York Yankees. Ace James Shields takes the ball for Tampa, looking to build on what has been a tremendous season to this point for the right-hander. Shields is 8-8 with a 2.60 ERA and 1.002 WHIP with 145 strikeouts in 148 2/3 innings. He faced off against C.C. Sabathia on July 10th less than two weeks ago, not allowing a single earned run in 8 innings while giving up only 5 base runners to the Yankees. While Sabathia has been solid as well, Tampa is 30-13 (+18.4 Units) against the money line vs. an AL starting pitcher whose ERA is 3.20 or better over the last 2 seasons. The Rays are 5-1 in their last 6 games vs. a starter with a WHIP less than 1.15. Tampa is 4-1 in Shields’ last 5 starts as a home underdog, while the Yankees are 1-4 in Sabathia’s last 5 road starts vs. Rays. Take the Rays on the Money Line. -Black Widow

Pick: Arizona Diamondbacks -110
Play on Arizona at 9:40 ET. Milwaukee has won 2 straight at Arizona (and 8 of 9), but they remain a bad road team at 20-32 (compared to 33-14 at home). Starter Zack Greinke has really struggled on the road this season (6.19 ERA) and the last two seasons (6-17 TSR). For his career, Grienke has a terrible 15-45 TSR as a road underdog. The team is 2-13 on the road this season after allowing 2 runs or less their previous game. Arizona’s Ian Kennedy is in fine form this year with a 113-37 KW ratio. 10* on Arizona. -Tom Freese

Pick: Yankees vs. Rays Under 7
These clubs have played to the Under in 5 of their last 7 meetings, and I expect this trend to continue with Sabathia and Shields taking the mound. These two were dominant when they faced off on July 10. Both threw 4 hitters in a 1-0 Yankees’ win. Sabathia enters in ridiculously good form, allowing 1 or fewer runs in each of his last 5 starts. Shields has allowed 2 earned runs of less in 5 of his last 7 starts. Tampa Bay’s recent drought at the plate also weighs in our favor here. The Rays have scored just seven runs over their last 42 innings. The Under is 5-1 in the Yankees’ last 6 overall and 15-3 in Shields’ last 18 home starts. Take the Under. -Jimmy Boyd (Handicapperspicks.com)

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MLB Picks for July 19th 2011: Bet The Milwaukee Brewers And The Over

July 19, 2011 By

MLB Picks: July 19th 2011
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MLB Pick: Milwaukee Brewers -119
Few starters have had as much success against the Arizona Diamondbacks as Yovani Gallardo. The Milwaukee Brewers are looking to bounce back from a shutout loss to Arizona last night, and Gallardo is just the man to help them do it. Gallardo is 4-0 with a 1.13 ERA and 0.958 WHIP in four lifetime starts versus Arizona. He held them to 1 run and 5 base runners in 7 innings of a 3-1 victory over the Diamondbacks on 7/6/2011, his lone starts against them this season. Barry Enright is 1-3 with a 6.49 ERA and 1.673 WHIP in six starts this season for Arizona. He is no match for Gallardo in this one, and should be a much bigger underdog tonight. Arizona is 1-9 (-9.3 Units) against the money line with a well rested bullpen – threw 4 innings or less over last 3 games over the last 2 seasons, losing in this spot by 4.2 runs/game. The Brewers are 4-0 in their last 4 games as a favorite. Milwaukee is 7-1 in Gallardo’s last 8 starts vs. a team with a winning record. The Brewers are 13-5 in Gallardo’s last 18 starts as a favorite. The Diamondbacks are 1-9 in Enright’s last 10 starts as an underdog. Take the Brewers on the Money Line. -Black Widow

MLB Pick: Diamondbacks vs. Brewers Over 9
This is about as easy as it gets when it comes to totals. The offenses already have the advantage playing at Chase Field, but both starting pitchers figure to make sure there are plenty of runs scored tonight. Milwaukee will start Yovani Gallardo, who may be 10-6 on the year, but he is just 3-5 with a 5.02 ERA and 1.570 WHIP on the road. Arizona will counter with Barry Enright, who has a 6.26 ERA and 1.522 WHIP at home. -Steve Janus

MLB Pick: Texas Rangers -130
Play on Texas at 10:05 ET. The Rangers have won 11 in a row and come into tonight’s game leading the Angels by four games in the AL West. They are allowing less than two runs per game their last seven games and overall have allowed just 24 runs during the 11-game win streak. The offense, meanwhile, is averaging 6.5 rpg. The pitching matchup of Ogando vs. Chatwood definitely favors the visitors. The Angels are just 3-7 at home when Chatwood starts while Texas is as a favorite of -125 to -175 when Ogando starts. 10* on Texas. -Tom Freese (Handicapperspicks.com)

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MLB Baseball Betting Predictions for July 1st 2011

July 1, 2011 By

MLB Baseball Predictions: July 1st 2011
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Pick: Los Angeles Dodgers +104
The Los Angeles Dodgers have the better starter on the mound tonight, and we’ll side with them in this crosstown rivalry because of it. Hiroki Kuroda has posted a 3.10 ERA in 16 starts, a 2.80 ERA in seven road starts, and a 1.96 ERA in his last three starts. He remains one of the more underrated starters in the business. The Dodgers have been at their best on the road this year. The Dodgers are hitting .280 and scoring 4.8 runs/game on the road this year, while the Angels are hitting .243 and scoring 3.3 runs/game at home. Not only do the Dodgers have the better starter, but they also have the better lineup. The Angels are 5-11 in their last 16 home games vs. a team with a losing record. Take the Dodgers on the Money Line. -Black Widow

Pick: Tampa Bay Rays -135
The Cards are just 1-5 in their last 6 series openers and 1-7 in their last 8 games versus a team with a winning record. They’ll have a tough time bucking these trends with the way Wade Davis has been pitching for Tampa. He’s 3-0 with an ERA of 2.84 over his last 3 starts and 2-0 with an ERA of 1.38 in 2 interleague starts. St. Louis scheduled starter Jake Westbrook, meanwhile, is 0-1 (1-2 on the ML) with an ERA of 6.61 over his last 3 starts. We’ll bet the Rays. -Dave Price

Pick: Arizona Diamondbacks -104
The normal play is on the home team over the weekend, but the Diamondbacks should have the clear edge in Friday nights matchup against the A’s. Arizona starter Josh Collmenter has struggled in his last three starts, but if there is an offense to face to get back on track, its the Athletics. The A’s are averaging just 3.5 runs a game this season and just 3.2 against right-handed starters. Arizona on the other hand is averaging 4.5 runs a game this season, and will only benefit from having an extra bat in the lineup playing in the AL. Oakland will send Rich Harden to the mound to make his first start of the season, and rarely will a pitcher just come out and throw like he has in the past after such a long layoff. -Info Plays (Handicapperspicks.com)

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