MLB Picks: September 22nd 2011
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Pick: Los Angeles Angels -120
On Thursday the Free MLB power system play is on the LA. Angels. Game 913 at 7:05 eastern. The Angels fit a solid system that has won 18 of 22 times and plays on road favorites off a road favored win by 5 or more runs with 5+ men left on base and no errors, vs an opponent off a 5 + run home dog loss and scored 2 or less runs with 5+ men left on base and no more than 1 error. The Angles have Santana going tonight and he has allowed just 5 runs in 24 innings vs Toronto. The Jays have Alvarez going tonight and he has an elevated 4.40 home era in his limited starts. The Angels are averaging close to 6 runs per game as they try to keep their playoff hopes alive. Look for the Angles to win this one. On Thursday its the AL. Total of the Month backed with a killer 100% Totals system. I also have a big Power System side in MLB and the 18-1 NCAAF Power Angle Play. College football picking up right where we left off last year, already 6 games over .500 this season. MLB Sweeps on Wednesday. Jump on and cash out on Thursday. For the free play take The LA. Angels. -Rob Vinciletti

Pick: Baltimore Orioles +140
The Orioles are playing hard for Buck Showhalter down the stretch, sticking it to the Red Sox the last series. One of their best arms goes in Zach Britton (10-10, 4.28 ERA), who has excellent control. The Tigers have never faced him before. The Orioles are 5-0 in their last 5 vs. the American League Central and 7-2 in their last 9 during game 1 of a series. They face a Detroit team that has already clinched and goes with Jacob Turner (7.45 ERA), a spot starter. The Tigers are 0-4 in their last 4 home games following a road trip of 7 or more days. Play the Orioles! -Jim Feist (Handicapperspicks.com)

MLB Picks: August 9th 2011
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MLB Pick: Baltimore Orioles +116
5* graded play on Baltimore as they host the CWS set to start at 7:05 PM ET. My proprietary sports handicapping database and simulator shows a high probability that Baltimore will win this game. Supporting this graded play is a system that has produced a record of 54-29 for 65% winners and has made 41.8 units per one unit wagered since 1997. Play on home dogs with a money line of +100 or higher and is a team hitting <=.265 with an overused bullpen that pitches more than 3.2 innings per game and is facing a decent starting pitcher posting an ERA=4.20 to 4.70. This system has averaged a +131 dog play since 1997 and is a solid 5-1 making 4.4 units per one unit wagered this season. Baltimore may be one of the weakest teams in the majors, but they have done well against losing record teams like the CWS. Baltimore is a solid 17-6 (+10.8 Units) against the money line in home games when playing against a team with a losing record this season. Take the Orioles. -John Ryan

MLB Pick: Milwaukee Brewers +112
Milwaukee is 65-50 overall this year while St Louis comes in with a 62-53 overall record on the season. Milwaukee is 11-1 their last 12 games overall. Milwaukee is 31-18 against division opponents this year. Shaun Marcum is 10-3 with a 3.58 ERA overall this year, 5-2 with a 2.40 ERA on the road this season and 2-0 his last 3 starts. Milwaukee is 13-8 at St Louis the past 3 years. We’ll recommend a small play on Milwaukee tonight! Thanks and good luck, Rocky Atkinson

MLB Pick: Kansas City Royals +175
Tampa Bay starter James Shields is slumping, with a 5.68 ERA his last three starts. He faces a Kansas City offense that is 12th in runs and 9th in on-base percentage. Kansas City is relatively rested, off a nice 6-game home stand. Lefty Jeff Francis struggled early after coming over from Colorado, but is throwing well now, with a 3.50 ERA his last three starts. And the Rays are 1-6 in their last 7 games vs. a starter with a WHIP greater than 1.30. Play the KC Royals! -Jim Feist (Handicapperspicks.com)

MLB Picks: July 15th 2011
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Pick: Indians vs. Orioles Under 9
With the O/U line currently having climbed from 8.5 to nine (at some shops) I believe we’re getting some solid value with the “under.” Tomlin gets the call for the Tribe. He’s got a stingy 3.15 ERA with an excellent 0.85 WHIP his last three starts. Each of those was of the “quality” variety. He hasn’t beaten himself. Over those three starts, he walked just two – striking out 11. Note that the last two of those games finished with exactly nine combined runs – emphasizing the importance of getting nine rather than 8.5 here. Note that Tomlin was tough against Baltimore back in the spring. In six innings, he allowed only two runs. Admittedly, Arrieta hasn’t been quite as good as Tomlin. However, after four straight road starts, he should be thrilled to finally pitch at home again. In his last start here, he tossed seven shutout innings vs. Tampa. In fact, six of his last seven home starts, including three straight, have been of the “quality” variety. He’s been excellent in seven of nine starts here, while struggling in the other two. The O’s have seen the “under” go a lucrative 34-17-1 the past few seasons, when playing a home game where the line ranged from +100 to -125. Assuming you can get nine, consider a play on the Under. -Ben Burns

Pick: New York Mets +101
Doc’s Sports COMP Pick: Take #954 Ny Mets over Philadelphia (7:10pm est): I love to bet against rookie pitchers on the road, especially in highly intense divisional match-up like we have here in this one. Phillies starter Vance Worley has done a really good job so far in his short stretch of games in the Philadelphia starting rotation but keep in mind his last four good starts, three of them came against the light hitting Marlins, A’s and Mariners. Things don’t get much easier than pitching against that trio of offenses. In those four games Worley didn’t manage to go above a 2-1 ratio of strikeouts to walks either, which shows he was far from dominating on the hill. The Mets counter with knuckle ball pitcher R.A Dickey in this one. Dickey started the season off a little slow but has been very strong since May 20th. In those last ten starts Dickey has posted an ERA of 2.41 and has been even more impressive at home with an ERA of under 2.00 during this time. The Mets are 8-3 in Dickey’s last 11 home starts versus teams with winning records like the Phillies bring into this game tonight. Overall the Mets have won four straight games with Dickey on the hill. Big game for the Mets here as they have to decide soon if they are going to play for this season or pack it up and trade off their key pieces to build a better team for the future. This series may go a long way in deciding all of that. Overall the Mets rank higher than Philadelphia in hitting and have the better pitcher on the mound in this one. Both of those things combined with playing at home as an underdog makes them way too good to pass up on here. Take the Mets in this one. -Doc’s Sports

Pick: San Francisco Giants -133
This is a very decent price to get Tim Lincecum and the San Francisco Giants at Friday. Lincecum is having yet another tremendous season, going 7-7 with a 3.06 ERA and 1.200 WHIP with 132 strikeouts in 123 1/3 innings. Lincecum has pitched his best on the road, going 4-4 with a 2.53 ERA and 1.182 WHIP in 10 starts. He’ll be up against Dustin Moseley, who is 1-4 with a 3.83 ERA and 1.383 WHIP in eight home starts this year for San Diego. Lincecum is 6-4 with a 2.20 ERA in 15 lifetime starts versus San Diego. The Giants have won three straight and five of six overall to sit atop the NL West division at 53-40. San Diego has lost six straight, and they’ve scored a combined 4 runs in their last five games overall. The Padres are hitting .217 and scoring 2.7 runs/game at home this year. Moseley is 2-13 (-10.6 Units) against the money line as an underdog of +100 or higher over the last 2 seasons. Take the Giants on the Money Line. -Black Widow (Handicapperspicks.com)

MLB Picks: July 3rd 2011
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Pick: Baltimore Orioles +149
Beachy hasn’t been as good at home for the Braves where he is just 2-5 on the money line in his last 7 starts. The O’s are 5-2 in Britton’s last 7 starts when he takes the ball in the 3rd game of a series. The Baltimore southpaw should have plenty of success against an Atlanta lineup batting just .219 against lefty starters this season. The Braves are being overvalued here when you consider their deficiency against lefties. Bet Baltimore. -Dave Price

Pick: Pittsburgh Pirates +137
The Pirates are showing enough value to warrant a play when you consider Kevin Correia’s dominance on the road. The Pittsburgh right-hander is an impressive 8-2 with an ERA of 2.69 in 10 road starts this season. Plus, this game is personal. Correia was hit hard in a home loss to Washington back in April. He was 3-0 on the money line against the Nats prior to that defeat. Expect that loss to motivate and focus Correia as he continues his road dominance today. -Jeff Alexander

Pick: San Francisco Giants +120
Giants coming off real beatdown of this Tigers team last night and its hard to believe that DET is favored on Sunday. Voglesong is a very nice pitcher that is reliable for at least 7 innings and at most 2 runs on Sunday. DET turns to Porcello who was good early this season but lately has been really bad giving up 18 earn runs last three starts. Great value here as we have much better pitcher at a great price. 4 star play. -Craig Trapp (Handicapperspicks.com)

MLB Picks: June 8th 2011
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Pick: Chicago White Sox -143
After taking the first 2 games of this series, the White Sox have now won 11 of their last 12 at home against Seattle. They’re in good position to pull off the series sweep with Floyd stepping to the hill. That’s because the White Sox are 4-0 in Floyd’s last 4 home starts vs. the Mariners. Seattle’s Vargas has come up short in 2 career starts against the Sox – both in Chicago. The Mariners are 7-18 in his last 25 road starts and 1-7 in his last 8 starts in the 3rd game of a series. Take the South Siders. -Jeff Alexander

Pick: Baltimore Orioles -138
The Baltimore Orioles get the nod Wednesday as they host the Oakland A’s behind rookie phenom Zach Britton. This guy has been nothing short of brilliant all season. Britton is 5-4 with a 3.33 ERA and 1.255 WHIP in 12 starts, including 3-2 with a 2.60 ERA and 1.135 WHIP in eight home starts. Josh Outman is no more than a fill-in starter for Oakland, going 1-0 with a 4.02 ERA and 1.595 WHIP in three starts this year. The A’s are 13-20 on the road this season, hitting .227 and scoring 3.2 runs/game. Oakland is 0-8 in their last eight games overall, getting shut out twice. Oakland is 2-11 (-10.2 Units) against the money line revenging a shutout loss to opponent over the last 2 seasons. The Orioles are 9-1 (+8.7 Units) against the money line when playing against a bad team (Win Pct. 38% to 46%) this season. Take Baltimore on the Money Line. -Black Widow

Pick: Los Angeles Angels -141
Off back-to-back home defeats to Tampa Bay, expect the Angels to bounce back strong tonight behind ace Jered Weaver. Weaver is 7-4 with an ERA of 2.14 on the season, including 3-1 (4-1 on the money line) at home with an ERA of 1.96. His ERA is just 1.17 over his last 3 starts. The Angels are 36-15 in Weaver’s last 51 home starts. In addition, Weaver has owned the Rays, going 4-1 (5-1 on the ML) with an ERA of 2.27 in 5 career starts. James Shields is having a good season but has been hit hard in back-to-back losses, allowing 11 runs on 14 hits in 11 innings of work. The Rays are just 14-39 in their last 53 road meetings in this series. Take the Halos. -Jimmy Boyd (Handicapperspicks.com)

MLB Picks: June 6th 2011
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Pick: Cleveland Indians -145
After losing all four of its games with Texas, expect Cleveland to be very hungry tonight. The fact that Minnesota has won 7 straight against the Indians will only add to the hunger. The Tribe have the definite edge on the hill with Josh Tomlin, who’s 7-2 (8-3 on the ML) with an ERA of 3.26 this season. He’s 4-0 (5-0 on the ML) at home with an ERA of 2.53. The right-hander is 9-1 with a 3.10 ERA in 11 career home starts and leads the major with a 7.91 run support average. The Twins have lost each of Scott Baker’s last 5 starts and 9 of his 11 starts on the season. He’s been hit hard by AL Central foes in 2011, going 0-1 (0-3 on the ML) against them with an ERA of 5.94. Minnesota swept the struggling Royals over the weekend, but it is still just 23-48 in its last 71 overall. Plus, the Tribe have still won 25 of their last 35 at home. Take the Indians. -Jimmy Boyd

Pick: Kansas City Royals +116
Brandon Morrow is not an innings eater, averaging 5 innings his last 5 starts. And he’s not throwing well, either, with a 5.11 ERA for the season, 5.50 the last three starts. He faces a good Kansas City offense, one ranked 9th in runs and on-base percentage, 10th in slugging. The Royals play their best baseball at home, with a winning record, and have a decent starter in Felipe Paulino (4.50 ERA, 21 Ks, 7 walks in 24 innings). And the Blue Jays have never faced him before, while Morrow has a 5.51 ERA against the Royals. And the Blue Jays are 1-4 in the last 5 meetings in Kansas City. Play the Royals. -Jim Feist

Pick: Baltimore Orioles -107
We believe their is a ton of value on the Orioles as a small favorite at home on Monday. Brian Matsuz will make his second start of the season for the Orioles, and he really looked sharp in his first outing, allowing just 1 run on 4 hits in 5 and 2/3 innings. This is also a great time to fade the struggling A’s, as they have lost six straight overall, and are just 13-18 on the road this season. Baltimore will also be more than ready for this game, as the A’s swept them earlier this season in Oakland. -Info Plays (Handicapperspicks.com)