4th of July MLB Picks: Bet The Orioles, Pirates And Giants

July 3, 2011 By

MLB Picks: July 3rd 2011
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Pick: Baltimore Orioles +149
Beachy hasn’t been as good at home for the Braves where he is just 2-5 on the money line in his last 7 starts. The O’s are 5-2 in Britton’s last 7 starts when he takes the ball in the 3rd game of a series. The Baltimore southpaw should have plenty of success against an Atlanta lineup batting just .219 against lefty starters this season. The Braves are being overvalued here when you consider their deficiency against lefties. Bet Baltimore. -Dave Price

Pick: Pittsburgh Pirates +137
The Pirates are showing enough value to warrant a play when you consider Kevin Correia’s dominance on the road. The Pittsburgh right-hander is an impressive 8-2 with an ERA of 2.69 in 10 road starts this season. Plus, this game is personal. Correia was hit hard in a home loss to Washington back in April. He was 3-0 on the money line against the Nats prior to that defeat. Expect that loss to motivate and focus Correia as he continues his road dominance today. -Jeff Alexander

Pick: San Francisco Giants +120
Giants coming off real beatdown of this Tigers team last night and its hard to believe that DET is favored on Sunday. Voglesong is a very nice pitcher that is reliable for at least 7 innings and at most 2 runs on Sunday. DET turns to Porcello who was good early this season but lately has been really bad giving up 18 earn runs last three starts. Great value here as we have much better pitcher at a great price. 4 star play. -Craig Trapp (Handicapperspicks.com)

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MLB Picks for June 8th 2011: Bet The White Sox To Sweep The Mariners

June 8, 2011 By

MLB Picks: June 8th 2011
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Pick: Chicago White Sox -143
After taking the first 2 games of this series, the White Sox have now won 11 of their last 12 at home against Seattle. They’re in good position to pull off the series sweep with Floyd stepping to the hill. That’s because the White Sox are 4-0 in Floyd’s last 4 home starts vs. the Mariners. Seattle’s Vargas has come up short in 2 career starts against the Sox – both in Chicago. The Mariners are 7-18 in his last 25 road starts and 1-7 in his last 8 starts in the 3rd game of a series. Take the South Siders. -Jeff Alexander

Pick: Baltimore Orioles -138
The Baltimore Orioles get the nod Wednesday as they host the Oakland A’s behind rookie phenom Zach Britton. This guy has been nothing short of brilliant all season. Britton is 5-4 with a 3.33 ERA and 1.255 WHIP in 12 starts, including 3-2 with a 2.60 ERA and 1.135 WHIP in eight home starts. Josh Outman is no more than a fill-in starter for Oakland, going 1-0 with a 4.02 ERA and 1.595 WHIP in three starts this year. The A’s are 13-20 on the road this season, hitting .227 and scoring 3.2 runs/game. Oakland is 0-8 in their last eight games overall, getting shut out twice. Oakland is 2-11 (-10.2 Units) against the money line revenging a shutout loss to opponent over the last 2 seasons. The Orioles are 9-1 (+8.7 Units) against the money line when playing against a bad team (Win Pct. 38% to 46%) this season. Take Baltimore on the Money Line. -Black Widow

Pick: Los Angeles Angels -141
Off back-to-back home defeats to Tampa Bay, expect the Angels to bounce back strong tonight behind ace Jered Weaver. Weaver is 7-4 with an ERA of 2.14 on the season, including 3-1 (4-1 on the money line) at home with an ERA of 1.96. His ERA is just 1.17 over his last 3 starts. The Angels are 36-15 in Weaver’s last 51 home starts. In addition, Weaver has owned the Rays, going 4-1 (5-1 on the ML) with an ERA of 2.27 in 5 career starts. James Shields is having a good season but has been hit hard in back-to-back losses, allowing 11 runs on 14 hits in 11 innings of work. The Rays are just 14-39 in their last 53 road meetings in this series. Take the Halos. -Jimmy Boyd (Handicapperspicks.com)

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MLB Picks for June 6th 2011: Bet The Indians, Royals And Orioles

June 6, 2011 By

MLB Picks: June 6th 2011
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Pick: Cleveland Indians -145
After losing all four of its games with Texas, expect Cleveland to be very hungry tonight. The fact that Minnesota has won 7 straight against the Indians will only add to the hunger. The Tribe have the definite edge on the hill with Josh Tomlin, who’s 7-2 (8-3 on the ML) with an ERA of 3.26 this season. He’s 4-0 (5-0 on the ML) at home with an ERA of 2.53. The right-hander is 9-1 with a 3.10 ERA in 11 career home starts and leads the major with a 7.91 run support average. The Twins have lost each of Scott Baker’s last 5 starts and 9 of his 11 starts on the season. He’s been hit hard by AL Central foes in 2011, going 0-1 (0-3 on the ML) against them with an ERA of 5.94. Minnesota swept the struggling Royals over the weekend, but it is still just 23-48 in its last 71 overall. Plus, the Tribe have still won 25 of their last 35 at home. Take the Indians. -Jimmy Boyd

Pick: Kansas City Royals +116
Brandon Morrow is not an innings eater, averaging 5 innings his last 5 starts. And he’s not throwing well, either, with a 5.11 ERA for the season, 5.50 the last three starts. He faces a good Kansas City offense, one ranked 9th in runs and on-base percentage, 10th in slugging. The Royals play their best baseball at home, with a winning record, and have a decent starter in Felipe Paulino (4.50 ERA, 21 Ks, 7 walks in 24 innings). And the Blue Jays have never faced him before, while Morrow has a 5.51 ERA against the Royals. And the Blue Jays are 1-4 in the last 5 meetings in Kansas City. Play the Royals. -Jim Feist

Pick: Baltimore Orioles -107
We believe their is a ton of value on the Orioles as a small favorite at home on Monday. Brian Matsuz will make his second start of the season for the Orioles, and he really looked sharp in his first outing, allowing just 1 run on 4 hits in 5 and 2/3 innings. This is also a great time to fade the struggling A’s, as they have lost six straight overall, and are just 13-18 on the road this season. Baltimore will also be more than ready for this game, as the A’s swept them earlier this season in Oakland. -Info Plays (Handicapperspicks.com)

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MLB Picks for May 24th 2011: Wager The Royals And Orioles Under The Betting Total

May 24, 2011 By

MLB Picks: May 24th 2011
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Pick: Royals vs. Orioles Under 8
Two youngsters take the mound in Baltimore as the Orioles host the Royals. Zach Britton has been a great piece to the Orioles this season. He is 5-2 with a 2.14 ERA in nine starts. Britton has pitched at home six times going 3-1 with a 1.54 ERA. His last time out, he held down the Yankees to one unearned run and six hits in seven innings. Britton didn’t give up an earned run in the outing before that either after shutting Seattle out over nine innings. He’ll face a Royals team that is struggling offensively. They scored 8 runs on Sunday which almost equaled their total over the four games played before that. Kansas City has scored just 22 runs over their last nine games, and Britton isn’t the perfect pitcher to be facing when you are struggling. A lot is expected from Danny Duffy of the Royals. The lefty is coming off his major league debut where he flashed brilliance mixed with inconsistency. Duffy gave up 2 runs over four innings despite walking six and giving up four hits. The lefty will face an Orioles team that is hitting .226 against southpaws while scoring 3.3 runs per game. Baltimore is hitting .249 at home while averaging 3.8 runs per game. The team manages to leave a boatload of runners on base despite picking up a lot of hits. Duffy is backed by a Kansas City bullpen that is 1-1 with a 2.65 ERA on the road having blown only one save in five chances. These two teams have played four Unders in their last six games in Baltimore. We expect that trend to continue behind these two young guns. -Steve Merril

Pick: New York Yankees -170
On Tuesday the Free MLB Play is on the Yankees. Game 920 at 7:05 eastern. The Yankees fit a 21-4 system that plays on certain home favorites with a total of 8 or less if they scored 4 or less runs on 5+ hits and 5+ men left on base with no errors, vs an opponent off a road dog win. The Yankees will look to bounce back from their loss last night. Tonight they will have their ace CC. Sabathia on the mound and he is 9-3 with a 3.15 era vs The Jays. Tonight he opposes Romero who has a 5.32 era vs the Yankees. New York is 7-1 as a home favorite in this range and they averaging over 6 runs per game the past week. Look for the Yankees to bounce back tonight. On Tuesday I have a Big card with a 19-1 MLB Blowout Game of the Month + a 92% Totals system that averages 13.6 runs per game. In the NBA Its a Big 95% Game 4 power System with a Solid Historical Angle. Jump on and Cash tonight. For the free Play take the Yankees. -Rob Vinciletti (Handicapperspicks.com)

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MLB Picks for May 20th 2011: Bet The Diamondbacks And Orioles On Friday Night

May 20, 2011 By

MLB Picks: May 20th 2011
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Pick: Arizona Diamondbacks -169
Both these teams have “turned it on” recently. After an extended skid, the Twins have managed to win three in a row. The Diamondbacks have also won three straight though and they’ve now won five of six. Playing at home and having a starter in MUCH better current form, I expect them to have the advantage this evening.Duensing goes for the visitors. Last time out, he got rocked for seven runs in just three innings of work. That brings him to 0-3 with a brutal 7.50 ERA and 2.00 WHIP his last three starts. On the other hand, Kennedy is 1-0 with a superb 1.35 ERA and 1.05 WHIP in his last three starts. Last time out, he allowed one run on four hits, through six complete innings. He had 8 K’s with just one walk. In his previous starts, he also had 8 K’s and also allowed just four hits. However, that translated to eight shutout innings. While the Twins are just 11-16 on the road, the Diamondbacks are a respectable 13-10 (+3.4) at home. While the price may initially seem steep, note that the Dbax are 17-6 (+7) the past few seasons, when listed as home favorites in the -150 to -175 range. Consider laying the wood. -Ben Burns

Pick: Baltimore Orioles -145
Today’s Free Play from Doc’s Sports: Take #910 Baltimore Orioles over Washington Nationals (7:05 pm MLB.tv) We like this matchup of Arrieta against Marquis, especially at Camden Yards. Marquis comes in with a slightly lower ERA, but a higher WHIP (walks, hits, per innings pitched). We always love being on the right side of that stat, as it’s much more important to us than ERA. Yankees were hard on Baltimore yesterday and the Orioles lost a heart breaker the night before, so look for them to bounce back against their local rivals. Jump on with us for the weekend, or better yet, the year, because even though this is a strong play, it doesn’t compare to games released on our pay page. You don’t think we’d give away our strongest games do you? If our free plays are doing this well, just imagine what’s going to happen with our pay plays. -Doc’s Sports (Handicapperspicks.com)

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