Tag: Baylor Bears
Boise State Broncos vs. Baylor Bears Cactus Bowl Betting Prediction from Jimmy Boyd: December 27th 2016
Boise State Broncos vs. Baylor Bears
Cactus Bowl Betting Prediction: Baylor +7.5 (December 27th 2016)
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I know Boise State has a strong track record in bowl games, but I think they will lack motivation here. The Broncos had their eyes set on going undefeated and playing in one of the premier bowl games. Now they find themselves up against a Baylor team that hasn’t won a game since beating Kansas on October 15. On top of that, we are getting exceptional value here with the Bears catching over a touchdown.
On the flip side of things, I think Baylor got a big shot in the arm when it was announced Rhule was taking over. This is their chance to make a lasting impression to get the edge at a starting job next season. At the same time, I think the players are going to play their hearts out for Grobe and the assistants on this staff. There’s also a lot of pride at stake here for the Bears, as they don’t want to end the season with 7 straight losses.
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Baylor will be playing their bowl game without starting quarterback Seth Russell. Not a major shock to the system, as he didn’t play in the final 3 games of the regular season. Backup Zack Smith showed some potential filling in for Russell. He threw for 879 yards and 8 TD’s in those final 3 games. Nearly leading them to an upset win at West Virginia in the finale.
With that said, I think it’s the Bears running game that will be the difference in this one. Baylor ended the year ranked 12th in the country in rushing at 250.3 ypg. Boise State’s defense really struggled against strong rushing teams. Evident in their two losses to Wyoming and Air Force. The Broncos ranked just 68th against the run, giving up 179.8 ypg. Adding to this, Boise St is just 3-12 ATS in their last 15 against teams who average 4.75 or more yards/carry. Baylor as a team averaged 5.1 yards/carry.
The ability to run the ball is huge for Baylor in this game. It’s going to keep their defense fresh and limit the number of possessions for the Broncos offense. Don’t forget last year’s bowl game for Baylor, where they upset No. 10 UNC 49-38 behind 645 yards rushing. More than anything, I think the Bears will be the more motivated team and we are getting a touchdown to work with. Take Baylor!
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Baylor Bears vs. Oklahoma Sooners
Basketball Betting Pick: Oklahoma -7.5 points (March 1st 2016)
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The Sooners come into this game off an ugly 63-76 loss at Texas on Saturday, but had showed signs of returning to form with a 76-62 win at West Virginia and 71-49 victory at home over Oklahoma State in their previous two games. I look for Oklahoma to bounce back in a big way tonight.
This will be the Sooners final home game of the season and I believe it’s going to have Oklahoma coming out as motivated and focused as we have seen. Not only is All-American guard Buddy Hield a senior playing his final home game, Isaiah Cousins, Ryan Spangler and Dingily Walker will also be lacing them up for the final time at the Lloyd Noble Center. Keep in mind that Oklahoma is a dominant 13-1 at home with the only loss coming to Kansas by just 4-points in a game where they shot just 33.3% from the field.
The Sooners already went on the road and defeated Baylor 82-72 earlier this season. It was their 2nd straight win in the series at home by 10 or more points. The Bears have been playing better of late, but will simply be no match for Oklahoma. One of the Sooners biggest strengths is their 3-point shooting, as they come in averaging 42.8% on the season. Baylor struggles defending the 3-point shot, as opponents are hitting 37.3% on the season and 40.9% inside Big 12 play.
The Bears are a mere 2-9 ATS in their last 11 games against teams who shoot 37% or better from the 3-point line, 4-12 ATS in their last 16 off a SU win and and 3-7 ATS in their last 10 against a team that’s won more than 60% of their games. Lay the points!
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Baylor vs. Creighton
NCAA Tournament Betting Pick: Baylor +3.5 -110 odds (March 23rd 2014)
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The Creighton Blue Jays were very successful in their first season in the Big East, finishing second in the conference with a record of 14-4. The Baylor Bears needed a miraculous run at the end of the season just to sneak into the tournament, finishing 9-9 in the Big-12.
When you look at the teams Baylor has defeated during an 11-2 run over their last 13 games, it’s difficult not to be impressed. The only two losses during that span came to ranked teams on the road, losing to Iowa State and Texas.
The Bears did not shoot particularly well in their first round win over Nebraska, but they got to the free throw line early and often. Baylor was 38-of-48 (79.2%) from the charity stripe, winning by a final score of 74-60.
It’s always difficult to beat the Blue Jays if they are hitting their shots, but Baylor should be able to dominate the boards, putting more pressure on McDermott and Creighton’s sharp shooters.
The Blue Jays struggled from the free throw line in their less than convincing win over ULL, hitting just 11-of-21 for 52.4%.
This game has upset written all over it..
Take the dog.
Baylor vs. Oklahoma State
College Basketball Pick: Baylor -4 -110 odds (February 17th 2014)
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The Oklahoma State Cowboys have really been struggling without Marcus Smart. They have lost both of their games without him, even losing straight up as a favorite at home in their last outing. It was the sixth consecutive loss for the Cowboys, and seventh consecutive against the spread. Meanwhile, the Baylor Bears are turning their season around. They have won back-to-back games over conference opponents in dominating fashion. The Bears crushed TCU on the road, winning by 33 points. They followed that performance with a 14 point win at home against Kansas State.
The loss of Marcus Smart has hurt the Cowboys the most on the defensive end of the court. Oklahoma State is already a soft defensive team when playing on the road. They have forced just 10 turnovers per game without Smart, allowing an average of 82 points in those games, and that tells me this is a team that will be in big trouble tonight against the Bears. Baylor has played well at home posting a 10-4 record, and they are averaging 76.7 points in those games. The Bears won by six points at Oklahoma State when these teams met just over two weeks ago, and with home court advantage they will have no problem repeating that feat.
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