Free Basketball Picks: January 16th 2012
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Pick: Boston Celtics +2.5
The Thunder are certainly playing well. I expect them to have their hands full this evening though. The Celtics should really want this one. They’ve dropped four straight now. Note that they’re still 5-1 SU (4-2 ATS) the last six times that they were off three or more consecutive losses. They’re also still a healthy 15-9 SU/ATS the last 24 times that they were off three or more consecutive losses. The Celtics are a team capable of stepping up their game at any time. I expect that time to be tonight as they rise to the occasion and score the minor upset. Consider Boston. -Ben Burns

Pick: Baylor +7
love this matchup as KU is not nearly as good as they have been in the past and Baylor is looking to finally get over the hump in the Big12. BAY has won at KST which is just as tough as KU in our Power Rankings. KU lack of depth will hurt them tonight as Baylor can really wear on you. BAYLOR might even win this one straight up, but at worst they lose 4-5. 4 star play -Craig Trapp

Pick: Portland State -9
Free Play from Doc’s Sports. #758 Take Portland State over Idaho State (10 pm) It is not often you find a spread this big with two similar teams sporting identical records in Big Sky play, but that is the case tonight when the Bengals head west to play the Vikings. Portland State has played a much more difficult schedule thus far and they are coming off an impressive victory at Northern Colorado in their last outing on Thursday. Idaho State has won just two games since December 4th and only one loss during this stretch has come by less than 8 points. That tells me when they lose; it usually comes in blowout fashion. Portland State clings to a 25-15 advantage in the all-time series with Idaho State. Lay the wood tonight and take the home team. Doc’s Sports is coming off a monster weekend in college basketball highlighted by a perfect performance on Sunday with our Big Ten Game of the Year winner (Minnesota over Penn State). We are up +138 units on the season and now is the time to jump on board with a veteran handicapping with 40 years of experience. -Doc’s Sports

Pick: Texas A&M +15
The Mizzou Tigers are getting a little too much respect here against a Texas A&M squad that has won 8 straight in the series. In fact, the Aggies are 10-1 ATS in the last 11 meetings and 5-0 ATS in the last 5 meetings at Missouri. Also, the Aggies are 7-0 ATS in their last 7 games as an underdog of 13.0 points or more. 4 of Missouri’s last 5 wins have come by 11 points or less. We’ll take Texas A&M. -Jeff Alexander

Pick: Minnesota Timberwolves -7
The Minnesota Timberwolves look to rebound from their last loss at Atlanta that found them leading by 18-points, only to be outscored during one stretch 24-2. Additionally, the Wolves will look for their first win in their last four home games. While the Wolves and Kings both have the same amount of wins on the season (4), a lot more was expected from Minnesota this year than Sacramento. The Kings have not been competitive on the road this year, going 1-6 both SU and ATS away from home. If you toss out their lone road win at Toronto, the Kings have lost by 39 at Dallas, 14 at Houston, 27 at Philly, 27 at Denver, 17 at Memphis and 22 at Portland. Minnesota F Michael Beasley (Foot) is questionable tonight, but I don’t see them really needing him. Lay the 7 1/2 or more points with the Wolves against a very bad road Kings club. -Jim Feist

Pick: Notre Dame +3.5
While Notre Dame is just 1-6 on the road this season, their last game on the road they went into Louisville and beat the Cardinals 67-65 as 12-point underdogs. My money is on the Fighting Irish to pull off another road upset against Rugters. The Scarlet Knights are a respectable 9-3 at home this season, but are just 2-4 ATS in line games. Notre Dame has been a hard to figure out, as they look great one game and then completely fall apart the next. The Irish seem to respond well to a loss, as they have followed up their last three defeats with a win. They lost at home to Connecticut 53-67 on Saturday, despite leading in that game at half. Notre Dame is 7-3 ATS in their last 10 vs. Big East, while Rutgers is just 1-9-2 ATS in their last 12 games as a favorite and 0-6 ATS in their last 6 games as a home favorite. BET THE FIGHTING IRISH +3.5! -Steve Janus

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NBA Picks: January 11th 2012
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NBA Pick: New Orleans Hornets +7
The Hornets return home with some nice momentum on their side following an impressive 13-point win in Denver. That confidence-boosting victory will have New Orleans ready to give the fatigued Thunder a game tonight. The Thunder have won 4 in a row (in a 5-day span) and should show the effects of playing so many games in so few nights here. They had a tough one in Memphis last night, which opens them up to a potential letdown against a rested Hornets squad that has either won or lost by 6 points or less in 14 of the last 16 in this series. The Thunder haven’t put away anyone on the road this season. None of their 4 road victories have come by more than 5 points. We’ll take the points. -Jimmy Boyd

NBA Pick: San Antonio Spurs -7
The San Antonio Spurs have been simply unstoppable at home this year. I like their chances to cover this spread and win by double-digits Wednesday night against the Houston Rockets. The Spurs are 6-0 SU & 4-2 ATS at home this season, outscoring opponents 104.8 to 90.7 or by an average of 14.1 points/game. Considering Houston’s road woes this year, I wouldn’t be surprised to see the Spurs win by 14-plus again tonight. The Rockets are 1-5 SU & 1-5 ATS on the road this season, getting outscored 92.0 to 103.5 or by an average of 11.5 points/game. These numbers are simply too hard to ignore, and the safe bet tonight is on the home favorite Spurs. Take San Antonio and lay the points. -Black Widow

NBA Pick: Boston Celtics -5
The Celtics hold the advantage because they have had 4 days to rest up and prepare for this game while the Mavs just played last night. Rest is very important to this veteran Boston squad, which will be fresh enough to put forth one of its best defensive efforts of the season. The Celtics are 7-3 ATS in their last 10 games when playing on 3 or more days’ rest. -Dave Price. Get more NBA picks for January 11th 2012 at Handicapperspicks.com

NBA Picks: March 19th 2011
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Pick: Boston Celtics -2
I like the Boston Celtics to bounce back from one of their worst losses of the season last night. The Celtics are a team that rarely gets beaten in back-to-back games, and they have been surprisingly good on little rest. Boston is 19-5 ATS in road games off an embarrassing road loss scoring less than 80 points since 1996. The Celtics are 33-16 ATS in road games when playing their 5th game in 7 days since 1996. This is a Boston team that is also great to back when looking for revenge. The Celtics are 24-9 ATS in road games revenging a loss vs opponent over the last 3 seasons. Boston is 22-9 ATS in their last 31 games following a S.U. loss. The Hornets are 0-4 ATS in their last 4 games as an underdog of 0.5-4.5. Boston just has so much working in their favor going into this one, and I believe they get the job done tonight. Bet the Celtics Saturday. -Jack Jones

Pick: Bobcats vs. Spurs Under 191
This total has been jacked up way too high tonight in the Charlotte vs. San Antonio NBA showdown. Both teams will be playing the second of a back-to-back, with the Bobcats losing 82-99 at Oklahoma City and the Spurs winning 97-91 at Dallas last night. That means both squads will be a bit tired which certainly favors the ‘under’. 13 straight meetings between Charlotte & San Antonio have seen 189 or less combined points. That’s a perfect 13-0 UNDER angle pertaining to the total set listed tonight. Take the UNDER 191.5 points here. -Black Widow (Handicapperspicks.com)

NBA Picks: March 13th 2011
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Pick: Pacers vs. Knicks over 218
On Sunday the free NBA Totals system Play is on The Over in the Indiana Pacers at New Yorl Knicks game. Rotation numbers 877/878 at 6:05 eastern. This game fits the solid system below that has cashed 10 of 11 times since 1995. The Line looks a little high for the late phones but for a free play will take a shot. The Pacers have gone over in 6 of their last 9 vs winning teams and the Knicks have gone over 7 of the last 9 vs losing teams. For the system we want to play the over for road dogs of 5 or more like Indy that was on the road with a spread of +3 to -3 and scored 90 or more on 455 or less shooting vs an opponent that scored 100 or more as a road dog and the posted total is 190 or higher. This system has cashed 10 of 11 times since 1995. Go over the total is what should be an entertaining game. On Sunday I have the NBA Western Conference NBA Game of the Month from a 98% system and a 100% Championship system winner from a system that cashed on Saturday. I also have opinions on the remaining championship games as well. Take the Pacers and Knicks to go over the total. See system below. -Rob Vinciletti

Pick: Boston Celtics -9
Motivated by back-to-back defeats, and with a full day of rest on their side, expect the Celtics to bounce back strong against the Bucks Sunday. The Bucks have played the Celtics close in a pair of losses this season, but Boston wasn’t heavily motivated in either of those games. Plus, Milwaukee faces the tough task of taking on the Celtics without a day of rest. Boston is a proven bounce back team from a SU and ATS perspective. In fact, it is 20-9 ATS in its last 29 games following a SU loss. In addition, Boston is 18-7 ATS in its last 25 games following consecutive losses by 6 points or less. It is also worth noting that the C’s are 11-2 ATS after failing to cover the number in 2 or more consecutive games this season. They are winning by an average score of 100.8 to 88.5 in this situation. The Bucks are just 2-5 ATS in their last 7 games as a road underdog of 5.0-10.5 points, and I expect them to fall again in this role Sunday. (Handicapperspicks.com)

NBA Picks: March 11th 2011
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Pick: Philadelphia 76ers +3
The Philadelphia 76ers are showing excellent value tonight as a home underdog to the Boston Celtics. Simply by name, the Celtics are a road favorite when they shouldn’t be. Boston is absolutely depleted right now and will get out-worked for four quarters by this deep 76ers team. Boston is without Delonte West, Shaq, Glen Davis, Von Wafer and Jermaine O’Neil. The Celtics had only seven players play more than eight minutes late time out in their 103-108 home loss to the Clippers. Their thin bench will do them in again tonight. The 76ers are the deepest team in the league with six players averaging in double-figures and 11 players averaging 10 minutes per game or more. While it’s hardly a surprise that no Eastern Conference team has more wins than the Boston Celtics, none having more than the Philadelphia 76ers over the past seven weeks certainly is. The 76ers have gone 16-6 since Jan. 21 – the only East team with a better record in that span is Chicago (16-4) – to climb to seventh in the conference. Philly has lost their first two meetings of the season to Boston by a combined 5 points, and I fully expect them to have their revenge in this one. The 76ers are 8-2 ATS in their last 10 games as a home underdog of 0.5-4.5. Take Philly Friday. -Jack Jones

Pick: Utah Jazz +1
The Utah Jazz are fighting for their playoff lives. They should not be an underdog to the lowly Minnesota Timberwolves tonight. Look for Utah to build off of their huge last-second win over Toronto last time out and put forth a great effort Friday. Utah is 34-31 on the season while Minnesota is 16-50. Utah is a perfect 4-0 in their last 4 meetings with Minnesota. Minnesota is 2-9 ATS in their last 11 games following a ATS win and 1-5 ATS in their last 6 games following a S.U. victory. The Timberwolves are 0-6 ATS in their last 6 Friday games. Minnesota hasn’t won back-to-back games since February 7th and 8th. The Jazz are 5-0-1 ATS in their last 6 road games vs. a team with a home winning % of less than .400. No question we are backing the right team in this one. Take the Jazz and the points. -Black Widow (Handicapperspicks.com)

NBA Picks: March 9th 2011
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Pick: Clippers vs. Celtics Over 192.5
Nice tilt tonight in Boston as the Clippers come to the Garden winners of 3 straight on their 5 game road trip. Eric Gordon is out again (Bad foul from Mozgov on Saturday). Ho Hum, the Clippers still have Mo Williams, Blake Griffin and Chris Kaman to turn to. (Kaman has scored in double figures in six of his last seven games off the bench.) The Celtics continue to win despite having five players sidelined with injuries, including Shaq, West and 6th man Davis. Boston holds a 2 1/2-game lead over Chicago for the top spot in the Eastern Conference. Boston is shooting a league-high.493 percent – .107 better than No. 2 Dallas. In their last meeting this year Boston defeated LAC 99-92. If all goes according to plan this game should be over midway thru the 4th qtr and the B-Teamers will be out there running around and not playing any D. Tons of trends lead me to believe this ones goes OVER the nice value line tonight. Over is 4-1 in Celtics last 5 overall. Over is 4-0 in Celtics last 4 vs. Western Conference. Over is 4-0 in Celtics last 4 vs. NBA Pacific. Over is 11-5 in BOS last 16 home games, Over is 13-6 in BOS last 19 Wed. games, Over is 7-1 for LAC last 8 vs. NBA Atlantic. Over is 9-3 in Clippers last 12 games following a S.U. win. -Ray Monohan

Pick: Oklahoma City Thunder +1.5
Oklahoma City lost a tough game against at Memphis their last time out, but that creates a prime opportunity to jump on the Thunder tonight. Oklahoma City is 38-18 ATS in their last 56 games following a S.U. loss, and are 20-11 ATS (+7.9 Units) versus poor pressure defensive teams – forcing <=14 turnovers/game this season. The 76ers are just 1-10 ATS in home games after 3 straight games where both teams scored 100 points or more since 1996. This game also falls under one of our highest rated systems. You want to play against all teams where the line is +3 to -3 (76ers) – average defensive team (43.5-45.5%) against a poor defensive team (45.5-47.5%), after 3 straight games – allowing a shooting pct. of 47% or higher, as its 30-7 since 1996! Bet the Thunder! -Steve Janus

Pick: Golden State Warriors -2
The Nets are playing with a depleted roster. Deron Williams will not be in action because of the birth of his child. New Jersey could also be without Johan Petro, Anthony Morrow, Damion James, and Quinton Ross. Golden State did just play last night, but are 6-1 ATS in their last 7 games playing on 0 days rest, and are 23-9 ATS in their last 32 games vs. a team with a winning % below .400. New Jersey is just 19-40-1 ATS in their last 60 games vs. a team with a losing S.U. record, and just 13-29 ATS versus up-tempo teams averaging 83 or more shots/game over the last 2 seasons. -Info Plays (Handicapperspicks.com)