Expert’s NFL Picks: November 20th 2011
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Expert’s NFL Pick: Miami Dolphins -1.5
Buffalo shocked everyone by opening the season at 4-1, but they were playing above their ability level and have dropped to 5-4 after losing at Dallas, 44-7, last Sunday. The Bills have struggled on the road this season and Sunday’s loss moved them to 1-3 in true road games. Miami has finally entered the win column while winning back-to-back games by 28 and 11 points. Miami tries for their third straight victory this weekend and get home field advantage against a Division rival who’s defense has allowed 27 points or more in 5 of their 9 games. Buffalo was only 4-12 last season, and hasn’t won more than 7 games since 2004, so there’s no surprise that they can’t keep playing at this inflated level. -Carlo Campanella

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Expert’s NFL Pick: Cardinals vs. 49ers Under 41
I don’t see these two teams going over the total set of 41.5. The 49ers come in allowing just over 15 points per game, but should be able to keep Arizona under that mark with the Cardinals starting John Skelton at quarterback. On the other side of the ball, I expect the 49ers to also struggle to move the ball. Arizona’s defense has really picked it up defensively in their last two games, holding St Louis to 13 points and Philadelphia to 17 points. The fact that this is a division game, only adds to the under being the play. These two teams are well aware of what the other team likes to do, and I expect both teams to play extremely hard. The 49ers want to make sure they don’t give anyone in the NFC West hopes of coming back, while the Cardinals will be playing with a lot of confidence riding a two game winning streak. The UNDER is 9-2 in Cardinals last 11 vs. NFC West and 4-1 in Cardinals last 5 road games. BET THE UNDER 41! -Steve Janus

Jimmy Boyd’s Sunday NFL Week 11 *SUPER SYSTEM SMOKER* Jimmy’s “Super System Smoker” plays have been deadly. With last Sunday’s 4-0 NFL SWEEP, which included an easy Super System Smoker winner on the Seahawks +7 (outright over Baltimore), these plays improved to a PERFECT 3-0 the last 3 Sunday’s! In Week 8, his SSS won on the Rams +14 (outright over New Orleans). In Week 9, his SSS cashed on the Dolphins +4.5 (outright over KC). Play by the numbers with Jimmy and bury another unsuspecting favorite behind a GAME-BREAKING 39-13 ATS SUPER SYSTEM that’s 3-1 ATS this season!

Expert’s NFL Pick: Carolina Panthers +7
Panthers (+) over Lions- Was he just a ‘Flash-in-the-pan?’ I am referring to Cam Newton of course who like Willie McCovey in 1959 going 4-4 with two triples and two doubles in his debut against the Philadelphia Phillies. Anyway, Detroit off their six turnover performance and total beat down by the Bears need to turn things around quick and the pressure is starting to build. Silly penalties and simple break downs are still holding Lions back. Panthers off worst game of the year with come to play Sunday. Take PANTHERS! -Chip Chirimbes (Handicapperspicks.com)

Carolina Panthers vs. Cincinnati Bengals
NFL Preseason Point Spread: Bengals -2.5 over/under 34 (August 25th 2011)
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Doc’s Thursday Night Football (2-0 run)
Doc’s Sports is set to release another strong pick on Thursday night NFLX Football. Doc has nailed his Thursday picks the last two weeks and they look to complete the trifecta this Thursday. This is a side play winner from the ESPN Game, so sign-up now and let Doc and his 40 years of experience work for you. (Handicapperspicks.com)

NFL Picks for December 12th 2010
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Pick: Jacksonville Jaguars -4
The Jacksonville Jaguars host the Oakland Raiders on Sunday and this falls into a simple system: bet against West Coast teams on the road in the East Coast playing 1:00 PM ET games. For those who aren’t too familiar with the system, the basic concept is that the Raiders, who are the West Coast team, will be playing at what is essentially 10:00 AM their time. The Raiders last two road games (in Tennessee and in Pittsburgh), they were outscored by a combined score of 70-16. Also, the Raiders are on back-to-back road games, which should further bite into their freshness. Jaguars star Maurice Jones-Drew has topped 100 yards rushing in five straight games, including a career-high 186 yards in last week’s 17-6 win at Tennessee. Jacksonville has won three of four all-time meetings between the teams, including the most recent one, a 49-11 rout at home in 2007. Jacksonville (7-5) took a one-game lead over Indianapolis in the division race when the Jaguars beat Tennessee and the Colts lost to Dallas last week – the Jaguars haven’t been in first place this late in the season since 1999, when they won their last division title. One key trend favors them as well. Jacksonville is 4-1 SU in its last 5 games. The Jaguars are an underrated squad. Bet them to cover on Sunday. -Ray Monohan

Pick: Cleveland Browns +1
Free Play from Doc’s Sports. #5 Take Cleveland Browns over Buffalo Bills (Sunday 1 pm CBS) The Buffalo Bills have been tough luck losers all season long but to me it became evident last week that this season has finally caught up with them. A team can only take so much heartbreak and after they gave the Steelers the game in overtime with a dropped touchdown pass; they got blown out at Minnesota last week by a score of 38-14. I expect that they now have thrown in the towel on the 2010 season and we will go against them on Sunday backing the Cleveland Browns. The Browns have won four of their last six games and that includes victories at Miami and at New Orleans. If they can win at those places, they can certainly beat the Bills in upstate New York. Cleveland is 15-2 ATS in their last 17 games against teams with a losing home record. Do not miss Doc’s Sports strong NFL card featuring three plays on Sunday and a top play winner on Monday Night Football! -Doc’s Sports

Pick: Buccaneers vs. Redskins Over 41
The Bucs have played a string of very good defensive teams as of late. Atlanta twice, Baltimore and San Francisco. Against the weaker defenses they have faced lately Tampa Bay produced 31 against Carolina and 38 against Arizona. Overall the Bucs have reached 21 points or more in 5 of their last 6 games. They should have little problem moving the ball on a Washington team who has permitted 30 points or more five times including 59 to the Eagles. Washington has not been a very efficient offense this season but they haven’t faced too many stop units as weak as Tampa Bay. The Bucs average allowing 15.2 points and 192.2 yards in the first half and we fully expect the Skins to be aggressive offensively on Sunday. The Skins have been held in check against the top stop units in the NFL but they produced 27 against Houston, 24 against Indianapolis and 25 against Detroit. They should be good for at least 21 here and likely 24 which would put this game firmly over the total. While neither of these offenses are considered strong, the defensive weaknesses will enable both teams to move the football. -Bryan Leonard

Pick: Carolina Panthers +8
It has been a dreadful year for the Carolina Panthers (1-11) who have ‘covered’ only three times while getting points in 10 of their 12 games. Atlanta is coming off a huge come-from-behind fourth quarter win over Tampa Bay last week and my not be in the right frame of mind while facing the lowly Panthers. The Falcons have been out-gained in their last two wins and are just 3-13 against the points after back-to-back wins against a foe off a loss. Hard to believe that the Panthers (#1-5) at home are the side. Take CAROLINA! -Chip Chirimbes (Handicapperspicks.com)

NFL betting teasers always a great way to get an edge on the oddsmakers if a line is tight. We easily cashed last week, and our NFL betting Super Teaser should be back with vengeance in Week 11!
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Cleveland Browns vs. Jacksonville Jaguars
Game Date/Time: Sunday, November 21st, 1:00 ET
Game Location: Ever Bank Field, Jacksonville, FL
TV/Radio Broadcast: CBS, Westwood One, Sirius
NFL Odds: Cleveland Browns (+1.5) -110 vs. Jacksonville Jaguars (-1.5) -110: Over/Under 43.5

We know that last week we went against the Jags and lived to tell about it, but this weekend, we think that they set up well to play on. The Browns aren’t really built to blow you out of the water, especially on the road. Jacksonville has played incredibly well this year in front of its home crowd. To lose this game would be devastating, but even if they do, the Jags are still a great NFL betting choice catching more than a TD.

Baltimore Ravens vs. Carolina Panthers
Game Date/Time: Sunday, November 21st, 1:00 ET
Game Location: Bank of America Stadium, Charlotte, NC
TV/Radio Broadcast: CBS, Westwood One, Sirius
NFL Odds: Baltimore Ravens (-10) -110 vs. Carolina Panthers (+10) -110: Over/Under 37.5

We’ve spoken a lot about this game in our other articles this week, but the main factor that we have to address doesn’t really change. The Panthers don’t stand a chance in this NFL betting affair unless Tony Pike turns out to be the second coming of Dan Marino. Mike Goodson won’t find the same type of running room this week on Baltimore’s ‘D’ as he did against Tampa Bay’s, and all of this is just adding up to a disaster for the hosts. We’d be shocked to see Carolina even stay in this one, let alone win it. We backed the Panthers last week and just barely lived to tell about it. We’ll take the safe road this time.

Buffalo Bills vs. Cincinnati Bengals
Game Date/Time: Sunday, November 21st, 1:00 ET
Game Location: Paul Brown Stadium, Cincinnati, OH
TV/Radio Broadcast: CBS, Westwood One, Sirius
NFL Odds: Buffalo Bills (+5.5) -110 vs. Cincinnati Bengals (-5.5) -110: Over/Under 44

The Bengals know that they are going to have to bring a great effort just to be able to beat any team in the NFL right now, but to beat someone by more than 15 points just seems like an impossibility. The Bills have been stingy in NFL betting action. They might not have a lot of wins, but at least we can give them that much. No, Ryan Fitzpatrick probably isn’t going on the road and winning this one, but that’s not what we’re asking him to do. Just get Buffalo in the end zone a couple times, and the defense should be able to do the rest.

My NFL Super Teaser Prediction: 10-point super teaser – Jacksonville Jaguars (+8.5)/ Baltimore Ravens (pk)/Buffalo Bills (+15.5)
Courtesy of Mike Rose (Betus.com RSS Feed – Featured on Handicapperspicks.com)

Carolina Panthers vs. Tampa Bay Buccaneers
Pick: Carolina Panthers +7.5
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The Carolina Panthers (1-7, 0-3 road) look to avenge a Week 2 home loss to the Bucs (5-3, 2-2 home) and just might be able to get that done. The Panthers lost 20-7 to the Bucs and were installed as 4 point favorites with the game easily playing ‘under’ the 38 point posted total.

The dominant factor in this game will be the Carolina defense, who ranks 5th in passing yards per game at 190.3 yards per game. They rank 26th in rushing defense allowing 124.8 yards per game. This is misleading because Carolina’s defense is designed to stop the pass first and they rarely bring safety help to the line of scrimmage for run support. In only three games this year has the Carolina defense allowed more than 20 points in a game and one of those games was 23 points allowed in a loss to the Bears. So, in six of the eight games played the defense has played solid, despite being on the field the majority of the game.

A big problem for Carolina has been at quarterback where both Clausen and Moore have struggled posting 48 and 55.6 quarterback ratings respectively. Moore is out for the year so Carolina has two rookie quarterbacks with Clausen starting and Tony Pike as the backup. This has kept the defense on the field for an average of 33:12 per game. However, with all of these negative stats and facts, Carolina matches up well against Tampa Bay.

Panthers can Run the Ball
The Panthers running backs DeAngelo Williams and Jonathan Stewart are nearly two yards per carry lower than last season. I fully expect them to have big games and far exceed even last year’s rushing averages. The Bucs cannot stop the run and will be forced to bring safety help to the line of scrimmage. This is by far the easiest read for any quarterback at any level of football to make and will lead to man coverage situations involving wide receivers Steve Smith and David Gettis.

Get Gettis the Ball in Short Routes
After the snap, Clausen needs to identify first if Smith is being double teamed and if so look on the opposite side of the field for Gettis. If Smith is double teamed, then Gettis will be more than likely be defended by a bracket scheme making for an easy to execute pass to him. Gettis, who is 23 years old and attended Baylor University, is 6-3 and weighs 216 pounds with tremendous speed and leaping ability. Carolina will use him for ball control type routes and look for him to gain significant yards after the catch. He had eight receptions for 125 yards against the 49ers and the matchups favoring his size, strength, and speed are even more favorable for him in this game.

The Technicals favor Carolina
I like Carolina in this game and the play is reinforced by a system that has produced a 36-8 ATS record for 82% winners since 2000. Play on any team after failing to cover the spread in three out of their last four games and is a terrible team winning <=25% of their games and is now playing a team with a winning record in the second half of the season. This system has produced consistent winners and has gone 18-3 ATS over the past five seasons. -John Ryan (Handicapperspicks.com)

Of all the games on the Week 1 slate in the NFL preseason, one game stands out quite a bit as one that you can cash in on in a big way. The New York Giants will take on the Carolina Panthers in a game that sets up perfectly for an in-game football betting teaser.
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Carolina Panthers vs. New York Giants
Game Date/Time: Sunday, September 12th, 1:00 ET
Game Location: New Meadowlands Stadium, East Rutherford, NJ
TV/Radio Broadcast: Fox, Westwood One, Sirius

NFL Odds: Carolina Panthers (+6.5) -110 VS. New York Giants (-6.5) -110: Over/Under: 41

The first problem that the Panthers are going to have in this game is their youth. Matt Moore is still relatively inexperienced as a starting quarterback, and he is the cornerstone of a youth movement for the visitors. Carolina is the youngest team in the NFL coming into this year with an average age just under the age of 26. Only five players on the entire team are over the age of 30.

The rushing game is going to probably be the focus for head coach John Fox in the first game of what could be his last year with the team. And why not? DeAngelo Williams and Jonathan Stewart were both good for 1,100+ yards last year, and both could go for 100 on most defenses.

The problem? Running the ball isn’t how you beat this New York team. Safeties Kenny Phillips and Antrel Rolle are ball hawkers, and they can easily roll up into the box and challenge opposing rushing games, especially against weak passing games like Carolina’s. The Giants ranked in the bottom third of the league last year against the pass, and unfortunately for Carolina, that porous secondary probably won’t be stretched, particularly if Steve Smith is slowed at all by his arm injury suffered before training camp.

The Giants are going to be as strong as ever offensively, as Eli Manning might be poised for an MVP type of season. He has all of his weapons back intact once again after a year in which he replaced them all. Hakeem Nicks, Steve Smith, and Mario Manningham looked like they were going to be a weakness for Big Blue last year, but they ended up being anything but. Now, this four pack of stars could make all the difference in the world against a team that just doesn’t have the same pass rush it used to without the services of Julius Peppers coming off the end.

Last year, Carolina marched into the Meadowlands and won 41-9 in the final game ever played there. Now, the New Meadowlands is about to get a regular season christening, and we fail to see any other result than a Big Apple beat down. The only question is whether there will be enough points scored to reach this ‘total’ or not. We tend to believe not, especially if we pick up an extra six points.

My NFL Preseason Predictions: 6-point teaser: New York Giants -0.5 w/ Under 47

Source: BetUS Locker Room Featured on: Handicapperspicks.com