MLB Picks: June 10th 2011
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Pick: Royals vs. Angels Under 8
The total for this game has been set way to high. Both of these teams come into tonight’s game really struggling to put runs on the board. Kansas City is averaging just 3 runs over their last 9 games, while the Angels come in averaging just 2 runs over their last 8 games. Makings things even more difficult will be the fact that these two teams are playing at Los Angeles. The UNDER is 37-15 in the Angeles last 58 home games, and 36-15 in the last 51 games played between these two teams at Los Angeles. The UNDER is also 5-1 in Royals last 6 Friday games, 22-7-2 in Angels last 31 home games vs. a team with a road winning % of less than .400, and 33-15-4 in Angels last 52 home games vs. a left-handed starter. BET THE UNDER! -Steve Janus

Pick: Milwaukee Brewers -105
Brewers -110 over Cardinals- There are a number of strong trends that effect his contest and they run in both directions. The Milwaukee Brewers play with the best home record in baseball as they have won 22 of 31 while St. Louis has the best away record in baseball at 20-14 and are 10-4 in their last 14 game in Milwaukee. Cardinals’ Kyle Lohse (7-2, 2.41 ERA) after sitting out most of last season has been outstanding to date but is coming off his worst outing of the season giving up 11 hits in 5.2 innings, he is also 3-7 lifetime against the Brewers with as ERA of 4.98. MILWAUKEE! -Chip Chirimbes

Pick: New York Mets +103
Pittsburgh has a losing record at home with a weak offense, 22nd in runs and 25th in slugging. They face red-hot New York Met pitcher in Dillon Gee (6-0, 3.33 ERA), allowing 40 hits in 54 innings. The Mets are 8-0 in Gee’s last 8 starts and he’s already beaten the Pirates this season. Meanwhile, the Pirates are 8-20 in Charlie Morton’s last 28 starts 5-15 in his last 20 starts vs. a team with a losing record. Play the NY Mets. -Jim Feist (Handicapperspicks.com)

MLB Picks: May 1st 2011
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Pick: Oakland Athletics -115
I can’t pass up the A’s at home at this price with Gonzo on the hill. That’s because the Athletics are 17-4 in Gonzalez’s last 21 starts as a favorite and 9-2 in his last 11 starts as a favorite of -110 to -150. It also can’t be ignored that the A’s are a perfect 8-0 in their last 8 Game #3′s of a series. The Rangers won Saturday, but they’re still only 2-5 in their last 7 road games and 2-5 in their last 7 games following a win. Take the A’s. -Dave Price

Pick: Pittsburgh Pirates +1.5 -110
We’ll take the Pirates catching 1.5 runs at this price considering the struggles of Colorado starter Ubaldo Jimenez. He’s 0-1 (0-3 on the money line) with an ERA of 6.75 this season. Dating back to last season, the Rockies are 0-6 in his last 6 starts, 0-5 in his last 5 starts as a favorite and 0-4 in his last 4 starts with the total set at 7.0-8.5 runs. Pittsburgh starter Charlie Morton is currently in better form. He’s 2-1 with an ERA of 3.00. He has given up a single run in 3 of his 5 starts this season. In addition, Pittsburgh is an impressive 7-2 in its last 9 games as an underdog of +150 or more. The Rockies are 1-5 in their last 6 games following a win and 1-5 in their last 6 home games versus a team with a losing record. Take Pittsburgh on the run line. -Jimmy Boyd (Handicapperspicks.com)

MLB Picks: April 4th 2011
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Pick: Chicago Cubs -160
Chicago will try to right the ship on Monday after losing a home-opening series to the Bucs. Today they host the Arizona Diamondbacks, who were snowed out on Sunday in Colorado. Cubs RH Randy Wells (2010: 8-14, 4.26 ERA) vs. D-backs LH Joe Saunders (2010: 9-17, 4.47 ERA). I like the Cubbies on Monday as Wells has excelled against the D-backs, posting a 2-0 mark with a 3.46 ERA in his career. Saunders struggled this Spring allowing 24 earned runs in 17 1/3 innings, Gibson said Saturday he’s confident with Saunders on the mound. We’ll see. Trends I like for this one include, Cubs are 7-1 in their last 8 games vs. a left-handed starter, are 7-1 in their last 8 games vs. a left-handed starter. Cubs are 5-1 in their last 6 games with the total set at 9.0-10.5. The Diamondbacks are 3-7 in the last 10 meetings in Chicago, and are 0-6 in the last 6 meetings.

Pick: St. Louis Cardinals -147
Kyle Lohse is coming off a great spring, only allowing 5 runs in 24 innings over 5 starts. Healthy and in good form, I expect him to shut down the Pirates this evening. Consider that Lohse is 5-1 with a 3.41 ERA in 10 games versus Pittsburgh. Charlie Morton, who went 2-12 with a 7.57 ERA in 17 starts last season, gets the ball for Pittsburgh. The Pirates are 6-23 in his last 29 starts and 3-18 in his last 21 road starts. In addition, the Pirates are 10-51 in their last 61 road games and they has lost 8 of their last 9 in St. Louis. Take the Cards. -Jimmy Boyd

Pick: Baltimore Orioles -121
I believe that being home and back in Baltimore will be a relief for the Orioles after getting the sweep down in Tampa. The Tigers have been on the road and playing 3 days in a row, with the travel in between will wear on them. I see the O’s scoring a bunch of runs tonight and was leaning the over but think that the Orioles is the better, safer play with the way the Orioles are pitching so far this year! -Luke Anthony (Handicapperspicks.com)

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Zack Greinke, Kansas City Royals (2-10, -$1,011) – We have such a hard time faulting Greinke for this type of a record. His team, quite frankly, just stinks. Yes, Greinke hasn’t put up Cy Young type numbers again for a second straight year, as he has a 3.60 ERA and 17 walks against 60 strikeouts. Still, those numbers should yield a heck of a lot more than a 1-7 mark. There is major cause for concern, though. Over his L/3 starts, Greinke has only pitched 15.1 innings and allowed 24 hits and 13 runs, and has just a 10/6 K/BB ratio.

Ryan Dempster, Chicago Cubs (3-8, -$869) – The last time that the Cubs won a game that Dempster allowed more than one earned run in was back on April 12th. Yes, he hasn’t done much to help himself lately, especially allowing six earned runs in 6.2 innings against the Cardinals right before Memorial Day, but Dempster’s numbers don’t suggest that the Cubs should be just 3-8 this year in 11 starts. Dempster has a 3.72 ERA and has already fanned 72 batters this year, putting him on a pace for 200+ Ks.

Charlie Morton, Pittsburgh Pirates (1-9, -$758) – Now, here’s a case where the pitcher is just having an atrocious season. It’s pretty clear that the Pirates simply shouldn’t have Morton in the rotation. He is still a young kid and should be babied along in the minors for a bit before giving it a whack in the big leagues. At just 1-9 with a 9.35 ERA, Morton was given a bit of a blessing in the form of a free pass from his next few starts. The Pirates stuck him on the 15-day DL retroactive to May 28th for shoulder fatigue.

David Bush, Milwaukee Brewers (2-9, -$721) – Bush picked up a blister on the middle finger of his throwing hand and might not be available for his next start. It might be a good thing for the Brewers if that’s the case. They are just 2-9 in his starts this year and are 1-8 since his second outing of the year. A K/BB ratio of 30/29 for the year represents both far too many walks and not nearly enough strikeouts, while an ERA of 4.99 seems to be the punishment.

Tom Gorzelanny, Chicago Cubs (2-7, -$694) – Gorzelanny has been pitching pretty well this year, as there is no harm in a 3.66 ERA. He has only allowed more than three earned runs twice all season long, but it happens to be that both of those starts were amongst his L/3. However, in his L/5 starts, the southpaw has K’d 36 batters, and if that keeps up, his ERA should once again continue to drop, and hopefully, the Cubs will start winning some games for him.
Source: BetUS Locker Room Featured on: Handicapperspicks.com

Chicago Cubs vs. Pittsburgh Pirates
Free Pick: Chicago Cubs -1.5
Courtesy of Mike Rose (Handicapperspicks.com)
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The Pittsburgh Pirates look to take their first two meetings of the 2010 season from the Chicago Cubs when they battle them at beautiful PNC Park on Wednesday night. The Buccos scored a 3-2 win last night much to the chagrin of Cubs backers who saw their squad leave 18 men on base and squander numerous scoring chances.

This will be Ted Lilly’s 11th career start against the Pirates whom he’s 4-2 against with a 4.02 ERA & 1.39 WHIP. The Cubs went 1-2 in his three outings against them last season. He allowed a total of 15 hits and eight ER’s while K’ing 22 and walking seven in the three starts combined.

Due to Pittsburgh’s lack of starters, Charlie Morton and his 12.57 ERA will get the starting nod for the sixth time this season. The righty has simply been awful to start the year going 0-5 overall allowing 34 hits and 27 ER’s through just 19.1 total innings of work. He’ll truly be tested in this spot against a Cubs squad that’s pounded him in the past. Morton stands 1-2 with a sickening 10.22 ERA & 2.03 WHIP in three career starts vs. Chicago. He did however toss a complete game shutout the last time he faced them in late September of last season.

The Cubs just seem unable to get over that .500 hump! They’ve had the opportunity to do so on three separate occasions this season, and failed miserably each time. However, after giving away last night’s game to a Buccos team making less than half of its team salary, I foresee the Cubs coming out like gangbusters and evening up this series.

Including last night’s loss, the Cubs stand 8-2 their L/10 trips to PNC and they’ve won five of Lilly’s L/7 starts in this venue. The offense is smoking hot against righties right now (.313 BA L/10), and they’ve ripped Morton a new behind in the past. Look for them to take their frustrations out on him after letting last night’s game get away from them.