West Virginia vs. Washington
Free Pick: Under 141 (March 25th 2010 – Jimmy Boyd)
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Plays Under on neutral court teams where the total is between 140 and 149.5 points, WVU in this case, after allowing 60 points or less 3 straight games, against an opponent that has scored 75 points or more 2 straight games, are 26-7 since 1997, 16-4 the last 5 seasons and 13-2 the last 3 seasons. We are only seeing 135.3 total points scored in these games on average. West Virginia’s defense has really tightened its screws, holding its last 5 opponents below 60 points. The Mountaineers have also held 5 of their last 6 opponents to below 40% shooting from the field. WVU’s defense has even succeeded against good shooting teams this season. In fact, WVU is 6-0 Under when playing away from home against good shooting teams, like Washington, who make 45% or more of their shots, after 15+ games this season. Take the Under.
North Carolina vs. Georgia Tech
Free Pick: North Carolina +4 (March 11th 2010 – John Ryan)
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3* graded play on North Carolina as they take on Georgia Tech set to start at 7:00 EST and is an ACC opening round matchup. This is the Our proprietary sports handicapping model and simulator shows a high probability that UNC will lose this game by fewer than 3 points and we wold not be surprised at all to see an upset. Pride is always a very big part of any defending Champion and we believe it will be seen in full force in this game. GT defense has been horrible the past two games yielding 55% shooting to Clemson and 51% shooting to V-tech. UNC has favorable offensive matchups to exploit and we feel strongly that UNC will have a very big game. Based on the model projections rebounding will be nearly equal, but GT is just 1-5 ATS this season and 8-18 ATS the past 3 seasons when final game rebounding stats are +-3. Supporting this graded play is a system that has produced a record of 30-9 ATS for 77% winners since 1997. Play on neutral court teams as a dog off an embarrassing road loss scoring less than 60 points and is a marginal team winning team between 51% to 60% and playing a winning team. Heart of the Champion comes through today. Take UNC.
Maryland vs. Duke
Free Pick: Duke -1.5 (March 3rd 2010 – Jack Jones)
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The Blue Devils have won 6 straight over Maryland, and they’ll add to this winning streak over the Terrapins Wednesday. Duke clinches the ACC with a win tonight, and we cannot see them letting this opportunity go by the way side. Duke already posted a 77-56 win over Maryland in their first meeting this season, and though that game was played at Cameron Indoor, the Terrapins simply don’t have the manpower inside to stop the Blue Devils. Duke grabbed 17 offensive rebounds in that win and 44 rebounds total. This team has scrappers in the middle, and they give guys like Scheyer, Smith and Singler extra opportunities to score at the offensive end with extra possessions. Duke is 7-0 ATS after a game committing 8 or less turnovers over the last 2 seasons. The Blue Devils have won 8 straight games, and they are clearly playing their best basketball of the season to finish, winning six of those eight contests by double-digits.
This play also falls under a system that is 24-5 (83%) over the last 5 years. It tells us to bet against home teams where the line is +3 to -3 (MARYLAND) – very good team – outscoring their opponents by 8+ points/game, in March games. Take Duke to win their seventh straight over Maryland.
