NBA Betting Picks: March 25th 2011
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Pick: Sacramento Kings +7.5
The Kings travel to Indiana for a meeting against the host Pacers on Friday night. This will be the Kings fourth road game in the last six days. No real reason to worry some put too much emphasis on this particular situation even I have used it before but you should look at it on a case-by-case basis. Sacramento is 12-1 ATS (+10.9 Units) in road games against Central division opponents over the last 3 seasons. They are also 21-11 ATS (+8.9 Units) revenging a same season loss this season. Indiana went into Sacramento back on November 30 as a four-point road favorite and came away with a 107 to 98 victory. Our Play ON team qualifies in several key technical situations we found researching our powerful NBA database for tonight’s game. When the Kings are coming off a SU win as an underdog and are now playing in the current price range they are a blistering 18-2-2 ATS. If you put them on the highway in that same situation we find they are perfect at 10-0-1 ATS. Install them, as underdogs in the original situation the Kings are 11-1-1 ATS but make them a road underdog and they are perfect with an 8-0-1 ATS mark. If Sacramento is coming off a road spread win as an underdog and now play in the current price range they are 21-3-5 ATS their last 29 times to post. If the Kings won SU/ATS on the road as an underdog in their last game and now play in the current price range they are a money-making 14-1-2 ATS their last 17 qualifying contests. The database research also uncovered a league-wide system that tells us to Play AGAINST (Indiana) NBA teams coming off a spread victory as a road underdog in a game in which it went Over the posted total and are now installed as a non-conference home favorite. These home favorites are a miserable 97-148-4 ATS. Finally, we want to Play AGAINST NBA home teams that average between 98 and 102 points per game against a team that struggles on the defensive end of the floor allowing 102 or more points per game, after scoring at least one-hundred points in two straight games. Playing against these home teams has produced a record of 53-25 ATS for 68 percent winners the last five seasons. Take the generous points here as the Kings avenge that earlier loss to the Pacers. -Robbie Gainous
Pick: Denver Nuggets -15
Teams in Denver like to go uptempo to take advantage of the thin, mountain air on opponents. Into town come the lifeless Washington Wizards, a team on a 1-8 SU, 2-7 ATS run playing no defense. This is the third straight road game for Washington, a long way from home, and they are 1-33 on the road! The Wizards are 8-22 ATS in their last 30 road games and 17-35 ATS in their last 52 games overall. While the Knicks are stumbling with Carmelo Anthony, Denver is thriving with a new faces, a young athletic team. The Nuggets are 7-0 ATS in their last 7 home games and 22-8 ATS in their last 30 games overall. They returned home from an impressive 4-game road trip (4-0 ATS), which included close losses at Miami (85-82) and Orlando (103-98) by blowing out Toronto, 123-90. Nene had 18 points and seven rebounds, and J.R. Smith had a near triple-double: 13 points, 10 rebounds and eight assists. Then the Spurs came to town and the Nuggets have had a day to rest after a thrilling come from behind 115-112 victory. The Nuggets are 11-4 since the Carmelo Anthony trade. Look for a superior effort by the young, hungry home team that continues to overachieve. Play the Nuggets. -Jim Fiest (Handicapperspicks.com)

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