2011 MLB Baseball Playoff Picks: October 12th 2011
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Pick: Brewers vs. Cardinals Under 7.5
The Under is worth a shot here when you consider these teams are 15-4-3 to the Under in their last 22 meetings in St. Louis. The Under is 7-2-3 in the Brewers’ last 12 road games, 5-1 in Gallardo’s last 6 starts overall and 5-1 in his last 6 starts with the total set at 7.0-8.5. The Under is also 6-1 in Carpenter’s last 7 home starts and 6-1 in his last 7 home starts with the total set at 7.0-8.5. I’ll advise a small play on the Under in this one. -Jeff Alexander

Pick: Rangers vs. Tigers Over 8.5
Expect a high-scoring game in Detroit today. Tigers’ scheduled starter Rick Porcello has struggled at home all season, going 5-6 with an ERA of 5.66. Plus, he has a 6.30 ERA in 2 career starts versus the Rangers. The Tigers have combined with their opponent to finish over the total in each of Porcello’s last 7 starts versus a team with a winning record. We have seen an average of 13.0 runs per game scored in this situation. Texas scheduled starter Matt Harrison hasn’t been able to figure out Detroit. He’s 0-4 with an ERA of 7.42 in 5 career starts versus the Tigers. The Over is 8-1-3 in the Rangers’ last 12 games with the total set at 9.0-10.5 and 5-2-1 in Harrison’s last 8 road starts with the total set at 9.0-10.5. We’ll take the over. -Jimmy Boyd (Handicapperspicks.com)

New York Yankees vs. Detroit Tigers
Prediction: New York Yankees -159 odds (October 6th 2011)
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On Thursday the Free ALDS MLB Power System side is on the New York Yankees. Game 986 at 8:35 eastern. The Yankees fit a rare system that plays on all home teams off a road favored win in a game where the total was 10 or higher, vs an opponent that is off a home dog loss. This system has not lost the last 8+ years. The Yankees average 5.8 runs per game here at the stadium and have I. Nova on the mound here tonight. Nova is 16-3 this season and his ERA is slightly over 2 in his last 4 starts. On Saturday he out pitched Detroit Starter D. Fister, surrendering just 2 runs and 4 hits in 6+ innings of work. Fister who has been outstanding all season keeping hitters off balance with an araay of off speed pitches and a Fast ball with deceptive velocity, struggled here on Saturday night allowing 6 runs and 7 hits in just over 4 innings. In a prior start here Fister was solid going 7 innings allowing just 3 runs. He will have to duplicate that performance to keep the Tigers in the game here tonight. The Yankees have won 9 of the 12 previous meeting here at the Stadium and have a solid edge in what is a rested bullpen. In fact the Yankees 2.93 home bullpen era is a full run better than The Tigers road bullpen era at 3.93. The Yankees have better hitting, particularly at the bottom of the lineup. The Yankees have more big game experience and it appears that Alex Rodriguez may be coming out of his slump as he had a big sacrifice fly and 2 subsequent hits in the 10-1 Blowout win in game four. The Yankees arrive here with the momentum and are the better team with more of the intangibles in their favor. Look for the Yankees to get the win and Move on to the AL Championship series with Texas. On Thursday I have a Triple Perfect College Football Game of the Week. Our team has Solid Cutting Edge Angles that will get you the cash tonight. College football is 25 games over .500 since last season. Jump on and Cash out On Thursday. For the Free play take the New York Yankees. -Rob Vinciletti (Handicapperspicks.com)

MLB Picks: September 28th 2011
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Pick: Detroit Tigers -164
With a chance for home-field advantage in the AL division series, the Tigers will go for the “W” tonight. They have won 9 straight against the Tribe, and they are 4-0 in Porcello’s last 4 home starts vs. the Indians. The Tigers are 20-8 in Porcello’s last 28 starts overall and 6-1 in his last 7 home starts. Take the Tigers. -Dave Price

Pick: St. Louis Cardinals -1.5 -104
With last night’s defeat, Houston fell to 6-29 this season when matchup up against a good team with a winning percentage between 54 and 62 percent. It’s losing these games by an average of 2.7 runs. Houston’s Brett Myers hasn’t shown he can be trusted as home, where he is 3-7 with an ERA of 4.57 this season. He’s lost both of his starts against St. Louis this season by 3 and 2 runs respectively. The Astros are 3-13 in his last 16 starts vs. a team with a winning record, and 1-7 in his last 8 home starts vs. a team with a winning record. The Cardinals are 5-1 in Carpenter’s last 6 starts as a road favorite, and 14-3 in his last 17 starts as a road favorite of -151 to -200. We’ll take St. Louis on the run line. -Jimmy Boyd

Pick: Kansas City Royals -115
Minnesota is 4-20 in the month of September this year. Minnesota is 8-21 this year when playing against a team with a losing record in the 2nd half of the season. Minnesota has lost 4 of their last 5 games overall. Kansas City bullpen has a 3.74 ERA overall this year and a 3.71 ERA on the road this season. Bruce Chen is 12-8 with a 3.98 ERA overall this year and 2-1 with a 2.11 ERA his last 3 starts. Carl Pavano is 8-13 overall this year and 0-2 his last 3 starts. We’ll recommend a small play on Kansas City tonight! Thanks and good luck, Rocky Atkinson

Pick: Royals vs. Twins over 8
These two have been overs machines down the stretch. The Royals have played to the over in 11 of their last 12, and the Twins have played to the over in 12 of their last 14 with one push. Considering Chen has a 5.35 career ERA against the Twins and Pavano has a 5.62 lifetime ERA against the Royals, I’m expecting another high-scoring affair tonight. Bet the Over. -Jeff Alexander (Handicapperspicks.com)

MLB Picks: August 31st 2011
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Pick: Atlanta Braves -160
On Wednesday the Free MLB System play is on the Atlanta Braves. Game 908 at 7;10 eastern. The Braves fit a nice system here that has cashed 14 of 16 times. The lines a bit high to jump it to unit rated status, so its the free play tonight. We want to play on home favorites of -140 or higher off a home favored loss by 5 or more runs if they scored 2 or less runs and had 5+ men left on base, vs an opponent off a road dog win by 5 or more runs with 4 or less men left on base. The Nationals are 4-13 as a road dog in this range and just snapped a 6 game losing streak, even with last nights win they are still scoring under 3 runs per game the past week. The Pitching is pretty even with Lannan having a 4.26 road era vs Lowe with a 4.60 home era. Low has won 7 of 10 starts in divisional play the Braves have the Better pen. Look for Atlanta to bounce back and get the win. On Wednesday the lead Top plays are from a rare 100% MLB power system and a 15-1 Dominator System. Jump on and be on the giving end of Hump day. For the free Play take the Braves. -Rob Vinciletti

Pick: Detroit Tigers -152
10* Play on Detroit at 1:05 ET. The Tigers roared back to defeat KC last night 2-1 here at Comerica Park and I like their chances to make it two straight this afternoon w/ Rick Porcello on the mound. Given the Royals struggles on the road this year, I feel this line is way too low. Kansas City is just 23-43 away from home this season and starter Paulino has a terrible TSR of 13-33 since the beginning of last season. That includes a 9-26 TSR as an underdog and as a team the Royals are just 18-41 this year in the +125 to +175 price range. Detroit is 60-32 their last 92 home day games and Porcello has a 12-3 TSR when the money line is -100 to -150. 10* on Detroit (w/ Porcello). -Tom Freese (Handicapperspicks.com)

MLB Baseball Picks: August 26th 2011
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Pick: Milwaukee Brewers -1.5 +117
Milwaukee is worth a shot on the run line tonight with Wolf on the bump. That’s because the Brewers have won each of his last 5 starts by 2 runs or more. Plus, the Cubs are a lousy 2-16 on the road this season when valued as an underdog of +150 or more. They’re losing these contests by an average of 2.5 runs per game. Take the Brew Crew on the run line. -Jeff Alexander

Pick: Chicago White Sox -126
The Sox have won 13 of their last 16 against the Mariners and should continue their dominance in the series with former Cy Young winner Jake Peavy on the mound. Peavy is 4-1 (5-1 on the money line) with an ERA of 1.99 in 6 career starts against Seattle. In addition, the White Sox are 5-1 in Peavy’s last 6 road starts. We’ll bet Chicago. -Dave Price

Pick: Detroit Tigers -125
The Tigers have won 6 of their last 7 overall and 11 of their last 13 in the road chalk. I have no problem backing them this evening against a struggling Minnesota club that has dropped 20 of its last 26 games. The Tigers have won 13 of the last 16 meetings in this series, including 6 of the last 7 in Minnesota. Detroit also has the edge on the mound with Porcello. The Tigers are 7-2 in his last 9 starts and 4-1 in his last 5 road starts. They’re also 13-3 in his last 16 starts vs. a team with a losing record and 4-0 in his last 4 road starts vs. a team with a losing record. The Tigers are 4-1 in Porcello’s last 5 starts vs. the Twins. Take Detroit. -Jimmy Boyd (Handicapperspicks.com)

MLB Picks: August 20th 2011
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Pick: Boston Red Sox -130
Expect the Red Sox, who have won their last 4 games in Kansas City, to continue their dominance over the Royals, who have lost 6 of their last 7 overall. KC has been a pure fade with Paulino on the hill. The Royals are 0-6 in his last 6 starts, 0-4 in his last 4 home starts and 0-6 in his last 6 starts vs. a team with a winning record. The Red Sox are 6-2 in Wakefield’s last 8 starts and 6-1 in his last 7 starts as a favorite. We’ll take the Red Sox at a decent price.

Pick: Pittsburgh Pirates -105
The Cincinnati Reds are one of the more disappointing teams in baseball this season and when we see them hit like they did on Friday it makes them even more confusing, Joey Votto, Ryan Hanigan, and Brandon Phillips each homered as the Reds scored 11 runs off of 14 hits. On the mound Homer Bailey allowed six hits and three earned runs while striking out six over five innings of work to get a no decision as it was Travis Wood who got his sixth win of the year and Francisco Cordero got his 25th save. For Saturday afternoon’s game Cincinnati starts Dontrelle Willis who has yet to win a game this year. For the season Willis has allowed 41 hits and 18 earned runs while striking out 28 over 39.2 innings of work. Cincinnati is 3-5 in their lst eight road games, 1-6 in their last seven road games against a right handed starter, and 2-5 in Willis’ last seven starts. Cincinnati is 2-6 in the last eight meetings of these two. TAKE PITTSBURGH HERE -Bob Wingerter

Pick: Detroit Tigers -141
The Tigers have won 18 of their last 21 at home against the Tribe, and I look for them to extend the streak Saturday. The Indians are a lousy 3-13 in Huff’s last 16 starts, 2-10 in his last 12 road starts and 1-6 in his last 7 road starts vs. a team with a winning record. We’ll take the Tigers. -Dave Price (Handicapperspicks.com)