Washington Wizards vs. Orlando Magic
Free Pick: Over 194 Points (April 7th 2010 – Doc’s Sports)
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The Wizards have been playing some pretty good defense lately but we think they run into a buzzsaw tonight in Orlando and we see the Magic having a great offensive night tonight – good enough to pass this total mostly on the strength of their own offense. This is the third game in four nights for Washington and we just don’t see them putting up much defensive resistance tonight. Orlando has had two nights off and we think they shoot the lights out tonight. This team averages 104 PPG at home and we think they can do even better than that tonight. While some teams like to slow the pace down once they have a big lead Orlando is not shy about jacking up threes every time down the court when they are up by 20 in the fourth quarter. The Wizards have played pretty well offensively their last couple games, even though those games were against inferior defenses, but it is not out of the realm of possibility that they can score here tonight. But we think Orlando gets in the 110 range tonight with the Wizards making up the difference to get this one over the posted number.
Utah Jazz vs. Los Angeles Lakers
Free Pick: Under 204.5 (April 2nd 2010 – Doc’s Sports Picks)
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Six straight meetings in this series have gone under the posted number. Not one of three meetings this season has gone over 200. Utah has been scoring a lot of points lately but they have had a ridiculous schedule lately that has seen them play the worst defensive teams in the NBA over and over. They have played only one good defensive club in their last 10 games. The Lakers are a Top 10 defense and this team will really look to bring the defensive intensity at home after three straight poor defensive showings on the road. This team plays very stout defense at home and they allow just 95 PPG, on average, on this court. This is a big game for both teams and we think the defensive intensity will be ramped up on both sides, and both of these teams can play good defense and we just don’t see this one being a barnburner, especially looking at the results of the last few meetings. The under is 7-2 in the Lakers last nine home games and 13-6 in their last 19 games as a listed favorite.
New York Knicks vs. Portland Trailblazers
Free Pick: Over 200 (March 31st 2010 – Doc’s Sports)
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Free NBA Pick for Wednesday from Doc’s Sports (15-7 current run and 33-17 long-term run and Doc’s has three strong plays on the board for Wednesday, including a 5-Unit NBA Totals Game of the Week as they look to extend their 10-2 NBA totals run) – #525 Take New York/Portland OVER 200 (10 p.m. EST, Wednesday) The Knicks have really been pushing the pace lately and we just think that the sky is the limit on how many points Portland can score tonight. The Knicks have allowed an average of 109 PPG in their last five contests and none of those games went into OT, as one might expect with defensive numbers that bad. Although not the most explosive offensive team in the league, the Blazers do average 98 PPG at home and they have shown the ability to score well against tempo-pushing, bad defensive clubs. We expect them to have a really good night offensively and we think the Knicks will be able to put up some points tonight and we would probably lean towards them on the line too since we think they should get close to 100 as well. When the Knicks play the Western Conference the totals always tend to be high and 10 of their last 14 meetings with Western Conference teams have gone over the posted number.
Miami Heat vs. Milwaukee Bucks
Free Pick: Milwaukee -2.5 (March 26th 2010 – Doc’s Sports)
Confidence in the Bucks for bettors is at a low point right now after this team laid an egg against a really bad Philadelphia team last time out on this same court. The Bucks were favored by 10 in that game but lost by 15. And then Miami goes to Chicago last night and blows out the Bulls that were favored and that many public bettors were behind. So the general consensus is that Miami will roll tonight. But if you have followed our plays you know we don’t follow the public sentiment. This Bucks team deserves a bad game every now and then but this team has played its best lately against playoff competition and this squad has been playing some of the best defense in the NBA, which will give you a chance to win every night, even when your offense is not clicking. Miami comes into this game on a back-to-back and they are just 6-9 ATS in these situations this season. Andrew Bogut for the Bucks was a late scratch and will miss this game but we think that this team will rise up in his absence and that the home crowd will push this team through. Milwaukee has won and covered three straight in this series and we think they have the Heat’s number again tonight.
Detroit Pistons vs. New Jersey Nets
Free Pick: Detroit +1.5 (March 26th 2010 – Big Al McMordie)
At 8:05 pm, our complimentary selection is on the Detroit Pistons + over the New Jersey Nets. With KiKi Vandeweghe’s men closing in (possibly) on the worst season record in NBA history, it’s awfully hard to back them as a favorite — even against this dreadful Detroit Piston club. New Jersey did win its last game, 93-79 vs Sacramento, but dating back 20 years, NBA teams with a win percentage less than .300 off a win in the last 24 games of the season, are a poor 56-112 (33% ATS) at home. Take the Pistons on Friday night. Good luck, as always…Big Al McMordie.
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Philadelphia 76ers vs. Milwaukee Bucks
Free Pick: Under 191 (March 24th 2010 – Doc’s Sports)
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Well, what do we have here? We have a team that has been playing some of the best defense in the NBA at home against a team that has been really struggling to score. The Bucks average 96 PPG allowed at home on the season but even that number can be misleading because this team has been playing the best defense of the season over the last month or so. Philly has failed to get out of the 80s in four of their last eight games and they have reached the Century Mark just once during that span. This team has some playmakers banged up right now and they weren’t very good offensively to begin with. We really feel like this team may struggle to get out of the 80s again tonight. Even if Milwaukee gets their share of points we have a hard time believing this one will get over 190. We had this number pegged at 188 and we would have leaned towards the under at that number as well. The under is 7-3 in Milwaukee’s last 10 overall, and with some of the shrinking totals they have faced that is a real testament to the defense this team is playing.
Louisville vs. California
Free Pick: California (March 19th 2010 – Doc’s Sports)
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Free Play from Doc’s Sports. #838 Take California over Louisville (Friday 9:55 pm CBS) California played a brutal schedule to open the season but they have finished strong winning six of their last seven games. The PAC-10 was bad this year but Cal has talent, experience, size, and coaching. Louisville had a major drop-off in talent this year and if they do not make shots from the arc, I see them losing this game by double-digits. The Cardinals shot under 45% this season from the field. As good of a coach as Rick Pitino is, Mike Montgomery is no slouch either. Louisville is just 1-4 ATS in their last five NCAA Tournament games. California is 6-1 ATS in their last seven games overall. Don’t forget to sign-up for Doc’s NCAA Tournament Game of the Year which goes on Friday!
Saint Mary’s vs. Richmond
Free Pick: Saint Mary’s -1.5 (2010 NCAA Tournament – Doc’s Sports)
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Free Play from Doc’s Sports. #712 Take Saint Mary’s over Richmond (Thursday 3 pm CBS) A battle between two mid-majors will take place on Thursday in Providence, Rhode Island. The Gaels put any doubt that they would be in this tournament with an impressive performance in the West Coast Conference Tournament Final beating Gonzaga, 81-62. Richmond also reached the finals of the A-10 Tournament but they played two emotional games over the weekend and I do not believe that they will have much left in the tank for the NCAA Tournament. The Gaels have great balance on offense with five players averaging double figures in scoring. They put up close to eighty points per game and that is 10 points per game more then what Richmond is averaging. Richmond did not shoot it well from long range against Temple and Xavier over the weekend going 8 for 26 on Saturday (31%) and 5 for 19 on Sunday (26%). If Saint Mary’s can extend their defense and challenge shots, I expect them to march into the second round. Doc’s Sports has nailed six straight weekend top play winners in college basketball and this Thursday they will release our NCAA Tournament Game of the Year. This is a must have for any big game hunter so sign-up now since Doc has been handicapping college basketball since 1971.
Illinois vs. Wisconsin
Free Pick: Illinois +8.5 (March 11th 2010 – Doc’s Sports)
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Free Play from Doc’s Sports. #843 Take Illinois over Wisconsin (Friday 2:30 pm ESPN) The Illini are squarely on the bubble and cannot afford to look bad for a second straight game against the Badgers. Wisconsin won by 15 points in Champaign on Sunday and that loss put Illinois on the last four in column with regards to the bracket. That being said, Illinois has better talent then does Wisconsin and if they make shots from the arc they are a tough team to beat. Let’s not forget that this Illini team went into Madison and handed the Badgers their only loss this season at the Kohl Center. Illinois is 20-9 ATS in their last 29 games on Friday. Wisconsin is just 2-5 ATS in their last 7 neutral site games. Desperation leads to excellence for the Illini and it would not surprise me if they win this game straight-up. Getting this many points is just an added bonus. Don’t miss Doc’s Sports Conference Tournament Game of the Year (6-unit pick). This play will go on Saturday and we will be looking for our sixth straight weekend top play winner.
Toronto Raptors vs. Los Angeles Lakers
Free NBA Pick: Los Angeles Lakers -10.5 (March 9th 2010 – Jimmy Boyd)
Off 3 straight defeats, look for the Lakers to send a message to the struggling Raptors tonight. Toronto has dropped 5 of its last 6, with 4 of those losses coming by at least 13 points. Plus, the Lakers should be further motivated by a l-point loss at Toronto in January. The last time the Raptors visited the Lakers they fell by 13 points, and this one should end up at least as bad. The Raptors are 0-7 ATS in their last 7 games overall and 0-4 ATS in their last 4 games as a road underdog of 11.0 or greater (line moved to -11 at some books). Lastly, the Lakers are 14-4 ATS in home games after failing to cover 8 or more of their last 10 against the spread under coach Jackson, winning in these spots by an average of 15.3 points. We’ll take the Lakers.
Miami Heat vs. Charlotte Bobcats
Free NBA Pick: Charlotte Bobcats -3.5 (March 9th 2010 – Doc’s Sports
The Bobcats, normally one of the best teams ATS the last couple years, have seen a drop in their production at the betting window due to recent struggles and we just think the bookies have made too big of a move here in adjusting this line. Even though the Bobcats are 4-9 ATS in their last 13 they seem to be getting it together and two of those wins came in their last two and both on this court. We just don’t have any faith in Miami on the road. They have played pretty well on the road lately but their wins have come against weak opponents for the most part, with only one win coming against a playoff-caliber squad. Charlotte is a completely different team at home than on the road and if they played even nearly as well on the road as they do at home they would be one of the top seeds from the East instead of fighting for a playoff spot in general. The Bobcats have won two straight in this series, one home and one away, and have covered in five of the last six.
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St. Johns vs. Depaul
Free Pick: St. John’s (March 5th 2010 – Doc’s Sports)
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Free Play from Doc’s Sports. #835 Take St. Johns over DePaul (8:30 pm ESPN 360) Two bad teams are set to do battle on Friday night at Allstate Arena in Chicago, IL. The Blue Demons have an interim coach and currently sit at the bottom of the Big East with a 1-16 conference record. St. Johns is just 5-12 in the Big East, but they have shown some signs of life playing pretty well in their last four games against good competition. They beat South Florida, took Marquette to OT, and lost by just seven points to Pittsburgh. The Red Storm have dominated this series recently going 4-1 ATS in the last five match-ups. St. Johns has also went 7-0 ATS in their last seven road games against a team with a losing home record. That will be the case tonight, as DePaul is just 6-8 in Chicago this season. Play the visitor and get your bankroll going for the weekend. Don’t forget to sign-up for Doc’s SEC Game of the Year. This selection will go this Saturday and is a must have for any big game hunter.
Cleveland Cavaliers vs. New Jersey Nets
Free Pick: New Jersey +10 (March 3rd 2010 – Doc’s Sports)
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Going with the worst team in the NBA against one of the best teams but the Nets have a strong history in this series and they have been playing some of their best basketball of the season as of late. They have covered four straight in this series and they have also covered in 22 of the last 30 meetings. Although it hasn’t been evident in their ATS results lately the Nets have been playing better and have been keeping games close and have just missed on covering a couple lines recently and they did get that big win in Boston last weekend. If Cleveland has had a weakness lately it has been going on the road where they have dropped two of their last four and they needed OT to get by the Raptors in another. Also think the Cavs might come in and not give 100% as this game is on the road and this is an opponent that they will probably take lightly.
Toronto Raptors vs. Houston Rockets
Free NBA Pick: Over 214 (March 1st 2010 – Doc’s Sports)
Both teams are giving up a ton of points lately. The Rockets have given up an average of 115 per game in their last five games, and not one of those games was an overtime contest! They allowed a whopping 133 last time out on the road at Utah. This has to be considered one of the worst defensive teams in the NBA since the trade deadline. And look who they face tonight, the No. 26 defensive team in the NBA (and the No. 4 offense). Toronto gives up a whopping 109 PPG on the road and they have been pretty bad in that area lately and they are almost always good to put up 100+ a night, even on a decent defense, which is a category that this Houston team just doesn’t fall under right now. The over is 18-9-1 in Toronto’s road games this season and the over is 17-12 in Houston’s home games this season. We think this is going to be a barnburner and this one could get close to 220.
Utah Jazz vs. Los Angeles Clippers
Free NBA Pick: Clippers +6.5 (March 1st 2010 – Black Widow)
We’ll back the Clippers as a big home underdog to the Utah Jazz as Monday’s free pick. The Jazz are just one game over .500 on the road this season and should not be this heavily favored against a Clippers’ team that is actually 17-12 at home this year. L.A. only gives up 96.2 points/game at home against teams who are averaging 100.3 points/game. The Clippers are 3-0 S.U. & 3-0 ATS in their last 3 home games. Utah is just 6-17 ATS (-12.7 Units) in road games after allowing 100 points or more 2 straight games over the last 3 seasons. The Clippers are 5-0 ATS in their last 5 home games vs. a team with a winning road record and 11-3-1 ATS in their last 15 home games overall. Take the Clippers and the points.
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