Expert’s Week 3 NFL Picks: September 25th 2011
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Pick: Tennessee Titans -7
Tennessee dominated the Ravens at home last week, and I like its chances here against a Denver team it will be looking to payback for last year’s loss. The Titans should be able to run all over a Denver defense that ranks 28th in the league with 131 rushing yards allowed per game. The Broncos won last week but are 0-4-1 ATS in their last 5 games following a SU win. They are 1-4-1 ATS in their last 6 games overall and 1-5 ATS in their last 6 road games. Lay the points. -Jeff Alexander

Pick: Chicago Bears +4
For whatever reason the Bears just don’t get a lot of credit from the oddsmakers, and that has set up a must play on Chicago in week 3 against the Packers. Green Bay comes into the game extremely hyped after winning the Super Bowl and starting the season 2-0, but have had their troubles against the Bears in recent matchups. Chicago’s defense plays at a whole different level on their home field, and are going to come into this game extremely motivated after having their season ended by the Packers in the NFC Championship game last season. Chicago is 6-2 ATS vs. a team with a winning record, 3-1-1 ATS in their last 5 games following a S.U. loss, and 5-0-1 ATS in their last 6 games after scoring less than 15 points in their previous game. BET THE BEARS! -Steve Janus

Pick: New Orleans Saints -3.5
Saints -3.5 (2.2* FREE PLAY) Love the Saints right now the Texans beat two teams that are not going to the playoffs in the Dolphins and the Colts and really are not prepared for what Brees is going to bring in this match up. Brees has not thrown an interception and he has a ridiculous 157.7 QB rating on 3rd down, best in NFL. He dominated the Packers pass defense that was one of the best a year ago and took care of the Bears a team that dominated a very good Falcons team. Saints are back in my opinion they had a very good off season and should win this game. Saints remember getting robbed vs. the Packers and the Texans to me are a worse version of the Packers. Texans can throw the ball and run, but I believe the Saints defense will be more aggressive with blitzs and that should result in turnovers. Texans are 4-9-2 ATS in their last 15 following an ATS win and the Saints are 9-3 ATS in their last 12 as a home favorite 3.5-10 points. -Freddy Wills

Pick: Minnesota Vikings +3.5
Detroit is 0-8 SU and ATS as a road favorite of 3 1/2 points or less. Minnesota is 17-2 SU at home vs Detroit since 1992. Detroit is 3-7 ATS last 10 meetings in this series including 1-4 ATS last 5 in Minnesota. Detroit is 1-8 ATS off a straight up win vs opponent with revenge. Detroit is 1-6 ATS away off a non-conference game. Detroit is 1-6 ATS a double digit SU win and ATS win. Jim Schwartz is 0-5 ATS vs a less than .500 opponent off back to back straight up losses. Minnesota is 11-1 ATS off back to back SU losses vs .500 or better opponent. We’ll recommend a small play on Minnesota today! Thanks and good luck, Rocky (Handicapperspicks.com)

Monday Night Football will provide you with another chance to sink your teeth into the latest NFL betting line for the biggest night of the week! The New Orleans Saints will kick off the road portion of their season against the San Francisco 49ers.
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New Orleans Saints vs. San Francisco 49ers
Game Date/Time: Monday, September 20th, 8:30 ET
Game Location: Candlestick Park, San Francisco, CA
TV/Radio Broadcast: ESPN, Westwood One, Sirius

NFL Odds: New Orleans Saints (-5.5) -110 vs. San Francisco 49ers (+5.5) -110: Over/Under 44

The Saints didn’t get off to their ideal start to the season last week, but wins are wins and beating the NFL betting line is beating the NFL betting line. New Orleans trumped the Minnesota Vikings 14-9 in the opening game of the season on primetime on Thursday night and have had some extra time to prepare for this contest.

It wasn’t the most stellar start in the world for Drew Brees, but there is no doubt that 27-of-36 passing for 237 yards and a score is good enough to win a lot of games.

It was a disastrous week for Reggie Bush, who not only is going to be forced to cough up his 2005 Heisman Trophy, but he is playing poorly to start the year as well. The former USC Trojan only had two carries for 14 yards and caught five passes for 33 yards in the victory.

Disaster. That’s the only way that the Niners’ 31-6 loss at Qwest Field to the Seattle Seahawks could be described, especially after taking a 6-0 lead and dominating the first 25 minutes of the game.

Running the ball was a huge problem for San Fran, which shouldn’t be the case considering the fact that its offensive line is full of relatively recent first and second round draft choices and that Frank Gore is one of the best backs in the league. He only rushed for 38 yards on 17 carries.

Alex Smith throwing two picks against no TD passes certainly didn’t help either for an offense that only mustered 263 yards of total offense on the day.

NFL Insider Tip : The 49ers simply love facing the NFL betting line on Monday Night Football, as they’re 16-5 ATS in their L/21 attempts!

The Niners haven’t won a game in this series since 2002, losing four straight since that point. The bad news is that the Saints are 10-2 ATS over their L/12 clashes in this rivalry. The good news is that San Fran has already received its wake up call. This is a gritty team that isn’t going to be afraid of the defending champs, and head coach Mike Singletary is going to be calling this one the biggest game of the season… and he might be right.

Take the points on the NFL betting line on Monday Night Football!

My NFL Predictions: San Francisco 49ers (+5.5) -110

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BetUS Sportsbook is back with another set of NFL parlay picks in the Week 1 NFL betting duel between the Minnesota Vikings and the New Orleans Saints from the Louisiana Superdome.
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Minnesota Vikings vs. New Orleans Saints
Game Date/Time: Thursday, September 9th, 8:30 ET
Game Location: Louisiana Superdome, New Orleans, LA
TV/Radio Broadcast: NBC, Westwood One, Sirius

Football Odds: Minnesota Vikings (+5) -110 vs. New Orleans Saints (-5) -110: Over/Under 48

The poor Vikings have been all over the board in the preseason. First, Tarvaris Jackson and Sage Rosenfels thought they were dueling for the starting quarterback job. Then Brett Favre came back to town. Then Sidney Rice was ruled out for the first half of the regular season. Then Percy Harvin suffered migraines that have kept him off of the field for a number of weeks.

Now Rosenfels is gone, Jackson is a backup, and the receiving corps for the men in purple and gold is totally cut and paste.

To Favre’s credit, he is coming off of a season in which he played like an MVP, but odds have it, a preseason with two picks and no TD passes probably doesn’t bode well for another season of less than double digits in INTs.
Inevitably, there is going to be more pressure put on Adrian Peterson this year after the departure of backup Chester Taylor. AP rushed for 122 yards in the postseason defeat last year to the Saints, but that was his only 100 yard rushing game since Week 10 of the regular season.

On the other side of the field, the Saints have done nothing but stay remarkably consistent. They are notably thin at running back after the losses of Lynell Hamilton and PJ Hill in the preseason, but aside from that, they made it out of training camp relatively unscathed.

It looks like a potentially fantastic year once again for Drew Brees, who is working on the heels of a season in which he threw for 4,388 yards and 34 TDs.

You have to go back to Week 15 against the Dallas Cowboys to find the last time that Brees was picked off in a game, and you can bet that he’ll be hard pressed to turn the pigskin over in this one as well.

NFL Insider Tip: The Vikings have covered five straight and seven out of eight spreads in this series, making them great NFL parlay picks dating back to 2001.

That all ends on Thursday, though. Minnesota just has too many question marks coming into this game, particularly offensively, and with the banners being raised on Thursday night for their first championship, the Saints are certainly going to be coming out with guns blazing.

The Saints would make for great NFL parlays picks on Thursday night.

My NFL Predictions: New Orleans Saints (-5) -110

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The 2010 NFL betting campaign is about to kick off its first full week of the preseason on Thursday night. BetUS Sportsbook is already raring to go with a list of props for you to sink your teeth into for this season. Check out our analysis of the NFL betting props regarding the MVP in 2010.
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Drew Brees, New Orleans Saints (+700) – Brees makes the most sense to become the league’s MVP this year due to the fact that he is going to be called upon the most to lead his team to the playoffs. There really is no doubt that the Saints are going to the second season, which is usually a prerequisite for winning this award. In spite of the fact that names like Brady and Manning are still at the tops of their games, we tend to believe that Brees might be the best thing going right now. Is 5,000 passing yards out of the equation? We aren’t ones to doubt the defending champs.

Philip Rivers, San Diego Chargers (+900) – If you really believe that the Chargers are going to throw the ball an even higher percentage of the time this year than they did last year, Rivers might be the man to look at. There is no doubt that the former member of the NC State Wolfpack is worth at least a good look, as he is probably going to be used more on the goal line now that RB LaDainian Tomlinson is gone. HC Norv Turner probably trusts his veteran quarterback with the ball near the end zone a lot more than he does a scat back (Darren Sproles) or a rookie (Ryan Mathews). With TE Antonio Gates and WR Vincent Jackson both capable of 1,500 yard seasons, Rivers is a logical choice for the league’s MVP.

Tony Romo, Dallas Cowboys (+1200) – Romo has a new weapon at his disposal this year with WR Dez Bryant in the fold, and that could be just the kick he needs to become a legitimate MVP selection. Romo knows he can throw for 5,000 yards if need be, and with this type of an offense, OC Jason Garrett will be perfectly content to let him throw the ball 40-45 times if need be for the Cowboys to triumph. If Dallas wins the NFC East this year, it is going to be on Romo’s right arm; He’s a great MVP selection at these nfl betting odds!

Joe Flacco, Baltimore Ravens (+1800) – Flacco is a bit of a longshot, particularly for as much as RBs Ray Rice and Willis McGahee run the ball, but with WR Anquan Boldin now in his arsenal of weapons, Flacco has no excuse not to bring the purple and black back to the playoffs in 2010. Baltimore has a very manageable schedule as well, and getting to the playoffs will almost certainly yield at least one MVP candidate. Flacco seems like the most logical choice with both the rushing game and receiving duties being split relatively evenly.

Source: BetUS Locker Room Featured on: Handicapperspicks.com

The 2010 NFL betting campaign is about to kick off with the Hall of Fame Game on Sunday night in Canton, OH. BetUS Sportsbook is already raring to go with a list of props for you to sink your teeth into for this season. Check out our analysis of the NFL betting props about the QB to throw for the most yards.
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Drew Brees, New Orleans Saints (+400) – Brees is the favorite in this category for good reason. For starters, he probably has the worst defense in the bunch of these QBs that are most likely to throw for the most yards. Aside from that, HC Sean Peyton is perfectly content to let him throw the ball 50 times in a game, even if the Saints are winning. Don’t be shocked to see Brees threaten the 5,000 yard barrier once again this year.

Peyton Manning, Indianapolis Colts (+500) – We aren’t overly thrilled with the prospects of Manning this year even though we know he is good for 4,000+ yards seemingly every year. At some point, age is going to catch up to #18 and he is going to end up declining. Is he at that point at the age of 34 – Quite possibly? There could also be a bit of a rift between Manning and his new offensive coordinator Clyde Christensen which could hold things up just a bit.

Matt Schaub, Houston Texans (+550) – HC Gary Kubiak seems committed to try to run the ball more this season after having the top rating passing game in the NFL and the second to last rated rushing game in 2009. However, Schaub is going to have a full arsenal of weapons this year, including WR Andre Johnson and the now healthy TE Owen Daniels. The defense in Houston still isn’t much to write home about, which could create plenty of shootout situations. Schaub could be a great choice as the third favorite if he proves to stay healthy for the full 16 games.

Tony Romo, Dallas Cowboys (+900) – Romo is a nice underdog selection because he is going to have a ridiculously explosive set of receivers to throw to. We already know that TE Jason Witten can be good for 80+ catches and 1,000+ yards any given year, and the trio of Roy Williams, Miles Austin, and Dez Bryant at wide receiver might be the best in the league. If Dallas needs Romo to throw for 4,500+ yards, he has the skills and the weapons around him to do just that.

Matthew Stafford, Detroit Lions (+5000) – We don’t really believe that Stafford is going to throw for the most yards in the NFL this year, but with the Lions trailing in so many games, he is going to be asked to sling the ball all over the field. Stafford has a new toy in the form of RB Jahvid Best that can turn a three yard swing pass into a 70 yard TD. There are high expectations this year for the offense in the Motor City, and Stafford could be in for some monumental growth in ’10.

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The NFC South has produced a ton of Super Bowl competitors over the last decade or so, including last season when the New Orleans Saints won it all for the first time in franchise history. Which one of these four recent Super Bowl contenders will earn the right to go back to the playoffs again this year? Find out with our pro football betting analysis of the NFC South odds.
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New Orleans Saints (-150 odds) – Simply put, there should be no stopping the Saints this season. QB Drew Brees might still be one of the most underrated players in football in spite of the fact that he just led his team to a win in Super Bowl XLIV last year. He has offensive weapons at his disposal second to none in the NFC, and with a defense that has a tendency to turn you over, HC Sean Peyton should be heading back to the postseason with another division title in tote.
My NFL Predictions: 13-3, 1st place in NFC South

Atlanta Falcons (+200 odds) – The Falcons came up just short of the playoffs last season, but they proved for the second straight year that they are a legitimate force to be reckoned with. The second year for QB Matt Ryan was a successful one in Hot ‘Lanta, and the only question mark is going to be whether or not RB Michael Turner can return to form or not after a bit of an injury-riddled 2009 campaign. Add DB Dunta Robinson to the mix, and the defense should be good enough to carry the Falcons to the second season.
My NFL Predictions: 10-6, 2nd place in NFC South

Carolina Panthers (+600 odds) – Carolina could be in a boat load of trouble this season. Yes, both RBs DeAngelo Williams and Jonathan Stewart are capable of being 1,000+ yard backs again this year, but that doesn’t mean the offense will be successful overall. There could be a rotating quarterback system in place for the Panthers, as neither Matt Moore nor rookie Jimmy Clausen really strikes fear in us. Add the loss of DE Julius Peppers and the fact that HC John Fox doesn’t have a contract in place for once this season is over, the recipe could be ripe for a disaster.
My NFL Predictions: 5-11, 3rd place in NFC South

Tampa Bay Buccaneers (+1500 odds) – The Bucs know that they are still at least one more rebuilding year away from being able to compete in the NFC South. They did win some shocking games down the stretch last year, including winning in the Superdome at the end of the season to nearly keep the Saints from carrying home field advantage throughout the NFC playoffs. HC Raheem Morris is one of the most exciting young coaches in the league. Two rookie defensive tackles will highlight a defense that has at least eight starters under the age of 26. That will be great in the future for Tampa Bay in all likelihood, but at least for right now, it could be another long season.
My NFL Predictions: 4-12, 4th place in NFC South

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