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New York Giants vs. Philadelphia Eagles Prediction: November 21st 2010

November 21st, 2010
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New York Giants vs. Philadelphia Eagles
Prediction: New York Giants +3
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Ryan is on a 75% ATS winning run w/his TOP RATED 25* Titan releases. Admittedly, his 25* Titan play on the Redskins was by far the worst loss of his 17-year career, but at the end of the day counts as just 1 loss. This play features a proven 10-year system hitting 85% ATS winners and a perfect 100% ATS game situation.

5* graded play on the Giants. This is by far the best Sunday Night Football game this season pitting the New York Giants (6-3, 3-1 away) against the Philadelphia Eagles (6-3, 2-2 home) with first place in the NFC East up for grabs. With six teams now tied with 6-3 records and Atlanta posting the conference’s best record at 7-2 the winner will take a big step to securing a playoff spot.

As obvious as it may appear the Giants must find ways to stop Michael Vick if they are to win this game. However, there are no obvious defensive schemes that any defensive coordinator can implement that will work consistently through a 60 minute game. The one scheme we know does not work is what Washington chose to do. They took their best defender and had him as a ‘spy’ and Vick’s athleticism and decision making exploited that in a huge way breaking many MNF football and team records in the process. Vick scored six touchdowns with four through the air and two rushing the ball. He had 333 passing yards and 80 rushing yards for 413 yards of total offense.

No quarterback has been hotter and playing the complete position of quarterback than Michael has been in the history of the NFL. However, how much better can the performance get or is it even sustainable? The man hasn’t even thrown an interception yet this season and offensive coordinator Marty Mornhinweg stated” he hasn’t missed many reads at all…. in fact, (Monday night), man alive, I tell you it’e one of the very best games I’ve been involved with in terms of quarterback decision-making”. So, the unenviable task for Giants defensive coordinator Perry Fewell is first to eliminate the long ball threat and to then contain Vick and push the pocket to his right since he is left-handed.

Vick is a left-handed quarterback and making him go right and have to throw across his body will minimize his ability to throw lasers into tight spots. In order to get the pocket moved, the defensive backs will have to do an excellent job at jamming the wide receivers at the line of scrimmage and throw off the timing of the designed routes. The Giants do have physical coverage personnel that can achieve this, but it is imperative that the defensive front does not break containment and allow Vick to scramble outside the pocket. This allows the receivers to get that extra second to gain separation from their defender and is why Vick has many times thrown to wide open teammates.

Applying a full scale blitz scheme will not be successful against Vick. Although Vick has been sacked 15 times this season, he has clearly shown that he would rather pass first than run first. He has rushed the ball 44 times for 341 yards averaging 7.8 yards per attempt. Yet, on several occasions he has tucked the ball only to stay behind the line of scrimmage and complete passes. He has completed 62.7% of his passes thrown for 1350 yards and 11 touchdowns.

On Monday Night the opening play of the game was a designed rollout to his left giving Jackson ample time to clear the coverage and Vick threw a perfect pass to complete a stunning 88 yard touchdown pass. Later in the game, with Vick dropping back and then being pushed to his right, he had 7.3 seconds from snap to throw to execute another touchdown pass to Avant in the back of the end zone. There are few defenders that can cover past four-seconds after the snap so containment and not sacks will be the goal for the Giants defense.

The Tampa-2 defense will be the featured scheme used by the Giants. The goal of that scheme is to keep everything in front of them and eliminate the big play preferring to allow underneath routes. Vick can complete the short routes, but then the offense has to earn the scores with multiple play drives. So, with a so-called ‘soft’ Tampa-2, the Giants can still use their base defense that features three safeties. They will not engage a safety at the line of scrimmage to stop the run or for containment as that has failed every time this year by previous Eagle opponents.

The fact is that the Giants have a very strong quarterback of their own in Eli Manning. The Giants offense can pound the ball between the tackles against a highly over rated Eagles defense. The Giants can execute long time consuming scoring drives that keep Vick off the field and wears down the Eagles defense. Vick’s play and the scoring explosions have taken opponents right out of their game plan and forced them to try and pass their way back into the football game. In these situations, the Eagles have faced the easiest to defend situations.

Here is a system that has produced a 40-16 ATS mark for 71.4% winners since 2000 and supports a play on the Giants. Play against home teams where the line is +3 to -3 after allowing seven or more passing yards per attempt last game and now facing an opponent after allowing eight or more passing yards per attempt in their last game. 50% of these games played covered the spread by more than seven points. -John Ryan (Handicapperspicks.com)

New York Giants vs. Dallas Cowboys Betting Pick: October 25th 2010

October 25th, 2010
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GIANTS VS. COWBOYS OVER UNDER PICKA Monday night divisional match-up should generate plenty of football betting interest when the New York Giants travel to Dallas to take on the Cowboys. Dallas is desperate at 1-4 and in last place of the NFC East while the Giants enter 4-2 and tied for the top spot with Philadelphia.
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New York Giants vs. Dallas Cowboys
Game Date/Time: Monday, October 25, 8:30 ET
Game Location: Dallas Cowboys Stadium, Dallas Texas
TV/Radio Broadcast: ESPN

NFL Football Odds: New York Giants (+3) +100 vs. Dallas Cowboys (-3) -120: Over/Under 44.5

The Cowboys were a football betting loser again last week as more miscues, turnovers and penalties proved costly again as they lost at Minnesota. Dallas out-gained Minnesota 314 to 188 yards and held the Vikings offense to just 3.8 yards per play. Why the continued losing for the Cowboys despite more impressive stats than most opponents? Penalties, turnover, mistakes and a lousy coach. Dallas is another football betting team that is long on talent and lacks any competence in coaching and discipline. The Cowboys lead the league with 81 penalty yards per game, many at inopportune times costing the team a big play, scoring or field position.

The New York Giants have put together a solid three game winning streak thanks to a defense that has taken over as the NFC’s #1 unit. New York is allowing just 264 yards per game and NFL best 4.3 yards per play. The Giants were a football betting winner against two top passing attacks and were able to shut them both down. Houston’s Matt Schaub passed for just 171 yards and Chicago’s Jay Cutler was limited to just 42 yards passing with his backups totaling 72 yards through the air. However, the Giants relentless pass rush sacked Bears quarterbacks 10 times including Cutler nine times in the first half alone.

The Giants defense faces their toughest challenge to date, as Dallas is the NFC’s #1 offense averaging 400 yards per game and quarterback Tony Romo is among the league passing leaders with a 313 yards per game average and 10 touchdowns through the air. Wide receiver Roy Williams has been a football betting favorite of Romo in the red zone, as Williams has caught five touchdown passes while wide receiver Miles Austin is Romo’s top target with 33 receptions and nearly 100 yards per game.

The Giants offense is balanced with quarterback Eli Manning passing for 246 yards per game and 10 touchdowns while Ahmad Bradshaw has taken over a bulk of the running duties, averaging a very solid 5.3 yards per rush and 97 rushing yards per game. Brandon Jacobs is still the big back that has four touchdowns and gives the Giants a needed football betting back in short yardage. Hakeem Nix has emerged as a top target with six touchdowns and over 400 yards receiving on 36 receptions. Steve Smith compliments Nix with 34 catches and 370 yards receiving.

NFL Insider Tip: The ‘over’ is 6-2-1 ATS the L/9 overall meetings and 9-1 ATS in the Giants L/10 games against NFC opponents including a 6-2 ATS mark to the ‘over’ on field turf.

Both teams have offensive weapons and competent quarterback play to move the ball, despite some solid defensive stats on both teams. With the football betting world watching Monday night, this should be a real showcase of talent with plenty of big plays and scoring opportunities.

My Monday Night Over Under Pick: New York/Dallas Over 44.5
Courtesy of Mike Rose (Betus.com RSS Feed)

NFL Predictions: Carolina Panthers vs. New York Giants Teaser Pick: September 12th 2010

September 10th, 2010
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Of all the games on the Week 1 slate in the NFL preseason, one game stands out quite a bit as one that you can cash in on in a big way. The New York Giants will take on the Carolina Panthers in a game that sets up perfectly for an in-game football betting teaser.
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Carolina Panthers vs. New York Giants
Game Date/Time: Sunday, September 12th, 1:00 ET
Game Location: New Meadowlands Stadium, East Rutherford, NJ
TV/Radio Broadcast: Fox, Westwood One, Sirius

NFL Odds: Carolina Panthers (+6.5) -110 VS. New York Giants (-6.5) -110: Over/Under: 41

The first problem that the Panthers are going to have in this game is their youth. Matt Moore is still relatively inexperienced as a starting quarterback, and he is the cornerstone of a youth movement for the visitors. Carolina is the youngest team in the NFL coming into this year with an average age just under the age of 26. Only five players on the entire team are over the age of 30.

The rushing game is going to probably be the focus for head coach John Fox in the first game of what could be his last year with the team. And why not? DeAngelo Williams and Jonathan Stewart were both good for 1,100+ yards last year, and both could go for 100 on most defenses.

The problem? Running the ball isn’t how you beat this New York team. Safeties Kenny Phillips and Antrel Rolle are ball hawkers, and they can easily roll up into the box and challenge opposing rushing games, especially against weak passing games like Carolina’s. The Giants ranked in the bottom third of the league last year against the pass, and unfortunately for Carolina, that porous secondary probably won’t be stretched, particularly if Steve Smith is slowed at all by his arm injury suffered before training camp.

The Giants are going to be as strong as ever offensively, as Eli Manning might be poised for an MVP type of season. He has all of his weapons back intact once again after a year in which he replaced them all. Hakeem Nicks, Steve Smith, and Mario Manningham looked like they were going to be a weakness for Big Blue last year, but they ended up being anything but. Now, this four pack of stars could make all the difference in the world against a team that just doesn’t have the same pass rush it used to without the services of Julius Peppers coming off the end.

Last year, Carolina marched into the Meadowlands and won 41-9 in the final game ever played there. Now, the New Meadowlands is about to get a regular season christening, and we fail to see any other result than a Big Apple beat down. The only question is whether there will be enough points scored to reach this ‘total’ or not. We tend to believe not, especially if we pick up an extra six points.

My NFL Preseason Predictions: 6-point teaser: New York Giants -0.5 w/ Under 47

Source: BetUS Locker Room Featured on: Handicapperspicks.com

NFL Preseason Picks: Patriots vs. Giants Odds & Prediction: September 2nd 2010

September 2nd, 2010
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BetUS Sportsbook is back with another fantastic football betting line analysis in the Week 4 NFL preseason duel between the New England Patriots and the New York Giants from New Meadowlands Stadium.
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New England Patriots vs. New York Giants
Game Date/Time: Thursday, September 2nd, 7:00 ET
Game Location: New Meadowlands Stadium, East Rutherford, NJ
TV/Radio Broadcast: Local TV, Westwood One, Sirius

NFL Football Odds: New England Patriots (+3) -105 vs. New York Giants (+3) -115: Over/Under 37.5

Even though the Patriots have scored the third most points in the NFL this preseason, don’t expect them to be going all out to improve upon those numbers this weekend. Tom Brady played into the fourth quarter of last week’s mildly surprising 36-35 loss to the St. Louis Rams, and Bill Belichick has to be thrilled about the fact that his offense is operating so well.

That being said, expect to see some more out of backup Brian Hoyer. Hoyer has only completed 54.8 percent of his passes for 205 yards in the preseason, but he has thrown two TD passes without chucking a pick.

He would be helped out dramatically by his defense if the unit could hold the Giants to less than its averages so far in the summer. New England is allowing 344.3 yards and 23.3 points per game thus far through three bouts against the football game line.

No team has done a worse job defensively this preseason though, than the Giants. New York is allowing a whopping 387.3 yards per game, a league worst 281 of which have come through the air. This is terrible news for both the front four, which is getting minimal pressure on opposing QBs, and the secondary, which is clearly just getting abused.

The offense might see Eli Manning for a bit more than the average starting quarterback in the fourth game of the preseason, as he has only thrown 26 passes thus far, completing just 13 of them. It will be interesting to see whether Victor Cruz gets more reps after his stellar exhibition campaign in which he has accounted for a dozen catches, 251 yards, and all four of the team’s receiving touchdowns.

The Giants have only forced three turnovers in as many games in the preseason, which is why their defensive stats look so dismal.

NFL Insider Tip: Dating back to last year, the G-Men are only 3-6 SU and ATS in their L/9 games overall.

New York is probably just a wee too inconsistent to back in this game. Grabbing points in the preseason is always a good idea, especially when you really don’t have much of a clue about what either head coach is thinking in terms of quarterback rotation.

Odds have it, New England is going to lead you to victory on the football game line.

My NFL Predictions: New England Patriots (+3) -105

Source: BetUS Locker Room Featured on: Handicapperspicks.com

NFL Betting: 2010 Odds To Win The NFC East

July 29th, 2010
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The 2010 NFL odds are out, and BetUS Sportsbook is looking at the NFC East today. The Dallas Cowboys proved to be too much to top last season, but they are going to be on high alert this year, as all three teams feel like they have to be contenders for a home playoff game.
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Dallas Cowboys (+125 odds) – The Cowboys made real headlines last week by becoming the first team in the NFL to sign their first round draft pick, WR Dez Bryant. Bryant could bring a whole other dimension to the passing game, which was one of the best in the league last year. Between the play of QB Tony Romo and his weapons, including Bryant, WR Miles Austin, WR Roy Williams, and TE Jason Witten, Dallas is sure to be back in the playoff mix once again this year.
My NFL Predictions: 11-5, 1st place in NFC East

New York Giants (+270 odds) – The Giants failed to make the playoffs last year, but it wasn’t the offense’s fault. QB Eli Manning did the best he could with an entirely new set of receivers and tight ends. The play of WR Steve Smith was outstanding last year, and if either Hakeem Nicks or Mario Manningham can step up and do the same thing this season, the New York offense is going to be fantastic. Rookie DE Jason Pierre-Paul and the addition of SS Antrel Rolle from Arizona should help out a pass defense which was the worst in the division last year. The playoffs aren’t out of the question for HC Tom Coughlin’s crew.
My NFL Predictions: 10-6, 2nd place in NFC East

Philadelphia Eagles (+270 odds) – Now that QB Donovan McNabb has moved on, the Eagles have a lot of work to do. QB Kevin Kolb looked sharp in limited action last season, and he is going to be the man tabbed with the duty of making the fans in the City of Brotherly Love forget about #5. It is the defense that concerns us though, especially in the secondary. Philadelphia didn’t have a fantastic secondary last season, and though S Marlin Jackson was signed to help fill the void, his Achilles rupture is going to take him out of the lineup for the entire season.
My NFL Predictions: 8-8, 3rd place in NFC East

Washington Redskins (+550 odds) – Speaking of Donovan McNabb… He’s the new man under center in our nation’s capitol, and along with him comes new HC Mike Shanahan. If owner Dan Snyder is right that the play of QB Jason Campbell and coaching abilities of former HC Jim Zorn really were inadequate, the Redskins could challenge for the NFC East title this year. Though both Shanahan and McNabb are upgrades on their predecessors, it won’t be enough to get the Skins into the playoffs or out of the NFC East gutter. There is still far too much work to be done here for success.
My NFL Predictions: 7-9, 4th place in NFC East

Source: BetUS Locker Room Featured on: Handicapperspicks.com

2010 New York Giants Odds & Predictions

July 16th, 2010
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Even though the New York Giants didn’t make the playoffs last season, they still had to feel as though they took a number of steps in the right direction, particularly offensively. Here are five burning questions that will determine if the G-Men are beating the football odds this year.
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1: Was last season a fluke for these young wide receivers? Many thought that trying to replace the trio of TE Jeremy Shockey, WR Plaxico Burress, and WR Amani Toomer was going to be too tough to do for New York. Little did we know that the Giants were going to have the second highest scoring offense in the division thanks to a combined 211 receptions, 2,832 yards, and 18 TDs by Steve Smith, Mario Manningham, and Hakeem Nicks. Things shouldn’t change this year either, as QB Eli Manning has built a real rapport with these wide outs.

2: Eli Manning: The real deal yet? We tend to believe that the man known as “Peyton’s little brother” has built an identity of his own to keep now. The younger Manning threw for 4,021 yards and 27 scores, and he did so with a completely rebuilt offense. If that isn’t good enough to be considered the real deal, we aren’t so sure what is. We are absolutely buying Manning as the top QB in this division and one of the best in the conference.

3: Will the New Meadowlands help the G-Men? For a team that went just 2-5-1 ATS at home last season, we sure hope so. Teams tend to perform well within their new digs, if for no other reason that there isn’t a team in the league that’s been on the field yet; save for the Jets. Once the New York Giants take the field, they will have a real home field advantage against even the wiliest of veterans who won’t know exactly what that field looks and feels like.

4: Will the addition of Jason Pierre-Paul help out the D-Line which badly struggled in ’09? In the NFC East, you need pass rushers. This is what won the Giants the Super Bowl three years ago. The likes of Osi Umenyiora, Michael Strahan, Justin Tuck, and Mathias Kiwanuka… none of them are playing up to their own standards (and of course, Strahan is retired now). That’s why HC Tom Coughlin felt the need to go out and spend a mid-first round pick on Pierre-Paul out of South Florida. Look for the rookie to step in and immediately teach the vets a thing or two and get New York back to its sacking ways. His athleticism should really flourish along the Giants D-Line!

5: Bottom Line: How many games will the New York Giants win in 2010? Asking the Giants to win nine games in the NFC East isn’t unreasonable this year considering the fact that the Eagles have probably taken at least one or two steps backwards after running QB Donovan McNabb out of town. A third place schedule is about as favorable as one could ask for. Look for New York to get to at least nine, and most likely ten wins and possibly get back into the playoffs.

Source: BetUS Locker Room 2010 New York Giants Predictions Featured on: Handicapperspicks.com