MLB Picks for August 18th 2011: Bet The Diamondbacks And Marlins As Underdogs

August 18, 2011 By

MLB Picks: August 18th 2011
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Pick: Arizona Diamondbacks +133
The Arizona Diamondbacks are showing some great value at +133 against the Phillies on Thursday. Arizona had won seven straight before falling last night, including a 3-2 win over Roy Halladay on Tuesday. Both teams will send out outstanding starting pitching, as Ian Kennedy takes the rubber for Arizona against Vance Worley. While both starters have been great, Kennedy comes in pitching much better of late. He is 3-0 with a 2.45 ERA and 1.045 WHIP in his last three starts, while Worley is just 1-0 with a 6.35 ERA and 1.471 WHIP in his last three. Kennedy has a 1.06 ERA and 0.471 WHIP in two career starts against the Phillies, while Worley will make his career debut against Arizona. The Diamondbacks are 7-1 in their last 8 vs. National League East, 9-1 in Kennedys last 10 starts as an underdog of +110 to +150, and 6-0 in their last 6 games vs. a right-handed starter. BET THE DIAMONDBACKS! -Steve Janus

Pick: Florida Marlins +125
Florida is weak at home, but has a winning road record. The Marlins are 6-1 in their last 7 road games vs. a team with a losing record. Javier Vazquez goes here and has been on a roll, with a 2.25 ERA his last three starts walking 4 with 18 Ks in 20 innings. The Padres are 18-40 in their last 58 home games vs. a right-handed starter and starter Tim Stauffer has a 7.16 ERA his last three starts. The Padres are also 11-27 in their last 38 during game 1 of a series. Play the Marlins. -Jim Feist (Handicapperspicks.com)

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MLB Picks for August 17th 2011: Wager On The White Sox And Marlins

August 17, 2011 By

MLB Picks: August 17th 2011
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Pick: Chicago White Sox -150
The Chicago White Sox are one of the hottest teams in baseball right now. I’ll continue backing them Wednesday as they host the Cleveland Indians. Chicago has gone 9-2 in their last 11 games overall to get to 61-60 on the season, just 3.5 games back of Detroit and a half-game behind Cleveland in the AL Central. Now they send their hottest starter to the mound Wednesday looking to continue this roll. Mark Buehrle (10-5, 3.06 ERA) has allowed three runs or fewer in 18 straight starts, matching the club record set by Frank Smith in 1909. Since losing to Minnesota on June 16, Buehrle is 4-0 with a 2.02 ERA in nine starts with the White Sox winning eight times. Fausto Carmona (5-12, 5.12 ERA) has the majors’ third-worst ERA among qualifying pitchers and the White Sox have had a lot to do with that, touching him up for 18 runs in eight innings. The right-hander was pounded for a career-worst 10 runs in three innings on opening day, and was tagged for eight runs in five innings in an 8-2 loss at U.S. Cellular Field on May 19. Buehrle is a perfect 9-0 against the money line as a home favorite of -125 to -150 over the last 2 seasons. Bet the White Sox Wednesday. -Jack Jones

Pick: Florida Marlins +115
Florida is 31-18 last 3 years and 13-6 this year as a road underdog of +100 to +125. Colorado has lost 5 of their last 7 games. Florida has a winning record on the road going 33-26 so far this year. Florida bullpen has a 3.34 ERA in all games this year. Ricky Nolasco is 9-8 with a 3.72 ERA overall this year, 6-4 with a 3.66 ERA on the road this season and 2-1 with a super 1.66 ERA his last 3 starts. Aaron Cook is 2-7 with a 5.42 ERA overall this year, 0-4 with a 4.36 ERA at home this season and 0-2 with a 6.61 ERA his last 3 starts. Nolasco is 5-0 with a 2.13 ERA overall vs Colorado since 1997. We’ll recommend a small play on Florida tonight! Thanks and good luck, Rocky Atkinson

Pick: Giants vs. Braves Over 7
The Over is the play here as Atlanta has several hitters with solid career numbers versus the Giant’s Matt Cain. Cain has struggled with Bourn and Jones for the Braves, and McCann has 3 RBIs in only 12 ABs. Jair Jurrjens has struggled since the All Star break and is coming off a stint off the DL. I look for one of these pitchers to struggle early in the game and for this to be comfortably over the total by the 5th inning. The Over is 8-2 in the Giant’s last 10 games as a road underdog, 10-1-1 in the Braves’ last 12 home games versus a team with a losing road record, and 6-1 in Jurrjens last 7 starts versus the NL West. -Patrick Webb (Handicapperspicks.com)

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MLB Baseball Picks for August 15th 2011: Bet The Yankees, Marlins And Brewers

August 15, 2011 By

MLB Baseball Picks: August 15th 2011
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Pick: New York Yankees -150
On Monday the free MLB System Play is on the New York Yankees. Game 915 at 8:10 eastern. The Yankees apply to a nice system I use for road favorites off a home favored win, vs an opponent off a road loss with a total that was 8 or less. These road favorites cash over 80% of the time. The Yankees have the benefit of an extra day of rest as their home game against Tampa was rained out. New Yors is averaging 5 runs per game at night and 5 runs per game over the past week. The Royals have struggled at the plate of late and are averaging just 2.9 runs the past week. They have Paulino making the start. However they have lost 7 his last 8 starts. The Yankees counter with A.J. Burnett who is on the midst of another mediocre season. However,, if there is one thing he does well, its pitching vs the Royals. In his last 3 starts against them he has compiled 20 innings and has allowed just 2 runs. Look for Burnett to hold the Royals at bay, while the Yankees put up a few runs on a struggling Kansas City team. Take the Yankees tonight. For those looking for that special game I have the 7* MLB Game of the Year going tonight. This game is from a 100% system and 3 perfect Angles. Our team has a solid pitching edge as well. I also have a 21-1- Power Angle play in the NFL Game and a totals system in MLB that averages 13.4 runs per game. Don’t miss any of these big plays. Start the week with a bang. For the free play take the New York Yankees. -Rob Vinciletti

Pick: Florida Marlins +137
Florida comes in with a 56-64 overall record this year while Colorado is 56-66 overall on the season. Florida has been solid on the road with a 32-25 record this season. Colorado has lost 4 of their last 5 games overall. Florida bullpen has a 3.24 ERA overall this year. Clay Hensley is 1-1 with a 2.25 ERA on the road this season. Hensley is 4-1 with a 3.07 ERA overall vs Colorado since 1997. Millwood is 7-9 with a 5.53 ERA overall vs Florida since 1997. We’ll recommend a small play on Florida tonight! Thanks and good luck, Rocky Atkinson

Pick: Milwaukee Brewers -155
Play on Milwaukee at 8:10 ET. It’s very difficult not to just take the Brewers every game they play at home. They are 44-15 this season at Miller Park, which is the best home record in MLB. That includes a 15-2 record last 17 home games. They are also 16-0 here if they allowed 3 runs or less in back to back games. They are 10-0 at home after scoring 2 runs or less this season. As a favorite of -150 or more, they are 25-3. Brewers lefty Randy Wolf has won three straight starts and faces a Dodgers lineup that is averaging just 3.7 runs per game vs. southpaws. 10* on Milwaukee (w/ Wolf). -Tom Freese (Handicapperspicks.com)

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MLB Picks for August 8th 2011: Consider Betting The Red Sox And Marlins

August 8, 2011 By

MLB Picks: August 8th 2011
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Pick: Boston Red Sox -110
I’ll gladly back the Boston Red Sox at this price Monday. Any time you can get the best team in the American League at nearly even money, you should pull the trigger. Boston just took two of three from the Yankees to move into first place in the AL East at 70-43, so they come into this series against Minnesota with a lot of momentum. The Twins had been gaining ground in the AL Central up until last week, but now it appears they have little to no hope to make the playoffs. Minnesota has lost seven of their last eight after getting swept by the Chicago White Sox last series. Tim Wakefield has done an excellent job of eating up innings for the Red Sox this year due to injuries to their starting rotation. Wakefield is 6-4 with a 4.99 ERA and 1.298 WHIP in 15 starts and nine relief appearances. The Red Sox are 10-5 in Wakefield’s 15 starts in 2011. The Twins are hitting .250 and scoring 3.9 RPG, while the Red Sox are batting .280 and scoring 5.5 RPG. The Twins are 1-15 vs. AL teams scoring 5.2 or more runs/game in the second half of the season over the last 3 seasons. The Red Sox are 11-1 in their last 12 games as a road favorite of -110 to -150. Bet the Red Sox Monday. -Jack Jones

Pick: Florida Marlins +105
Braves RH Derek Lowe (6-10, 4.86 ERA) vs. Marlins LH Brad Hand (1-3, 2.86 ERA). Lowe has lost four of his last five decisions and was mauled for eight runs in four innings by the Nationals in his last start. Since the All-Star break, Lowe is 1-3 with a 7.97 ERA and has failed to pitch past the fifth inning in any of his last three starts. In 16 career starts against the Marlins, Lowe has a 7-4 record and 4.79 ERA. He received a no-decision in his only start against Florida on June 8, when he left after 6 2/3 scoreless innings. Hand has shown he can be effective when he limits the number of walks he allows. He’s walked 22 and struck out 21 in 34 2/3 innings this season. He walked only one in his last start, when he allowed two runs in five innings of a no-decision against the Mets. Hand made his big-league debut against the Braves on June 7 and lost a 1-0 decision, despite giving up only one hit (a homer by Alex Gonzalez) in six innings. TAKE FLORIDA HERE -Bob Wingerter (Handicapperspicks.com)

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MLB Picks for August 5th 2011: Bet The Padres And Braves Friday Night

August 5, 2011 By

MLB Picks: August 5th 2011
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Pick: Cardinals vs. Marlins Under 8.5
Yesterday’s series opener finished above the total. However, I feel this one has an excellent shot at being lower-scoring. Sanchez hasn’t had any victories in some time. He’s still 3-1 with a solid 3.50 ERA and 1.139 WHIP in 11 home starts though. Two of his last three starts have fallen below the total. Westbrook has been tough lately. He’s got a 3.15 ERA and 0.95 WHIP his last three starts, averaging 6 2/3 innings. Two of those three games stayed below the total and the other could have easily done so too. Westbrook has a 2.95 ERA and 0.891 WHIP his three starts vs. Florida. Likewise, Sanchez has a 2.95 ERA in three starts vs. St. Louis. Consider the Under 8.5 runs. -Ben Burns

Pick: San Diego Padres +128
San Diego is close to a .500 road team and the Padres are 6-1 in Aaron Harang’s last 7 road starts. The veteran righty (9-3) has been a very good pickup and faces a Pittsburgh offense that is 26th in runs, OBP and slugging. The Pirates go with righty Jeff Karstens, a guy who has had troubles against the Padres, with an 0-3 record and a 5.89 ERA against them. That includes one start this season where he struggled against them (6.75 ERA). And the Pirates are 5-13 in Karstens’ last 18 starts with 4 days of rest. Play the Padres. -Jim Feist

Pick: Atlanta Braves -122
We’ll fade the Mets with Dickey on the mound tonight as he’s just 1-6 with an ERA of 4.24 in 11 home starts this year. Atlanta’s Hudson enters in top form. He’s gone 10-straight starts without giving up more than 3 earned runs. The Braves are a phenomenal 11-4 in their last 15 games as a favorite of -110 to -150 and 18-8 in Hudson’s last 26 starts as a favorite of -110 to -150. The Mets have lost 4 in a row and are just 7-17 in their last 24 home games versus a team with a winning record. We’ll bet the Braves tonight. -Jimmy Boyd (Handicapperspicks.com)

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