Toronto Raptors vs. Los Angeles Lakers
Free NBA Pick: Los Angeles Lakers -10.5 (March 9th 2010 – Jimmy Boyd)
Off 3 straight defeats, look for the Lakers to send a message to the struggling Raptors tonight. Toronto has dropped 5 of its last 6, with 4 of those losses coming by at least 13 points. Plus, the Lakers should be further motivated by a l-point loss at Toronto in January. The last time the Raptors visited the Lakers they fell by 13 points, and this one should end up at least as bad. The Raptors are 0-7 ATS in their last 7 games overall and 0-4 ATS in their last 4 games as a road underdog of 11.0 or greater (line moved to -11 at some books). Lastly, the Lakers are 14-4 ATS in home games after failing to cover 8 or more of their last 10 against the spread under coach Jackson, winning in these spots by an average of 15.3 points. We’ll take the Lakers.
Miami Heat vs. Charlotte Bobcats
Free NBA Pick: Charlotte Bobcats -3.5 (March 9th 2010 – Doc’s Sports
The Bobcats, normally one of the best teams ATS the last couple years, have seen a drop in their production at the betting window due to recent struggles and we just think the bookies have made too big of a move here in adjusting this line. Even though the Bobcats are 4-9 ATS in their last 13 they seem to be getting it together and two of those wins came in their last two and both on this court. We just don’t have any faith in Miami on the road. They have played pretty well on the road lately but their wins have come against weak opponents for the most part, with only one win coming against a playoff-caliber squad. Charlotte is a completely different team at home than on the road and if they played even nearly as well on the road as they do at home they would be one of the top seeds from the East instead of fighting for a playoff spot in general. The Bobcats have won two straight in this series, one home and one away, and have covered in five of the last six.
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Boston Celtics vs. Milwaukee Bucks
Free NBA Pick: Milwaukee -1 (March 9th 2010 – Joseph D’Amico)
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The Buck’s are the hottest team in the NBA, winning 9 of their L10 SU and covering 10 straight. They dismantled the Cav’s 92-85 on Saturday. All 5 starters are averaging DD”s each game, including Forward John Salmons who is posting 19.2 PPG. When hosting, Milwaukee is 19-10 ATS TY and are outscoring visiting foes by an average of 4.1 PPG. Boston is playing well, but are just 7-16-1 ATS their L24 games overall. They are just not covering the number. The Celtic’s can’t seem to get over on the Buck’s, as they are 0-4 ATS their L4 against them and 1-4 ATS their L5 in Miwasukee. The Celtic’s are also 5-15-1 ATS their L21 games played on 1 days rest, 1-4 ATS their L5 vs. the NBA Central, and 3-8-1 ATS their L12 vs. teams with a winning record. The Buck’s 4-0 ATS their L4 at home, 13-3 ATS their L16 vs. the NBA Atlantic, and 23-8 ATS their L31 as a favorite. Milwaukee wins and covers at home. Thank you.
Free NBA Pick: Sacramento Kings +8.5 (Jeff Alexander)
Not having Jason Terry and his 17 ppg will hurt the Mavs tonight against a Kings team that is playing well, having won 3 of its last 4 games SU and 4 in a row ATS. Dallas has been an extremely poor choice in the home chalk as it is only 4-21-1 ATS in its last 26 games as a home favorite. The Mavericks are also just 1-8 ATS in their last 9 games vs. a team with a winning % below .400. Meanwhile, the Kings are 11-4-2 ATS in their last 17 road games vs. a team with a home winning % of greater than .600 and 5-1 ATS in their last 6 games as an underdog of 5.0-10.5 points. Look for the Kings to keep this one within the number.
Free NBA Pick: Los Angeles Lakers -3 (Tony George)
Trends seem to reverse with NBA teams and while I like going against a team off an OT loss, I expect the Lakers to rebound tonight. They are 1-6-1 ATS their last 8 games. The mis-match at the forward position here is in favor of the Lakers and I think Bynum gets the better of Ratliff at the post, and Kobe will do his thing. He had 39 last night in a loss at Miami. LA scoring 104 ppg their last 5 games and Charlotte scoring 88 in the same timeframe. Too much offense and no doubt a pissed off bunch from LA that needs a win here on the road.
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New York Knicks vs. Cleveland Cavaliers
Free NBA Pick: New York Knicks +12 (March 1st 2010 – Big Al McMordie)
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At 7:05 pm, our complimentary selection is on the New York Knicks plus the points over Cleveland. The Cavs have won both meetings vs. New York this season, but each victory has been rather close. Cleveland beat New York 113-106 on February 6, as a 12-point home favorite, and also defeated the Knicks 100-91 at Madison Square Garden back in November. Overall, the Cavs have won seven straight in this series, but the last four have all been by single-digits. And I expect another close game tonight. Although the Knicks have dropped nine of their last 10 games straight-up, most have been close defeats, with only two of the 10 coming by margins larger than tonight’s 12-point spread. And since 2006, New York is a solid 25-5 ATS as an underdog of +10 or more points, if its opponent is off a straight-up win, including a perfect 13-0 ATS if its foe won by 10 points or less in its last game. With Cleveland in off an 8-point overtime win at Toronto, this game falls into our 13-0 tightener. Take New York. Good luck, as always…Big Al McMordie.
Al McMordie, unfortunately, lost his NBA play last night on the Atlanta Hawks, but has zeroed in on a great situation on Monday’s card that’s 100% PERFECT since 1998. It’s 11-0 ATS, and the 12th STRAIGHT WINNER has B-L-O-W-O-U-T written all over it. Pick it up right now, and get your week off to a F-A-S-T start!
