Washington Wizards vs. Houston Rockets
Free NBA Pick: Washington +7 (March 30th 2010 – Jack Jones)
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Houston is deflated right now, knowing that their chance of making the postseason have gone out the window. Washington is obviously struggling right now, but it’s not like they haven’t been competitive during their dreadful 15-game losing streak. Usually a road team that has lost 15 straight would be a heavier underdog than 7 points to a team with a .500 record like Houston. This is a trap, and we’re not biting as we’ll side with the underdog Wizards who will be much more motivated heading into this one, trying to end their skid. The Rockets are 0-4 SU & 0-4 ATS in their last 4 games overall.
This play also falls under a system that is 79-46 (63%) ATS since 1996. It tells us to bet on road underdogs of 3.5 to 9.5 points (WASHINGTON) – after 8 or more consecutive losses. These teams tend to be great to back when they get on these long losing streaks, because there becomes overwhelming value against the spread. Houston has a plethora of injuries right now as well with Shane Battier, Jared Jeffries, Kevin Martin and David Andersen all watching from the sidelines. Take the Wizards.
Los Angeles Lakers vs. Houston Rockets
Free Pick: LA Lakers -6 (March 27th 2010 – Mike Lineback)
Lakers will come out “angry focused” tonight, after getting their butts kicked last night vs. Oklahoma City. Houston are seriously banged up. Battier is out. Kevin Martin hurt his shoulder and missed Thursday’s game, and this is on top of Anderson, Hill & Jeffries injuries, All may miss this game as well. Regardless. Houston can’t matchup with Los Angeles. In particular, Kobe, Gasol & Odom, and LA’s overall size advantage. In addition, Houston are not a good defensive team, and don’t have anybody to slow Kobe. Kobe & team assert their offensive & defensive will early.
Portland Trailblazers vs. New Orleans Hornets
Free Picks: New Orleans Hornets +3 (March 27th 2010 – Black Widow)
The Hornets know their chances of making the playoffs have basically gone out the window, but they’d love to play the role of spoiler tonight against the Portland Trail Blazers tonight. New Orleans has been a solid home team all season, going 22-13 on their home floor. The Blazers are just 6-15 ATS (-10.5 Units) off a home win this season. Portland is 8-24 ATS (-18.4 Units) versus terrible defensive teams – shooting pct defense of >=48% since 1996. Chris Paul has returned to the line-up for New Orleans, and he will help them close out the season strong. The Trail Blazers are 2-6 ATS in their last 8 games following a SU win of more than 10 points. The Hornets are a superb 25-8 ATS in their last 33 home games vs. a team with a winning road record. Take New Orleans and the points.
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Miami Heat vs. Chicago Bulls
Free NBA Pick: Chicago Bulls -1 (March 25th 2010 – Black Widow)
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With Derek Rose back on the floor, the Bulls have won their last 2 games since he returned from injury. They went on the road to beat the 76ers by 14 and handled the Houston Rockets at hom by 10. Now they’ve had 2 days’ rest to prepare for the Miami Heat, one of the teams they are trailing in the Eastern Conference standings. Chicago sits in 9th place in the East and are they are looking to finish off the season with a bang to sneak into the playoffs. Home-court advantage has really been a big factor when Miami and Chicago get together. The home team is 5-0 SU L5 & 8-1 SU L9 meetings in this series. The Bulls are a completely different team with Rose running the show, and they can beat anyone in the league when he’s in there. The Heat are just 1-6 ATS in their last 7 games as a road underdog of 4.5 points or less. Take Chicago and lay the points.
Houston Rockets vs. Minnesota Timberwolves
Free NBA Pick: Minnesota +4 (March 6th 2010 – Rob Vinciletti)
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On Saturday the free 90% NBA System play is on the Minnesota Timberwolves. Game 508 at 8:05 eastern. The Wolves fit a solid home dog system in this game. What we want to do is play on certain home dogs with 1 or more day of rest that scored 100 or more on the road in their last game as a dog of 5 or more. If the opponent tonight scored 90 or less as a home favorite in their last game. The home team covers exactly 90% of the time in this system since 1995. Houston is coming off a tough 84-81 loss at home to the Kings. Tonight they travel to Minnesota to take on the Wolves who played Dallas tooth and nail the other night before falling 112-109. Minnesota is 8-2 ats this year as a home dog of 4.5 or less. Look for a solid effort here from the Wolves. On Saturday night I have a 6 unit NCAAB Blowout last home game system play, a 5 unit NCAAB TV Power angle play plus a Big 20-5 NBA outright dog winner system and a Conference tournament knockout triple angle play. We cashed the Big one last night with St. Johns and have CASHED BIG the last two Saturdays. Most games are evening or late afternoon. This is a deep card with solid guaranteed plays. Jump on and cash big with these cutting edge system plays. For the free play take Minnesota plus the points. RV
Toronto Raptors vs. Houston Rockets
Free NBA Pick: Over 214 (March 1st 2010 – Doc’s Sports)
Both teams are giving up a ton of points lately. The Rockets have given up an average of 115 per game in their last five games, and not one of those games was an overtime contest! They allowed a whopping 133 last time out on the road at Utah. This has to be considered one of the worst defensive teams in the NBA since the trade deadline. And look who they face tonight, the No. 26 defensive team in the NBA (and the No. 4 offense). Toronto gives up a whopping 109 PPG on the road and they have been pretty bad in that area lately and they are almost always good to put up 100+ a night, even on a decent defense, which is a category that this Houston team just doesn’t fall under right now. The over is 18-9-1 in Toronto’s road games this season and the over is 17-12 in Houston’s home games this season. We think this is going to be a barnburner and this one could get close to 220.
Utah Jazz vs. Los Angeles Clippers
Free NBA Pick: Clippers +6.5 (March 1st 2010 – Black Widow)
We’ll back the Clippers as a big home underdog to the Utah Jazz as Monday’s free pick. The Jazz are just one game over .500 on the road this season and should not be this heavily favored against a Clippers’ team that is actually 17-12 at home this year. L.A. only gives up 96.2 points/game at home against teams who are averaging 100.3 points/game. The Clippers are 3-0 S.U. & 3-0 ATS in their last 3 home games. Utah is just 6-17 ATS (-12.7 Units) in road games after allowing 100 points or more 2 straight games over the last 3 seasons. The Clippers are 5-0 ATS in their last 5 home games vs. a team with a winning road record and 11-3-1 ATS in their last 15 home games overall. Take the Clippers and the points.
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