Friday Night NCAA Basketball Picks & Predictions: March 5th 2010

Free NCAA Pick: Samford +3 (Jack Jones)
It is extremely difficult to beat a team 3 times in the same season, and that’s what The Citadel is facing tonight as they take on Samford in the Southern Conference Tournament Friday. The Citadel won by 1 and 4 points, respectively, in their two meetings with Samford this season. Samford is chomping at the bit to get some payback tonight in the third meeting. This play falls into a system that is 58-21 (73%) over the last 5 seasons. It tells us to bet on any team (SAMFORD) – revenging 2 straight losses where team scored < 60 points against opponent off a cover where the team lost straight up as an underdog. Samford brings more energy and passion to the floor tonight. Take Samford.

Free NCAA Pick: Georgia State +6 (Rocky Atkinson)
Georgia State is 9-2 ATS since 1997 in March. Georgia State is 18-5 ATS last 3 years revenging a road loss vs an opponent. Georgia State is 6-0 ATS since 1997 in 1st round tournament games. Georgia State is 7-0 ATS since 1997 in conference tournament games. Hofstra is 1-7 ATS last 3 years when playing with 5 or 6 days rest. Georgia State is allowing only 63.6 points per game overall and 62.6 points per game on the road this year. Panthers are 5-1 ATS in their last 6 games following a ATS loss. Panthers are 5-1 ATS in their last 6 neutral site games as an underdog. Panthers are 8-3 ATS in their last 11 neutral site games. Panthers are 5-2-1 ATS in their last 8 games following a SU loss. Pride are 1-4 ATS in their last 5 Friday games. Pride are 1-5 ATS in their last 6 neutral site games as a favorite. We’ll recommend a small play on Georgia State tonight! Thanks and good luck, Rocky

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Maryland vs. Duke Odds & College Basketball Prediction: March 3rd 2010

Maryland vs. Duke
Free Pick: Duke -1.5 (March 3rd 2010 – Jack Jones)
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The Blue Devils have won 6 straight over Maryland, and they’ll add to this winning streak over the Terrapins Wednesday. Duke clinches the ACC with a win tonight, and we cannot see them letting this opportunity go by the way side. Duke already posted a 77-56 win over Maryland in their first meeting this season, and though that game was played at Cameron Indoor, the Terrapins simply don’t have the manpower inside to stop the Blue Devils. Duke grabbed 17 offensive rebounds in that win and 44 rebounds total. This team has scrappers in the middle, and they give guys like Scheyer, Smith and Singler extra opportunities to score at the offensive end with extra possessions. Duke is 7-0 ATS after a game committing 8 or less turnovers over the last 2 seasons. The Blue Devils have won 8 straight games, and they are clearly playing their best basketball of the season to finish, winning six of those eight contests by double-digits.

This play also falls under a system that is 24-5 (83%) over the last 5 years. It tells us to bet against home teams where the line is +3 to -3 (MARYLAND) – very good team – outscoring their opponents by 8+ points/game, in March games. Take Duke to win their seventh straight over Maryland.

College Basketball Prediction: Louisville vs. Marquette: March 2nd 2010

Louisville vs. Marquette
Free Pick: Marquette -1 (March 2nd 2010 – Jack Jones)
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Marquette is one of the hottest teams in the Big East and they’ve come through for us a lot over the last couple weeks. The Eagles are showing solid value again tonight and we’ll take advantage as Tuesday’s free pick. Marquette is 8-1 SU & 7-2 ATS in their last 9 games overall to improve to 19-9 this season and certainly would be in the NCAA Tournament if the season were to end today. The Eagles are 12-3 at home this season, and they face a Louisville team that actually has a losing road record this year. The Cardinals are 1-8 ATS off a win against a conference rival this season. Marquette is 12-4 ATS in conference games this season. The Eagles are one of the most underrated teams in the Big East, and they are going under the radar again tonight when they should be a much heavier home favorite.