NFL Picks for December 12th 2010
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Pick: Jacksonville Jaguars -4
The Jacksonville Jaguars host the Oakland Raiders on Sunday and this falls into a simple system: bet against West Coast teams on the road in the East Coast playing 1:00 PM ET games. For those who aren’t too familiar with the system, the basic concept is that the Raiders, who are the West Coast team, will be playing at what is essentially 10:00 AM their time. The Raiders last two road games (in Tennessee and in Pittsburgh), they were outscored by a combined score of 70-16. Also, the Raiders are on back-to-back road games, which should further bite into their freshness. Jaguars star Maurice Jones-Drew has topped 100 yards rushing in five straight games, including a career-high 186 yards in last week’s 17-6 win at Tennessee. Jacksonville has won three of four all-time meetings between the teams, including the most recent one, a 49-11 rout at home in 2007. Jacksonville (7-5) took a one-game lead over Indianapolis in the division race when the Jaguars beat Tennessee and the Colts lost to Dallas last week – the Jaguars haven’t been in first place this late in the season since 1999, when they won their last division title. One key trend favors them as well. Jacksonville is 4-1 SU in its last 5 games. The Jaguars are an underrated squad. Bet them to cover on Sunday. -Ray Monohan

Pick: Cleveland Browns +1
Free Play from Doc’s Sports. #5 Take Cleveland Browns over Buffalo Bills (Sunday 1 pm CBS) The Buffalo Bills have been tough luck losers all season long but to me it became evident last week that this season has finally caught up with them. A team can only take so much heartbreak and after they gave the Steelers the game in overtime with a dropped touchdown pass; they got blown out at Minnesota last week by a score of 38-14. I expect that they now have thrown in the towel on the 2010 season and we will go against them on Sunday backing the Cleveland Browns. The Browns have won four of their last six games and that includes victories at Miami and at New Orleans. If they can win at those places, they can certainly beat the Bills in upstate New York. Cleveland is 15-2 ATS in their last 17 games against teams with a losing home record. Do not miss Doc’s Sports strong NFL card featuring three plays on Sunday and a top play winner on Monday Night Football! -Doc’s Sports

Pick: Buccaneers vs. Redskins Over 41
The Bucs have played a string of very good defensive teams as of late. Atlanta twice, Baltimore and San Francisco. Against the weaker defenses they have faced lately Tampa Bay produced 31 against Carolina and 38 against Arizona. Overall the Bucs have reached 21 points or more in 5 of their last 6 games. They should have little problem moving the ball on a Washington team who has permitted 30 points or more five times including 59 to the Eagles. Washington has not been a very efficient offense this season but they haven’t faced too many stop units as weak as Tampa Bay. The Bucs average allowing 15.2 points and 192.2 yards in the first half and we fully expect the Skins to be aggressive offensively on Sunday. The Skins have been held in check against the top stop units in the NFL but they produced 27 against Houston, 24 against Indianapolis and 25 against Detroit. They should be good for at least 21 here and likely 24 which would put this game firmly over the total. While neither of these offenses are considered strong, the defensive weaknesses will enable both teams to move the football. -Bryan Leonard

Pick: Carolina Panthers +8
It has been a dreadful year for the Carolina Panthers (1-11) who have ‘covered’ only three times while getting points in 10 of their 12 games. Atlanta is coming off a huge come-from-behind fourth quarter win over Tampa Bay last week and my not be in the right frame of mind while facing the lowly Panthers. The Falcons have been out-gained in their last two wins and are just 3-13 against the points after back-to-back wins against a foe off a loss. Hard to believe that the Panthers (#1-5) at home are the side. Take CAROLINA! -Chip Chirimbes (Handicapperspicks.com)