Northern Iowa vs. UNLV
Free Pick: UNLV -1 (March 18th – John Ryan)
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The 8/9 matchups are always very competitive games and very hard to predict consistently. The sports handicapping model shows a 5* graded play on UNLV. Supporting this graded play is a series of game dependent angles based on the model projections. Here is just one, but under scores the theme that UNLV will be able to run and shooting above 40%. UNLV is 8-4 ATS this season, 24-9 ATS the past 3 seasons, and 67-39 ATS since 1997 when shooting between 40 and 46%. UNLV HC Kruger is also very good at preparing his team for an anticipated close game. Note that he is 31-12 ATS (+17.8 Units) when the line is +3 to -3; 13-4 ATS (+8.6 Units) in road games versus teams who average 6 or less steals/game on the season after 15+ games in all games he has coached. UNLV is also in solid roles based on their recent schedule and results. UNLV is 8-2 ATS (+5.8 Units) in road games after playing a game as favorite this season.
Based on the projections I also like a 3* amount on the first half line. There is no doubt in my mind that UNLV will want to put as much pressure on the Ni defense as possible. By looking run on every possible transition fatigue will become a factor and NI defenders will get out of position allowing for high percentage shots by UNLV. NI did very well in conference play and statistically has a very strong defense. The emphasis is on the word statistically as they will have enormous difficulty defending the quickness and athleticism of the Rebels. Here is a first half system that under scores these points and more. It has gone 50-20 ATS for 71.4% winners since 1997. Play against neutral court teams versus the 1st half line after allowing 65 points or less 5 straight games facing an opponent after a loss by 10 points or more. Take UNLV.
North Carolina vs. Georgia Tech
Free Pick: North Carolina +4 (March 11th 2010 – John Ryan)
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3* graded play on North Carolina as they take on Georgia Tech set to start at 7:00 EST and is an ACC opening round matchup. This is the Our proprietary sports handicapping model and simulator shows a high probability that UNC will lose this game by fewer than 3 points and we wold not be surprised at all to see an upset. Pride is always a very big part of any defending Champion and we believe it will be seen in full force in this game. GT defense has been horrible the past two games yielding 55% shooting to Clemson and 51% shooting to V-tech. UNC has favorable offensive matchups to exploit and we feel strongly that UNC will have a very big game. Based on the model projections rebounding will be nearly equal, but GT is just 1-5 ATS this season and 8-18 ATS the past 3 seasons when final game rebounding stats are +-3. Supporting this graded play is a system that has produced a record of 30-9 ATS for 77% winners since 1997. Play on neutral court teams as a dog off an embarrassing road loss scoring less than 60 points and is a marginal team winning team between 51% to 60% and playing a winning team. Heart of the Champion comes through today. Take UNC.
Wisconsin vs. Illinois
Free Pick: Wisconsin -3.5 (March 7th 2010 – John Ryan)
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3* graded play on Wisconsin as they travel to face Illinois set to start at 2:00 EST and this game will be seen on ESPN. Our proprietary sports handicapping model and simulator shows a high probability that Wisconsin will win this game by more than 3 points. Wisconsin is playing very well and are coming of BB blowout wins defeating Indiana by 32 points and Iowa by 27 points. Wisconsin is 11-0 ATS (+11.0 Units) after 2 straight blowout wins by 20 points or more since 1997. Illinois has shot under 40% in 3 of their past 5 games and the stats clearly show that they are a very tired team. Wisconsin is projected to shoot between 40 and 46% and Illinois is just 3-6 ATS this season and 9-27 ATS the past 3 seasons allowing opponents to shoot within this range. Supporting this graded play is a system that has produced a record of 36-11 ATS for 77% winners since 1997. Play against home teams in March where the line is +3 to -3 that are good passing teams averaging >=16 assists/game on the season. Take Wisconsin.
Pacific vs. CS Fullerton
Free Pick: CS Fullerton +3 (March 4th 2010 – John Ryan)
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3* graded play on Cal-State Fullerton (CSF) as they take on Pacific in Big West action set to start at 11:05 EST. Our proprietary sports handicapping model and simulator shows a high probability that CSF will win this game. On January 21st, Pacific defeated CSF 80-73 and CSF covered by the hook. This revenge situation has served CSF bettors well in past games. CSF is 14-4 ATS (+9.6 Units) revenging a loss where opponent scored 75 or more points over the last 3 seasons. CSF is projected to score between 67 and 74 points based on the model. Note that in past games Pacific has not done well when allowing 67 to 74 points sporting marks of 0-2 ATS this season, 1-12 ATS the past 3 seasons, and 21-48 ATS since 1997.
Ryan is on a 75% ATS winning 10* Titan run spanning his last 20 releases. Join him for this 10* Titan that is reinforced by Ryan’s research featuring game dependent angles sporting a perfect 26-0 ATS mark. He won both 10* Wed. w/UNDER Temple and TCU, who covered easily.
