3 MLB Underdogs To Consider Betting: MLB Picks for August 9th 2011

August 9, 2011 By

MLB Picks: August 9th 2011
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MLB Pick: Baltimore Orioles +116
5* graded play on Baltimore as they host the CWS set to start at 7:05 PM ET. My proprietary sports handicapping database and simulator shows a high probability that Baltimore will win this game. Supporting this graded play is a system that has produced a record of 54-29 for 65% winners and has made 41.8 units per one unit wagered since 1997. Play on home dogs with a money line of +100 or higher and is a team hitting <=.265 with an overused bullpen that pitches more than 3.2 innings per game and is facing a decent starting pitcher posting an ERA=4.20 to 4.70. This system has averaged a +131 dog play since 1997 and is a solid 5-1 making 4.4 units per one unit wagered this season. Baltimore may be one of the weakest teams in the majors, but they have done well against losing record teams like the CWS. Baltimore is a solid 17-6 (+10.8 Units) against the money line in home games when playing against a team with a losing record this season. Take the Orioles. -John Ryan

MLB Pick: Milwaukee Brewers +112
Milwaukee is 65-50 overall this year while St Louis comes in with a 62-53 overall record on the season. Milwaukee is 11-1 their last 12 games overall. Milwaukee is 31-18 against division opponents this year. Shaun Marcum is 10-3 with a 3.58 ERA overall this year, 5-2 with a 2.40 ERA on the road this season and 2-0 his last 3 starts. Milwaukee is 13-8 at St Louis the past 3 years. We’ll recommend a small play on Milwaukee tonight! Thanks and good luck, Rocky Atkinson

MLB Pick: Kansas City Royals +175
Tampa Bay starter James Shields is slumping, with a 5.68 ERA his last three starts. He faces a Kansas City offense that is 12th in runs and 9th in on-base percentage. Kansas City is relatively rested, off a nice 6-game home stand. Lefty Jeff Francis struggled early after coming over from Colorado, but is throwing well now, with a 3.50 ERA his last three starts. And the Rays are 1-6 in their last 7 games vs. a starter with a WHIP greater than 1.30. Play the KC Royals! -Jim Feist (Handicapperspicks.com)

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MLB Picks for August 3rd 2011: Four Baseball Teams To Consider Betting Today

August 3, 2011 By

MLB Picks: August 3rd 2011
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MLB Pick: Cincinnati Reds -131
The three game sweep of San Francisco will go for naught if the Reds don’t continue to win especially against a struggling Houston squad. Cincinnati received an all around solid performance Tuesday in a 5-1 victory with Homer Bailey turning in a great effort on the mound giving up the one run in eight innings on five hits. Unlike Monday when the offense squandered numerous scoring opportunities the Reds scored five runs in the fifth inning with a grand slam off the bat of Edgar Renteria the big blow. The Reds pulled to within two games of the .500 mark but if this team expects to be a factor in the National League Central race they need to duplicate Tuesday’s performance more often where both the bats and arms hold up their end of the bargain. The pitching side of things will fall to left hander Dontrelle Willis who will be making his fifth start of 2011. He has yet to win a game but comes in off of a pair of good starts that saw him give up five runs in 12.1 innings. If Willis can turn in those type of performances going forward the Reds playoff push will be much easier. TAKE CINCINNATI MINUS -Bob Wingerter

MLB Pick: San Diego Padres -118
10* Play on San Diego at 10:05 ET. The Dodgers sure seem to have the Padres number. They have beaten them five straight times, including three shutouts, one of them coming last night, 1-0. Interestingly, all three shutouts were 1-0 finals, so its not like LA is hitting well vs. San Diego pitching either. The Padres Tim Stauffer has a 2.88 ERA in 11 home starts this year. The Dodgers Ted Lilly has a 6.48 ERA his last three starts overall. 10* on San Diego (w/ Stauffer). -Tom Freese

MLB Pick: Milwaukee Brewers +100
Surprisingly Milwaukee is the better team so far this year as St Louis comes in with a 58-52 overall record and Milwaukee is now 61-50 overall on the season. Milwaukee is now 40-15 at home this year. Milwaukee is 21-6 this year at home when the total is 8 to 8 1/2. Milwaukee is 7-1 their last 8 games. Milwaukee bullpen has a 3.31 ERA at home this year. Randy Wolf has a 3.17 ERA at home this year and a 2.21 ERA his last 3 starts. We’ll recommend a small play on Milwaukee today! Thanks and good luck, Rocky Atkinson

MLB Pick: Kansas City Royals -119
The Royals have quietly won each of Hochevar’s last 6 starts, and he has really sizzled in the last 3 with an ERA 3.26. The Orioles, meanwhile, are just 3-7 in Guthrie’s road starts this season and 0-5 in his last 5 road starts as an underdog of +110 to +150. Baltimore took Game 1, but it is 0-5 in its last 5 games following a win and 2-12 in its last 14 in the 2nd game of a series. Take the Royals. -Jeff Alexander (Handicapperspicks.com)

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MLB Picks for July 31st 2011: Bet On Cleveland, Boston And Seattle

July 31, 2011 By

MLB Picks: July 31st 2011
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Pick: Cleveland Indians -121
The Cleveland Indians get the call Sunday as a small home favorite over the Kansas City Royals. Cleveland sends Fausto Carmona to the mound, who is 1-0 with a 1.29 ERA and 1.143 WHIP in his last three starts. Carmona has allowed just two earned runs and 16 base runners in 14 innings during this stretch. In his last two starts against Kansas City, Carmona has given up just 4 earned runs in 12 innings for a 3.00 ERA. I’ll fade Danny Duffy of the Royals, who is 2-4 with a 5.17 ERA and 1.63 WHIP in 12 starts this season. The Royals are 0-6 in Duffy’s last 6 starts vs. a team with a winning record. The Indians are 22-8 in their last 30 games as a home favorite, including 5-0 in Carmona’s last 5 starts as a home fave. Cleveland is 7-1 in their last 8 home meetings with Kansas City. Roll with the Indians Sunday. -Jack Jones

Pick: Boston Red Sox +107
The Red Sox may be throwing cold pitcher in Andrew Miller, but they have more than enough offense to make up for it. Boston is one of the few teams in the American League to post a winning record on the road this season. The reason they’ve had so much success is their offense, which can stay with any team in the league, almost regardless of who is pitching. -Jimmy Boyd

Pick: Seattle Mariners +110
I’ll take my chances on Seattle with Vargas on the mound for the Mariners. He’s been rock-solid at home this season, posting a 3.78 ERA and 1.17 WHIP in 12 starts at Seattle. The Mariners don’t typically score a lot of runs, but neither do their opponents when they play in Seattle. This season their opponents are averaging just 3.6 runs per game. -Jeff Alexander (Handicapperspicks.com)

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MLB Picks for July 29th 2011: Bet The Indians, White Sox And Athletics

July 29, 2011 By

MLB Picks: July 29th 2011
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Pick: Cleveland Indians -134
I’ll side with the Cleveland Indians Friday in Game 1 of this series with the Kansas City Royals. The Indians come into this series rested after having Thursday off, while the Royals travel from Boston after finishing off their 4-game set with the Red Sox yesterday. I’ll back the Indians because of the rest factor, having the better starter on the mound, and the fact that they are actually playing for something as they are squarely in the middle of the AL Central race. Carlos Carrasco is 8-8 with a 4.25 ERA and 1.295 WHIP in 19 starts this season for Cleveland, while Jeff Francis is 3-11 with a 4.44 ERA and 1.371 WHIP in 21 starts this year for Kansas City. Francis is 1-6 with a 6.11 ERA and 1.572 WHIP in 10 road starts as well. The lefty is 1-2 with a 7.98 ERA and 1.704 WHIP in three career starts against Cleveland. In his lone start against the Indians this season, Francis gave up 5 earned runs in 3 innings of a 2-7 loss. The Royals are 1-9 in Francis’ 10 road starts in 2011. The Royals are 0-6 in their last 6 meetings in Cleveland. Bet the Indians Friday. -Jack Jones

Pick: Chicago White Sox +100
White Sox RH Gavin Floyd (8-9, 4.11 ERA) vs. Red Sox RH Tim Wakefield (6-3, 5.15 ERA). Floyd has been sharp over his last two outings, allowing a total of one earned run in 15 2/3 innings while striking out 10 and issuing one walk. The former first-round draft pick earned a win at Boston on June 1 and has never lost to the Red Sox, owning a 5-0 record with a 3.83 ERA in seven games. Wakefield will be searching for his 200th career win on Friday. The ageless knuckleballer has been getting knocked around quite a bit of late but has been bailed out by the Boston offense, which is averaging 10 runs in Wakefield’s last four starts. He is 7-12 with a 4.97 ERA in his career against Chicago. TAKE THE WHITE SOX HERE -Bob Wingerter

Pick: Oakland Athletics -145
The A’s, who are 5-0 in their last 5 games following a loss, hold the edge tonight with Gio Gonzalez stepping to the mound. The southpaw is 7-2 at home with an ERA of 1.87. The Athletics are 19-7 in his last 26 home starts, 25-6 in his last 31 starts as a favorite and 20-6 in his last 26 starts as a home favorite. The A’s are 15-3 in his last 18 starts as a favorite of -110 to -150. It is also worth noting that the Twins are 1-5 in their last 6 road games vs. a left-handed starter. Francisco Liriano is carrying an ERA of 4.82 on the season and is coming off a terrible start in which he gave up 4 runs in just 2 1-3 innings. The Twins are 3-7 in Lirianos last 10 starts when he takes the mound with just 4 days’ of rest. They are also 1-5 in his last 6 starts as a road underdog of +110 to +150. Also, the Athletics are 4-1 in their last 5 home games vs. a left-handed starter. -Jimmy Boyd (Handicapperspicks.com)

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MLB Picks for July 14th 2011: Bet The Toronto Blue Jays As An Underdog

July 14, 2011 By

MLB Picks: July 14th 2011
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Pick: Toronto Blue Jays +135
5* graded play on the Toronto Blue Jays as they take on the New York Yankees set to start at 7:07 PM ET. My proprietary simulator and statistical database shows a high probability that Toronto will win this game. Supporting this graded play is a system that has produced a 29-12 mark making 25.4 units per one unit wagered since 1997. Play on home teams that are struggling hitting teams batting= 2.000 over his last three starts and now facing an excellent AL starting pitcher sporting an ERA

Pick: Royals vs. Twins Over 8
Whenever these two teams meet up, there is a good chance that they will go over the total. Over the last three seasons the OVER is 29-14 between these two clubs, and 15-4 in the L19 games played in Minnesota. The oddsmakers have once again set this total to low. For starters Minnesota will send Francisco Liriano to the mound, who continues to be overvalued after throwing a no-hitter earlier this year. Liriano is just 5-7 with a 5.06 ERA in 15 starts, and only 2-3 with a 6.99 ERA and 1.420 WHIP at home. The Royals will start Bruce Chen. He brings in a solid 5-2 record with a 3.26 ERA, but is just 1-2 with a 6.75 ERA in four career starts against the Twins. The OVER is 6-0-1 in Royals last 7 road games vs. a team with a winning home record. The OVER is 8-2 in Twins last 10 games as a home favorite of -110 to -150, and 12-3-2 in Twins last 17 during game 1 of a series. -Steve Janus (Handicapperspicks.com)

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