NBA Picks: January 17th 2012
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NBA Pick: Milwaukee Bucks +3
It might seem like easy money to lay the 3-points on the Nuggets at Milwaukee tonight, but I think it’s the Bucks who have the edge in this matchup. Milwaukee comes in off a 82-94 loss at Philadelphia yesterday, but that game was closer than the final score leads on. In fact, I believe it has added great value to the Bucks game tonight. Milwaukee is a perfect 4-0 at home this season, which includes a 106-103 win over San Antonio as a 2-point underdog. On the flip side, the Bucks have lost all 8 of their road games. The fact that they have played twice as many road games, has the public thinking poorly of this team. That perception allows oddsmakers to list the Bucks as a small underdog at home, even if they think they will win the game outright. Knowing that the public will be quick to jump on the Nuggets, if they really thought Denver was going to win this game they would likely have them favored by more than 3-points. This isn’t a guaranteed system by any means, but one that I have had some success with. There are some valuable trends that add even more value to this play. Milwaukee is 11-2 ATS in home games off a road loss by 10 points or more over the last 3 seasons and 5-1 ATS in their last 6 games as a home underdog, while Denver is just 5-15 ATS in their last 20 games as a road favorite of 0.5-4.5. BET THE BUCKS +3 -Steve Janus

NBA Pick: Utah Jazz -4
The Utah Jazz are one of the most underrated teams in the league in the early going. This team has done a remarkable job of replacing Deron Williams in such a short period of time. They now play together more as a team than they did when they had Williams, and it’s starting to pay off. Utah is off to an impressive 8-4 start this season. The Jazz have been really hot of late, going 7-1 in their last 8 games with their only loss coming in overtime to the Los Angeles Lakers. Utah has gone 6-1 ATS in their last 7 games as well. The Jazz are 6-1 SU & 5-2 ATS at home this season, outscoring opponents by 6.5 points/game. The Los Angeles Clippers are just 1-2 on the road this year, giving up 102.0 points/game and 48.7 percent shooting. A big reason for this play is that the Clippers are going to be without Chris Paul (hamstring) and Mo Williams (ankle), so they are certainly short-handed at the guard position. The Clippers are 25-45 ATS in their last 70 games following 3 or more consecutive wins. The Jazz have been playing tremendous defense, and they are an impressive 15-4 ATS after 5 straight games – allowing a shooting pct. of 42% or less. The Clippers are 0-4 ATS in their last 4 games as a road underdog. The Jazz are 9-1 ATS in their last 10 home meetings with the Clippers. Bet Utah Tuesday. -Jack Jones. Get more NBA picks for January 17th 2012 from our professional sports handicappers at Handicapperspicks.com.

NBA Picks: April 6th 2011
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Pick: Los Angeles Clippers +11
As you all know, Oklahoma City has clinched a playoff spot while L.A. is out. These two teams met on Saturday with the Clipper’s beating the Thunder, 98-92. That victory gave Los Angeles 2 wins in the teams 3 meetings this season. It doesn’t look like OKC can improve on their playoff situation. The team seems to be in line to face Denver in the first round. Blake Griffin is from Oklahoma City. I expect the standout Forward to dazzle his hometown crowd tonight. Griffin and Guard Eric Gordon have had much success this year vs. the Thunder. Kevin Durant is leading the NBA in scoring with 27.8 PPG. However, against the Clipper’s, the Forward has averaged 20.0 PPG and 35% shooting. Laying DD’s is not something that OKC has been successful in doing as they are 1-3-1 ATS their L5 laying 10+ points. This is way too many pints to be giving to a Blake Griffin-led Clipper’s squad. L.A. is 10-2 ATS their L12 games played at OKC, 17-7 ATS their L24 overall vs. OKC, and 6-2 their L8 vs. teams with a winning record. OKC is 3-7-1 ATS their L11 vs. the West, 1-3-1 ATS their L5 at home, and 1-4 ATS their L5 vs. the Pacific. Take Los Angeles. Thank you. -Joseph D’Amico

Pick: Los Angeles Lakers -6.5
Golden St is 34-44 straight up this year. The Warriors are 3-7 ATS their last 10 games as underdogs. The Warriors and they are 0-4 ATS when playing with no rest. Golden St is 1-7 ATS their last their last 8 games following a straight win. The Warriors are 0-4 ATS their 4 games vs. NBA Pacific teams. The Lakers are 55-22 straight up this year. The Lakers are 15-5-1 ATS their last 21 road games vs. a team with winning home record. Kobe and company are 7-1 ATS their last 8 road games. The Lakers are 8-3 ATS their last 11 meetings at Golden St. The Lakers are 4-1 ATS when playing with no rest. PLAY ON LA LAKERS -Tom Freese. (Handicapperspicks.com)

NBA Picks: April 1st 2011
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Pick: Los Angeles Clippers +5
Fading the Phoenix Suns is the only move now late in the season. That’s because Phoenix as a team realizes that they are not going to make the playoffs in the Western Conference, and they have certainly been playing like it of late. Phoenix, loser of four in a row, could find itself eliminated from postseason contention by the end of Friday night as it faces the Los Angeles Clippers. The Suns would also be eliminated if they end up in a tie with Houston and Utah as well as Memphis, based on winning percentage in all games among the tied teams. While the Suns have packed it in, the Clippers continue to fight. “I’m trying to see who wants to compete, get coached and be developed,” coach Vinny Del Negro said following a 106-100 home loss to Dallas on Wednesday. “I’m trying to see what type of nucleus we have with our core guys and trying to continue to develop our young players.” Los Angeles is 8-6 over their last 14 games, and they have gotten a major boost from point guard Mo Williams since he was traded from Cleveland. Williams is averaging 17.1 points per game since the trade. The Clippers are fully healthy too which is a big reason for their recent success, with both Chris Kaman and Eric Gordon returning from injuries recently. Roll with L.A. Friday. -Jack Jones

Pick: Milwaukee Bucks +2.5
The Bucks have to get this one in order to hold onto any hope of sneaking into the playoffs. They are three games behind Indiana for the final playoff spot in the East, and they won’t go down without a fight. “This is probably do or die for us,” Andrew Bogut said. “This game is everything for us. Milwaukee has had its share of success against Indiana. The Bucks have won 6 of the last 7 meetings, including 3 in a row at Conseco Fieldhouse. Going to the numbers, we find the Bucks at 9-3-1 ATS in their last 13 games as a road underdog of 4.5 points or less. We also find the Pacers at 2-6 ATS in their last 8 games as a home favorite of 4.5 or fewer points. The Bucks are 6-2-1 ATS in the last 9 meetings in this series and 4-0 ATS in their last 4 meetings at Indiana. The road team is 4-0-1 ATS in the last 5 meetings and the underdog is 3-0-1 ATS in the last 4 meetings. Expect Milwaukee’s success against Indiana to continue this evening. Take the points. -Jimmy Boyd (Handicapperspicks.com)

NBA Picks: March 9th 2011
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Pick: Clippers vs. Celtics Over 192.5
Nice tilt tonight in Boston as the Clippers come to the Garden winners of 3 straight on their 5 game road trip. Eric Gordon is out again (Bad foul from Mozgov on Saturday). Ho Hum, the Clippers still have Mo Williams, Blake Griffin and Chris Kaman to turn to. (Kaman has scored in double figures in six of his last seven games off the bench.) The Celtics continue to win despite having five players sidelined with injuries, including Shaq, West and 6th man Davis. Boston holds a 2 1/2-game lead over Chicago for the top spot in the Eastern Conference. Boston is shooting a league-high.493 percent – .107 better than No. 2 Dallas. In their last meeting this year Boston defeated LAC 99-92. If all goes according to plan this game should be over midway thru the 4th qtr and the B-Teamers will be out there running around and not playing any D. Tons of trends lead me to believe this ones goes OVER the nice value line tonight. Over is 4-1 in Celtics last 5 overall. Over is 4-0 in Celtics last 4 vs. Western Conference. Over is 4-0 in Celtics last 4 vs. NBA Pacific. Over is 11-5 in BOS last 16 home games, Over is 13-6 in BOS last 19 Wed. games, Over is 7-1 for LAC last 8 vs. NBA Atlantic. Over is 9-3 in Clippers last 12 games following a S.U. win. -Ray Monohan

Pick: Oklahoma City Thunder +1.5
Oklahoma City lost a tough game against at Memphis their last time out, but that creates a prime opportunity to jump on the Thunder tonight. Oklahoma City is 38-18 ATS in their last 56 games following a S.U. loss, and are 20-11 ATS (+7.9 Units) versus poor pressure defensive teams – forcing <=14 turnovers/game this season. The 76ers are just 1-10 ATS in home games after 3 straight games where both teams scored 100 points or more since 1996. This game also falls under one of our highest rated systems. You want to play against all teams where the line is +3 to -3 (76ers) – average defensive team (43.5-45.5%) against a poor defensive team (45.5-47.5%), after 3 straight games – allowing a shooting pct. of 47% or higher, as its 30-7 since 1996! Bet the Thunder! -Steve Janus

Pick: Golden State Warriors -2
The Nets are playing with a depleted roster. Deron Williams will not be in action because of the birth of his child. New Jersey could also be without Johan Petro, Anthony Morrow, Damion James, and Quinton Ross. Golden State did just play last night, but are 6-1 ATS in their last 7 games playing on 0 days rest, and are 23-9 ATS in their last 32 games vs. a team with a winning % below .400. New Jersey is just 19-40-1 ATS in their last 60 games vs. a team with a losing S.U. record, and just 13-29 ATS versus up-tempo teams averaging 83 or more shots/game over the last 2 seasons. -Info Plays (Handicapperspicks.com)

NBA Picks: February 22nd 2011
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Pick: Los Angeles Clippers +8.5
On Tuesday the free NBA System Play is on the LA. Clippers. Game 509 at 8:05 eastern. This game fits a nice system that dates to 1995. What we want to do is play against home favorites of 8.5 or more with 4 or more days of rest that scored 120 or more as a home favorite in the game prior to the 4+ day break. These teams are 2-9 ats. While this system is solid, the sample is small for a 16 year study and the Clippers are not a good road team. The Clippers are however very good off a dog win covering in 7 of the 9 following games. Ironically they have won the last 3 times they have played here. The Thunder have lost 6 of 9 to the spread vs Pacific Division teams and 4 of 6 to the spread vs losing teams in the second half. If the line on this one were to shoot upwards of 12 points we would then recommend the Clippers on a unit rated basis. On Tuesday the NBA Comes back from the break and were 16 games over .500 on the season. Tonight the lead play is a double system NBA Side backed with an all star break return to action system. I also have 2 solid NCAAB Power Angle Plays up. One with 7 Power Angles good for the NCAAB Game of the week. The Other that applies to a blowout system. Last nights top play cashed with Kent. For the free Play take the LA. Clipppers. Rob Vinciletti

Pick: Boston Celtics -4.5
Golden St is 26-29 straight up this year. The Warriors are 2-5 ATS their last 7 games after allowing 100 or more points in their last game. The Warriors are 2-6 ATS their last 8 games as home underdogs. The Warriors are 6-12 ATS when allowing 100 or more points in their last game. Boston is 40-14 straight up this year. The Celtics are 4-1 ATS their last 5 games when playing with 3 or days rest and they are 5-1 ATS their last 6 Tuesday games. The Celtics are 22-6 ATS after allowing 80 or less points in their last game. PLAY ON BOSTON -Tom Freese

Pick: Detroit Pistons +1.5
It’s understood that Houston (26-31) is better then Detroit (21-36) but by how much? If you break it down as a road and home affair the Pistons actually grade out better as they are 14-15 straight-up and the Rockets are only 11-18. Houston has had difficulties in Detroit covering on two of the last nine meetings in the Motor City and the home team is 6-2-1 ATS in the last nine meetings. Take DETROIT! -Chip Chirimbes

Pick: Indiana Pacers -1.5
While Indiana is a notch below the elite teams in the NBA, it has certainly taken care of business against the bottom of the barrel. Indiana is 21-10 ATS when playing against a bad team (Win Pct. 25% to 40%) over the last 2 seasons, defeating these squads by an average score of 103.6 to 98.4. It is also worth mentioning that the Pacers are 11-4-2 ATS in their last 17 games vs. a team with a winning % below .400. Lay the points with the Pacers tonight. -Dave Price (Handicapperspicks.com)

Basketball Picks: February 9th 2011
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Pick: Chicago Bulls +1
Off back-to-back losses in which Chicago’s defense let it down, expect the Bulls to tighten the screws and find the win column against the struggling Jazz tonight. Utah was lucky to get a win against lowly Sacramento in its last game, and it is worth noting that the Jazz haven’t won consecutive games since they won 3 straight from Jan. 8-14. It is also worth noting that the Bulls haven’t lost 3 in a row all season. In fact, Chicago is 15-4 ATS off 2 or more consecutive road losses over the last 3 seasons. The Bulls are 19-7 ATS in their last 26 games as an underdog of 4.5 points or less and 7-2 ATS in their last 9 games as an underdog overall. The Jazz are 6-15 ATS in their last 21 games overall, 3-8 ATS in their last 11 home games and 0-5 ATS in their last 5 games vs. a team with a winning percentage above .600. Bet the Bulls. -Jimmy Boyd

Pick: Los Angeles Clippers +7
The Clippers are 5-2 ATS in their last 7 vs. the Eastern Conference. The Knicks have a big game on deck coming up against the Lakers, a revenge game, and the Knicks are 1-4-1 ATS in their last 6 vs. the Western Conference. The Clippers can get in for easy shots against small teams, as Blake Griffin is second in the NBA in dunks (116) and Clippers center DeAndre Jordan stands third at 94. And when these teams meet the underdog is 7-1 ATS in the last 8 meetings. Play the LA Clippers. -Jim Feist

Pick: Central Florida -2
Central Florida is out for revenge tonight at the UCF arena in Orlando as it tests their 11-3 home record against conference foe Memphis (17-6). Keep in mind UCF gets back A.J. Rompza tonight as well. The Knights are hoping his return will help shake them out of the throes of a seven-game losing streak. He is the leader of this team, and will make a world of difference. The last time these 2 teams met wasn’t that long ago (Jan 26th) a 77-61 Memphis win, in Memphis. Since that game Memphis has gone 1-2 (1-2 ATS), and UCF has gone 0-2 (0-2 ATS). Nothing to right home about. But like I said I’m playing on the revenge angle on this one tonight. I like how these two teams matchup, and give UCF the edge in FT%, D, Rebounding, and T/O’s, At home the Knights are averaging 69.2 scoring, and holding teams to 57.2 points scored on defense. Trends I like include, Knights are 5-2 ATS in their last 7 games as a favorite of 0.5-6.5. Tigers are 6-13 ATS in their last 19 road games vs. a team with a winning home record. Tigers are 2-5 ATS in their last 7 Wednesday games. Tigers are 9-23 ATS in their last 32 games following a S.U. win. I believe UCF’s stingy D when playing at home will be the difference here tonight and have no problem giving the 2. (This line’s moving at most books, up to -2.5 now. I’d grab it up to 3) -Ray Monohan

Pick: San Antonio Spurs -7.5
Toronto is 14-38 straight up this year. The Raptors are 4-10 ATS their last 14 home games and they are 15-35-1 ATS their last 51 home games. The Raptors are 17-36-1 ATS their last 54 games when their opponent scores 100 or more points in their last game. San Antonio is 43-8 straight up this year. The Spurs are 35-17 ATS their last 52 games off a straight up win by more than 10 points. The Spurs are 6-1 ATS their last 7 games overall and they are 7-3 ATS when playing with no rest. The Spurs are 11-5-2 ATS their last 18 Eastern Conference games. PLAY ON SAN ANTONIO -Tom Freese (Handicapperspicks.com)