MLB Baseball Picks: September 20th 2011
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Pick: Los Angeles Dodgers -123
Look for NL Cy Young candidate Clayton Kershaw to bring the Giants’ 8-game win streak to an end tonight. Kershaw is 19-5 (21-10 on the ML) with an ERA of 2.30 on the season. He’s 11-1 (12-3 on the ML) with an ERA of 1.72 at home. He’s also 5-1 (7-3 on the ML) lifetime against the Giants with an ERA of 1.27. The Dodgers have won 5 of his last 6 starts against San Fran. The Giants, meanwhile, have lost 3 of Tim Lincecum’s 4 starts against the Dodgers this season. The Dodgers have won 13 of Kershaw’s last 16 starts overall. He’s allowed 2 earned runs or less 14 times during this span, including in 7 straight. We’ll take LA. -Jimmy Boyd
Pick: Florida Marlins -109
The Atlanta Braves seem to be falling apart at a less than opportune time. The Braves, who seemed to have the NL wild card all but secured with an 8 1/2-game lead Sept. 4, sit just 2 1/2 ahead of St. Louis following another disappointing defeat. Atlanta suffered its seventh loss in 10 games Monday, falling 6-5 as closer Craig Kimbrel surrendered a two-run, walk off homer to Omar Infante with two outs in the ninth. The Braves have dropped 10 of 12 on the road – including a season worst-tying four straight. After matching a career high with 11 strikeouts en route to throwing a one-hitter during a 3-0 victory at Pittsburgh on Sept. 10, Anibal Sanchez yielded two runs and four hits in six innings of a 3-1 loss at MLB-leading Philadelphia on Thursday. Sanchez is 2-2 with a 2.25 ERA in his last six starts, limiting opponents to a .199 average. The Marlins are 26-12 in Sanchez’s last 38 starts as a home favorite. The Braves are 0-5 in their last 5 games as a road underdog. Take Florida on the Money Line. -Black Widow (Handicapperspicks.com)
MLB Picks: September 14th 2011
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Pick: Twins vs. Royals Under 8.5
On Wednesday the Free MLB Totals system is on the Under in the Twins at Royals game. Rotation numbers 923/924 at 4:10 eastern. This game fits a nice totals system that plays to the under for home favorites of -140 or higher off a home favored win scoring 4 or less runs on 10+ hits, vs an opponent off a road dog loss scoring 2 or less runs on 4 or less hits with 4 or less men left on base. If the total is less than 10 this system cashes a shade over 80%. The Twins anemic offense is averaging just 2 runs per game the past week and they have gone under in 12 of the last 12 vs losing teams. The Royals have played under in 5 of the last 6 games. They have L. Hochevar going today and he has pitched under in 7 of his last 9 starts. He opposes Twins rookie Hendricks here today and Hendricks is another Solid, September, Minnesota call up this season. In his first start he went a solid 7 innings allowing just 3 runs. Look for this one to stay under tonight. On Wednesday the Lead plays are the MLB Parlay of the Month backed with 27-2 systems. Jump on and get on the giving end of Hump day. For the free play take the Under in the Twins at Royals game. -Rob Vinciletti
Pick: New York Mets -125
Washington is 18-38 last 3 years as a road underdog of +100 to +125. Washington is scoring only 3.9 runs per game overall this year and 3.8 runs per game on the road this season. Brad Peacock makes his 2nd appearance of the year and 1st start. He has pitched in one game so far and gave up four hits in a little over an inning of work, struck out none and walked one. His ERA sits at 6.75 on the season. Mike Pelfrey has been his best at home with a 3-3 record and a 3.87 ERA. We’ll recommend a small play on NY Mets tonight! Thanks and good luck, Rocky Atkinson
Pick: Los Angeles Dodgers -138
The D-backs are playing fantastic baseball right now, but I like LA ace Kershaw to get the better of them tonight. The Dodgers have won 12 of his last 15 starts, and he has given up 1 or no earned runs in 9 of those outings. The southpaw has been nearly unhittable at home, where he is 10-1 with an ERA of 1.80. The Dodgers have won each of his last 6 home starts and 5 of his last 6 starts vs. the Diamondbacks. Hudson is having a strong season for Arizona, but he has had some difficulties on the road, where he has posted an ERA of 3.95 and the D-backs have only won 8 of his 15 starts. We’ll bet the Dodgers. -Jimmy Boyd (Handicapperspicks.com)
MLB Baseball Picks: September 9th 2011
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Pick: Los Angeles Angels -130
Rarely will you get Los Angeles Ace Jared Weaver at this price at home. I’ll take advantage Friday as the Angels trail the Texas Rangers by just 2.5 games in the AL West division and really need this win. Weaver is having a Cy-Young caliber season at 16-7 with a 2.49 ERA and 1.027 WHIP in 29 starts. He has been virtually untouchable at home, going 8-1 with a 1.87 ERA and 1.059 WHIP in Los Angeles. The Angels are 11-2 in Weaver’s 13 home starts in 2011. Los Angeles is 40-14 in Weaver’s last 54 home starts overall. The Angels are 24-8 in Weaver’s last 32 starts as a home favorite of -110 to -150. The Angels are 4-0 in Weaver’s last 4 home starts vs. Yankees. L.A. is 22-10 in their last 32 home meetings with the Yankees. Bet the Angels Friday. -Jack Jones
Pick: Los Angeles Dodgers +110
A rivalry game and while the pressure is all on the Giants, they haven’t had a good September — and time is running out. Park of the problem has been ace Tim Lincecum, who is 1-2 with a 4.74 ERA his last three starts. San Francisco has a poor offense, 3oth in runs, 29th in on base percentage, and faces LA ace Clayton Kershaw. He has a 1.23 ERA his last three starts and the Dodgers are 8-2 his last 10 starts. The Dodgers are 7-2 in their last 9 road games while the Giants are 2-12 in their last 14 during game 1 of a series. Play the LA Dodgers. -Jim Feist
Pick: Florida Marlins -113
Pittsburgh is 38-76 last 3 years when playing against a team with a losing record in the 2nd half of the season. Florida has played better on the road this year with a 35-35 record but are 16 games below .500 overall. Florida bullpen has a 3.44 ERA overall this season. Ross Ohlendorf is 0-1 with a 6.35 ERA overall this year and 0-1 with an 8.21 ERA at home this season. Florida has won all 3 meetings in this series this year. Nolasco is 4-3 with a 1.99 ERA in all starts vs Pittsburgh. We’ll recommend a small play on Florida tonight! Thanks and good luck, Rocky (Handicapperspicks.com)
MLB Picks: August 14th 2011
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Pick: Los Angeles Dodgers -1.5 +119
Houston has been a pure fade with Lyles on the hill. The Astros have lost 11 of his last 12 starts, and 4 of the last 5 losses have come by at least 2 runs. LA’s Kuroda has been dominant against Houston in his career, going 2-0 (5-1 on the money line) with an ERA of 1.91 in 6 starts. The Dodgers have won his last 5 starts against the Astros and 2 of the last 3 wins have won by 2 runs or more. Houston has lost 8 of its last 9 games overall and 7 of those defeats have come by a minimum of 2 runs. Take the Dodgers on the run line. -Dave Price
Pick: New York Mets +127
The New York Mets are showing solid value Sunday as a road underdog to the Arizona Diamondbacks. New York has the edge on the mound in this one with Chris Capuano over Jason Marquis, who has struggled since getting traded to Arizona. Marquis has allowed 15 runs, 11 earned, and 22 base runners in 8 innings over his last two starts for a 12.38 ERA. Marquis sports a 4.48 ERA and 1.500 WHIP in 22 starts this season with 42 walks to 74 strikeouts. Capuano sports a 3.72 ERA in five career starts against Arizona. Marquis has posted a 4.67 ERA and 1.515 WHIP in 17 career starts againt New York. The Mets are 4-0 in their last 4 games as an underdog of +110 to +150. New York is 6-0 in their last 6 games after losing the first 2 games of a series. The Mets are 7-1 in their last 8 road games with the total set at 9.0-10.5. Roll with the Mets Sunday. (Handicapperspicks.com)
MLB Picks: July 20th 2011
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Pick: San Diego Padres +150
San Diego has as many road wins as Florida has at home. Plus, the Padres have had no trouble winning at Florida. The Padres have won 7 of the last 9 meetings overall and 6 straight on the road in this series. In addition, Harang is quietly having a terrific season. He’s 7-2 with an ERA of 3.29 and the Padres have won 4 of his last 5 road starts. Take the Padres. -Dave Price
Pick: Los Angeles Dodgers +120
Wednesday on the MLB diamond, sports betting players will be treated to a Rockstar matchup as two-time Cy Young winner Tim Lincecum will lead San Francisco out at home while taking on fellow All-Star Clayton Kershaw, who is a leading candidate for this year’s Cy Young award. Kershaw (10-4, 2.88) allowed four runs, but there were none earned in a 6-4 win in Arizona, as he scattered five hits over seven innings, striking out eight and walking a pair of batters. Lincecum (8-7, 2.99) returned from the break with a victory in a 6-1 win in San Diego, giving up a run on three hits over six innings with seven strikeouts and three walks. “The Freak” stumbled in June but has since bounced back to go 3-1 in his last five starts. These aces met on Opening Day in Los Angeles, with Kershaw coming away with a 2-1 win and you should expect another low-scoring affair. The key here may be the time of day: Kershaw is 3-0 in five afternoon starts with a 2.70 ERA, while Lincecum is 3-3 in six day starts with a 3.76 ERA. -Ray Monohan
Pick: Chicago White Sox -113
Look for the White Sox to bounce back behind Danks this evening. The southpaw was on a tear prior to suffering a right oblique injury and I expect him to pick up right where he left off against a team he’s dominated. The Sox have won each of Danks’ last 4 starts, during which he has allowed just 3 earned runs in 23 2/3 innings of work. He’s 2-0 (5-3 on the ML) with an ERA of 2.74 in 8 career starts against Kansas City. The Sox have won 4 of his 5 career starts at Kauffman Stadium, where he has an ERA of only 1.87. We’ll take the White Sox. -Jeff Alexander (Handicapperspicks.com)
MLB Baseball Predictions: July 18th 2011
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Prediction: Dodgers vs. Giants Under 6.5
Both pitchers is solid form. Both bullpens have unreal recent numbers. Last 3 games the Dodgers bullpen has a 1.96 ERA and the Giants a 1.21 ERA in their last 3 games. Vogelsong for the Giants has given up 38 hits in 51 innings of work at home on the YEAR and has just 1.21 ERA there. Unreal numbers. Billingsley for LA has under a 3 ERA on the road this year and he has been stellar in his last 3 outings. Add all this up, and considering the Giants are 24-9-1 on UNDERS intheir last 34 at home, and this is a 2-1 or 3-2 type ballgame tonight. Hits and runs will be at a Premium tonight in this one! -Tony George
Prediction: Washington Nationals -109
Play on Washington at 8:05 ET. It’s never too tough a decision to go against the Astros, who were 7-5 losers yesterday here at home to Pittsburgh. Houston is now 15-35 at home this season and 17-49 vs. righties. They are 8-31 at home when the total is 8 or 8.5. Nationals starter Jason Marquis has been a solid money maker this season with a 12-6 team start record with many of those wins in the underdog role. 10* Play on Washington (w/ Marquis). -Tom Freese
Prediction: Braves vs. Rockies Under 9.5
The Rockies are 0-14 Under after a loss in which they drew five or more walks and it is the first game of a series for a profit of +1400 when playing the under. Atlanta is 21-48 Under (+23.5 Units) after 3 consecutive games versus a division rival the last 2 seasons. Play tonight’s game Under as a TWO-Star Selection. -Robbie Gainous (Handicapperspicks.com)