MLB Picks: September 14th 2011
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Pick: Twins vs. Royals Under 8.5
On Wednesday the Free MLB Totals system is on the Under in the Twins at Royals game. Rotation numbers 923/924 at 4:10 eastern. This game fits a nice totals system that plays to the under for home favorites of -140 or higher off a home favored win scoring 4 or less runs on 10+ hits, vs an opponent off a road dog loss scoring 2 or less runs on 4 or less hits with 4 or less men left on base. If the total is less than 10 this system cashes a shade over 80%. The Twins anemic offense is averaging just 2 runs per game the past week and they have gone under in 12 of the last 12 vs losing teams. The Royals have played under in 5 of the last 6 games. They have L. Hochevar going today and he has pitched under in 7 of his last 9 starts. He opposes Twins rookie Hendricks here today and Hendricks is another Solid, September, Minnesota call up this season. In his first start he went a solid 7 innings allowing just 3 runs. Look for this one to stay under tonight. On Wednesday the Lead plays are the MLB Parlay of the Month backed with 27-2 systems. Jump on and get on the giving end of Hump day. For the free play take the Under in the Twins at Royals game. -Rob Vinciletti

Pick: New York Mets -125
Washington is 18-38 last 3 years as a road underdog of +100 to +125. Washington is scoring only 3.9 runs per game overall this year and 3.8 runs per game on the road this season. Brad Peacock makes his 2nd appearance of the year and 1st start. He has pitched in one game so far and gave up four hits in a little over an inning of work, struck out none and walked one. His ERA sits at 6.75 on the season. Mike Pelfrey has been his best at home with a 3-3 record and a 3.87 ERA. We’ll recommend a small play on NY Mets tonight! Thanks and good luck, Rocky Atkinson

Pick: Los Angeles Dodgers -138
The D-backs are playing fantastic baseball right now, but I like LA ace Kershaw to get the better of them tonight. The Dodgers have won 12 of his last 15 starts, and he has given up 1 or no earned runs in 9 of those outings. The southpaw has been nearly unhittable at home, where he is 10-1 with an ERA of 1.80. The Dodgers have won each of his last 6 home starts and 5 of his last 6 starts vs. the Diamondbacks. Hudson is having a strong season for Arizona, but he has had some difficulties on the road, where he has posted an ERA of 3.95 and the D-backs have only won 8 of his 15 starts. We’ll bet the Dodgers. -Jimmy Boyd (Handicapperspicks.com)

MLB Picks: August 13th 2011
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Pick: Los Angeles Angels -125
LA Angels are 38-18 last 3 years on the road when the money line is -100 to -125. LA Angels are 88-51 last 3 years in day games. LA Angels are 5-1 this year when playing on artificial turf. Toronto has lost 3 of their last 4 games. LA Angels bullpen has a 3.36 ERA overall this year. Jered Weaver is 14-5 with a 1.78 ERA overall this year, 8-4 with a 1.99 ERA on the road this season and 1-1 with a 1.59 ERA his last 3 starts. Weaver is 7-1 with a 2.68 ERA overall vs Toronto since 1997. We’ll recommend a small play on LA Angels today! Thanks and good luck, Rocky Atkinson

Pick: Boston Red Sox -138
I will take Boston anytime they are listed at -138 with Josh Beckett starting. Beckett is 9-4 with a 2.17 ERA on the season and has really pitched well on the road with a 2.38 ERA and 0.846 WHIP. The Red Sox are 24-8 in their last 32 vs. a team with a losing record,35-16 in their last 51 road games, and 5-1 in Becketts last 6 starts vs. American League West. -Steve Janus

Pick: Arizona Diamondbacks -168
The New York Mets are sending pitcher Mike Pelfrey to the hill on Saturday when they try to even the series up against the D’backs in Arizona. Pelfrey has five career starts against the Diamondbacks, and he has really struggled against Arizona in his career with a losing record of 1-5 and a high ERA of 5.82 and WHIP score over 1.60. The Arizona Diamondbacks are playing well at home this season as the D’backs have a winning record of 33-27 at their home park. TAKE ARIZONA MINUS -Bob Wingerter (Handicapperspicks.com)

MLB Picks: June 24th 2011
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Pick: Detroit Tigers -140
This game features a pair of southpaw starters. That should favor the Tigers. Detroit is a profitable 70-48 (+20.2) against left-handed starters, the past few seasons. That includes a 15-7 (+7.3) mark this season. On the other hand, Arizona is 10-11 against southpaw starters this season and a money-burning 46-73 (-28.6) the past few seasons. The Diamondbacks are scoring only 4.1 runs per game vs. southpaw starters, hitting a mere 0.235 in those games. Conversely, the Tigers are hitting .264 against left-handers, averaging 4.5 runs in those games. While he hasn’t had much help from his team, Coke has a very solid 1.065 WHIP at home. That’s far better than Duke’s 1.446 WHIP on the road. Speaking of home/road numbers … Even with a win yesterday, the Dbax are still an ugly 79-120 (-23.2) on the road, the past few seasons. During that time, the Tigers, who had yesterday off, are 125-74 (+31) here at Detroit. All things considered, the price seems very reasonable. Consider laying the wood. -Ben Burns

Pick: Los Angeles Angels -127
LA Angels are 31-14 last 3 years in Inter-League play. LA Angels bullpen has a 3.52 ERA overall this year. LA Dodgers are scoring only 3 runs per game at home this year. Dan Haren is 6-5 with a 2.96 ERA overall this year and 4-2 with a 3.47 ERA on the road this season. Rubby De La Rosa is 0-1 with a 9.64 ERA at home this year. LA Angels are 5-1 at the LA Dodgers the past 3 years. Haren has a 3.11 ERA overall vs LA Dodgers since 1997. We’ll recommend a small play on the LA Angels tonight! Thanks and good luck, Rocky Atkinson

Pick: New York Mets +135
The Mets are quietly playing well, 6-2 in their last 8 vs. a team with a winning record. One reason is righty Mike Pelfrey, who has a 2.05 ERA his last three starts walking none in 22 innings! And the Texas Rangers have never faced him before. The Rangers are 3-8 in their last 11 games vs. a right-handed starter and 3-7 in Matt Harrison’s last 10 starts. And the Mets are 4-1 in the last 5 meetings between these teams. Play the NY Mets. -Jim Feist (Handicapperspicks.com)

MLB Picks: June 2nd 2011
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Pick: Pittsburgh Pirates +118
I’m playing the Pittsburgh Pirates on Thursday. I had the Pirates on these pages yesterday and we won when the Bucs made in two straight at Citi Field. Before winning at this venue on Tuesday, the Pirates had lost eight straight at New York. But now that they have found the “sweet elixir,” I expect the Pirates to make it three in a row. Pittsburgh sends Paul Maholm to the bump tonight. The lefthander is off a complete game shutout win over the Cubs last time out. In fact, Maholm has allowed just 8 earned runs and 35 base runners in his last five starts, spanning 31 2/3 innings. That’s a red-hot, 2.27 ERA & 1.10 WHIP. And he’s been extremely stingy in his four daytime outings this season. The Mets are not exactly hitting the cover off the ball, scoring 3 runs or less in six of their last 10 games. Mike Pelfrey probably won’t receive too much help from his offense in this one…again! Low run output has been the case for the Mets in most of Pelfrey’s starts this season. And the righthander has not enjoyed daytime trips to the bump, sporting a career 5.14 ERA & 1.49 WHIP. The Bucs are the better and hotter team at this point, and I expect them to wrap up the series with their third straight win. I’m backing the Pittsburgh Pirates on Thursday afternoon. Thanks! GL! Scott Spreitzer

Pick: Houston Astros +120
Last place San Diego is favored here and faces a good arm in Bud Norris. Norris has a 3.76 ERA, doesn’t walk anyone and has a sizzling 76 strikeouts in 67 innings. He has owned the light hitting Padres in his career, with a 2.12 ERA striking out 19 in 17 innings while allowing just 10 hits. It’s a tough situational spot for the home team, as well, playing at Atlanta yesterday while ending a 6-game trip. Houston has a better road record than the Padres have at home. The Astros are 9-4 in Norris’ last 13 starts with 4 days of rest, while the Padres are 2-6 in Tim Stauffer’s last 8 home starts vs. a team with a losing record. Play the Astros. -Jim Feist (Handicapperspicks.com)

Best Pitchers To Wager On
Trying to find the best pitchers in baseball to bet on isn’t as simple as looking at ERA, wins and losses, and WHIP all the time. Check out who tops our MLB betting list of the best arms in the bigs.
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Ubaldo Jimenez, Colorado Rockies (14-1, +$1,272) – The bad news for MLB betting fans of Jimenez’s is that the days of getting good numbers on him are absolutely gone. The good news is that he just keeps on finding ways to win games, which keeps putting money in their pockets one unit at a time. His ERA ballooned up to 1.60 in his most recent start against the Red Sox, but the team just continues to win. At 13-1, 30 wins still seems like a possibility.

Mike Pelfrey, New York Mets (11-3, +$931) – Pelfrey had his first bad start last week when the Bronx Bombers knocked him around for five earned runs in seven innings of work. It was the first time that one of the top righties for the Mets was beaten in a game since May 1st. This is going to be the first time that New York has had itself a starting pitcher in the All-Star Game that hasn’t been named Johan Santana. We still aren’t totally sure that Pelfrey can keep this pace up for the whole season, but for as long as he is winning, he is worth backing.

Philip Hughes, New York Yankees (11-2, +$764) – The man that beat Pelfrey in that game last week in the Big Apple was none other than Hughes. Who would’ve thought that the best starter that the Yankees would have right around the halfway point of the season wouldn’t be named CC Sabathia, Andy Pettitte, AJ Burnett, or Javier Vazquez? Hughes just continues to put up consistent start after consistent start, and though his 3.17 ERA isn’t necessarily a stud type of a number at this point in the year, that consistency with New York’s lethal lineup keeps producing wins.

Carlos Silva, Chicago Cubs (10-3, +$725) – Is the window of opportunity closing on Silva and the Cubs? His hamstring is acting up right now, which has caused manager Lou Piniella to push him back a few days for his next start. After winning games for the Cubs in ten straight starts, the last two starts haven’t worked so well. Silva has been given two straight losses, even though he only allowed five earned runs in 13.0 innings. The six inning start against the Angels only took 70 pitches, but it was cut short due to that hammy.

Freddy Garcia, Chicago White Sox (9-4, +$716) – The White Sox have won nine straight games, and Garcia is a big part of the season why the team is gaining ground quickly in the AL Central standings. Since allowing seven runs to the Marlins in just 2.1 innings on May 23rd, Garcia has won five straight starts. He has thrown exactly seven innings in four of those five starts, and didn’t allow more than three runs in any of those outings.

Worst Pitchers To Wager On
Pitchers that burn holes in our pockets is just another day in the life of trying to beat the MLB odds. Here at BetUS Sportsbook, we’ve got the five worst money burning pitchers in the bigs listed for you to steer clear of in the future. Take a look at the toughest luck pitchers against the MLB odds this year.
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Zack Greinke, Kansas City Royals (3-12, -$1,111) – Poor Zack Greinke still can’t figure out how to get back on track. The oddsmakers are still burying Greinke because of his name in spite of the fact that the Royals flat out stink. The good news for last year’s AL Cy Young Award winner is that he did strike out 12 batters in a complete game victory against the Reds two starts ago, but all in all, a 3.94 ERA doesn’t warrant much in the way of special treatment, especially with a 2-8 record to boot.

Ryan Dempster, Chicago Cubs (5-10, -$897) – Theoretically speaking, Dempster deserves a heck of a lot better than what he has gotten of late from his teammates. The offense continues to fail to put runs on the board on a consistent basis. As a result, the righty has ended up with plenty of starts this year like he had on Tuesday when he allowed two runs over eight innings and lost 2-0. The righty will reach 100 strikeouts in his next start, and as long as his ERA ends up staying around the 3.56 range it sits at right now, he’ll probably get off of this list sooner than later.

Brian Matusz, Baltimore Orioles (3-12, -$801) – The young lefty for the Orioles was pitching quite well in the month of June, as he had four straight starts in which he allowed three or fewer runs. That all went up in smoke against the Marlins on Wednesday when he gave up six runs in 6.1 innings in a 7-5 defeat. Unfortunately, that was the first time since May 20th that his team had given him more than four runs of support.

Jeremy Guthrie, Baltimore Orioles (3-12, -$799) – It should come as no surprise that the Orioles have a pair of starters amongst the five worst in the game considering the fact that they are on pace to break all sorts of records for futility in baseball history. Guthrie’s 4.28 ERA would look fantastic on the Yankees, and against any reasonable team in the game, that would at least post a marginal record. However, because he is an Oriole, Guthrie is just 3-9 and things aren’t looking to get better any time soon.

Charlie Morton, Pittsburgh Pirates (1-9, -$758) – The good news for Pirates bettors is that Morton hasn’t been in the lineup. He has been on the disabled list since May 27th and probably still has a week or so until he comes back from his shoulder fatigue. You never like hearing “shoulder fatigue” on a pitcher, particularly on a bad team, and particularly on one that is playing as poorly as Pittsburgh is right now. Stay away at all costs!

Source: BetUS Locker Room Featured on: Handicapperspicks.com

If you look at baseball betting as if it were the stock market, here’s a look at what we’re buying and selling through another week of play on the diamond.

Bullish Squads

New York Mets (6-1, +$565): Things are hot and cold for the Mets right now. 3B David Wright is getting booed because he had strikeouts in almost half of his ABs this week, but RHP Mike Pelfrey (whom we’ll discuss later) is on fire. Coming home was just what the doctor ordered for the boys from the Big Apple, as they are a solid 6-1 on this 10 game home stand.

 San Diego Padres (5-1, +$433): The Padres rolled off an eight-game winning streak before getting nipped by the Reds in the final game of their three game set on Sunday. The streak moved San Diego to the top of the NL West in spite of the fact that the team is only averaging 4.61 runs per game, the 13th best mark in the majors. No one really expects to see this continue, but for the time being, the Padres’ stock is definitely rising.

Bearish Squads

Pittsburgh Pirates (0-6, -$600): The oddsmakers certainly got it right with the Pirates this week, as they were dogs in every single game that they played. Pittsburgh allowed a whopping 9.2 runs per game this week, including conceding 20 to the Brewers in the most lopsided loss in franchise history. The Bucs started the year at 7-5 and looked ready to compete, but this losing streak has stuffed them back where they belong, in the gutter of the NL Central.

Atlanta Braves (1-5, -$516): The Braves ran into a buzz saw in New York this week, but the bats are starting to become a real concern once again for Manager Bobby Cox. Atlanta hasn’t scored more than four runs in a game in its L/8 baseball betting battles, getting shutout three times in the interim. The team is averaging just 3.89 runs per game this year, but Cox would love to see them get anywhere near that this week after plating just six runs in its L/5 games.

Player to Buy – Mike Pelfrey, New York Mets (2-0, 0.00 ERA): With all due respect to LHP Johan Santana, the man that has kept New York’s pitching staff together has been RHP Mike Pelfrey. Pelfrey has thrown 24 straight bagels on the board, easily the longest streak in the majors. He has pitched in five games this year and has four wins and a save to show for it. A 0.69 ERA is awesome, and if he can stick anywhere near that for the rest of the year, the Mets are going to be tough to topple.

Player to Sell – Carlos Quentin, Chicago White Sox (.050 BA, 1 HR): The good news for Quentin is that his one hit this week was a home run. The bad news is that batting 1/20 isn’t going to cut it too often. The Sox are having a miserable time trying to plate runs right now scoring just 3.89 runs per game, and Quentin is a big part of the problem. He hit 21 homers last year and 36 the year before, but this year, he only has three, and his .154 BA is pitiful.