Expert’s Week 6 NFL Picks: October 16th 2011
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Pick: Tampa Bay Buccaneers +7
At 4:15 pm, our complimentary selection is on the Tampa Bay Buccaneers, as we will play against New Orleans, which is playing its third straight road game today. Unfortunately for Sean Payton’s crew, NFL teams are a dismal 40-72 ATS on the road after playing 2 games away from home before it, if they won their previous game. With New Orleans in off a victory over Carolina, our 72-40 ATS system is satisfied. Now, even though there’s nothing wrong with 64%, we can improve our system to a sweet 78% by introducing one other element. And that’s to bring our ‘play-on’ team (here, Tampa Bay) in off a loss by more than 20 points. Last week, the Bucs fell 48-3 at San Francisco. Look for Tampa Bay to rebound off that embarassing defeat on Sunday. Take the points. Good luck, as always…Al McMordie.

Pick: New York Giants -3
Giants (-) over Bills- How about those Giants? Two weeks ago the win a game in Arizona that they had no business winning and last week at home they lose to Seattle a team they had no business losing too. Buffalo at 4-1 might be the biggest surprise in the NFL to date but as of now they won’t sneak up on anybody. The Bills pulled out another win last win over the Eagles when Philadelphia just kept making mistakes in clutch critical situations. Take the GIANTS! -Chip Chirimbes

Pick: Cowboys vs. Patriots Over 55.5
These are two of the better passing offenses going up against two defenses that have had trouble stopping the pass. The Patriots have been one of the most explosive offensive teams in the league, averaging over 30 ppg and 495 yards of total offense. On defense the Patriots are giving up 326.6 passing yards a game, which plays right into the hands of the Cowboys attack. Dallas is averaging 331 yards through the air, and are expected to get star wide out Miles Austin back for this game. Both of these teams should be able to put at least 30 points in this game. The OVER is 10-1 in Patriots last 11 games as a home favorite of 3.5-10.0 and 9-1 in Cowboys last 10 games following a S.U. loss. BET THE OVER 55.5! -Steve Janus (Handicapperspicks.com)

NFL Odds are our specialty here at BetUS Sportsbook, and we’re back with yet another great duel to bring you for Week 3 between the Dallas Cowboys and the Houston Texans.
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Dallas Cowboys vs. Houston Texans
Game Date/Time: Sunday, September 26th, 1:00 ET
Game Location: Reliant Stadium, Houston, TX
TV/Radio Broadcast: Fox, Westwood One, Sirius

NFL Odds: Dallas Cowboys (+3) -125 vs. Houston Texans (-3) +105: Over/Under 47.5

The Cowboys are in a lot of trouble right now, and they’re in that deep doo thanks to their offense. The defense has done a suitable job, holding foes to just 279.0 yards and 20.0 points per game.

However, did you ever think that a team with a backfield of Felix Jones, Marion Barber, and Tashard Choice would average just 69.5 rushing yards per game?

That’s where Dallas sits right now, and it is spoiling the efforts of a passing attack that ranks second in the league with 325.5 yards per game. Give Tony Romo some credit, as he is doing his job to help beat the NFL odds. Romo has completed 66.3 percent of his passes for 656 yards. He only has two TD passes on the year, but he has certainly made a perennial Pro Bowler out of Miles Austin who leads the NFL in receptions with 20 and receiving yards with 288.

It has been a season of firsts for the Texans, and they are paying off with wins against the NFL odds. Arian Foster became the first running back to run for more than 225 yards in a game. Matt Schaub has become the first quarterback to throw for more than 450 yards. Andre Johnson and Kevin Walter became the first duo of receivers to have 100+ yards in the same game. Neil Rackers won the first overtime game in the history of the team as well.

Up next? The first playoff berth in team history.

A win on Sunday would move the Texans to 3-0 for, to no surprise, the first time in franchise history. The biggest question that Gary Kubiak has to have coming into this game is how his pass defense is going to hold up. The Houston Texans secondary is ranked dead last in the league with an average of 411.0 yards per game allowed.

However, when your offense is averaging 32.0 points and 440.5 yards per game, you can afford a few defensive blunders and still be 2-0 against the spread on the season.

NFL Insider Tip : The Cowboys are just 5-11 ATS in their L/16 on the road. The dead man that you see walking on the visitors sideline might just be Wade Phillips. That star on his chest might turn into a bulls-eye for Jerry Jones when this game is over, because the Texans are going to roll, which will drop the Dallas Cowboys to a woeful 0-3 on the year and on life support.

Go with Houston to beat the NFL odds on Sunday.

My NFL Predictions: Houston Texans (-3) +105

Source: BetUS Locker Room Featured on: Handicapperspicks.com

The Dallas Cowboys are coming off of a division title and the first playoff win of the QB Tony Romo era in 2009. However, for owner Jerry Jones, nothing less than a Super Bowl will be considered a success. Check out how we feel the Boys are going to do in 2010-11 NFL betting action.
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1: Is Romo really ready to become an elite NFL quarterback? It feels like we ask this question every single season. Though Romo threw for just short of 4,500 yards a year ago and could be in for more this year, we just don’t buy that he is anywhere near the level of Peyton Manning, Drew Brees, Tom Brady, and Philip Rivers. Win some playoff games, kid. The truly elite quarterbacks don’t throw for just 198 yards and a pick in a 34-3 loss to crash out of the playoffs like Romo did last year against the Minnesota Vikings.

2: Will trading up for WR Dez Bryant pay dividends? Many think that Romo’s problem in “Big D” has been a lack of big play receivers. That’s why the squad went out and traded for Roy Williams two years ago, and that’s why it was a shock to see WR Miles Austin look phenomenal last year. Dallas decided that it needed to go back to the well once again in search for that elusive elite receiver, and it did so by trading up in the draft to snare Bryant. It isn’t a numbers game for Bryant, as he was suspended for the majority of his final season at Oklahoma State. However, no receiver in the land was bigger, more imposing, and showed more ability to go get the ball than Bryant did when he was on the field. This should be a real asset for Tony Romo if Bryant can stay out of trouble.

3: Will Dallas duplicate its #2 ranked defense? Probably not. The Cowboys are a decent defensive team, but they were in over their head last year by holding teams to just 15.6 PPG. This is also a unit that allowed 225.4 YPG through the air, and that’s saying something considering the fact that LB DeMarcus Ware had 11 sacks and the team was known for crushing opposing passers.

4: Is Wade Phillips a sitting duck yet? In all likelihood, regardless of whether the team wins the Super Bowl or not, Phillips is bound to go eventually. OC Jason Garrett is waiting in the wings, and should Dallas slip just one bit, chaos in the locker room could ensue.

5: Bottom Line: How many games will the Dallas Cowboys win in 2010? This is the most important question that we will ask for all of the teams in the league. The Cowboys have an NFL betting line of 10 wins to beat at BetUS Sportsbook, and we think that they will top that number. Romo and the offense are going to be lethal this year, and a dozen wins isn’t out of the question. Bryant makes a huge difference, as Dallas could have four 1,000-yard caliber receivers at its disposal. The defense should be good enough, even if it allows closer to 20 PPG to win 12 games in the rough and tumble NFC East.

Source: BetUS Locker Room 2010 Dallas Cowboys Predictions Featured on: Handicapperspicks.com