Milwaukee Bucks vs. Chicago Bulls
Free Pick: Milwaukee Bucks +6.5 (Jimmy Boyd)
I know the Bucks will be Andrew Bogut for the rest of the season, but I think odds makers have over figured his absence into this line. Milwaukee will be extremely motivated tonight as it can clinch a postseason berth with a win. The Bulls will be motivated to win as well, as they are trying to play their way into the No. 8 seed. With this in mind, I expect another down to the wire game from these two teams. The first three meetings this season have all been decided by 3 or fewer points. The Bucks are 13-3 ATS in their last 16 games as a road underdog and 7-1 ATS in their last 8 games as a road underdog of 5.0-10.5 points. Milwaukee is also 16-4 ATS versus poor defensive teams allowing 99 or more points per game, 2nd half of the season this season, winning in these spots by an average score of 102.7 to 95.5. Not having Bogut in the playoffs will prove costly, but I expect the Bucks to rally in his absence and take the Bulls right down to the wire tonight. Bet the Bucks.
San Antonio Spurs vs. Sacramento Kings
Free Pick: San Antonio Spurs -6 (Tom Freese)
Sacramento is just playing out the string. Tyreke Evans score 20 points a game. Beno Udrih scores 12.9 points a game Center Jason Thompson scores 12.5 points and 8.3 rebounds a game. The Kings score 99.8 points a game and they allow 104.2 points a game. Sacramento is 0-6 ATS their last 6 games as home dogs and they are 2-9-1 ATS when playing with two days of rest. San Antonio is led in scoring by Center Tim Duncan and his 18.1 points and 10.8 rebounds a game. Guard Manu Ginobili scores 16.6 points a game George Hill is filling in for the injured Tony Parker. Richard Jefferson scores 12.3 points a game. The Spurs 101.2 points a game and they allow 96 points a game. San Antonio is 10-1 ATS after scoring 100 or more points in their last game and they are 9-1 ATS their last 10 games vs. Western Conference teams. PLAY ON SAN ANTONIO
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Philadelphia 76ers vs. Milwaukee Bucks
Free Pick: Under 191 (March 24th 2010 – Doc’s Sports)
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Well, what do we have here? We have a team that has been playing some of the best defense in the NBA at home against a team that has been really struggling to score. The Bucks average 96 PPG allowed at home on the season but even that number can be misleading because this team has been playing the best defense of the season over the last month or so. Philly has failed to get out of the 80s in four of their last eight games and they have reached the Century Mark just once during that span. This team has some playmakers banged up right now and they weren’t very good offensively to begin with. We really feel like this team may struggle to get out of the 80s again tonight. Even if Milwaukee gets their share of points we have a hard time believing this one will get over 190. We had this number pegged at 188 and we would have leaned towards the under at that number as well. The under is 7-3 in Milwaukee’s last 10 overall, and with some of the shrinking totals they have faced that is a real testament to the defense this team is playing.
Boston Celtics vs. Milwaukee Bucks
Free NBA Pick: Milwaukee -1 (March 9th 2010 – Joseph D’Amico)
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The Buck’s are the hottest team in the NBA, winning 9 of their L10 SU and covering 10 straight. They dismantled the Cav’s 92-85 on Saturday. All 5 starters are averaging DD”s each game, including Forward John Salmons who is posting 19.2 PPG. When hosting, Milwaukee is 19-10 ATS TY and are outscoring visiting foes by an average of 4.1 PPG. Boston is playing well, but are just 7-16-1 ATS their L24 games overall. They are just not covering the number. The Celtic’s can’t seem to get over on the Buck’s, as they are 0-4 ATS their L4 against them and 1-4 ATS their L5 in Miwasukee. The Celtic’s are also 5-15-1 ATS their L21 games played on 1 days rest, 1-4 ATS their L5 vs. the NBA Central, and 3-8-1 ATS their L12 vs. teams with a winning record. The Buck’s 4-0 ATS their L4 at home, 13-3 ATS their L16 vs. the NBA Atlantic, and 23-8 ATS their L31 as a favorite. Milwaukee wins and covers at home. Thank you.