Philadelphia Phillies vs. San Francisco Giants Pick & Odds: October 21st 2010

October 21, 2010 By

PHILLIES VS. GIANTS PICKThe heat has officially been turned up in baseball betting action for the Philadelphia Phillies. Trailing three games to one in the National League Championship Series, they are going to face three straight do or die games to try to defend their back to back National League pennants. The San Francisco Giants stand in their way, starting in Game 5 on Thursday night.

Philadelphia Phillies vs. San Francisco Giants
Game Date/Time: Thursday, October 21st, 7:57 ET
Game Location: AT&T Park, San Francisco, CA
TV/Radio Broadcast: Fox, XM

MLB Odds: Philadelphia Phillies (Roy Halladay – R) -120 -1.5 +140 vs. San Francisco Giants (Tim Lincecum – R) +110 +1.5 -160: Over/Under 5.5 o-125 5.5 u+105

In his first ever postseason appearance, Roy Halladay pitched the second ever no hitter in the history of playoff baseball. In his second ever postseason appearance, he looked awfully mortal.

Halladay allowed four runs on eight hits in seven innings of work in the 4-3 loss at home in Game 1 of this series, and he was largely outpitched by Tim Lincecum on the day.

Halladay did fan seven batters along the way and inevitably will get his K’s once again on Thursday, but things just don’t seem quite right for a man that has never beaten the Giants in a baseball betting contest.

For the Giants, they’re living large right now, knowing that they are just one more baseball betting victory away from the Fall Classic, but they certainly don’t want to have to turn around this weekend and play one, if not two games in the City of Brotherly Love once again.

Lincecum has been marvelous in these playoffs for the Giants, as he is 2-0 with a 1.69 ERA in spite of the fact that he has only gotten five runs of support. Against Philly, Lincecum has now won three times in eight starts and has only been beaten once. This year alone in two starts, the righty has 19 strikeouts and has only allowed five runs in 15.1 innings of work.

Lincecum has now gone eight straight starts with allowing three or fewer runs, and he has pitched at least seven frames in all but two of those eight outings.

MLB Insider Tip: The Giants are 6-2 in their L/8 postseason games at home in baseball betting action.

As much as we love Halladay, we just can’t go there on the road. He has already thrown almost 270 innings this season, and his arm has to be showing signs of getting incredibly tired after all of these seasons of hard labor. He has never pitched this deep into a season before and has never been in this type of a do or die situation. There is just no pressure at all for a San Fran team that feels like it is on top of the world right now.

The Giants will use this baseball betting affair on Thursday to bounce the Phils.

My MLB Predictions: San Francisco Giants (Lincecum)
Courtesy of Mike Rose (Betus.com RSS Feed)

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MLB Predictions: San Diego Padres vs. Chicago Cubs Odds: September 29th 2010

September 29, 2010 By

Our Wednesday night MLB betting predictions take us to Petco Park where the San Diego Padres look to snag a “W” against the Chicago Cubs in their second to last home game of the regular season.
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The Cubbies have gone into Petco and played the role of spoiler taking each of the first two games of this crucial Padres home stand. Interim manager Mike Quade has done a sensational job since taking over for Lou Piniella, as the Cubs enter the third game of this series a lucrative 21-11 their L/32 overall games.

If the Padres had caught fire like that in September, they would by no means be faced with the scary thought of missing out on the post-season after leading the NL West for the majority of the regular season. As it is, San Diego trails the San Francisco Giants by two-games in the NL West with the Atlanta Braves holding a 1.5-game lead on the NL Wild Card slot.

Chicago Cubs (72-85, -$1779) vs. San Diego Padres (87-70, $1804)
Game Date/Time: Wednesday, September 29th, 10:05 ET
Game Location: Petco Park, San Diego, CA
TV/Radio Broadcast: Comcast (Chicago), 4SD, XM

MLB Odds: Chicago Cubs +1.5 -190 +115 (Randy Wells – R) vs. San Diego Padres -1.5 +160 -135 (Chris Young – R): Total 6.5 O -115 6.5 U -105

Randy Wells enters his 32nd start of the 2010 MLB predictions season off back-to-back victories after tossing a gem at home against the Giants. He shut them out through 7.2 innings and allowed just six hits while K’ing six and walking one.

The win improved him to 8-13 on the year with a 4.28 ERA & 1.40 WHIP giving up 203 hits and 89 ER’s with a K/BB ratio of 142/59 through 187.1 total innings of work.

His ERA inflates to 4.54 on the road where the Cubs have won just five of his 13 overall starts. While Chicago stands just 1-4 his L/5 starts as road underdogs in the +110 to +150 range, he’s had much success throughout his career against the Padres allowing just eight hits and four ER’s through 14 IP in a pair of starts, but has an 0-2 lifetime record vs. them to show for it.

Making just his third start since coming back up to the big squad will be lanky righty Chris Young. So far so good in his return as the Padres have won each of his L/2 starts since being called up.

He held the pesky Reds in check his last time out limiting Dusty Baker’s NL Central Champs to just three hits and a lone ER through five innings pitched. His work has been limited due to a pitch count, but in that stretch, he’s allowed just six hits and two ER’s through nine innings. He’s 2-1 with a 3.63 ERA & 1.13 WHIP in six career MLB predictions starts vs. the Northsiders.

MLB Insider Tip: This is a huge overlay with San Diego tonight, but I still see it as being the correct call. Chicago has made life a living hell for the Friars thus far taking each of the first two games of this crucial series, but I expect San Diego to snag the ever important win tonight to keep pressure on both the Giants and Braves for the final two playoff spots.

Manager Bud Black’s squad has responded in the third game of a series if coming off a loss all season long by posting a solid 12-6 record. On the flipside, the Cubs are 9-16 in Game 3 when playing off a ‘W’. The Padres have also taken advantage of sub .500 opposition at home winning 12 of the L/15 times with two of those defeats coming in this series.

My MLB predictions for tonight’s NL battle have the Padres stepping up to the plate and knocking a big home win out of the park!

My MLB Prediction: San Diego Padres (Young)

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Baseball Picks: Chicago Cubs vs. San Francisco Giants Prediction: September 21st 2010

September 21, 2010 By

My Tuesday night MLB predictions head to Wrigley Field where the San Francisco Giants will embark upon the first of their six-game road trip against the Chicago Cubs.
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By taking two of three at Petco and splitting their next six-games, the Giants have overtaken San Diego in the NL West and enter tonight’s series opener holding a slim half-game lead in the standings. Unfortunately for them, they’re running into a red hot Cubs squad that enters tonight’s game winners of six in a row after sweeping the Florida Marlins over the weekend.

San Francisco Giants (84-66, +$1082) vs. Chicago Cubs (68-81, -$1902)
Game Date/Time: Tuesday, September 21st, 8:05 ET
Game Location: Wrigley Field, Chicago, IL
TV/Radio Broadcast: Comcast (Bay + Chicago), XM

MLB Odds: San Francisco Giants -1.5 +140 -120 (Matt Cain – R) vs. Chicago Cubs +1.5 -160 +100 (Carlos Zambrano – R): Total 8.5 O -120 8.5 U +100

Matt Cain enters his 31st start of the season throwing some fantastic ball leading the Giants to victories in each of his L/5 outings while picking up three himself to move to 12-10 with a 3.08 ERA & 1.10 WHIP on the year. He picked up his 12th win of the season his last time out after tossing seven shutout innings against the Dodgers.

The righty has managed to go at least six innings in nine of his L/10 outings giving up three runs or less in nine of those starts as well. Before his August 12th start against Chicago, he had shut the Cubs out in each of his three previous starts against it. Lifetime, Cain sports a 5-2 mark with a 2.61 ERA & 0.98 WHIP in nine overall outings.

Opposing one of the Giants top hurlers will be Carlos Zambrano whose looked every part of the Cubs ace since seeking help for his anger issues. Since being reinserted into the Cubs starting rotation full time back at the beginning of August, the Cubs have won six of his eight MLB predictions starts and he enters his 18th start of the season 9-6 with a 3.75 ERA.

Big Z has allowed two ER’s or less in every one of those starts, and has managed to pitch through six in four of his L/5. He allowed just four hits and a pair of ER’s in a no decision effort at San Francisco in his first start back in the rotation in August. He’s 5-1 with a 2.92 ERA & 1.35 WHIP in nine career starts vs. the Giants.

MLB Insider Tip: Tonight’s series opener has a pair of finely tuned starters going at it in a pressure packed situation for the visitors. These teams have notoriously played to low scoring affairs when they hook up on the Northside with the ‘under’ going 11-5-2 the L/18 meetings.

With the ‘under’ 5-2-1 the L/8 times Big Z was installed an underdog, and the ‘under’ 14-5 the L/19 times Cain was installed a road favorite, my MLB predictions for this spot have both clubs playing true to form with runs being very hard to come by. Wrigley will have a playoff atmosphere to it tonight, unfortunately for Cubs fans, it’s not their team in the running. Still, look for them to continue their recent excelled level of play and give the giants a run for their money in a very low scoring tilt.

My MLB Predictions: San Francisco/Chicago under 8.5 +100 (Cain/Zambrano)

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San Francisco Giants vs. San Diego Padres Betting Odds & Prediction: September 9th 2010

September 9, 2010 By

Our Thursday night MLB predictions take us to Petco Park for a crucial series opener between the division rival San Francisco Giants and San Diego Padres.
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After letting a golden opportunity slip through the cracks last night in Arizona, the Giants find themselves two-games in back of the Padres in the NL West and two-games off the pace set by the Philadelphia Phillies in the NL Wild Card race. That said; the Giants continue to be just above average on the road (36-35, $376) and could claim the top spot in the division if they were to sweep this four-game series in San Diego.

The Padres had been grossly overachieving all season and currently sit atop the money standings as the biggest moneymaker in all of baseball. Unfortunately, their good fortune came to a crashing halt when the calendar flipped to September. When the swoon ended, the Padres dropped 10 in a row and only found themselves holding a one-game lead after holding a comfortable one the majority of the season. They most recently bounced back to sweep the Dodgers to move to 41-29 on the year ($686) entering tonight’s series opener.

San Francisco Giants (78-62, $935) vs. San Diego Padres (79-59, $2191)
Game Date/Time: Thursday, September 2nd, 7:10 ET
Game Location: Coors Field, Denver, CO
TV/Radio Broadcast: PHL17, FOX – Rocky Mountain, XM

MLB Odds: San Francisco Giants +1.5 -210 -105 (Matt Cain – R) vs. San Diego Padres -1.5 +175 -115 (Jon Garland – R): Total 6.5 O +105 6.5 U -125

Matt Cain has been dealing some nasty cheddar of late! He’s 1-0 with a 3.80 ERA & 1.14 WHIP allowing 18 hits and just nine ER’s with a K/BB ratio of 20/3 his L/3 starts. The righty had tossed four quality starts in a row up until his most recent outing at LA where the dodgers got to him for seven hits and four ER’s through seven IP; SF still won 5-4.

He has had his most trouble away from AT&T Park this season where he stands 3-7 but still sports a decent ERA (3.69) and WHIP (1.29). He’s faced the San Diego Padres three times this season, and the Giants dropped each outing. SD has given him problems throughout his career as he’s 4-8 with a 3.12 ERA in 21 career starts.

Opposing him will be righty Jon Garland who loves nothing more than to pitch in the comfy confines of Petco Park. Overall this season, Garland owns a 13-10 record with a 3.31 ERA. However, when at home, he’s 7-4 with a 2.68 ERA and the Padres have won nine of his 15 overall outings giving him an average 4.27 runs of support to work with.

He’s dominated the Giants throughout his career going a perfect 3-0 with a 2.15 ERA & 1.13 WHIP in four career outings. He bested Cain in a Petco match-up earlier this season tossing seven innings of one-run ball in the Padres 5-2 victory.

MLB Insider Tip : The Padres have owned the San Fransisco Giants this season winning nine of the 11 overall meetings dropping only one of the five games in tonight’s venue. As good as Cain has been of late, he has problems with the Padres for some strange reason (3-13 L/16), and the Giants are just 2-6 in his L/8 starts as the visiting pitcher.

San Diego picked up some much needed self confidence by sweeping the Dodgers, and I look for them to carry it over into the final regular season series between these clubs at Petco Park. Back the NL West leading Padres in tonight’s series opener!

My MLB Prediction: San Diego Padres (Garland)

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Colorado Rockies vs. San Francisco Giants Odds & Prediction: September 1st 2010

September 1, 2010 By

Our Wednesday night MLB predictions take us to AT&T Park where the NL West rival Colorado Rockies and San Francisco Giants will close out their three-game baseball betting set.
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After Colorado stole the series opener by a 2-1 final tally in a fabulous pitching duel, the Giants evened the series up with some late game heroics from the offense to capture the 5-2 victory. The Rockies hold an 8-6 season series advantage and 10 of the 14 games have combined to go ‘under’ the closing number.

This will be the final match-up of the regular season in tonight’s venue between these clubs. The Giants have been one of the better home teams this season capturing baseball betting odds victories in 41 of 68 tries ($459), while ‘under’ bettors have made a modest profit overall (33-29-6). Manager Jim Tracy’s club has been a woeful visitor securing victories in just 26 of 67 overall attempts (-$1649); it has however been a solid ‘under’ bet away from Coors Field (39-26-2).

Colorado Rockies (69-62, -$491) vs. San Francisco Giants (73-60, $595)
Game Date/Time: Wednesday, September 1st, 9:15 ET
Game Location: AT&T Park, San Francisco, CA
TV/Radio Broadcast: FOX – Rocky Mountain, Comcast (Bay), XM

MLB Odds: Colorado Rockies -1.5 +150 -120 (Ubaldo Jimenez – R) vs. San Francisco Giants +1.5 -170 +100 (Tim Lincecum – R): Total 6.5 O -125 6.5 U +105

Though Ubaldo has churned out quality starts in each of his L/6 outings, the potential NL Cy Young Award winner has just two wins to show for it. He failed to pick up the 18 th win of his 2010 campaign his last time out at home against the Dodgers who got to him for nine hits and three ER’s through his seven innings of work. The defeat dropped him to 17-5 overall.

He’ll toe the AT&T Park bump for the second time this season having last tossed a complete game 4-0 shutout there back on May 31 st. The power righty has allowed just 10 ER’s through his L/28 innings of work, and has beaten the Giants twice in his three 2010 starts.

Reigning NL Cy Young Award winner Tim Lincecum has to be ecstatic that the month of August has come to a close. He dropped each of his five outings and posted an unheard of 7.82 ERA in doing so. He enters his 28 th start of the season 11-9 with a rather un-Lincecum-like 3.80 ERA & 1.35 WHIP.

He got shelled by the Diamondbacks his last time out to cost baseball bettors a pretty penny after going off the board as a -180 MLB betting odds favorite. He’s surprisingly had his roughest go at it at home in the pitcher friendly venue where he stands 7-6 with a 4.12 ERA & 1.41 WHIP through 87.1 total IP. San Fran has dropped his pair of starts vs. Colorado this season, and in his career, he’s 5-5 with a 3.79 ERA in 13 overall starts.

MLB Insider Tip : With these clubs separated by just three-games in the NL West standings, the pitching has really stepped to the forefront in this series. That’s normally the case in a playoff atmosphere, and I look for that trend to carry over into tonight’s finale.

I’m not exactly sure what Lincecum’s problem has been, but never underestimate the power of a new month; especially in the game of baseball. I look for him to bring his “A” game tonight but also expect Ubaldo to continue bringing it as well.

Home plate Ump Jerry Layne has been decent for ‘under’ bettors this season with his games playing to the low side of the baseball betting odds ‘total’ 14 of 24 times. With oddsmakers posting this number so low even though Lincecum has been severely struggling, it sounded alarms off for me immediately! Take the plus-money return and look for yet another pitcher’s duel to close out the series.

My MLB Prediction: Colorado/San Francisco Under 6.5 +105 (Jimenez/Lincecum)

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