NBA Picks: February 6th 2012
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NBA Pick: New York Knicks -3
Teams tend to actually play well without their superstars for the first few games they are out. Amare Stoudemire won’t be playing for New York tonight as he deals with the death of his brother. I look for the Knicks to put on an inspired effort to try and win this one for Stoudemire. Utah has been great at home this season, but terrible on the road. The Jazz are just 2-5 SU & 2-5 ATS in road games this year, getting outscored by 11.3 points/game. The Knicks are playing much better of late, going 4-0 ATS in their last 4 games overall. Home-court advantage has been huge in this series. The home team has won 10 of the last 11 meetings. Take the Knicks and lay the points. -Black Widow

NBA Pick: New Jersey Nets +9.5
The Bulls have lost 16 of their last 18 in New Jersey and are just 3-12 ATS in their last 15 road meetings in the series. The Nets are 5-0 ATS in their last 5 games following an ATS loss, 8-3 ATS in their last 11 games following a SU loss and 4-1 ATS in their last 5 games as an underdog. Bet the Nets. -Dave Price

NBA Pick: San Antonio Spurs +1
I am drinking the Kool Aid here. This line stinks to high heaven and I should be looking for the rat in the mix here, but I cannot figure this line. Opened at +1.5 is is dropping, looks like a set up line, but I just cannot figure it. The Spurs have played the Griz twice this season and beat them by double digits, last one 10 points at Memphis. The Griz have dropped their last 2 games and the Spurs have ripped off 4 in a row including beating Oklahoma City. I realize the Spurs have absolutley stunk it up on the road this year, and do not have a great ATS trend in this series, but Memphis has Tony Allen out tonight at guard where they are thin already! Tony Parker went off for 42 in his last game and the Spurs are better in the backcourt and THIS IS A WINNABLE ROAD GAME. I have this line at -4 on power ratings for the Spurs and I am getting a point here. Thats a 5 point overlay, and I cannot for the life of me figure this line, so I am taking the point here. Memphis has struggled to 88 ppg on offense their last 5 games and allowed 91. The Spurs are a better team and can score from the perimeter. -Tony George

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Free Basketball Picks: January 23rd 2012
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Pick: New Jersey Nets +13.5
The Chicago Bulls are expected to get back starting point guard Derrick Rose, but there is a good chance they will be playing without Luol Deng. I don’t think people understand just how important Deng is to the Bulls. Chicago will also be without backup power forward Taj Gibson, who is another very underrated player. The Bulls success comes from their defense. Without Deng and Gibson that defense will take a hit, which is why I will gladly take the 13.5-points. There is no question getting Rose back is a big plus for the Bulls, but I don’t expect him to dominate this game going up against another top point guard in Deron Williams. New Jersey is 13-3 ATS in their last 16 games as a road underdog of 11.0 or greater, while the Bulls are just 2-7 ATS in their last 9 games as a home favorite of 11.0 or greater. BET THE NETS! -Steve Janus

Pick: Golden State Warriors -1.5
Memphis will be without star forward Zach Randolph tonight. Memphis is scoring only 84.9 points per game on the road this year. Golden State is 3-0 SU and ATS at home vs Memphis the past 3 years. Grizzlies are 3-7 ATS in their last 10 road games. Grizzlies are 2-9 ATS in their last 11 games as an underdog. Grizzlies are 1-7 ATS in their last 8 games as a road underdog. Warriors are 6-2 ATS in their last 8 games playing on 2 days rest. Home team is 6-1 ATS in the last 7 meetings. Favorite is 5-2 ATS in the last 7 meetings. We’ll recommend a small play on Golden State tonight! Thanks and good luck, Rocky Atkinson

Pick: Syracuse -5.5
Free Play from Doc’s Sports. #743 Take Syracuse over Cincinnati (7 p.m., Monday) I’ll be the first to admit I was wrong, and still am, about Syracuse not being a legit top team this season. But the Orange do have to play its first game with a loss after losing to Notre Dame over the weekend. I think Syracuse bounces back in style. Let’s face it – the Big East is down across the board this year. But you still have to be impressed that the ‘Cuse have won all its Big East games by an average of over 15 points per contest. I don’t think Cincy matches up well with the 2-3 zone, nor the depth the Orange can throw at the Bearcats. You add in a team looking to avoid a second straight loss to a lesser league foe, and that makes a good recipe for a comfortable win for the road favorites. Lay the number with Syracuse. -Doc’s Sports

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NBA Picks: April 3rd 2011
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Pick: New Jersey Nets +11
Since starting the month of March with 5 straight wins, the Nets have dropped 9 of their last 10. Their recent funk, however, isn’t enough to keep me off them here. Over the last few weeks, New Jersey has a win over Boston and it has played Chicago, Orlando and Atlanta to within 11 points or less. In other words, the Nets have gotten up for the big boys. They should especially be motivated in this spot following a forgettable performance at Philadelphia Friday. Deron Williams had a miserable game with four points in 23 minutes. Expect his competitiveness to drive him to a much better performance in this one. New Jersey is an impressive 14-6 ATS in home games when playing against a team with a winning record this season. It is only losing these contests by an average of 3.6 points. In addition, the Nets are 10-1 ATS in their last 11 games as an underdog of 11.0 points or more. We’ll take the points.

Pick: Indiana Pacers +5
4 of the L5 meetings in this series have been decided by 5 points or less. With both teams fighting hard to secure playoff spots, I expect another close game in which the points will come in handy. Consider that the road team is 5-2 ATS in the last 7 meetings and the underdog is 8-2 ATS in the last 10 meetings. Also, the Hornets are a lousy 2-8-1 ATS in their last 11 games as a home favorite. The loss of leading scorer David West really hurts New Orleans. Plus, Chris Paul is struggling right now, averaging 8.7 points on 30.3 percent shooting in his last three games. Take the Pacers and the points. -Dave Price

Pick: Houston Rockets -5.5
Houston will play with a greater sense of urgency and desperation this evening as it continues to push for a playoff spot. Atlanta is in already and will be feeling fat and happy after a win over Boston. Houston is 12-2 SU and 11-3 ATS in its last 14 home games in this series. The Rockets are 11-4-1 ATS in their last 16 games as a home favorite of 5.0-10.5 points and 6-1 ATS in their last 7 vs. the Eastern Conference. The Hawks are 0-7 ATS in their last 7 vs. the NBA Southwest division and 2-5 ATS in their last 7 games as an underdog of 5.0-10.5 points. Take the Rockets. -Jeff Alexander (Handicapperspicks.com)

NBA Picks: March 29th 2011
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Pick: Houston Rockets -6.5
At 7 pm, our complimentary selection is on the Houston Rockets minus the points over New Jersey. The Nets will not make the playoffs again this season, but the future is bright with new ownership, a new arena on the horizon, and a spectacular young point guard (Deron Williams) in the fold after the mid-season trade which wrested him away from the Jazz. Williams seems to really like playing in New Jersey, so the Nets are hopeful they can sign him to a long-term extension down the road. Unfortunately for the Nets, Williams is banged-up right now and, though he’s been cleared to play tonight, he will remain in street clothes, and instead play tomorrow night vs. the rival Knicks. So, look for Jordan Farmar to make another start at point guard. Although he’s put up some decent numbers in Williams’ absence, he’s not the talent that Williams is, and that’s one reason to fade New Jersey here. Houston is competing for the 8th, and final berth in the Western Conference playoffs, and it comes into this game off a loss at Miami on Sunday. But Houston had won five straight prior to that 6-point defeat, and there’s no shame in losing by six to the league’s #1 team (in terms of point differential) on the road. The Rockets have three tough games on deck vs. winning clubs, so this game tonight is one they know they must win — and they should, given they’re 94-56 ATS on the road off a road loss, and the Nets are 27-46 ATS off a double digit loss. Lay the points. Good luck, as always…Al McMordie.

Pick: Miami Heat -13
A visit to “The Q” by Prince James should produce an all out effort on his part as well as his teams, as the wound is still fresh. I know he prefers “King James” although I have never been a fan so to me it’s Prince. Enough about that, our concern in the end is always the same who will cover and why. These teams have met three times this season with the Heat easily handling the Cavs in two of the three (3-0 SU / 2-1 ATS) and should have little trouble here as they are gearing up for a post-season run. Miami is averaging 102 points per game versus teams that would normally only allow 99 points per game. On the defensive end of the floor the Heat are giving up 95.4 points per game to teams that average almost 100 points per game. Over their last five contests, the Heat have been perfect at 5-0 SU scoring 109 points per game on 50.4 percent shooting and holding opponents to 99 points on just 46 percent shooting from the field. Cleveland is 1-4 SU their last five games averaging 90.4 points per game while allowing their opponents to average 97 points per game. The Cavs are 9-21 ATS after having lost three of their last four games over the last 2 seasons. Cleveland is 14-26 ATS revenging a loss this season, 11-21 ATS revenging a loss where opponent scored 100 or more points this season, 6-15 ATS revenging a loss versus opponent of 10 points or more this season, 7-18 ATS revenging a road loss this season and 7-15 ATS after a blowout loss by 15 points or more this season. A check of the database reveals a league-wide system that is active for tonight’s contest. Play AGAINST NBA teams off a home loss facing an opponent that is coming in off two or more consecutive wins at home. Playing against these teams has produced a record of 104-61 ATS for 63 percent winners the last three seasons. Lay the digits with the Heat as they roll past an overmatched Cavaliers squad on Tuesday night. -Robbie Gainous (Handicapperspicks.com)

NBA Picks: February 28th 2011
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Pick: Atlanta Hawks +6
The Atlanta Hawks are back on track with two straight quality road wins over Golden State (95-79) and Portland (90-83). They have really clamped down on the defensive end and will do so again tonight against a Denver team that is without Carmelo Anthony and Chauncey Billups, making points hard to come by for the Nuggets. Atlanta is 14-5 ATS in their last 19 meetings with the Nuggets, including 7-3 ATS in their last 10 meetings in Denver. The Nuggets have surprisingly played well after their trade with the Knicks, but that won’t last and they are certainly overvalued because of the way they have played since the trade. Denver is 1-11 ATS (-11.1 Units) in home games versus teams who attempt 18 or more 3 point shots/game – 2nd half of the season over the last 2 seasons. The Nuggets are 15-31-6 ATS in their last 52 games following a ATS win. Denver is 0-11 ATS (-12.1 Units) after a close loss by 3 points or less over the last 2 seasons. The Hawks are 6-2 ATS in their last 8 games playing on 0 days rest. Atlanta is a perfect 9-0 ATS (+9.0 Units) after 2 consecutive non-conference games this season. Take the Hawks and the points. -Black Widow

Pick: Suns vs. Nets Under 206.5
Plays Under on road teams (PHOENIX) when the total is greater than or equal to 200, provided they are coming off a road win in which they scored 110 or more points and are playing 4 or less games in 10 days, are 30-8 the last 5 seasons. We are only seeing an average of 199.3 total points scored in this situation. Last month, New Jersey gave up 118 points in a loss at Phoenix. This is key because the Nets are an impressive 15-5 Under in home games when out to avenge a loss in which it allowed an opponent to score 110 points or more the last 3 seasons. We are only seeing an average of 196.6 total points scored in this situation. Bet the Under. -Jeff Alexander (Handicapperspicks.com)

CHICAGO BULLS VS. NEW JERSEY NETS
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NBA Betting Trends:
Bulls are 11-5 ATS in their last 16 vs. NBA Atlantic.
Bulls are 1-4 ATS in their last 5 when their opponent allows 100 points or more in their previous game.
Nets are 1-4 ATS in their last 5 games as an underdog.
Nets are 1-4 ATS in their last 5 games overall.
Under is 22-7 in Bulls last 29 games as a road favorite of 0.5-4.5.
Over is 6-2 in Bulls last 8 vs. NBA Atlantic.
Under is 4-1 in Nets last 5 games as a home underdog.
Under is 4-1 in Nets last 5 vs. a team with a winning S.U. record.

Head-to-Head Betting Trends
Over is 5-1 in the last 6 meetings in New Jersey.
Home team is 20-8 ATS in the last 28 meetings.
Bulls are 3-13 ATS in the last 16 meetings in New Jersey.
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