North Carolina vs. Mississippi State
Free Pick: North Carolina +7.5 (March 20th 2010 – Wunderdog Sports)
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The Tar Heels are not used to the NIT, but with a talented youthful team, it isn’t a bad spot for them to get some experieince, and an 8 point win over a talented William & Mary team that beat Wake Forest this season, shows they have come to play, not go through the motions. The Bulldogs were shunned by the NCAA tournament committee and they are not happy to be here. They played a lackluster game vs Jackson State, but won on pure talent alone. This one won’t come as easy. The Tar Heels have owned the SEC, where they are a perfect 10-0-1 ATS in their last 11 encounters, and overall 43-19 ATS in non-conference games. The Bulldogs might squeeze out a win here, but the Heels are capable, and certainly are the odds on favorite to get out of this one, inside a big number. I’ll go with North Carolina here.
North Carolina vs. Georgia Tech
Free Pick: North Carolina +4 (March 11th 2010 – John Ryan)
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3* graded play on North Carolina as they take on Georgia Tech set to start at 7:00 EST and is an ACC opening round matchup. This is the Our proprietary sports handicapping model and simulator shows a high probability that UNC will lose this game by fewer than 3 points and we wold not be surprised at all to see an upset. Pride is always a very big part of any defending Champion and we believe it will be seen in full force in this game. GT defense has been horrible the past two games yielding 55% shooting to Clemson and 51% shooting to V-tech. UNC has favorable offensive matchups to exploit and we feel strongly that UNC will have a very big game. Based on the model projections rebounding will be nearly equal, but GT is just 1-5 ATS this season and 8-18 ATS the past 3 seasons when final game rebounding stats are +-3. Supporting this graded play is a system that has produced a record of 30-9 ATS for 77% winners since 1997. Play on neutral court teams as a dog off an embarrassing road loss scoring less than 60 points and is a marginal team winning team between 51% to 60% and playing a winning team. Heart of the Champion comes through today. Take UNC.
