NFL Picks: December 11th 2011
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Pick: Washington Redskins +9
Prior to last week’s 15-point loss to the Jets, which was a much closer game than the final score leads you to believe (Washington led in the 4th quarter), the Redskins hadn’t lost by more than 8 points in any of their home games. Doing the math, we find that Washington is only losing by an average of 3.0 points at home this season. This is the most points the Redskins have been catching all season and also the most points the Patriots have laid on the road. And frankly, this is too many points for a New England team that ranks dead last in the league in total defense with 412.1 yards allowed per game to be laying away from home. Going back to 1992, the Redskins are a rock solid 58-38 ATS when valued as an underdog of 3.5 to 9.5 points. They are also a perfect 9-0 ATS in their last 9 games in the second half of the season versus terrible defensive teams that allow 6 yards or more per play. New England has the second-best passing attack in the league, but Washington is a reliable 13-2 ATS in its last 15 games versus excellent passing teams averaging 260 or more passing yards per game, provided it is at least 8 games into the season. Washington’s defense has not allowed a 300-yard passer all season. Plus, Tom Brady struggled against Mike Shanahan’s teams when the coach was in Denver. Brady went 1-5 against Shanahan’s Broncos, completing just 56.5 percent of his passes and posting a 78.1 passer rating. We’ll take the points. Like clockwork, Jimmy has started the late-season surge clients have counted on for years. With Saturday’s winner on Army +7, his football plays are a HOT 8-3-1 (73%) this month and a Tremendous 34-19-1 (64%) going back to Nov. 10.
Pick: Kansas City Chiefs +11
The Chiefs, who have quietly covered the spread in 7 of their last 10, are an impressive 7-1 ATS in their last 8 games as an underdog, 12-3 ATS in their last 15 games as an underdog of 10.5 points or more and 4-1 ATS in their last 5 road games. The Kansas City defense has been playing very well. It held the Steelers to 290 yards in a 13-9 loss in Week 12, and it held the Bears to 181 yards in last week’s 10-3 victory. Look for the KC defense to play well enough to keep this one within the number. Take the points.
Pick: Oakland Raiders +12.5
The Packers haven’t won by more than 12 points in any of their last 3 games and 5 of their last 6. They’ll have a difficult time running away from an Oakland team that will be hungry after laying an egg in Miami. Playing on underdogs or pick (OAKLAND) off a road blowout loss by 14 points or more, in December games, has produced a 99-55 ATS record the last 28 years. Teams in this situation have covered the spread 64.2% of the time while only losing by an average of 3.1 points. This system is 14-5 ATS the last 3 seasons. The Raiders are 7-1 ATS in their last 8 games following a loss, 6-1 ATS in their last 7 road games and 5-1 ATS in their last 6 games as an underdog of 10.5 points or more. The Packers are just 8-17-2 ATS in their last 27 games as a favorite of 10.5 or more points. We’ll bet the Raiders. -Jeff Alexander (Handicapperspicks.com)
San Diego Chargers vs. Oakland Raiders
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Odds: San Diego Chargers -7 Over/Under 47.5 (November 10th 2011)
SCOTT SPREITZER’S (13-0, 100%) AFC WEST G.O.M.! – Thursday
Scott Spreitzer has DOMINATED Thursday night CFB and tonight he ROCKS the paid for play league. Scott’s releasing his AFC WEST GAME OF THE MONTH! Scott’s side is backed by multiple situations that combine for a 13-0, 100% winning mark. Grab the G.O.M. right here, then KICK the books sideways on Thursday!
Fargo’s **10** NFL THURSDAY NIGHT TOTALS ENFORCER
Matt is coming off a WINNING NFL Week Nine which was culminated by an EASY Over Monday night between the Bears and Eagles! He rides that into Week 10 and he does not have to wait long to get started as Thursday NFL kicks off this week and Matt is PRIMED for an opening WIN! Join him for his 10* Totals Enforcer that CASHES AGAIN! Watch and Win on the NFL Network!
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CLICK HERE FOR THE CHARGERS VS. RAIDERS WINNING PICK
Michael’s Week Night NFL Knockout (13-3 Angle)
Michael is coming off a MONSTER Weekend of NFL action going a stellar 5-1 including an easy Monday Night WINNER! Tonight Michael chalks up his second WINNING weeknight selection with tonight’t Knockout WINNER! This selection is backed by an inside the game angle that is 13-3 ATS! “Guys, we KNOCKOUT the BOOKS bankroll again tonight…I GUARANTEE it!”
Thursday Night Total Domination *38-19 Last 57!*
The #1 Ranked Overall Handicapper in the World in 2010! On a HUGE 38-19 run in my last 57 NFL plays. Totals are my specialty, and 62-39 in my last 101 over/under plays! The Raiders and Chargers will meet Thursday night in San Diego. I’ve got a big totals winner for this one. Start winning EARLY this weekend. This one is fully GUARANTEED! (Handicapperspicks.com)
NFL Week 2 Expert’s Picks: September 19th 2011
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Expert Pick: Tampa Bay Buccaneers +3
It appears that QB Donovan McNabb is nearing the end. He was absolutely awful last week. After coming off a poor year in 2010 we don’t project him to do much better in 2011 with Minnesota. Minnesota was dominated last week against San Diego but found a way to cover somehow. Tampa Bay is coming off a poor performance last week at home vs Detroit as there are high expectations with them this year. Both teams are not as good as people think they are but Tampa is younger and has the better QB play. TAMPA BAY is 7-0 ATS as a road underdog over the last 2 seasons . Minnesota falls in to a negative 17-48 record playing on certain home teams coming off a losing season and off an opening week loss. Tampa looks like the play here even though our ratings have Minnesota -3. Tampa Bay 23-20 -Carolina Sports
Expert Pick: Oakland Raiders +4
Raiders +4 (1.1* FREE PLAY) After the first week when the Bills went on the road and dominated the Chiefs everyone is buying into the Bills and I”m a little surprised at this line. Yes the Raiders have to come East to play this game, but I feel they are ready to play well and back up their Monday performance on short rest here. People forget how bad the Bills run defense was last year as the Chiefs never got to take advantage of that falling behind early. Bills were ranked last last year and I think the Raiders can really shorten the game and play with the lead with one of the better running games in the league. I think the Raiders man coverage and blitz scheme will throw Fitzpatrick off a little bit and the Bills will have issues trying to run the ball today. -Freddy Wills
Expert Pick: Kansas City Chiefs +9
Chiefs +9 over Lions- I have a number of close friends (believe it or not) in this business and many of them actually ‘love’ the Chiefs here. Some insist that Kansas City will win the game on the field. I of course being more conservative will be happy with a point-spread victory. The Cheifs have only one way to go having failed to win a pre-season game and getting pounded at home by Buffalo has many thinking it will a long year for Kansas City. They fumbled the opening kickoff and turned the ball over three more times. Teams improve that most from week One to week Two and the Chiefs should cover. Take KANSAS CITY! -Chip Chirimbes (Handicapperspicks.com)
Monday Night Football Parlay Picks (September 12th 2011)
Oakland Raiders vs. Denver Broncos
New England Patriots vs. Miami Dolphins
*Pats/Fins & Raiders/Broncos* – MNF PARLAY – *5-1-1 Sunday*
*5-1-1 Sunday NFL DOMINATION!* I delivered a MONSTER DAY OF PROFITS on the pro gridiron Sunday, and I’m out for more of your man’s money tonight! I have the winning sides in Patriots/Dolphins (7:00 EST) & Raiders/Broncos (10:30 EST)! Both can by yours with my ESPN MONDAY NIGHT FOOTBALL PARLAY PICK for $39.99! I am so confident in these two plays that I GUARANTEE A 2-0 SWEEP or I’ll send you my next football selection for FREE!
Widow’s MNF Double-Header PARLAY! ***4-0 Sunday***
***4-0 Sunday NFL SWEEP!*** This should come as no surprise considering The Widow has produced four straight winning NFL seasons! He has finished in the Top-4 on the NFL Leaderboard 3 of L4 years, and his $1,000/game NFL players have won $60,250 since 2007! (288-207 Record) The Widow has been at his best on the biggest stage, riding a 27-14 (66%) MNF Run Since 2008! He has the winning sides tonight in Pats/Fins & Raiders/Broncos! Get them both with The Widow’s MNF Double-Header PARLAY! Only $35.00 earns you this GUARANTEED 2-0 SWEEP!
Craig’s MNF Two Pack Parlay (14-2 MNF Run Last yr)
MNF has been by far the most profitable wager for Craig going all the way back to last year 14-2 record. Even better L2 years Craig is an amazing 26-7 MNF record. Add to it that Craig’s got winner in both games for MNF starter in 2011 for only one low price, ENJOY! (Handicapperspicks.com)
New Orleans Saints vs. Oakland Raiders
NFL Preseason Point Spread: Saints -4.5 over/under 39 (August 28th 2011)
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MACK ATTACK SAINTS/RAIDERS SUNDAY NIGHT MAGIC (#1 NFLX)
DMack continues his dominance of NFLX football with a 3-1-1 Saturday and backed that up with a 5-1 day in the bases. Check the leaderboards in all sports. DMack #1 in NFLX by double #2. The Mack Attack spanks books on Sunday with some Saints/Raiders Sunday Night Magic. GUARANTEED to win or Jets/Giants Monday is on me. BE THERE!
***Top Play Alert*** Price’s 7* NFLX *HEAVY HITTER* (6-0 L6)!
With Saturday’s 7* NFLX Game of the Year winner on the Bills -2.5 (blew 17-0 lead but gave us a thrilling cover in the end), Dave improved to 3-0 in Week 3 preseason action and 9-3 (75%) overall in the 2011 preseason. He also improved to a PERFECT 6-0 his L6 NFL Preseason 7* Top Plays! Dave makes it 7 STRAIGHT 7* Top Play winners right here with his confident call on tonight’s Saints/Raiders showdown. DON’T MISS IT!
***TOP PLAY*** Boyd’s Saints/Raiders 5* NFLX *BEST BET* (NBC)!
With Saturday’s 4-0 SWEEP, which included a pair of NFL preseason winners on the Bills -2.5 and the Bucs -3.5, Jimmy Boyd improved to a Dominant 35-19 (65%) his L54 NFL picks! Jimmy is now 3-1 in Week 3 NFLX action and he keeps the money train rolling tonight with his winning call on the Saints/Raiders NBC showdown. This play is backed by 2 Super Systems that combine to form a Powerful 49-15 ATS Angle that has owned the books since 1993. Join Jimmy in the winner’s circle tonight! (Handicapperspicks.com)
NFL Picks: December 26th 2010
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Pick: San Diego Chargers -7.5
There’s only one way for San Diego to have a shot at making it to the playoffs this year. The Chargers know they need to win out and get a little help along the way. Fortunately for the Bolts, they close with Cincinnati and Denver – two NFL teams that own a combined 6-22 SU and 9-19 ATS record! If you’re worried about backing this warm-weather San Diego team in the snow and cold at Cincinnati, rest your mind at ease. As a December guest, the Bolts are a perfect 10-0 SU (6-4 ATS) dating back to the 2006 season. The Chargers have been one of the best in the league overall too posting a sensational 79-40 SU and 70-44-5 ATS record in their last 119 games. Those two team trends are nice but this next technical situation is what really makes this investment an attractive one. According to my high-octane NFL database, game 15 home teams that enter off a SU and ATS home win are a soft 24-35 ATS provided they close the regular season on foreign soil. Since 2001, NFL clubs in this specific situation are on a woeful 5-17 ATS run! Cincinnati has dropped 37 of its last 61 to the Las Vegas pointspread and performed just as badly against teams from the AFC West posting a weak 18-39 SU and 23-34 ATS record. Without the services of TO, the Bengals will lose one of their best offensive weapons. That’s a bad thing matched up against a Chargers defense that has limited their last two opponents to seven points combined! Lay the lumber here men. Take San Diego. Thank you and best of luck, Tom Stryker.
Pick: Detroit Lions +3.5
The Lions have been battling all season with six losses coming by 5 of fewer points. They enter today’s contest with lots of momentum off back-to-back wins against Green Bay and Tampa Bay – winning teams. Detroit has become even more competitive lately because it has been able to get its ground game going, racking up 371 yards rushing the last two weeks. The Dolphins have been lousy at home this season, going just 1-6. From the perspective of the point spread, Miami has long been troubled at home. In fact, the Dolphins are a pathetic 17-44-1 ATS in their last 62 home games. It is also worth noting that they are 6-28 ATS in their last 34 games as a home favorite. Going a step further we find that Miami is 0-8 ATS in its last eight games as a favorite of 3.5 to 9.5 points. The Lions have been cashing tickets all season to the tune of 10-3-1 ATS. With plenty of momentum, and playing a team that has been outscored by 6.6 ppg on its home field this season, we’ll take the Lions and the points. -Jimmy Boyd
Pick: Oakland Raiders +3
Indianapolis/Oakland 4:05: Pretty good matchup for Oakland with a top-tier running game with 1000+ yard rusher McFadden living up to his lofty expectations this year. Sure, the Colts stopped a top-tier runner last week in Jones-Drew; however, McFadden offers a different challenge with his shiftyness and breakaway speed. His off tackle runs will surely keep the great bookends of Indianapolis –Mathis and Freeney — from running up field on QB Campbell. The Raiders’ defense, on the other hand, has a ball hawking secondary led by corner Asomugha. And although Manning gets RB Addai back, he won’t have Collie (concussion) and guard Jamey Richard is still questionable (hip). The Raiders have covered 4 of the last 5 in this series and, unlike the last decade, still are in post-season contention. Indy sports a 2-7 ATS mark in week 16 and we’ll take the points here. -Vic Duke
