MLB Baseball Picks for August 4th 2011: Wager On The Pirates And Phillies

August 4, 2011 By

MLB Baseball Picks: August 4th 2011
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Pick: Pittsburgh Pirates -142
The Cubs have packed in the lost season, particularly on the road, where they have been awful. Going with Rodrigo Lopez for this game is not a plus, with a 5.29 ERA his last three starts. Chicago has terrible defense in the field behind him. The Cubs are 7-15 in their last 22 road games vs. a right-handed starter and 9-23 in their last 32 road games. Pittsburgh righty James McDonald has been throwing well, with a 2.70 ERA his last three starts and a 2-1 record. And the Pirates are 6-0 in McDonald’s last 6 starts vs. a team with a losing record. Play the Pirates! -Jim Feist

Pick: Philadelphia Phillies -134
The Phillies are looking for some revenge here after losing 2 of 3 to the Giants at home last week. They’ve rattled off 6 straight wins since that series, and I expect them to make it 7 in a row tonight. The Phillies have the edge on the mound with Lee. They are 7-1 in his last 8 road starts vs. a team with a winning record and 5-0 in his last 5 starts as a favorite of -110 to -150. Lee threw a lot of pitchers in his last start but that is no cause for concern. In fact, the Phillies are 6-0 in his last 6 starts after throwing more than 120 pitches in his last appearance. The Giants have lost 5 of 6 since they last faced Philly, and they are 0-4 in their last 4 series openers. Bumgarner is a good young pitcher, but he’s no Lee. The Giants have lost 12 of his 22 starts this season, and they are only 3-7 in his last 10 series-opening starts. Take the Phillies. -Jimmy Boyd (Handicapperspicks.com)

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MLB Picks for August 2nd 2011: Bet The Tampa Bay Rays and Philadelphia Phillies

August 2, 2011 By

MLB Picks: August 2nd 2011
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Pick: Tampa Bay Rays -145
The Rays get the call as our free play with ace David Price set to take the mound. Tampa Bay is an impressive 25-8 in Price’s starts against AL East foes the last 3 seasons, and much of that damage has been done against Toronto. Price is 8-0 (9-0 on the ML) with an ERA of 1.99 in 9 career starts against the Blue Jays. He’s allowed 1 or no runs in 7 of those outings. Price should be very fresh tonight having not pitched since last Tuesday. The extended rest bodes well for us as the Rays are 5-0 in his last 5 starts coming on 6 days’ rest. Toronto’s struggles in Tampa Bay are also worth noting. The Jays are only 7-25 in their last 32 road games in this series. We’ll take the Rays tonight. -Jimmy Boyd

Pick: Philadelphia Phillies -117
Philadelphia is 68-39 overall this year while Colorado comes in with a 51-57 overall record this season. Philadelphia is 38-20 the past 3 years on the road when the money line is -100 to -125. Philadelphia has won 4 in a row heading into tonight. Philadelphia bullpen has a 3.39 ERA overall this year and a 3.45 ERA on the road this season. Kyle Kendrick has a 3.32 ERA his last 3 starts. Aaron Cook is 2-5 with a 5.05 ERA overall this year and 0-3 at home this season. Philadelphia has won 15 of 20 meetings vs Colorado the past 3 years including 7-2 at Colorado. Cook is 2-6 with a 6.13 ERA overall vs Philadelphia since 1997. We’ll recommend a small play on Philadelphia tonight! Thanks and good luck, Rocky Atkinson (Handicapperspicks.com)

 

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MLB Baseball Picks for June 28th 2011: Bet The Phillies, Rockies And Reds

June 28, 2011 By

MLB Picks: June 28th 2011
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Pick: Philadelphia Phillies -122
Phillies starter Cliff Lee is in one of those zones where opposing hitters have no chance against him. He has thrown back-to-back complete game shutouts. Most pitchers would be due for a bad start, but he had nine starts in a row where he threw 8 or more innings in 2010. He does draw a tough challenge in the Red Sox, but Boston has struggled to score runs of late, averaging just 2.8 over their last 5 games. The Red Sox also lose DH David Ortiz playing at Philadelphia. The Phillies are 30-13 at home this season, and want nothing more than to send the Red Sox a message. -Info Plays

Pick: Colorado Rockies -135
The Rockies are an outstanding 52-20 in their last 72 interleague home games, 26-7 in their last 33 interleague home games vs. a team with a losing record and 7-1 in their last 8 interleague games vs. a team with a losing record. The Rockies are also 15-5 in Hammel’s last 20 starts as a home favorite of -110 to -150. The White Sox are 12-26 in Floyd’s last 38 road starts and 4-10 in his last 14 starts as a road underdog of +110 to +150. Take the Rockies. -Dave Price

Pick: Cincinnati Reds +133
Tampa Bay ace David Price hasn’t been as sharp as we are used to seeing lately. He has an ERA of 4.26 and a WHIP of 1.316 over his last 3 starts. That’s likely not good news for the Rays as they go up against one of the best hitting teams in baseball against left-handed pitching. The Reds are batting .295 and scoring 6.2 runs per game against southpaw starters this season. Plus, Cincy is in excellent hands with Johnny Cueto, who has an ERA of 1.63 and a WHIP of 0.972 through 9 starts this season. He’s been nearly flawless lately, going 3-0 with an ERA of 0.43 and a WHIP of 0.810 over his last 3 starts. Lastly, the Reds are 7-0 in their last 7 meetings with the Rays and 4-0 in their last 4 meetings in Tampa Bay. Take the Reds. -Jeff Alexander (Handicapperspicks.com)

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MLB Picks for June 3rd 2011: Rockies vs. Giants Goes Under 7 Runs

June 3, 2011 By

MLB Picks: June 3rd 2011
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Pick: Rockies vs. Giants Under 7
The Colorado Rockies travel to the bay area for a weekend series against the San Francisco Giants. The first game will be Friday at 10:15PM EST. Juan Nicasio will get the ball for the Rockies on Friday night he is 1-0 having thrown seven innings giving up six hits in his only start. Matt Cain will take the bump for the Giants and he has a record of 3-4 with an ERA of 3.88 although his team has a record of 7-4 when he takes the mound. Colorado is 42-16-2 Under their last sixty road games when facing a team with a home winning percentage of sixty percent or better. The Rockies are 35-15-2 Under on the road when facing a team with a winning record. The Giants are 7-1 Under at home facing right-handed starters. San Francisco is 9-2 Under their last eleven home games overall. They are 13-5-1 Under their last nineteen versus teams with a losing record and 17-7-1 Under at home versus teams with a losing road record. San Francisco is 11-3 Under the last fourteen meetings versus the Rockies and 34-15-2 Under the last fifty-two meetings in San Francisco. Our TPR Index projects a total score 1.9 runs below the seven that has been placed on this contest by the oddsmakers. The Math Model projects five total runs scored in tonight’s Game One of this series so we will play the Under on Friday night. -Robbie Gainous

Pick: Atlanta Braves -110
The Mets are all also stoppers — they stop losing streaks by other teams! Atlanta righty Derek Lowe has had an up and down season, but he has faced the Mets already this season and won, allowing 2 runs in 6 innings. The Braves are 4-1 in their last 5 road games vs. a left-handed starter and face southpaw Jonathon Niese. The Braves are 21-8 in the last 29 meetings and 5-1 in the last 6 meetings in New York. Play the Braves. -Jim Feist

Pick: Philadelphia Phillies -153
The Phillies are in a tough spot this Friday evening, despite the opposition being the Pittsburgh Pirates. After back-to-back losses to the Nationals, Philadelphia needs a huge performance from Cole Hamels to avoid the hard charging Marlins. The Pirates are just 9-14 at home this season with Philly 15-12 on the road. When Cole Hamels takes the hill the Phillies are 45-15 versus a losing unit. The Pirates with hurler Karstens are 1-10 with 4 days of rest. Finally, the Pirates show at 4-11 in game #1 of a series. -Brad Diamond (Handicapperspicks.com)

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MLB Picks for May 29th 2011: Put Your Money On the Phillies Today

May 29, 2011 By

MLB Picks: May 29th 2011
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Pick: Philadelphia Phillies -113
The Philadelphia Phillies came from behind on Saturday as they kept it close and then took advantage of their opportunities. Chase Utley and Dominic Brown had two hits each, Ryan Howard drove in two runs, and Jimmy Rollins had a hit and scored in the Phillies eight hit five run offensive effort. Cole Hamels continued to look sharp this season as he allowed seven hits and two earned runs while striking out 10 over seven innings to get his seventh win of the season while Ryan Madson pitched the ninth inning to capture his 11th save of the year. For Sunday’s series finale Philadelphia start Vance Worley who hasn’t lost a start his year. For the season Worley has allowed 15 hits and five earned runs while striking out 18 in 21 innings of work. New York is 7-16 in their last 23 home games against a right handed starter, 1-6 in their last seven games overall, and 0-5 in Niese’s last five home starts against a team with a winning record. Philadelphia is 7-1 in their last eight games against a team with a losing record, 37-16 in their last 53 road games, and 39-19 in their last 58 game three of a series. Philadelphia is 6-1 in the last seven meetings of these two. TAKE PHILADELPHIA MINUS -Bob Wingerter

Pick: Royals vs. Rangers Over 9
We’ve seen 19 and 11 runs scored in the first 2 games of this series and I expect another high-scoring game Sunday afternoon. Texas is 11-2 OVER at home when the total is 9 to 9.5 this season. We have seen an average of 13.0 runs scored in these games. The OVER is 4-1 in the last 5 meetings between these clubs and 5-1 in the last 6 meetings in Texas. The OVER is also 7-1 in the Rangers’ last 8 home games vs. a left-handed starter. Bet the OVER. -Jeff Alexander

Pick: Tampa Bay Rays -139
Cleveland scheduled starter Justin Masterson is having a good season. However, I don’t expect his success to carry over against Tampa Bay. Masterson is 0-4 (0-5 on the money line) in his last 5 starts against the Rays with 24 runs allowed in 29 1/3 innings. He was rocked for 5 runs in 5 2/3 innings of a 7-4 defeat to Tampa on May 12. It is also worth noting that the Indians are 8-17 in his last 25 road starts and 3-9 in his last 12 road starts vs. a team with a winning record. The Rays fell yesterday after winning the first game of this series, but they are an impressive 9-4 in their last 13 following a loss. They are also 8-2 in their last 10 Game 3′s of a series. It also doesn’t bode well for the Indians that they haven’t seen Jeremy Hellickson. The Rays have won 4 of the rookie’s last 5 starts and have given him a major league-best 7.85 runs per nine innings on the season. The Indians are 4-10 in the last 14 meetings against the Rays and 2-9 in the last 11 meetings in Tampa Bay. Take Tampa. -Jimmy Boyd (Handicapperspicks.com)

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