MLB Picks: September 12th 2011
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Pick: Pittsburgh Pirates +123
I feel that we’re getting solid value with the home underdog Pirates here. Lincoln is 1-2 his last three starts. However, he’s got a stellar 2.50 ERA over those three starts, averaging six complete innings. On the other hand, Lohse is 2-1 but has an ugly 6.43 ERA his last three starts, averaging less than five innings in those games. Lohse is 2-1 with a solid 3.75 ERA vs. the Pirates this season. However, Lincoln is 1-0 with a superb 1.13 ERA in two starts vs. the Cards this season. While they’re below .500, the Pirates have had a somewhat respectable season. They’d love to help ensure that the Cards don’t make the playoffs. Consider Pittsburgh. -Ben Burns

Pick: Tampa Bay Rays -125
Tampa Bay has won 4 in a row and 7 of their last 8 games overall putting them only 3 1/2 games behind Boston in the AL East. Tampa Bay is 45-21 this year when playing against a team with a losing record. Baltimore is 22-56 this year when playing against a team with a winning record. Tampa Bay sends Jeff Niemann to the mound where he has been good on the road with a 6-2 record and a 3.36 ERA this season. Tampa Bay is 5-1 this year when playing at Baltimore. We’ll recommend a small play on Tampa Bay tonight! Thanks and good luck, Rocky Atkinson (Handicapperspicks.com)

MLB Picks: August 23rd 2011
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Pick: Chicago Cubs +135
The Braves send Mike Minor to the hill tonight where he 0-1 with a 4.98 ERA on the road this season. Atlanta is hitting only .235 on the road this year. 78% of the public is currently on the Braves in this game and we all know fading the public will get you money more times than not. Braves are 2-6 in their last 8 road games with the total set at 11.0 or higher. Cubs are 10-4 in their last 14 games as an underdog. Cubs are 7-3 in their last 10 vs. a team with a winning record. Cubs are 9-4 in their last 13 home games. Cubs are 5-1 in Colemans last 6 starts as an underdog of +110 to +150. Cubs are 4-1 in Colemans last 5 starts vs. a team with a winning record. We’ll recommend a small play on Chicago Cubs tonight! Thanks and good luck, Rocky Atkinson

Pick: Brewers vs. Pirates Over 8.5
I’ll side with the OVER in this game Tuesday between the Milwaukee Brewers and Pittsburgh Pirates in NL Central action. These teams just played a double-header Monday, meaning that both bullpens are likely taxed. Two below-average starters are going at it tonight in Marco Estrada and Ross Ohlendorf, and neither is likely to go deep in this one. Estrada is 3-8 with a 4.28 ERA on the season, including 0-1 with a 6.35 ERA in two road starts. Ohlendorf is 0-0 with a 7.27 ERA adn 1.845 WHIP through two starts this year. Both teams are hot at the plate right now as well. The Brewers are putting up 6.6 runs/game over their last five contests, while the Pirates are scoring 5.4 runs/game over their last five. The OVER is 4-0 in Brewers last 4 games overall. The OVER is 6-1 in Pirates last 7 games overall. The OVER is 10-1 in Brewers last 11 games as a road favorite of -110 to -150. The OVER is 6-0 in Pirates last 6 games as a home underdog. Bet the OVER in this game Tuesday. -Jack Jones

Pick: Cincinnati Reds -139
Play on Cincinnati at 7:10 ET. Florida has fallen off the map, having lost 15 of 17, and things get no less difficult this evening at home vs. the Reds and Johnny Cueto. Cueto is MLB’s ERA leader at 1.89 in 19 starts. He’s allowed just one run his L15 IP, picking up two wins. The Marlins are 5-19 as a home dog this season. Starter Ricky Nolasco has a 4-10 TSR at home and a 7.00 ERA his last three starts overall. 10* on Cincinnati (w/ Cueto). -Tom Freese (Handicapperspicks.com)

MLB Picks: August 20th 2011
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Pick: Boston Red Sox -130
Expect the Red Sox, who have won their last 4 games in Kansas City, to continue their dominance over the Royals, who have lost 6 of their last 7 overall. KC has been a pure fade with Paulino on the hill. The Royals are 0-6 in his last 6 starts, 0-4 in his last 4 home starts and 0-6 in his last 6 starts vs. a team with a winning record. The Red Sox are 6-2 in Wakefield’s last 8 starts and 6-1 in his last 7 starts as a favorite. We’ll take the Red Sox at a decent price.

Pick: Pittsburgh Pirates -105
The Cincinnati Reds are one of the more disappointing teams in baseball this season and when we see them hit like they did on Friday it makes them even more confusing, Joey Votto, Ryan Hanigan, and Brandon Phillips each homered as the Reds scored 11 runs off of 14 hits. On the mound Homer Bailey allowed six hits and three earned runs while striking out six over five innings of work to get a no decision as it was Travis Wood who got his sixth win of the year and Francisco Cordero got his 25th save. For Saturday afternoon’s game Cincinnati starts Dontrelle Willis who has yet to win a game this year. For the season Willis has allowed 41 hits and 18 earned runs while striking out 28 over 39.2 innings of work. Cincinnati is 3-5 in their lst eight road games, 1-6 in their last seven road games against a right handed starter, and 2-5 in Willis’ last seven starts. Cincinnati is 2-6 in the last eight meetings of these two. TAKE PITTSBURGH HERE -Bob Wingerter

Pick: Detroit Tigers -141
The Tigers have won 18 of their last 21 at home against the Tribe, and I look for them to extend the streak Saturday. The Indians are a lousy 3-13 in Huff’s last 16 starts, 2-10 in his last 12 road starts and 1-6 in his last 7 road starts vs. a team with a winning record. We’ll take the Tigers. -Dave Price (Handicapperspicks.com)

MLB Baseball Picks: August 4th 2011
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Pick: Pittsburgh Pirates -142
The Cubs have packed in the lost season, particularly on the road, where they have been awful. Going with Rodrigo Lopez for this game is not a plus, with a 5.29 ERA his last three starts. Chicago has terrible defense in the field behind him. The Cubs are 7-15 in their last 22 road games vs. a right-handed starter and 9-23 in their last 32 road games. Pittsburgh righty James McDonald has been throwing well, with a 2.70 ERA his last three starts and a 2-1 record. And the Pirates are 6-0 in McDonald’s last 6 starts vs. a team with a losing record. Play the Pirates! -Jim Feist

Pick: Philadelphia Phillies -134
The Phillies are looking for some revenge here after losing 2 of 3 to the Giants at home last week. They’ve rattled off 6 straight wins since that series, and I expect them to make it 7 in a row tonight. The Phillies have the edge on the mound with Lee. They are 7-1 in his last 8 road starts vs. a team with a winning record and 5-0 in his last 5 starts as a favorite of -110 to -150. Lee threw a lot of pitchers in his last start but that is no cause for concern. In fact, the Phillies are 6-0 in his last 6 starts after throwing more than 120 pitches in his last appearance. The Giants have lost 5 of 6 since they last faced Philly, and they are 0-4 in their last 4 series openers. Bumgarner is a good young pitcher, but he’s no Lee. The Giants have lost 12 of his 22 starts this season, and they are only 3-7 in his last 10 series-opening starts. Take the Phillies. -Jimmy Boyd (Handicapperspicks.com)

MLB Picks: July 30th 2011
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Pick: Pittsburgh Pirates +1.5 +104
The Pirates are showing value at +104 with 1.5 insurance runs to work with. Lee is struggling. The Phillies have lost 3 of his last 4 starts, and he’s been absolutely shelled in two of those outings. He gave up 5 earned on 10 hits in a 5-4 loss to a light-hitting San Diego club his last time out. McDonald, meanwhile, is sizzling. The Bucs have won each of his last 4 starts and seven of his last 8, and he hasn’t allowed more than 3 earned in any of those starts. He hasn’t allowed a single earned run in back-to-back wins over Cincy and Atlanta. We’ll take the Pirates on the run line. -Jeff Alexander

Pick: New York Mets -105
The Mets and Nats are heading in different directions, and we’ll take the one on the upswing at a nice price. The Mets have won 5 in a row while the Nationals have dropped 6 straight. Also, the Mets are 6-1 in Dickey’s last 7 starts while the Nationals are 1-4 in Marquis’ last 5 starts. The Mets have won 5 of their last 6 overall against the Nats and 5 of their last 6 in Washington. Bet the Mets. -Dave Price

Pick: Los Angeles Angels -140
A bit of a discount here with the Angels on the road and the Tigers winning by 10 runs last night, but I’ll take Dan Haren over Duane Below at this price all year. Haren has struggled a little in his last 3 starts, but he’s still 10-6 on the year with a 3.01 ERA and 1.00 WHIP. He’s opposed by untested Duane Below, who has just two starts and a 4.65 ERA for his season. I’ll take LA. -Steve Janus (Handicapperspicks.com)

MLB Picks: July 27th 2011
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Pick: Pirates vs. Braves Under 7
We look for a pitcher’s duel tonight between the Pittsburgh Pirates and Atlanta Braves. Clearly, both teams are tired after last night’s 19-inning marathon. That gives the edge to the starting pitchers in this one as the positional players will have a hard time focusing at the plate. Plus, we have two excellent starters going at it tonight. Jair Jurrjens is 12-3 with a 2.44 ERA in 18 starts for Atlanta, while Paul Maholm is 6-10 with a 3.26 ERA in 21 starts for Pittsburgh. The UNDER is 14-6-1 in Maholm’s 21 starts this year. These two have also been dominant when facing their respective opponents. Jurrjens is 2-3 with a 2.35 ERA in five lifetime starts (Under 4-1) versus Pittsburgh, while Maholm is 1-1 with a 1.64 ERA in five lifetime starts (Under 5-0) versus Atlanta. Take the UNDER 7 runs in this one. -Black Widow

Pick: Mets vs. Reds Over 9.5
The Mets Bobby Pelfrey hasn’t been missing many bats with his 5.29 ERA over his last three starts. The NYM is 15-4 to the high in L19 as a RD of 25-50 cents. Bronson Arroyo is 1-2 with a 7.36 ERA over his L5 starts and the Reds 12-5 to the over as HFs at this price. Play the over and don’t blink. -Dennis Macklin

Pick: Cincinnati Reds -138
Play on Cincinnati at 7:10 ET. After losing 2 straight here at home to the Mets, look for the Reds to win tonight. They are 31-21 off a loss this season and 32-19 off BB losses the L2 seasons. The Mets are 13-33 in road games when off back to back wins by 2 runs or less. NY starter Pelfrey has a 3-9 TSR as an underdog this year. Cincinnati starter Arroyo has a 7-3 TSR if the team lost its last game. 10* on Cincinnati. -Tom Freese (Handicapperspicks.com)